6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland

1. www.jrc.ec.europa.eu
Serving society
Stimulating innovation
Supporting legislation
Collaborative Health Threat Detection
and Risk Assessment: A case study
Brian DOHERTY
European Commission Joint Research Centre
Ispra, Italy

2. Plan
•HDRAS and EAR
•The architecture
•Ebola outbreak
•Future developments
230 August 2016

3. HDRAS and EAR – similar systems
• Hazard Detection and Risk Assessment System (HDRAS)
• World Health Organisation
• Global Surveillance Team at HQ Geneva
• Early Alerting and Reporting (EAR) Tool
• Global Health Security Initiative (GHSI)
• G7 and Mexico Health Ministries plus European Commision
• Countries work in shifts
330 August 2016

4. HDRAS and EAR – similar systems
• Analysts monitor the open source news
• News is categorised by health threat
• Sorted into a hierarchical tree
• Includes translation options
• Commenting and flagging of interesting items
• Create Incident/Group
• Attach news items
• Create risk assessment
• Automatic update of other analysts
430 August 2016

5. Plan
•HDRAS and EAR
•The architecture
530 August 2016

6. 630 August 2016
EAR
Database
Medisys Processing Chain
Monitoring Reporting
Incidents
under Review

7. Plan
•HDRAS and EAR
•The architecture
•Ebola outbreak
730 August 2016

8. Early Warning - The first days of Ebola
Friday Saturday MondaySunday WednesdayTuesday Thursday Friday

9. The first articles on EAR – 14th March
1. Afriscoop
• Picked up at 09:17 UTC
• Mentioned Lassa fever
• Read and commented by US
2. Flutrackers
• Picked up by Medisys 15:18 UTC
• Read by Canada 15:32 UTC, just 14
minutes later!

10. The first days
Friday Saturday MondaySunday WednesdayTuesday Thursday Friday
ECDC opens IUR

11. IUR – Alert and Moderate
• Collect relevant news items
• Notify others
• Start conversation

12. March and April

13. Ebola and HF Items read by day

14. IURs created with duration
West Africa (Guinea-Conakry, Liberia, Sierra Leone)
Democratic Republic of Congo (localized outbreak in Equateur Province)
USA (Texas healthcare workers cluster from ex Liberia case)
Mali
Iraq (Rumour of cases in Mosul)

15. Plan
•HDRAS and EAR
•The architecture
•Ebola outbreak
•Future developments
1530 August 2016

16. Future Developments
•Combine systems
•Actionable risk assessments
•Contextual information
1630 August 2016

17. END
Brian.doherty@jrc.ec.europa.eu
http://drmkc.jrc.ec.europa.eu
1730 August 2016

18. IUR Interface

19. Daily Digest
Products - Present