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Nationale Plattform Naturgefahren PLANAT
                   Plate-forme nationale „Dangers naturels“
                   Plattaforma nazionale „Pericoli naturali“
                   Piattaforma
                   National Platform of Natural Hazards




Living with risk
Andreas Götz



GRF - Davos    August 26, 2012
Living with risk




 Introduction

 Dealing with risk

 Swiss experience




   Presentation name | Subtitle   2
   Author
Introduction


Safety
is a basic human need and one of the key
requirements of the welfare of society.



Protection from natural hazards
                     is one of the key
requirements of the welfare of society.




  Presentation name | Subtitle             3
  Author
Safety

                                                                                          1/4
                                               Safety

                           Structural and                     Recognition of
                              non-structural                   competence
                               measures



                                                                      Political support
                 Assessment
                   of risks



                                                                      Ressources



                              Consulting,
                             Instruments                     Education,
                                                                     Capacity
                                                                 building
                                                Know - how
  Presentation name | Subtitle                                                             4
  Author
Safety

                                                                                                   2/4
                                                        Safety
Readyness of acteurs

     Manpower
                                    Structural and                     Recognition of
    National Level                          non-                        competence
   Cantonal Level                       structural
     Local Level                        measures
 International Level

                                                                               Political support
                          Assessment
                            of risks



                                                                               Ressources



                                          Consulting,
                                          Instruments                 Education,
                                                                              Capacity
                                                                          building
                                                         Know - how
           Presentation name | Subtitle                                                            5
           Author
Safety

                                                                                                         3/4
                                                        Safety
Readyness of acteurs

 Manpower + Money
                                    Structural and                           Recognition of
    National Level                          non-                              competence
   Cantonal Level                       structural
     Local Level                        measures
 International Level

                                                                                     Political support
                          Assessment
                            of risks
                                                        Financial support

                                                                                     Ressources



                                          Consulting,
                                          Instruments                       Education,
                                                                                    Capacity
                                                                                building
                                                         Know - how
           Presentation name | Subtitle                                                                  6
           Author
Safety
                                                                    Development of economy

                                                                                                            4/4
                                                        Safety                                    Welfare
Readyness of acteurs

 Manpower + Money
                                    Structural and                              Recognition of
    National Level                          non-                                 competence          Budget
   Cantonal Level                       structural
     Local Level                        measures
 International Level

                                                                                       Political support
                          Assessment
                            of risks
                                                        ,
                                                        Financial support

                                                                                        Ressources



                                          Consulting,
                                          Instruments                         Education,
                                                                                      Capacity
                                                                                  building
                                                            Know - how
           Presentation name | Subtitle                                                                       7
           Author
Switzerland

„In the heart of Europe“




      Presentation name | Subtitle   8
      Author
Switzerland

„Fountain of Europe“

 Surface
       42’000 km2

 Population density
  190 inh / km2

 Precipitation
  1’450 mm / y


      Presentation name | Subtitle   9
      Author
Switzerland

Landuse
                                            Yesterday




                                    Today




                                              Tomorrow
     Presentation name | Subtitle                       10
     Author
Switzerland

Specific problems in mountainous regions


 Space for living and livelihood is limited

 Access in times of disaster is difficult

 Multi-hazard conditions prevail

 Processes are fast and warning time is short




      Presentation name | Subtitle               11
      Author
Living with risk




 Introduction

 Dealing with risk

 Swiss experience




   Presentation name | Subtitle   12
   Author
Target

 guarantee the same safety
 for everyone in Switzerland
                                            „Mittelland“




„Jura“

                                        „Alps“ Multi-
                                               hazard
                                               conditions
                                               prevail
         Presentation name | Subtitle                  13
         Author
Target and trends


trend                                          Events
                                               Damage potential




                                                   Target:
                                               Reach and keep
                                               a defined safety




                                               Availability of space

                                        time
         Presentation name | Subtitle                           14
         Author
Events


 Outlook 2050




Summer mean temperature             + 3 oC      (2-7)
Winter mean temperature             + 3 oC      (2-5)

      more extreme events
      increasing intensity and water volumina
     Presentation name | Subtitle                       15
     Author
Damage potential


 Landuse




    Presentation name | Subtitle   16
    Author
Living with risk




 Introduction

 Dealing with risk

 Swiss experience

                                        Swiss Federal Council

                     Know the risks and be prepared
   Presentation name | Subtitle                                 17
   Author
Target of Swiss Federal Council


Sustainable and consistent level of safety
  for human beings, buildings and infrastructure
within a period of 20 to 30 years.


 Level of safety has to be
           ecologically acceptable

                       economically viable

                       socially acceptable
   Presentation name | Subtitle                    18
   Author
Extraparlamentary Commission PLANAT


 National Platform for Natural Hazards – PLANAT

                                         18 members of

                                         - federal agencies
                                         - cantons
                                         - private sector
                                                - research
                                         inst.             -
                                         insurance comp.




     Presentation name | Subtitle                        19
     Author
PLANAT - Main questions and answers


 «From protection against natural hazards to the
 management of risks»
(strategic work – creation of awareness – coordination)

                                                        What is allowed
 What can happen?
                                                         to happen?

    Assessment                                            Evaluation
      of risks                                             of risks

                                     Mesures to take?
                                        Planning
      Presentation name | Subtitle                                        20
      Author
Assessment of risks


   All kinds of natural hazards must be analized

red zone
substantial danger for constructions and people inside houses
‱ no new constructions allowed
blue zone
medium danger
‱ constructions allowed with restrictions
yellow zone
low danger
‱ informations for the land-owners
cross-hatched yellow-white zone
remaining danger
‱ pay attention in case of special objects /
  planning of emergency measures




             Presentation name | Subtitle                       21
             Author
Evaluation of risks


 High protection only for high risks




      Presentation name | Subtitle      22
      Author
Planning


 Use all possibilities to influence risks

 Avoiding risks
    Landuse panning
 Limiting risks
    Constructive measures,
    organisational measures,
 Transferring risks
    Insurance, 

 Accepting remaining risk

      Presentation name | Subtitle           23
      Author
Integrateded Risk Management




     Protect life                                            Save life




                                         Resilience

  Presentation name | Subtitle   From “words” to “actions”     6 Priorities
                                                                          24
  Author
1 Knowledge of hazards and risks



 Hazard-appropriate behaviour in
  spatial planning


 National level defines the legal
  framework and provides financial
  support

 Provinces and communes are
  responsible for the compilation

   of hazards
   Presentation name | Subtitle      25
   Author
2 Increased awareness of natural hazards



 Inform the population about the
  relevant natural hazards

 Conserve and promote the
  knowledge by a dialogue on risk

 Easily accessible information




  Presentation name | Subtitle             26
  Author
3 Holistic planning of measures


 Integrated management
  has to settle priorities

   for actions

 Measures must be
  adaptable to changing
  hazard situations

 There is a need for good
  cost-benefit relation

  Presentation name | Subtitle    27
  Author
4 Structures designed to accomodate excess load



 Old protective structures often
  fail in the „overload case“


 Measures are needed to

  prevent an uncontrolled collapse

  in case of „overload situation“


   Presentation name | Subtitle              28
   Author
5 Emergency preparedness


 Careful emergency planning to
  reduce damage in case of extreme
  events

 Emergency concepts on local level

 Good cooperation between local
  administration and experts /
  emergency staff



  Presentation name | Subtitle        29
  Author
6 Timely identification of hazard events


Timely action at community level
necessitates

 perfect functioning of forecasting
  and warning systems

 professional interpretation of the
  available information




    Presentation name | Subtitle            30
    Author
International level




Swiss Federal Council
                                                     Risk level
                                                          High
                                                        Medium
                                                          Low




    Disaster Risk Reduction – Words are not enough

        Presentation name | Subtitle                      31
        Author
International level


 1. Welfare of communities is built on sustainability.

 2. Concept of resilience must be reflected in
    sustainable development goals

 3. Disaster risk reduction action plans for each
    country to undertake hazards and risk assessments
    in a timely manner

 4. Set the starting point for negotiations about the
    post Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA) 2015


  Presentation name | Subtitle                           32
  Author
International level




UN – Global Assessment Report 2011
     Presentation name | Subtitle    33
     Author
Final message


"Even if you think you're on the right track, you'll get
run over if you just sit there."

(Will Rogers)




    Presentation name | Subtitle                           34
    Author

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National Platform for Natural Hazards

  • 1. Nationale Plattform Naturgefahren PLANAT Plate-forme nationale „Dangers naturels“ Plattaforma nazionale „Pericoli naturali“ Piattaforma National Platform of Natural Hazards Living with risk Andreas Götz GRF - Davos August 26, 2012
  • 2. Living with risk  Introduction  Dealing with risk  Swiss experience Presentation name | Subtitle 2 Author
  • 3. Introduction Safety is a basic human need and one of the key requirements of the welfare of society. Protection from natural hazards is one of the key requirements of the welfare of society. Presentation name | Subtitle 3 Author
  • 4. Safety 1/4 Safety Structural and Recognition of non-structural competence measures Political support Assessment of risks Ressources Consulting, Instruments Education, Capacity building Know - how Presentation name | Subtitle 4 Author
  • 5. Safety 2/4 Safety Readyness of acteurs Manpower Structural and Recognition of National Level non- competence Cantonal Level structural Local Level measures International Level Political support Assessment of risks Ressources Consulting, Instruments Education, Capacity building Know - how Presentation name | Subtitle 5 Author
  • 6. Safety 3/4 Safety Readyness of acteurs Manpower + Money Structural and Recognition of National Level non- competence Cantonal Level structural Local Level measures International Level Political support Assessment of risks Financial support Ressources Consulting, Instruments Education, Capacity building Know - how Presentation name | Subtitle 6 Author
  • 7. Safety Development of economy 4/4 Safety Welfare Readyness of acteurs Manpower + Money Structural and Recognition of National Level non- competence Budget Cantonal Level structural Local Level measures International Level Political support Assessment of risks , Financial support Ressources Consulting, Instruments Education, Capacity building Know - how Presentation name | Subtitle 7 Author
  • 8. Switzerland „In the heart of Europe“ Presentation name | Subtitle 8 Author
  • 9. Switzerland „Fountain of Europe“  Surface 42’000 km2  Population density 190 inh / km2  Precipitation 1’450 mm / y Presentation name | Subtitle 9 Author
  • 10. Switzerland Landuse Yesterday Today Tomorrow Presentation name | Subtitle 10 Author
  • 11. Switzerland Specific problems in mountainous regions  Space for living and livelihood is limited  Access in times of disaster is difficult  Multi-hazard conditions prevail  Processes are fast and warning time is short Presentation name | Subtitle 11 Author
  • 12. Living with risk  Introduction  Dealing with risk  Swiss experience Presentation name | Subtitle 12 Author
  • 13. Target  guarantee the same safety for everyone in Switzerland „Mittelland“ „Jura“ „Alps“ Multi- hazard conditions prevail Presentation name | Subtitle 13 Author
  • 14. Target and trends trend Events Damage potential Target: Reach and keep a defined safety Availability of space time Presentation name | Subtitle 14 Author
  • 15. Events  Outlook 2050 Summer mean temperature + 3 oC (2-7) Winter mean temperature + 3 oC (2-5) more extreme events increasing intensity and water volumina Presentation name | Subtitle 15 Author
  • 16. Damage potential  Landuse Presentation name | Subtitle 16 Author
  • 17. Living with risk  Introduction  Dealing with risk  Swiss experience Swiss Federal Council Know the risks and be prepared Presentation name | Subtitle 17 Author
  • 18. Target of Swiss Federal Council Sustainable and consistent level of safety for human beings, buildings and infrastructure within a period of 20 to 30 years. Level of safety has to be ecologically acceptable economically viable socially acceptable Presentation name | Subtitle 18 Author
  • 19. Extraparlamentary Commission PLANAT  National Platform for Natural Hazards – PLANAT 18 members of - federal agencies - cantons - private sector - research inst. - insurance comp. Presentation name | Subtitle 19 Author
  • 20. PLANAT - Main questions and answers  «From protection against natural hazards to the management of risks» (strategic work – creation of awareness – coordination) What is allowed What can happen? to happen? Assessment Evaluation of risks of risks Mesures to take? Planning Presentation name | Subtitle 20 Author
  • 21. Assessment of risks  All kinds of natural hazards must be analized red zone substantial danger for constructions and people inside houses ‱ no new constructions allowed blue zone medium danger ‱ constructions allowed with restrictions yellow zone low danger ‱ informations for the land-owners cross-hatched yellow-white zone remaining danger ‱ pay attention in case of special objects / planning of emergency measures Presentation name | Subtitle 21 Author
  • 22. Evaluation of risks  High protection only for high risks Presentation name | Subtitle 22 Author
  • 23. Planning  Use all possibilities to influence risks  Avoiding risks  Landuse panning  Limiting risks  Constructive measures, organisational measures,  Transferring risks  Insurance, 
  Accepting remaining risk Presentation name | Subtitle 23 Author
  • 24. Integrateded Risk Management Protect life Save life Resilience Presentation name | Subtitle From “words” to “actions” 6 Priorities 24 Author
  • 25. 1 Knowledge of hazards and risks  Hazard-appropriate behaviour in spatial planning  National level defines the legal framework and provides financial support  Provinces and communes are responsible for the compilation of hazards Presentation name | Subtitle 25 Author
  • 26. 2 Increased awareness of natural hazards  Inform the population about the relevant natural hazards  Conserve and promote the knowledge by a dialogue on risk  Easily accessible information Presentation name | Subtitle 26 Author
  • 27. 3 Holistic planning of measures  Integrated management has to settle priorities for actions  Measures must be adaptable to changing hazard situations  There is a need for good cost-benefit relation Presentation name | Subtitle 27 Author
  • 28. 4 Structures designed to accomodate excess load  Old protective structures often fail in the „overload case“  Measures are needed to prevent an uncontrolled collapse in case of „overload situation“ Presentation name | Subtitle 28 Author
  • 29. 5 Emergency preparedness  Careful emergency planning to reduce damage in case of extreme events  Emergency concepts on local level  Good cooperation between local administration and experts / emergency staff Presentation name | Subtitle 29 Author
  • 30. 6 Timely identification of hazard events Timely action at community level necessitates  perfect functioning of forecasting and warning systems  professional interpretation of the available information Presentation name | Subtitle 30 Author
  • 31. International level Swiss Federal Council Risk level High Medium Low Disaster Risk Reduction – Words are not enough Presentation name | Subtitle 31 Author
  • 32. International level 1. Welfare of communities is built on sustainability. 2. Concept of resilience must be reflected in sustainable development goals 3. Disaster risk reduction action plans for each country to undertake hazards and risk assessments in a timely manner 4. Set the starting point for negotiations about the post Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA) 2015 Presentation name | Subtitle 32 Author
  • 33. International level UN – Global Assessment Report 2011 Presentation name | Subtitle 33 Author
  • 34. Final message "Even if you think you're on the right track, you'll get run over if you just sit there." (Will Rogers) Presentation name | Subtitle 34 Author