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Loren Pfau
21 September 2012
GIS in the Rockies
Geospatial Survey
Penn State MGIS Candidate
11 Years of Wilderness SAR Experience
A strong belief in the potential of geospatial
technologies to enhance and change SAR


                                  “I have never been lost,
                                  but I will admit to being
                                  confused for several
                                  weeks.” – Daniel Boone
Locating/retrieving
people/objects in:
 Urban settings (e.g. EMS, law
 enforcement, fire)
 Water (e.g. lost watercraft
 (USCG))
 Land (e.g. lost aircraft (Civil
 Air Patrol, DoD))
 Confined space (e.g.
 collapsed buildings, mines)
 Wilderness – focus of my
 study
Remote locations; harsh weather; difficult
terrain; long access and transport times
Limited connectivity for communications
purposes
National Parks – professionals
Most Everywhere Else - volunteers
     In most Western States SAR is the responsibility of the
     County Sheriff
     Many SAR teams are members of the Mountain Rescue
     Association and are funded by donations and fundraising
Fatality
               3%
                          USA National Parks – 1992 - 2007

                          • Approximately 65,439 SAR
                 Ill or
               Injured      missions
                 31%      • Approximately 4,090 per year
Not Ill or                                       Source: Heggie, 2009
 Injured
   66%                    Colorado between 1995-2009

                          • Approximately 20,672 SAR Missions
                          • Approximately 1,378 per year

                                                 Source: CSRB, 2009
120
                        110       Missions 2008
Cumulative Missions



                        100       Missions 2009
                         90       Missions 2010
                         80
                         70       Missions 2011
                         60       Missions 2012
                         50
                         40
                         30
                         20
                         10
                          0
                          2-Jan     21-Feb    11-Apr     31-May 20-Jul         8-Sep      28-Oct         17-Dec
                                                               Date                    Source: Alpine Rescue Team, 2012
                      7000
                      6000
                      5000
                      4000
                                             Activities of people rescued, Colorado 1995-2009
                      3000
                      2000
                      1000
                        0


                                                                                                             CSRB, 2009
• Traditionally: a telephone call and a topo map
    • Now: e911 Phase II, social media, smartphone
      apps, mapping GPS units, GIS, etc.
    • A wealth of geospatial data becoming available
      but understanding of how to access and use
      this data is in early stages of development

   We are moving from a “Search For” to a “Go To”
    environment thanks to advances in geospatial
    technologies
   We have access to more and more location-
    based information on subjects
   But much of the data on location comes from
    sources and is in formats other than what the
    SAR community is accustomed to using
   We need to modify our thinking about how we
    conduct a search using this data
   And we need new tools and expertise to help us
    deal with it
Survey                      • Announced via the MRA
Conducted 2 –               • Conducted under the auspices of Penn Sate
22 March, 2012              • 122 started the survey; 74 completed the
                              survey


                               • Ascertain what geospatial data and tools are being
                                 employed in wilderness SAR
         Goals                 • Identify why some tools are used and others are not
                               • Use information to determine ways to integrate GIS
                                 technology to improve SAR

Country        Responses                                      State       Responses
USA                    67                                     CO                       13
Canada                  3                                     CA                        7
Australia               1                                     AZ                        3
UK                      1                                     MN                        3
South Africa            1                                     OR                        3
                                                              WV                        2
                                                              Georgia                   2
Standard Datum




                                   Coordinate System
WGS 84,
                    NAD 27,
  33                          USNG, 1   MGRS, 1
                      38



          NAD 83,                                 GCS, 22
            10


                                 UTM, 62
Does Your Team
Use Electronic
Maps or GIS?

• 91% Use
• 9% Don’t Use
Google Earth

MapTech Terrain Navigator

 National Geographic Topo

                    Other

           Delorme Topo

              ESRI ArcGIS

      ESRI ArcGIS Explorer

              Ozi Explorer

                 MapInfo

             Quantim GIS

               GRASS GIS

                     uDig

                             0   10   20   30   40   50   60
Plan Search Area Segments


     Managing Field Team Assignments


                    Documenting Clues


Maintain Mission Situational Awareness


               Team Training Activities


                 Post-Event Debriefing


      Calculating Probability of Success


                                  Other

                                           0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70
Geotagged Photos

         Avalanche Forecasts

     Terrain Coverage Models

      Digital Elevation Models

Georeferenced Maps or Images
                                                                              Yes

    Satellite or Aerial Imagery                                               No


         Field Team Positions

           Weather Forecasts

  Last Known Point and Clues

                  Paper Maps

                                  0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80
Wireless e911 Call


                                 SPOT


               Personal Locator Beacon


                     Smartphone Apps
                                                                                 Yes
                                                                                 No
Facebook or other Social Media Postings


                     Geotagged Photos


                               Twitter


                               InReach

                                          0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70
Fundamentally a Geospatial Activity

                 Need to Visualize, Analyze, Model, Manage and
                 Document mission activities

            80

            60
Frequency




            40

            20
                                                       50% searches completed < 3 hours
                                                       81% are over within 12 hours
            0
                   <3      3 - 12    within 24
                                                       93% are complete within 24 hours
                          Hours
       Source: Alpine Rescue Team data, 2008-2011


                                                                    Source: Koester, 2008
Cell Phones
Locators
Mission Management Tools
Analysis and Training
Wireless e911
Pings and Tower hits
Smartphone Apps
   Twitter and other Social Media
   Geotagged photo’s
   Latitude, etc.
• More than 104M of these
  are smartphones




 Source: comScore Reports
 February 2012 U.S. Mobile
 Subscriber Market Share, 4March
 2012
Phase I
   Calling number, name and tower information
Phase II
   Adds latitude and longitude information
     “Wireless phones relying on network-based technology must provide Public
     Safety Answering Points (PSAP) with reports on their locations within 100
     meters of accuracy for 67 percent of calls, and within 300 meters for 95
     percent of calls, by Sept. 11, 2012, according to the order. Phones installed
     with GPS chips, meanwhile, must provide PSAPs with reports on their
     locations within 50 meters of accuracy for 67 percent of calls, and within
     100 meters for 95 percent of calls, by the same date. The FCC also specified
     certain benchmarks to measure the carriers' progress, such as meeting the
     location accuracy requirements in at least 75 percent of PSAPs a carrier
     serves by 2010.” - FCC E911 Location Accuracy Second
     Report and Order in PS Docket No. 07-114
Team
                               Member                                                                                                                                           DeltaLat - DeltaLong -
                Location       Placing                                                                                                                                          Known to Known to Total Error
  Time        (Description)      Call     Carrier   Tel. # Known Lat    Known Lon      Lat-initial   Lon-initial    Lat-rebid Lon-rebid                   Notes                   initial    Initial   - KM
                                                                                                                                             Bellview Tower only on initial
10:00:00 AM Chief Mtn                    ATT                  39.6828      -105.5220       39.7636      -105.5417                            call and rebid                        -8.9731    1.0830    9.0382

10:04:00 AM Chief Mtn                    Tmobile              39.6828      -105.5220       39.6826      -105.5220                            Squaw Pass RD per Dispatch             0.0194    0.0042    0.0198
10:08:00 AM Loveland Pass                VZ                   39.6697      -105.8751       39.6696      -105.8752                                                                   0.0077    0.0027    0.0081
10:09:00 AM Loveland Pass                Sprint               39.6697      -105.8751       39.6696      -105.8751                                                                   0.0063   -0.0031    0.0071
10:15:00 AM Guanella Pass                ATT                  39.6372      -105.7091       39.7231      -105.6719                            Saxon Mtn. Tower                      -9.5252   -2.0462    9.7425
10:17:00 AM Guanella Pass                VZ                   39.6372      -105.7091       39.6375      -105.7092                                                                  -0.0319    0.0036    0.0321
10:27:00 AM Hermans Gulch                VZ                   39.7025      -105.8537       39.7025      -105.8537      39.7026   -105.8539                                         -0.0031    0.0008    0.0032
10:29:00 AM Hermans Gulch                Sprint               39.7025      -105.8537       39.7025      -105.8537                                                                   0.0027   -0.0017    0.0032
                                                                                                                                             Call went to JeffCo Yankee
10:50:00 AM Mt. Evans Summit             Tmobile              39.5878      -105.6422       39.4867      -105.6306                            Tower                                 11.2249   -0.6382   11.2430


                                                                                                                                             Call went to JeffCo Beaver
10:50:00 AM Mt. Evans Summit             VZ                   39.5878      -105.6422                                                         Tower; JeffCo unable to transfer
11:09:00 AM Grizzly Gulch                VZ                   39.6759      -105.8065       39.6914      -105.8036                            Tower Only                            -1.7130   -0.1585    1.7203
Source: Civil Air Patrol Briefing on Alpine Search for missing hiker 18 July 2012
Source: Civil Air Patrol Briefing on Alpine Search for missing hiker 18 July 2012
Virtual clues in the form of geospatial data
can be as important a physical clues in a
search
MapSAR
Ad hoc tools such as the avalanche danger
predictor
Online tools such as ArcGIS Explorer Desktop
and Online
Tablet apps and storage
Sophisticated, ArcGIS-based geospatial tool to
aid wilderness SAR mission management
   Developed by the SAR community and ESRI
     National Parks
     SAR Teams
   Incorporates
     Team / Asset Management
     Documents Assignments and Clues
     Search Theory
     Lost Person Behavior
CAIC Danger Rose
DEM
USGS Topo
Custom Danger Map
for Areas of Interest
Examples of the Alpine 4-year mission database
Post-Mission Debriefing and Sharing
Non-traditional Data Sources
Data
Collected
using ISRID
database
format
Climbing and hiking forums such as 14ers.com
Trails shared on Open Street Map
Geocaching logs
So, new geospatial data and GIS has the
potential to be a game changer in SAR

But there are…
     Education needs
     Tool needs
     Expertise that is lacking on SAR teams
     Money (as in lack of)
The types, volumes and sources of geospatial
data of use to wilderness SAR are rapidly
increasing and can be overwhelming
These new data sources have the potential to
improve SAR outcomes IF teams can capitalize
upon them
The SAR community needs help from the GIS
community in the form of time, expertise and
tool development

         In the meantime….
Geospatial information can be used by SAR at different
levels
                                                   • Basic GIS applications for
                                                     viewing search and rescue area
                                                     for assessing topography, up-
             Entry                                   to-date trails, access routes,
                                                     directing search crews




                                                                                      TIMECOMPLEXITY
                                                   • Visualization of “hotspots”
                                                     based on historic missions
                                       • Perform adhoc analysis – viewshed
                                         analysis, identify risky areas
                                       • During and post-mission
        Intermediate

                           • Perform advanced analysis (e.g. as in MapSAR, search
                             theory and lost person behavior)
          Advanced         • Apps developed for both rescuers and the public
                           • Automate Intermediate and Entry-level tasks and
                             processes

               Time of Missions 2008-2011
Dr. Justine Blanford
Alpine Rescue Team
Mountain Rescue Association
Penn State MGIS Program - https://gis.e-
education.psu.edu/mgis
MRA – www.mra.org
NASAR – www.nasar.org
MapSAR - www.mapsar.net
Alpine Rescue Team -
http://www.alpinerescueteam.org/
Colorado Search & Rescue Board -
http://www.coloradosarboard.org/
“It is far better to be lost and know it, than to
confidently believe you are somewhere that you
are not.”
    - Tristan Gooley in “The Natural Navigator: A Watchful
    Explorer's Guide to a Nearly Forgotten Skill”




Loren Pfau
   lorenpfau@gmail.com
   720-244-4365

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2012 Emergency Track, How Geospatial Technologies are Changing Search and Rescue. Loren Pfau

  • 1. Loren Pfau 21 September 2012 GIS in the Rockies
  • 3. Penn State MGIS Candidate 11 Years of Wilderness SAR Experience A strong belief in the potential of geospatial technologies to enhance and change SAR “I have never been lost, but I will admit to being confused for several weeks.” – Daniel Boone
  • 4. Locating/retrieving people/objects in: Urban settings (e.g. EMS, law enforcement, fire) Water (e.g. lost watercraft (USCG)) Land (e.g. lost aircraft (Civil Air Patrol, DoD)) Confined space (e.g. collapsed buildings, mines) Wilderness – focus of my study
  • 5. Remote locations; harsh weather; difficult terrain; long access and transport times Limited connectivity for communications purposes National Parks – professionals Most Everywhere Else - volunteers In most Western States SAR is the responsibility of the County Sheriff Many SAR teams are members of the Mountain Rescue Association and are funded by donations and fundraising
  • 6. Fatality 3% USA National Parks – 1992 - 2007 • Approximately 65,439 SAR Ill or Injured missions 31% • Approximately 4,090 per year Not Ill or Source: Heggie, 2009 Injured 66% Colorado between 1995-2009 • Approximately 20,672 SAR Missions • Approximately 1,378 per year Source: CSRB, 2009
  • 7. 120 110 Missions 2008 Cumulative Missions 100 Missions 2009 90 Missions 2010 80 70 Missions 2011 60 Missions 2012 50 40 30 20 10 0 2-Jan 21-Feb 11-Apr 31-May 20-Jul 8-Sep 28-Oct 17-Dec Date Source: Alpine Rescue Team, 2012 7000 6000 5000 4000 Activities of people rescued, Colorado 1995-2009 3000 2000 1000 0 CSRB, 2009
  • 8. • Traditionally: a telephone call and a topo map • Now: e911 Phase II, social media, smartphone apps, mapping GPS units, GIS, etc. • A wealth of geospatial data becoming available but understanding of how to access and use this data is in early stages of development  We are moving from a “Search For” to a “Go To” environment thanks to advances in geospatial technologies
  • 9. We have access to more and more location- based information on subjects  But much of the data on location comes from sources and is in formats other than what the SAR community is accustomed to using  We need to modify our thinking about how we conduct a search using this data  And we need new tools and expertise to help us deal with it
  • 10. Survey • Announced via the MRA Conducted 2 – • Conducted under the auspices of Penn Sate 22 March, 2012 • 122 started the survey; 74 completed the survey • Ascertain what geospatial data and tools are being employed in wilderness SAR Goals • Identify why some tools are used and others are not • Use information to determine ways to integrate GIS technology to improve SAR Country Responses State Responses USA 67 CO 13 Canada 3 CA 7 Australia 1 AZ 3 UK 1 MN 3 South Africa 1 OR 3 WV 2 Georgia 2
  • 11.
  • 12. Standard Datum Coordinate System WGS 84, NAD 27, 33 USNG, 1 MGRS, 1 38 NAD 83, GCS, 22 10 UTM, 62
  • 13. Does Your Team Use Electronic Maps or GIS? • 91% Use • 9% Don’t Use
  • 14.
  • 15. Google Earth MapTech Terrain Navigator National Geographic Topo Other Delorme Topo ESRI ArcGIS ESRI ArcGIS Explorer Ozi Explorer MapInfo Quantim GIS GRASS GIS uDig 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
  • 16. Plan Search Area Segments Managing Field Team Assignments Documenting Clues Maintain Mission Situational Awareness Team Training Activities Post-Event Debriefing Calculating Probability of Success Other 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
  • 17. Geotagged Photos Avalanche Forecasts Terrain Coverage Models Digital Elevation Models Georeferenced Maps or Images Yes Satellite or Aerial Imagery No Field Team Positions Weather Forecasts Last Known Point and Clues Paper Maps 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
  • 18. Wireless e911 Call SPOT Personal Locator Beacon Smartphone Apps Yes No Facebook or other Social Media Postings Geotagged Photos Twitter InReach 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
  • 19.
  • 20. Fundamentally a Geospatial Activity Need to Visualize, Analyze, Model, Manage and Document mission activities 80 60 Frequency 40 20  50% searches completed < 3 hours  81% are over within 12 hours 0 <3 3 - 12 within 24  93% are complete within 24 hours Hours Source: Alpine Rescue Team data, 2008-2011 Source: Koester, 2008
  • 21. Cell Phones Locators Mission Management Tools Analysis and Training
  • 22. Wireless e911 Pings and Tower hits Smartphone Apps Twitter and other Social Media Geotagged photo’s Latitude, etc.
  • 23. • More than 104M of these are smartphones Source: comScore Reports February 2012 U.S. Mobile Subscriber Market Share, 4March 2012
  • 24. Phase I Calling number, name and tower information Phase II Adds latitude and longitude information “Wireless phones relying on network-based technology must provide Public Safety Answering Points (PSAP) with reports on their locations within 100 meters of accuracy for 67 percent of calls, and within 300 meters for 95 percent of calls, by Sept. 11, 2012, according to the order. Phones installed with GPS chips, meanwhile, must provide PSAPs with reports on their locations within 50 meters of accuracy for 67 percent of calls, and within 100 meters for 95 percent of calls, by the same date. The FCC also specified certain benchmarks to measure the carriers' progress, such as meeting the location accuracy requirements in at least 75 percent of PSAPs a carrier serves by 2010.” - FCC E911 Location Accuracy Second Report and Order in PS Docket No. 07-114
  • 25. Team Member DeltaLat - DeltaLong - Location Placing Known to Known to Total Error Time (Description) Call Carrier Tel. # Known Lat Known Lon Lat-initial Lon-initial Lat-rebid Lon-rebid Notes initial Initial - KM Bellview Tower only on initial 10:00:00 AM Chief Mtn ATT 39.6828 -105.5220 39.7636 -105.5417 call and rebid -8.9731 1.0830 9.0382 10:04:00 AM Chief Mtn Tmobile 39.6828 -105.5220 39.6826 -105.5220 Squaw Pass RD per Dispatch 0.0194 0.0042 0.0198 10:08:00 AM Loveland Pass VZ 39.6697 -105.8751 39.6696 -105.8752 0.0077 0.0027 0.0081 10:09:00 AM Loveland Pass Sprint 39.6697 -105.8751 39.6696 -105.8751 0.0063 -0.0031 0.0071 10:15:00 AM Guanella Pass ATT 39.6372 -105.7091 39.7231 -105.6719 Saxon Mtn. Tower -9.5252 -2.0462 9.7425 10:17:00 AM Guanella Pass VZ 39.6372 -105.7091 39.6375 -105.7092 -0.0319 0.0036 0.0321 10:27:00 AM Hermans Gulch VZ 39.7025 -105.8537 39.7025 -105.8537 39.7026 -105.8539 -0.0031 0.0008 0.0032 10:29:00 AM Hermans Gulch Sprint 39.7025 -105.8537 39.7025 -105.8537 0.0027 -0.0017 0.0032 Call went to JeffCo Yankee 10:50:00 AM Mt. Evans Summit Tmobile 39.5878 -105.6422 39.4867 -105.6306 Tower 11.2249 -0.6382 11.2430 Call went to JeffCo Beaver 10:50:00 AM Mt. Evans Summit VZ 39.5878 -105.6422 Tower; JeffCo unable to transfer 11:09:00 AM Grizzly Gulch VZ 39.6759 -105.8065 39.6914 -105.8036 Tower Only -1.7130 -0.1585 1.7203
  • 26.
  • 27. Source: Civil Air Patrol Briefing on Alpine Search for missing hiker 18 July 2012
  • 28. Source: Civil Air Patrol Briefing on Alpine Search for missing hiker 18 July 2012
  • 29.
  • 30. Virtual clues in the form of geospatial data can be as important a physical clues in a search
  • 31. MapSAR Ad hoc tools such as the avalanche danger predictor Online tools such as ArcGIS Explorer Desktop and Online Tablet apps and storage
  • 32. Sophisticated, ArcGIS-based geospatial tool to aid wilderness SAR mission management Developed by the SAR community and ESRI National Parks SAR Teams Incorporates Team / Asset Management Documents Assignments and Clues Search Theory Lost Person Behavior
  • 33. CAIC Danger Rose DEM USGS Topo Custom Danger Map for Areas of Interest
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. Examples of the Alpine 4-year mission database Post-Mission Debriefing and Sharing Non-traditional Data Sources
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41. Climbing and hiking forums such as 14ers.com Trails shared on Open Street Map Geocaching logs
  • 42. So, new geospatial data and GIS has the potential to be a game changer in SAR But there are… Education needs Tool needs Expertise that is lacking on SAR teams Money (as in lack of)
  • 43. The types, volumes and sources of geospatial data of use to wilderness SAR are rapidly increasing and can be overwhelming These new data sources have the potential to improve SAR outcomes IF teams can capitalize upon them The SAR community needs help from the GIS community in the form of time, expertise and tool development In the meantime….
  • 44. Geospatial information can be used by SAR at different levels • Basic GIS applications for viewing search and rescue area for assessing topography, up- Entry to-date trails, access routes, directing search crews TIMECOMPLEXITY • Visualization of “hotspots” based on historic missions • Perform adhoc analysis – viewshed analysis, identify risky areas • During and post-mission Intermediate • Perform advanced analysis (e.g. as in MapSAR, search theory and lost person behavior) Advanced • Apps developed for both rescuers and the public • Automate Intermediate and Entry-level tasks and processes Time of Missions 2008-2011
  • 45.
  • 46. Dr. Justine Blanford Alpine Rescue Team Mountain Rescue Association
  • 47. Penn State MGIS Program - https://gis.e- education.psu.edu/mgis MRA – www.mra.org NASAR – www.nasar.org MapSAR - www.mapsar.net Alpine Rescue Team - http://www.alpinerescueteam.org/ Colorado Search & Rescue Board - http://www.coloradosarboard.org/
  • 48. “It is far better to be lost and know it, than to confidently believe you are somewhere that you are not.” - Tristan Gooley in “The Natural Navigator: A Watchful Explorer's Guide to a Nearly Forgotten Skill” Loren Pfau lorenpfau@gmail.com 720-244-4365