Collaboration GEM/NSET for risk assessment in Nepal

1. "Beyond Physical Risk" – Looking through a
socio-economic lens
GEM Booth, UR, London, Tuesday July 1, 2014
GEM & NSET
collaboration for risk
assessment &
management in Nepal
Amod Mani Dixit
Nepal
www.nset.org.np
National Society for Earthquake Technology-Nepal

2. Nepal sits astride a plate
boundary!
National Society for Earthquake
•NEPAL
•TIBET
•INDIA

3. Earthquake Hazard and Risk of
Kathmandu Valley
40
National Society for Earthquake
1400000
1200000
1000000
800000
600000
400000
200000
0
5
8
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
1800 1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
Year
Population
Population Earthquakes with Intensity IX or greater
Magnitude-Frequency Data (1911-1991)
41
17
10
2 2 1
81
0
5 to 6 6 to 7 7 to 7.5 7.5 to 8 >8
Magnitude, Richter
No. of Events
No. of Events
Approximate Recurrence
Interval, yr.
•In 2001
•Population = 1.65 M
•Number of Household = 345 K

4. Estimated Damage by a MMI IX Shaking
Death >100,000
Critical Injuries >100,000
Moderate Injury > 200,000
Buildings destroyed/collapsed > 60%
Homeless population 1,500,000
Bridges impassable >50%
Road length damaged >10%
Water supply pipes damaged >95%
Telephone Exchange Buildings most
Telephone lines >60%
Electric substations most
Electric lines 40%
National Society for Earthquake

5. Crazy Construction?
• > 50% of modern,
engineered buildings in
Kathmandu Valley do
not fully comply with
NBC
• Problems not a slip or
an error, but a serious
lack in understanding
of building behavior!
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6. Efforts and results in ERR
• Hazard & Risk assessments
• School and Hospital programs
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• Awareness
• Several success cases
Yet … …. ..

7. The Challenges are ..
• Do more, do fast
• Enhance efficiency .. .. ..
– Cost, time, standard,
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• Scale up
–Save more people, more property at
less cost per capita

8. National & South Asia Needs
• Science, technology and
innovativeness
• Networking and Synergy
development; Openness
• Collaboration and partnership
• Enhance efficiency
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9. Obvious Doable Actions
• Proliferate the Knowledge
• Proliferate ERR Actions
• Proliferate networking
• Decentralize research
• Training, piloting, adjusting,
updating
• dissemination - Periodic meetings
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10. GEM & NSET
• On GEM in Beijing 2008; Member of SB
(2009+) and GB (2013+)
• GEMSAM, GEMTRAIN, GEM in other WS
• Collaborative research in SEI tools testing
• NSET professionals' training in Pavia,
more lined up >>> Instructors of GEM
tools
• NSET – a Comprehensive GEM Centre?
National Society for Earthquake

11. Time for Action - Now
• Many initiatives ongoing,
investment increasing!
• Positive international and national
environment
– HFA2,
–Mainstreaming efforts
• Growing national and regional
knowledge - strength
National Society for Earthquake

12. Thank You!
National Society for Earthquake