IoT / M2M predictions 2016-2015-2014 Different sources

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Consulting
Accelerating the adoption of IoT
Updated January 2016
IoT Predictions for 2014-2016
From different sources

Consulting
Updated December 2016
IoT Predictions for 2016
From different sources (WIP)

© Copyright OIES Consulting. All rights reserved.3
By 2016 Gartner predicts 6.4 billion devices will be connected to the
internet -- and 5.5 million new 'things' will join them each day.
http://www.zdnet.com/article/six-billion-connected-devices-by-next-year-
the-internet-of-things-takes-shape/?es_p=987940
Global IoT services spending forecast to jump 22% in 2016 - See more
at: http://iotworldnews.com/2015/11/global-iot-services-spending-
forecast-to-jump-22-in-2016/#sthash.5leF3p6W.dpuf
IoT industry will explode in 2016
http://www.networkworld.com/article/3008228/internet-of-things/iot-
industry-will-explode-in-2016-gartner-says.html
2016 – Gartner IoT Predictions

2016 – IDC IoT Predictions
https://www.idc.com/research/viewtoc.jsp?containerId=259856
• Prediction 1: By 2018, 60% of Global 1000 Companies Will Integrate IT and OT at the
Technology, Process, Security, and Organization Levels to Fully Realize the Value of Their IoT
• Prediction 2: By 2020, Enterprise IoT Deployments Will Be Focused on International
Expansion, with Asia and Europe Leading and North America Following from a Distance
• Prediction 3: By 2019, 45% of IoT-Created Data Will Be Stored, Processed, Analyzed, and
Acted Upon Close to, or at the Edge of, the Network
• Prediction 4: By 2018, 20% of All IoT Intelligent Gateways Will Have "Container Technology"
for Packaging IoT Application Code in a Thin Containerized Environment, Thus
• Prediction 5: By 2020, 10% of All Attacks Will Target Intelligent IoT Systems
• Prediction 6: 2016 Will Become the "Year of the IoT Developer" with More than 250,000
Unique IoT Applications Created by 2020
• Prediction 7: In 2016, 7.5% of EMEA Businesses Will See IoT as a Revenue Generator in
Addition to an Efficiency Gainer
• Prediction 8: By 2018, 80% of IoT Smart Device Vendors in China Will Be Eliminated
Through Competition, and the Market Will Be Reshuffled for a Better Landscape
• Prediction 9: By 2018, 16% of the Population Will Be Millennials and Be Accelerating IoT
Adoption Because of Their Reality of a Connected World
• Prediction 10: As Crime Becomes More Mobile and Invisible, and the Global Threat
Environment More Complex, Local Public Safety Organizations Will Spend $20.7 Billion in
2016

By 2017, at least 20 of the world’s largest countries will create national
smart city policies to prioritize funding and document technical and
business guidelines.
In 2016, 90 percent of cities worldwide will lack a comprehensive set of
policies on the public and private use of drones, sensors and devices.
This will result in increased privacy and security risks. Similarly, we see a
more acute and faster adoption of public safety and transportation IoT
investment, often without a strategic framework, which IDC believes will
lead to more project risk and wasted spending, such as spending on
duplicative systems or devices.
Information from social media, crowdsourcing and sharing economy
companies will have a greater impact on cities.
3 Smart City Trends to Expect in 2016
http://www.govtech.com/dc/articles/3-Smart-City-Trends-to-Expect-in-2016.html

2016 set to be a critical year for defining the future of LPWA
networks and IoT connectivity
“Considering how profound the IoT’s impact will be across industry
verticals, it is not necessarily prudent to advise an inevitably affected
enterprise to wait another ‘couple of years’ because a potentially more
promising technology option is just round the corner. Those couple of
years might be the difference between disrupting and being disrupted.”
2016 – IDC IoT Predictions

Hype surrounding the Internet of Things (IoT) will continue in 2016. But
CIOs should focus their attention on the changes it is driving within their
organizations:
Data management across the customer life cycle, financial reporting,
business metrics, security, and systems architecture will all feel a shift as a
result of connected products. This Webinar highlights how the Internet of
Things will challenge CIOs to evolve how their firms operate and engage
with customers. Listen in for 13 of the most significant changes and what
CIOs should do about them.
https://www.forrester.com/Predictions+2016+IoTs+Impact+Inside+Companie
s/-/E-WEB20743
2016 IoT Predictions - Forrester

1. In 2016, we stop counting the “Things”
2. For the first time, more new cars will be connected than not
3. Low Power Wireless Area Network (LPWAN) technologies will
NOT go mainstream
4. The “IoT Platform” Shakeout
5. The Security of Things
http://www.thecsuite.co.uk/CIO/index.php/technology-innovation/397-
internet-of-things-predictions
2016 IoT Predictions - Jasper
2016 will be the year where the industry stops paying attention to just
the number of devices connected, and instead starts tracking the
variety of new services enabled by those connected devices

2016 – IoT Predictions
1. Intelligent device manufacturers will increasingly realise the need to
become software-centric companies to garner profits
2. Manufacturers will start realising the financial gains from the IoT
3. ‘Everything as a service’ – IoT will transform objects into services
4. IoT hacking will make more headlines, increasing pressure on device
makers to focus on security and remediation
5. Rise in IoT devices will fuel third industrial revolution
http://www.information-age.com/technology/mobile-and-
networking/123460571/5-predictions-internet-things-2016
Dimitri Diliani, Head of Latin America Market at Nokia Networks: "Nokia Networks
foresees a Programmable World of more than 50 billion connected things by 2025.
http://eurocomms.com/industry-news/11184-nokia-oi-brasil-to-partner-on-the-iot

1. The Internet of Things Will Look Completely Different
2. The Internet of Things Will Provide More Value
3. IoT Application Mindshare Will Be the Next Battlefield
4. The Internet of Things Will Change the Way We Drive
5. The IoT Will Stop Being a “Thing”
http://tech.co/5-predictions-internet-things-2015-11
IoT 5 more predictions for 2016

IT professionals on service providers' side primarily associate IoT with industrial use cases rather than
consumer facing application scenarios
In 2016 and beyond, app development service providers will be challenged to access and make use of
real-time data analysis to help IoT unveil its full potential
As more apps will be built to manage IoT, existing infrastructures will have to undergo major changes to
enable better data privacy, scalability and reliability of IoT solutions
Comprehensive SLAs will be critical to ensure service providers are able to match network requirements
associated with IoT
IoT applications will most like take a path of monetization through value-added services
IoT will not go mainstream until businesses and consumers have a sufficient degree of confidence in
data security
While IoT data security remains a debate, data virtualization and real-time analytics will play a pivotal
role in the IoT market adoption
Data source: Telecoms.Com, 2015
http://intersog.com/blog/industrial-iot-outlook-2016/
IoT predictions – Intersog Industrial IoT Outlook 2016

http://intland.com/blog/agile/internet-of-things-iot-growth-forecast-for-
2016/
Other IoT predictions – 2016

Consulting
Updated January 2016
IoT Predictions for 2015

IoT Predictions 2015
Software Platforms Drive Internet-Of-Things Adoption
• More than three-quarters of European MNOs will offer M2M in 2014.
• Increasing competitive pressure will accelerate product development
and innovation in industries such as Retail and Industrial Automation
as MNOs aim to capture a bigger piece of the M2M opportunity
beyond more traditional Automotive and Energy applications.
• 2014 is set to be the year when the focus of both IT buyers and
providers shifts to the Internet of Things (IoT).
• The explosion of IoT activity in 2014 and beyond will be driven by
the nexus of low cost sensors, connectivity networks, cloud
computing, advanced data analytics and mobility.
• The first issues that MNOs will address will be around reliable
connectivity and enterprise grade cloud computing services.
• The connected enterprise and big data analytics as two of the main
trends that will shape the global wireless M2M industry in 2014.
• M2M applications generate enormous quantities of data about things
such as vehicles, machinery or other forms of equipment and
behaviours such as driving style, energy consumption or device
utilisation. Big data technology enables near real-time analysis of
these data sets to reveal relationships, dependencies and perform
predictions of outcomes and behaviours.
https://www.forrester.com/Predictions+2015+Software+Platforms+Drive+InternetOfThings+Adoption/fulltext/-/E-RES119422

IDC FutureScape for IoT - Predictions 2015
1. IoT and the Cloud. Within the next five years, more than 90% of all IoT data will be
hosted on service provider platforms as cloud computing reduces the complexity of
supporting IoT "Data Blending".
2. IoT and security. Within two years, 90% of all IT networks will have an IoT-based security
breach, although many will be considered "inconveniences." Chief Information Security
Officers (CISOs) will be forced to adopt new IoT policies.
3. IoT at the edge. By 2018, 40% of IoT-created data will be stored, processed, analyzed,
and acted upon close to, or at the edge, of the network.
4. IoT and network capacity. Within three years, 50% of IT networks will transition from
having excess capacity to handle the additional IoT devices to being network constrained
with nearly 10% of sites being overwhelmed.
5. IoT and non-traditional infrastructure. By 2017, 90% of datacenter and enterprise
systems management will rapidly adopt new business models to manage non-traditional
infrastructure and BYOD device categories.
6. IoT and vertical diversification. Today, over 50% of IoT activity is centered in
manufacturing, transportation, smart city, and consumer applications, but within five years
all industries will have rolled out IoT initiatives.
7. IoT and the Smart City. Competing to build innovative and sustainable smart cities, local
government will represent more than 25% of all government external spending to deploy,
manage, and realize the business value of the IoT by 2018.
8. IoT and embedded systems. By 2018, 60% of IT solutions originally developed as
proprietary, closed-industry solutions will become open-sourced allowing a rush of vertical-
driven IoT markets to form.
9. IoT and wearables. Within five years, 40% of wearables will have evolved into a viable
consumer mass market alternative to smartphones.
10.IoT and millennials. By 2018, 16% of the population will be Millennials and will be
accelerating IoT adoption due to their reality of living in a connected world.
http://www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prUS25291514

10 predictions from Machina Research for IoT - 2015
1. Enterprises will get cracking in IoT.
2. More productised offerings.
3. More M&A.
4. Breakthroughs in smart city service deployments.
5. Major OS vendors disrupt the connected car market.
6. Mobile phone as the gateway for IoT.
7. A year for avatars.
8. A crunch on regulation.
9. Segmenting for success and identifying role in IoT.
10. Privacy and security.
https://machinaresearch.com/news/ten-predictions-for-iot-and-m2m-in-2015/

Gartner prediction for IoT - 2015
The Internet of Things
The combination of data streams and services created by digitizing
everything creates four basic usage models — Manage, Monetize,
Operate and Extend. These four basic models can be applied to any
of the four "Internets." Enterprises should not limit themselves to
thinking that only the Internet of Things (IoT) (assets and machines)
has the potential to leverage these four models. For example, the pay-
per-use model can be applied to assets (such as industrial
equipment), services (such as pay-as-you-drive insurance), people
(such as movers), places (such as parking spots) and systems (such
as cloud services). Enterprises from all industries can leverage these
four models.
Smart Machines
Deep analytics applied to an understanding of context provide the
preconditions for a world of smart machines. This foundation
combines with advanced algorithms that allow systems to understand
their environment, learn for themselves, and act autonomously.
Prototype autonomous vehicles, advanced robots, virtual personal
assistants and smart advisors already exist and will evolve rapidly,
ushering in a new age of machine helpers. The smart machine era will
be the most disruptive in the history of IT.
http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2867917

LNS-3 Industrial Internet of Things Predictions for 2015
1. The Emergence of the Industrial IoT Platform
In today’s marketplace, no Industrial IoT Platform vendor can claim a one-stop shop in the
industrial space, nor is it even agreed upon what would need to be delivered by a one-stop
shop. In 2015 a consensus will emerge as to what should be provided by such an Industrial
IoT Platform. Likely this will be around four core capabilities, including: application
development, connectivity, analytics, and cloud. In today’s marketplace most vendors can
offer two, some may be able to claim three. As new innovation, acquisitions, and partnerships
emerge so too will leaders and laggards. There will also be movement in how existing
automation and software vendors leverage these platforms to develop new solutions in
Quality, EHS, MOM, and APM.
2. Smart Connected Assets
Advances in networking and connectivity technologies, especially with the increasing number
of partnerships between traditional IT/Telecom and industrial automation vendors, will enable
OEMs and asset owners to offer new services and business models. In industries like
machine building, industrial equipment manufacturing, oil field services, and more, there will
be a dramatic increase in offerings of remote monitoring and reliability as a service.
3. Smart Connected Operations
As Internet-enabled technologies and analytical capabilities push to the edge of the
manufacturing network, new modes of manufacturing will be enabled. This will include the
creation of cyber-physical and self-organizing systems that will move away from central
orchestration to distributed orchestration. Machines, materials, assets, and people will
communicate independently and make local decisions based on connectivity to the larger
supply and demand chains that will increase flexibility and enable new modes of
manufacturing like mass-customization.
http://blog.lnsresearch.com/blog/bid/203717/3-Industrial-Internet-of-Things-Predictions-for-2015

Vodafone Internet of Things Predictions for 2015
1. The big data potential of M2M will be fully realized
After first implementing M2M to simplify processes, companies now realize the data produced by
M2M solutions has potentially huge value in other business processes, such as inventory
management, sales forecasts, pricing and target promotions. Today, 75% of M2M adopters say
they are using analytics; 88% expect to do so in three years’ time, according to a Vodafone study.
Organizations are now including big data as an inherent part of M2M strategy. Enterprises will
need to invest in specialists with big data skills and address the privacy and security risks
associated with storing large amounts of data.
2. 4G will improve ROI for many M2M solutions – and enable new ones
Today, companies use a wide range of technologies to connect their M2M solutions – including
fixed-line (63%), cellular (60%) and Wi-Fi (56%), according to a Vodafone study. However, the
percentage of companies relying on fixed-line connections will fall in the next few years, due to the
falling costs of mobile broadband and the emergence of 4G. These next-generation networks,
including LTE, will make new kinds of applications practical and cost-effective across industries,
including video-based security, in-vehicle information services, assisted living and m-health
solutions, and much more.
3. Manufacturers and automotive companies will outperform expectations
While uptake of M2M in manufacturing has lagged, it is one of the industries that stands to gain the
most from M2M technologies. As understanding of M2M grows, we’ll see more manufacturers
embrace M2M. In addition, we’ll continue to see exponential growth in automotive companies.
Consumers are beginning to demand M2M services in new vehicles – from economy to luxury
cars. This will also drive the aftermarket to create solutions for older vehicles that didn’t have M2M
installed at the factory.
4. Standards will emerge
There’s been lots of buzz about competing standards for IoT, but in the coming years the industry
will be forced to put one industrywide standard into action – whether by collaboration or by
consumer choice. While the openness of IoT has been positive up until this point – leading to
outstanding innovations – as more solutions are put into place, customers will want the knowledge
that their solutions are future-proofed and won’t be obsolete in a matter of years due to differing
protocols. Industry leaders will have to work together or risk being left behind.
http://www.rcrwireless.com/20150107/opinion/2015-predictions-m2m-iot-set-for-strong-growth-in-2015-tag10
Andrew Morawski, head of M2M for
the Americas, Vodafone

Vodafone M2M Predictions for 2015
1. Automotive and Manufacturing sectors will accelerate. The consumer electronics sector is already ahead of the M2M
curve and while it is likely to continue growing we predict two other sectors will outpace expectations: the automotive and
manufacturing sectors.Expect to see M2M adoption in the automotive market enter the fast lane. As drivers become
familiar with M2M services, consumer demand for the convenience and comfort they provide will increase and today’s
luxury add-ons will become tomorrow’s commoditised necessities. Just as air conditioning, which today typically comes
as standard, was once a luxury extra restricted to top-spec vehicles so will a variety of M2M-enabled conveniences
become the standard of tomorrow. As understanding of M2M grows, more manufacturers will also recognise the benefits
of M2M and adoption figures in manufacturing will surpass today’s market expectations. Current popular applications in
the manufacturing sector include monitoring equipment, employees, mobile assets and fleets. Analyst firm, IDC, expects
some of the greatest market potential to come from manufacturing in the coming years contributing to revenues in
excess of $7 trillion for the Internet of Things and its technology ecosystem by 2017.2
2. Businesses will get smart over big data Today, 75 per cent of M2M adopters say they are using analytics and 88 per
cent expect to do so in three years’ time3. This trend reflects a more sophisticated approach to integrating big data and
M2M to drive business benefits – an approach that will continue to expand, boosting return on investment as it
spreads.In the past, organisations simply used data about stock levels within their supply chains to manage deliveries
better. In the future, businesses will increasingly get smarter and realise the value big data brings to processes across
the organisation. Seasonal adaption in supermarkets is a strong example. Imagine the supermarket that pre-empts an
un-seasonally warm weekend approaching, increases its stock levels of barbecue meat and salad ingredients, and then
deploys its marketing teams to target general and individual in-store promotions that coincide with the good weather –
capitalising on seasonal demands to boost revenue.
3. Faster connectivity will improve ROI As 4G becomes increasingly prevalent, businesses will have a bigger opportunity
to make new kinds of applications practical and cost effective. These could include video-based security, in-vehicle
information services, Assisted Living and mHealth solutions. And those are just for starters.Faster connectivity will also
enable businesses to place a greater focus on the big data insights that can be gathered through M2M technology,
providing further opportunity to generate revenue while improving customer choice and service.
4. Governance will rise up the M2M agenda. More than 72 per cent of companies currently see security breaches as a
major concern, although only 12 per cent would consider it a main barrier to M2M adoption. Increased data sharing will
push the issue of governance up the agenda – the more data you store and make accessible around your organisation,
the greater the privacy and security risks you have to plan for.We do not believe this will hold up M2M adoption in a
meaningful way; however, it will accelerate the maturity of integrated M2M security solutions. All new technologies follow
a maturation path. In the M2M market, there is already a huge amount of work going on and security will continue to
evolve leading to more standardised and productised hosted services. Security will be inbuilt, become stronger, easier to
manage and more cost-effective.
http://www.machinetomachinemagazine.com/2015/01/26/vodafone-m2m-predictions-for-2015/?utm_content=bufferb1bba&utm_medium=social&utm_source=linkedin.com&utm_campaign=buffer
Andrew Morawski, head of M2M for
the Americas, Vodafone

PRISMTEC- IOT Predictions 2015
1. Wide-spread adoption of data-centric architectures
2. Rapidly accelerating vendor M&A activity
3. Technology advances in Fog and Edge Computing
4. Growth of Software-Defined Networks
5. Emergence of OMG’s Data Distribution Service (DDS) as data-
sharing standard
6. Significant market growth for industrial system integrators
7. Device OEMs evolving stand-alone products into connected
systems
8. Operation technology vendors / OEMs providing open
interfaces to data
9. Expansion of J2SE on embedded targets
10. Adoption of functional programming languages, especially on
server side
http://www.prismtech.com/news/data-centric-architectures-ma-activity-top-predictions-internet-things-2015?utm_source=GaggleAMP-
PrismTech&utm_medium=LinkedIn%20(GaggleAMP)&utm_campaign=none%20(GaggleAMP)&utm_content=data-centric-architectures-ma-activity-top-
predictions-for-int-280534

ParStream - IOT Predictions 2015
1. The Rise of the Chief-IoT-Officer
2. Analytics (especially Edge Analytics) will be a priority for IoT
Initiatives
3. Platform to Platform Integration Will Drive Relevance
4. Industrial/Enterprise IoT Will Take Center Stage in the Media
Spotlight
http://blog.parstream.com/blog

Metratech - IOT Predictions 2015
1. It's all about the apps.
2. The Internet of Things moves from puzzle pieces to solution.
3. The customer is omnichannel..
4. Enterprises move to the cloud, and a new battlefield emerges.
5. Industry-specific marketplaces, clouds and platforms develop
6. Data becomes the new currency.
7. Software-defined networking (SDN) and network functions
virtualization (NFV) become mainstream.
8. The agile enterprise demands agile enterprise platforms.
9. Enterprise cloud means continuous delivery becomes
mainstream.
10. Wearables and unrelated industries come together
http://iot.sys-con.com/node/3281160#%2EVNCCod5OiNQ%2Elinkedin

Wearable Tech and IoT Predictions 2015
1. We will see the emergence of true wearable health 2.0 devices
2. Semiconductor battle is set to become fierce in 2015
3. New crowdfunding platforms set to emerge
4. More clothing companies getting into the smart clothing space
5. More chinese OEMs getting into wearables, with Xiaomi leading
the way
6. Emergence of 3G/4G enabled wearables
7. VR for the masses
8. Apple Watch could do some serious damage
9. The smartwatch market and fitness tracker space to start
consolidating
10. Emergence of first true smart sports leagues
http://raynoreport.com/15/01/wearable-tech-predictions-2015/
Julien Blin, President &
founder at Smart World
Alliance (SMWA), and CEO
at Henosis Inc

IOT Predictions 2015
1. The Rise of IoT 2.0
2. HomeKit and Thread Group Battle for Control of the Connected
Home
3. Birth of the Home Mesh
4. Death of the Password
5. Major Corporations Enlisted to Help Curb Emissions
6. Drones Deliver Packages in Third World
http://www.manufacturing.net/news/2014/12/the-top-6-iot-predictions-for-2015#%2EVKMErpeoJSQ%2Elinkedin

Giulio Coraggio - IOT Predictions 2015
1. Big data will evolve in the Internet of Things
2. Internet of Things will become a “must” for Governments
3. Fashion and wearable technologies will be strongly linked
4. Security will become the No.1 priority for companies
5. Connected cars will change our way of driving
Sourcing
December 26, 2014
by Giulio Coraggio
http://blogs.dlapiper.com/iptitaly/top-5-internet-of-things-predictions-for-2015/

A venture capitalist's 5 predictions for 2015
The Internet-of-Things will be less about the things: In 2015, it will
be about the software, not the hardware. Last year we saw feverish
M&A activity in hardware but, next year, I expect to see the IoT
battleground shift to software. I also predict that hardware IoT will
prove out to become much more of a commodity. We already are
seeing some of this played out in the smartwatch world with Apple,
FitBit and others focused on matching features and commoditized
offerings. In 2015, I expect IoT software and services to take center
stage.
http://fortune.com/2014/12/29/a-venture-capitalists-5-predictions-for-2015/?xid=nl_termsheet
Sergio Monsalve

IoT Perspectives - 2015 IoT Technology Predictions
1. In 2015 3x more IoT devices will ship than smartphones.
2. There will be no de facto standard for home automation
networks in 2015.
3. SMD will ship its Bluetooth IP reference design.
4. ARM will dominate IoT silicon designs.
5. There will be an explosion of IoT startups and products.
6. Even high school students will be designing IoT “Things
7. Products based on 14nm silicon technology will ship in 2015
offering smaller, more energy efficient IoT devices.
8. IoT skepticism will diminish., memory, and processors so cheap
that they can be deployed economically everywhere.
9. Semiconductor companies will become more systems
companies than parts suppliers with improving margins.
Ron Bingham
http://us8.campaign-archive2.com/?u=1e70eaae64c5c5618a9d0b5a8&id=ed97eb7e64&e=425f4d3482

IT World Canada - 10 Predictions for IoT
1. IoT and the cloud
2. IoT security issues
3. IoT at the edge
4. Networks overwhelmed by IoT
5. New business models
6. Vertical diversification
7. Smart cities
8. Embedded systems
9. Wearables
10. Millennials and IoT
www.itworldcanada.com/slideshow/10-internet-of-things-predictions-for-2015

IoT Security Predictions
The first major Internet of Things attack will be noticed: Both mainstream
media and the general public will hear about the first major hacker attack against
an internet connected device (that was previously not connected). Take, for
example, a thermostat that can be controlled over the internet.
Internet of things (iOT) & embedded devices
In the coming year, we are going to see an increase in the adoption of gadgents,
home appliances that connect to the internet. However, in additon to the
convenience it offers us, it also increases the attack surface for the hacker. This
year, there have been a number of attacks demonstrated in conferences
worldwide showing attacks on these embedded devices. Also, some of these
devices might not even support software upgrade, which makes it even more
vulnerable. These devices could be potentially used to install trojans on the
network, install malware and ransomware, deliver unwanted ads etc. Security of
Internet of things is worth keeping a close eye on for 2015.
The Internet of Things will bring new security vulnerabilities
“Expect to see data security threats to move beyond corporate networks and
traditional end-user devices. With everything from printers, SmartTVs,
appliances, and wearable computers connected to the cloud, we expect to see
new threats emerging in 2015 that will exploit this vastly expanding array of data-
connected end point.” – Willy Leichter, director at CipherCloud
http://www.zdnet.com/article/2015-security-predictions-iot-attacks-to-join-cloud-breaches-and-ransomware/
http://resources.infosecinstitute.com/security-predictions-2015/
http://www.businesscloudnews.com/2014/12/22/cloud-iot-big-data-the-industrys-top-predictions-for-2015/

Consulting
January 2014 /Updated February 2014
M2M – IoT Predictions 2014

M2M - Previous Predictions
Internet of the
Thing Master
Forecast
Why most M2M forecasts are wrong! US M2M market to reach 114.7m
connections in 2016 – Compass
http://www.m2mnow.biz/2012/11/12/8575-compass-intelligence-explains-
the-m2m-market-will-reach-114-7-million-connections-by-year-end-2016/
http://postscapes.com/internet-of-things-market-size
http://www.slideshare.net/HorizonWatching/internet-of-things-a-horizon-
watching-trend-report-05feb2013
http://www.slideshare.net/GaldeMerkline/machina-research-cebit-m2-
mwhitepaper20120111

5 Wild Internet of Things Predictions
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/10/06/5-wildest-internet-of-things-predictions.aspx
http://www.forbes.com/sites/gilpress/2014/08/22/internet-of-things-by-the-numbers-market-estimates-and-forecasts/

M2M Predictions 2014 – August 2014
GE estimating that the “Industrial Internet” has the potential to add $10 to $15 trillion (with a “T”) to global GDP over the next 20
years, and Cisco increasing to $19 trillion its forecast for the economic value created by the “Internet of Everything” in the year
2020.
Gartner estimates that IoT product and service suppliers will generate incremental revenue exceeding $300 billion in 2020. IDC
forecasts that the worldwide market for IoT solutions will grow from $1.9 trillion in 2013 to $7.1 trillion in 2020.
ABI Research: The installed base of active wireless connected devices will exceed 16 billion in 2014, about 20% more than in
2013. The number of devices will more than double from the current level, with 40.9 billion forecasted for 2020. 75% of the
growth between today and the end of the decade will come from non-hub devices: sensor nodes and accessories.
Acquity Group (Accenture Accenture Interactive): More than two thirds of consumers plan to buy connected technology for their
homes by 2019, and nearly half say the same for wearable technology. Smart thermostats are expected to have 43% adoption
in the next five years (see chart below).
HIS Automotive.The number of cars connected to the Internet worldwide will grow more than sixfold to 152 million in 2020 from
23 million in 2013.
Navigant Research: The worldwide installed base of smart meters will grow from 313 million in 2013 to nearly 1.1 billion in 2022.
Morgan Stanley: Driverless cars will generate $1.3 trillion in annual savings in the United States, with over $5.6 trillions of
savings worldwide.
Machina Research: Consumer Electronics M2M connections will top 7 billion in 2023, generating $700 billion in annual revenue.
On World: By 2020, there will be over 100 million Internet connected wireless light bulbs and lamps worldwide up from 2.4
million in 2013.
Juniper Research: The wearables market will exceed $1.5 billion in 2014, double its value in 2013–
Endeavour Partners: As of September 2013, one in ten U.S. consumers over the age of 18 owns a modern activity tracker.
More than half of U.S. consumers who have owned a modern activity tracker no longer use it. A third of U.S. consumers who
have owned one stopped using the device within six months of receiving it.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/gilpress/2014/08/22/internet-of-things-by-the-numbers-market-estimates-and-forecasts/

M2M Predictions 2014 - Network Operators
• Smart Factories to foster individual manufacturing
• M2M in the automotive industry: the aftermarket is up and
coming
• Big Data Analytics
• Breaking new ground: M2M targets consumer markets
• Smart Cities drive M2M in the public sector
• Global Alliances will expand
• M2M developers kick it into high gear
• Big enterprises everywhere embrace M2M
• The need for speed and security top the list
• M2M apps on the rise
• Stats change the game for decision-makers
1. Customers with existing M2M applications will start to consume more data.
2. M2M solution stack will start to mature, both horizontally and vertically
3. More high-speed devices will enter the scene.
4. Security will become the #1 need of an M2M application.
5. Deep analytics will become the #1 want.
6. Distributed analytics will emerge.
7. Cloud is the network, and network is the cloud.
8. Elephants will start to dance in Enterprise M2M.
9. Global growth will begin to catch up to growth in developed countries.
10. Mainstream developers will start to pay attention.
• M2M 'as a service' simplifies access to the connected world
4G LTE wireless service and the availability of machine-to-machine (M2M) solutions "as a
service" over the Internet is likely to improve, and third parties may be able to help secure
these devices from cyberthreats, a major factor that has prevented the enterprise from
embracing M2M technology. In addition, Verizon believes that as M2M accelerates,
manufacturers, dealers and business partners will be able to realize the full potential of new
revenue streams and improve the efficiency of their supply chains.

M2M Predictions 2014 - Network Operators
• Consolidation of Smart Metering
• Popularisation of connected cars
• Transport Management extends
• Consumer electronics for everybody
• Insurance Telematics strikes more
• Ecosystems evolve
• Big Data, big benefits
• Urban Labs spread
• Certifications and standards
• M2M will open with hardware
https://m2m.telefonica.com/m2m-media/m2m-blog/item/618-top-m2m-trends-for-2014

M2M Predictions 2014 - Analyst
• Low-volume M2M projects will deliver growth to M2M specialists.
• we believe the small-scale machine-to-machine (M2M) implementations will drive
the market in 2014. Already today, 66 percent of IT decision-makers we survey
say their planned deployments will have no more than 499 devices.
• An influx of wearable tech entrants will open the door for
downward price pressures to divide the market by device and use
case.
• More than three-quarters of European MNOs will offer M2M in 2014.
• Increasing competitive pressure will accelerate product development and innovation in
industries such as Retail and Industrial Automation as MNOs aim to capture a bigger piece
of the M2M opportunity beyond more traditional Automotive and Energy applications.
• 2014 is set to be the year when the focus of both IT buyers and providers shifts to the
Internet of Things (IoT).
• The explosion of IoT activity in 2014 and beyond will be driven by the nexus of low cost
sensors, connectivity networks, cloud computing, advanced data analytics and mobility.
• The first issues that MNOs will address will be around reliable connectivity and enterprise
grade cloud computing services.
• The connected enterprise and big data analytics as two of the main trends that
will shape the global wireless M2M industry in 2014.
• M2M applications generate enormous quantities of data about things such as
vehicles, machinery or other forms of equipment and behaviours such as
driving style, energy consumption or device utilisation. Big data technology
enables near real-time analysis of these data sets to reveal relationships,
dependencies and perform predictions of outcomes and behaviours

The Internet is expanding beyond PCs and mobile devices into enterprise assets such as field equipment, and
consumer items such as cars and televisions. The problem is that most enterprises and technology vendors have
yet to explore the possibilities of an expanded internet and are not operationally or organizationally ready.
Imagine digitizing the most important products, services and assets. The combination of data streams and
services created by digitizing everything creates four basic usage models – Manage; Monetize; Operate; Extend.
These four basic models can be applied to any of the four "internets” (people, things, information and
places). Enterprises should not limit themselves to thinking that only the Internet of Things (i.e., assets and
machines) has the potential to leverage these four models. Enterprises from all industries (heavy, mixed, and
weightless) can leverage these four models
The 3rd Platform will continue to expand beyond smartphones, tablets, and PCs in
2014 to the Internet of Things (IoT).
With IoT momentum building in 2014, IDC expects to see new industry partnerships to
emerge as traditional IT vendors accelerate their partnerships with global telecom service
providers and semiconductor vendors to create integrated offerings in the consumer
electronics and connected device spaces. This kind of collaboration and coordination will be
necessary to reach the 30 billion autonomously connected end points and $8.9 trillion in
revenues that IDC believes the IoT will generate by 2020.
http://www.infonetics.com/research.asp?cvg=m2m

Worldwide IoT Predictions 2014
Prediction #1: IoT Partnerships Will Emerge Among Disparate Vendor Ecosystems
Prediction #2: Leaps of Faith in 2014 Will Create End-to-End IoT Solutions
Prediction #3: Open Source-minded China Will Be a Key Player in the IoT
Prediction #4: “Plumbing” of the IoT Will Attract Significant Activity in 2014
Prediction #5: IoT Will Come to Healthcare in 2014
Prediction #6: Mobility Software Vendors Will Continue to Show a Lack of Interest in IoT
Prediction #7: Worldwide “Smart City” Spending on the IoT Will Be $265 Billion in 2014
Prediction #8: A Smart Wearable Will Launch & Sell More Units than Apple or Samsung
Wearables on the Market in 2014
Prediction #9: IoT Security Is a Hot Topic, But There Will Be No Heat Until There Is a Fire
Prediction #10: Professional Services Will Open Up the IoT Competitive Landscape
Prediction #11 (Bonus!): Big Data Will Drive Value Creation from IoT
Wearable Technologies
Deloitte predicts smart glasses, fitness bands and watches, should sell about 10 million units
in 2014, generating $3 billion according to its Technology, Media and Telecommunications
(TMT) Predictions 2014 report released today. Deloitte also predicts that the total global sales
of smartphones, tablets, PCs, TV sets and gaming consoles will exceed $750 billion in 2014
and then plateau as consumer usage will continue to converge
http://www.deloitte.com/Predictions2014.

2013
Senior analyst Aapo Markkanen
Analytics will play a critical role in the evolution of M2M, serving as the
foundation for an increasing number of M2M business cases. In essence, such
analytics-driven business cases will be about making previously opaque physical
assets part of the digital data universe.
“M2M has thus a very synergetic relationship with the wider big data space, with
growth in one industry driving also growth in the other"
1. Operator alliances will expand and their roles become clearer.
2. Data analytics seizes the M2M agenda.
3. Standards…who cares?
4. Programmable SIMs/eUICC will start to take off and several operators won’t wait for standardisation.
5. Modules will become more fit-for-purpose.
6. Module vendors, under more competitive pressure, start to compete with MNOs.
7. More M&A in M2M.
8. More diversity in RAN technology.
9. More focus on delivery and profitability (and verticals).
10. Usage-based insurance will take off, particularly in Europe.
http://iotevent.eu/machina-research-ten-predictions-for-m2m-in-2013/
Total global M2M connections will increase from 106.4 million in 2012 to 360.9 million in 2018, at a CAGR of
22.6%. There will be growth across all regions, but it will be fastest in Asia-Pacific and the Middle East and Africa.
By the end of our forecast period the former will make up more than a third of all M2M connections.
M2M service revenues will grow from $13,645m in 2012 to $44,800m in 2018, representing a CAGR of 21.9 %.
Revenues will grow slightly more slowly than connections, reflecting the increasing competitiveness of the market
and the extension of M2M into lower-value applications. The fastest-growing region is Asia-Pacific, which will
grow at a CAGR of 26.5%; the fastest growing industry vertical is "Other," which will grow at 31.8% (albeit from a
low base).
http://ovum.com/research/m2m-connections-and-service-revenues-forecast-2013-18/

2014
1. Dawning realisation of the evolution from M2M to IoT.
2. More traffic and more ARPU.
3. Fears over 2G refarming will continue to dog the growth of M2M.
4. Low power wide area networks will see much more widespread
deployment.
5. Customers will move away from roaming-based services, towards
localised connectivity using remote provisioning (and MNOs/SPs will
resolve associated commercial issues).
6. Those selling to the M2M market will find their focus, and smaller
operators will find their feet.
7. The big data analytics star will rise … and fall.
8. More M&A is coming.
9. The ratio of products revenue to services revenue will sort the men
from the boys.
10. Connected homes finally arrive.
http://www.m2mnow.biz/2014/01/10/17896-machina-research-offers-ten-predictions-for-the-m2m-and-iot-world-in-2014/

M2M Predictions 2014 – Vendors
• IoT will be the proverbial "next big thing," evolving into the largest, most complex, most
dynamic and most pervasive than any infrastructure that anything that human civilization
has built up to this point in history.
• Data scientists will become the principal programmers of IoT applications that leverage big
data, operate over the cloud, and incorporate stream computing.
• Personalized healthcare analytics with wearable devices will become the compelling
application that drives IoT into mass consumer adoption.
• The most widely adopted IoT gadgets will be those that provide platforms for partner
ecosystems, with fortunes to be made by enterprising developers who write the apps,
statistical models, rules and other "app logic" needed to ensure that things to do what
they're supposed to do.
• As the IoT takes shape, the notion of a totally “dumb” endpoint will become antiquated and
it will be difficult to find any consumer, business, industrial or other device that totally lacks
embedded, data-driven analytic intelligence.
• Before long, most IoT-enabled things will be exceedingly small and inconspicuous as
component miniaturization pushes things deeper into nanotechnology territory
• IoT will drive adoption of stream computing technology, because guaranteed low latency is
becoming the unstated expectation in every online interaction—whether it involves people,
machines or some combination—and only stream computing can deliver on that promise.
• IoT won't achieve its revolutionary potential in business and consumer spheres without a
layer of next-best-action or decision-automation technology to ensure continuous realization
of desired outcomes.
• Security concerns will prove critical to IoT's adoption, because both businesses and
consumers will demand greater trust in the sensors, actuators, rules engines and other
connected componentry we embed in every element of our existence.
• Non-linear chaotic "butterfly effects” are likely to be far more prevalent in IoT environments
than in traditional B2C-oriented big data applications, due to the very real potential for
combinatorial explosion in IoT interaction patterns.
James Kobielus
Big Data Evangelist

M2M Predictions 2014 - Vendors
Alex Brisbourne, President and COO, KORE
In 2014, M2M will make a perceptible shift to richer data transport, with devices coming
online that yield a much higher usage profile than our market has ever seen, leveraging
both capacity and more attractive rates. This drop in cost per connection has made
possible applications including cellular backup of enterprise routers (in place of
maintaining that extra T1 line), M2M-controlled digital advertising and continuous
video surveillance, even from the most remote locations on Earth. Provider business
models will experience a commensurate shift.
James Mack, Marketing & Channel Development Manager Asia-Pacific
1. Healthcare Applications will reign
2. Smart Cities will reach a stalemate due to security concerns
3. Apps, Apps and more Apps
4. Hungry Devices
5. Simple and Open will be the trend for 2014
http://m2mworldnews.com/2014/02/14/34198-kores-top-5-predictions-for-the-internet-of-
things-and-m2m-industry-in-2014/

M2M Predictions 2014 - Vendors
Anu Sood, Global Channel Marketing Manager, SkyWave Mobile Comunications
1. One-Stop Shop
2. Higher Visibility in the Transportation of Oil
3. “Unauthorized Extraction” from Pipelines
4. Water Metering and Leak Detection
5. Water in Agriculture
6. Shift from Big Data to Right Data
http://www.novotech.com/blog/huge-m2m-predictions-
sap-are-they-realistic
I think the Internet of Things movement is very exciting, but we are still at the
beginning of that movement. There is still a lot of work that needs to be done in terms
of adding all the proper instrumentation (sensor devices) to all the things out there.
Also a lot of plumbing work is needed to reliably collect the data from all these
devices. That infrastructure shift will take some time, so I don’t expect the Internet of
Things to really take off until 2015
Amr Awadallah, Chief Technology Officer, Cloudera

M2M Predictions 2014 – Vendors
The “Internet of Things” becomes the “Internet of Vulnerabilities.”
You can expect dumb things will get smarter in 2014. With millions of devices connected to the Internet—and in
many cases running an embedded operating system—in 2014, they will become a magnet for hackers. Security
researchers have already demonstrated attacks against smart televisions, medical equipment and security
cameras. Already we’ve seen baby monitors attacked and traffic was shut down on a major tunnel in Israel,
reportedly due to hackers accessing computer systems via a security camera system. Major software vendors
have figured out how to notify customers and get patches for vulnerabilities to them. The companies building
gadgets that connect to the Internet don’t even realize they have an oncoming security problem. These systems
are not only vulnerable to an attack – they also lack notification methods for consumers and businesses when
vulnerabilities are discovered. Even worse, they don’t have a friendly end-user method to patch these new
vulnerabilities. Given this, we are going to see new threats in ways in which we’ve never seen before.
The impact of the internet of things: The ongoing development of the internet of things will
continue to impact cyber security in 2014, as attackers now have more potential entry routes
to sensitive governmental, corporate and personal data than ever. Mundane objects – such as
thermostats and fridges – which were once completely unremarkable from a security
perspective, have suddenly become the guardians of sensitive data, ranging from sensitive
financial information to detailed telemetry about personal aspects of our lives.
Our prediction is that we won’t see anything revolutionary in this area in 2014. We’re already seeing stuff
like the keychain that whistles if you forget it when you are walking out the door, the door that opens
automatically for emergency personnel when an elderly person has taken a fall in his/her home. But come
on. This is about as ground breaking as the return of the Tamagotchi.
We are not impressed, nor do we think you should you be. We predict it will be 5+ years until we see
something that will cause some real waves; clothes that change their fabric depending on the weather,
food that tells me what they go well with of what I currently have in the fridge and so on. So, sorry folks,
2014 is not the year IoT will break through.
Probability: ULTRA High – As certain as certain gets
Marc Rogers, principal security researcher, Lookout
David Andersson, Director of IFS Labs

M2M Predictions 2014 – OIES
M2M
IoT
• M2M industry veterans will continue thinking that it takes a lot more by regulators, vendors, operators and
customers for 2014 than another year of transition as 2013.
• Dominant Tier 1 Global Operators will see increased competition from specialized M2M Service providers and
new MVNO entrants, so M2M data connection will continue lowering prices in order not to lose deals. Besides,
Tier 1 MNO will focus only on the most profitable industries and new partnerships with IT Cloud vendors that
enable them to be dominant in these industries.
• Devices vendors will acquire or improve their M2M cloud based platforms and will move toward a Solution
Sales model by vertical. We
• M2M platforms consolidation will continue during 2014 looking for a M2M PaaS model.
• Enterprise Software vendors will incorporate M2M in their solutions (eg Workforce Management, CEM,..)
• System Integrators will create a M2M cross division and will partner with Telcos & Device vendors to offer
vertical M2M &Big Data solutions.. We will see first M2M services providers.
• 2014 will be the peak of inflated expectations (Gartner HypeCyclele) with IoT, the number
of new entrants (hardware, software, services) will double.
• Wearable devices and other smart things from different vendors will have a integration
problem with the smartphones applications and cloud based applications.
• A serious discussion to define Thing and unique identification of that Thing will be raised in
the industry.
• A need to discover IoT public services and provide secure communication will be discussed
after some malicious attacks to public and private clouds.
• We will see different alliances and new partnerships to dominate the future IoT.
https://www.linkedin.com/groups/It-is-time-2014-M2M-
108418.S.5816948371713204224?qid=9217a2cf-26d9-4939-
a6a2-23424f8babc1&trk=groups_most_recent-0-b-
ttl&goback=%2Egmr_108418

Why OIES Consulting
Hands on Experience in Business Development and
Enterprise solutions selling for Technology and Professional
services firms
M2M/IoT Advisory services based on our deep knowledge of
the Telco, M2M and Big Data market and technology
Best Partner ecosystem to cover all of our services exceeding
customer expectations
Francisco Maroto
francisco.maroto@oies.es
For Further information
Worldwide Customer references

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