The Agriculture, Forest and Other Land Use (AFOLU) in Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC)
1. The Agriculture, Forest and Other Land Use (AFOLU)
sector in Intended Nationally Determined
Contributions (INDC)
Janie Rioux
FAO
UNDP-GIZ Workshop on INDCs
Entebbe, 23-24 September 2015
2. AFOLU
• ¼ of global emissions (2nd after energy)
• Significant proportion in some countries (as other
sectors underdeveloped)
• Also a sink, which can compensate other emissions
• Major sector for adaptation (90% of priority
measures of NAPAs)
3. Why integrating this sector in
INDCs?
• For completeness
• For AFOLU’s contribution in the GHG inventory
(current or future)
• Because of its sink potential
• Because of linkages (leakages) with the energy sector
(wood biomass)
• Actions ongoing or planned to valorize
• For specific financing opportunities (REDD+, CCAC)
4. AFOLU or LULUCF?
• No contribution uses the word AFOLU. Only NZ doesnt exclude
it in the future.
• The majority includes agriculture, and consider it as including
the other sectors. Only 5 exclude it explicitely because of its
poor share in the total GHG emissions, or its lack of specific data
and analysis.
• LULUCF is generally included except Marshall Island, Andore
(unclear), Monaco, Macedony, Djibouti (but actions), Trinidad
and Tobago (but parallel programme),Singapour (in study) Corea
(to see later), Norvegia (but add it to its target). However it is
always treated differently.
5. Types of land uses
• Change of land use (deforestation,
afforestation in particular)
• Forest management
• Humid zones (China, Islande)
• Pasture and rangeland management (Chine)
• Cropland management (Japon)
• Revegetation (Japon)
6. Challenges
• Data, in particular:
– Land uses
– Baseline
– Projections
• Importance of the past (forest management)
– baseline
– Projections
• Importance of the method on the numbers
• External events
7. Methods
• Global target conditioned by the LULUCF method
(Russia, NZ)
• Method to be determined (EU, Switzerland,
Norvegia, Island, Corea, Singapour)
• Ref to methods KP (Japon) or net/net
• Projections (Gabon, Benin,…)
• Global levels: 0 deforestation in 2030 (Mexique),
towards 10% of forest (Kenya)
• Specific actions: Chine, Djibouti, …
8. Conclusions
• The question is more how to treat LULUCF
• Diversity of approaches and methods
• The choice depends on the objective and
available data
Important to ensure the internal coherence of
the document
9. Thank you for your attention
Janie.Rioux@fao.org
Alexandre.Meybeck@fao.org