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Rational Optimism: Looking at Major Long-term Positive Global Trends
- 1. Rational Optimism: Looking at Major Long-term Positive Global Trends Shazoom discussion led by Ezra Brand Monday, 8-May-2020
- 2. About me I grew up in New York, and moved to Israel last year. After many years of existential angst, I discovered the world of the Rational Optimism, to the relief of my friends and family. Some of my favorite thinkers and writers on this topic are Steven Pinker, Matt Ridley, and Hans Rosling. My previous Shazoom talk was on Black Swan, Antifragile, and other ideas of Nassim Taleb. I received an MA from Revel Graduate School at Yeshiva University in Medieval Jewish History, and soon after turned from the life of the mind to the life of commerce. I currently work as a project manager, and in my free time memorize dry facts and argue with pessimists.
- 3. “New Optimists” or “Factfulness” ? Source: https://twitter.com/sapinker/status/1269288821444747264
- 4. Seeing nuance Source: Shermer, Giving the Devil His Due (2020), pg 130; https://twitter.com/michaelshermer/status/1268640892996337664
- 5. Outline of major global trends Source: Pinker, table of contents
- 6. Typical worldview of Rational Optimists ● Strong believers in free-market, skeptical of top-down solutions ● Belief in inherent goodness of people ● Classical liberals
- 7. History of the movement ● Recent reaction to eco-pessimism which started in the 1970s
- 8. Resources ● Our World in Data (Max Roser): https://ourworldindata.org/#entries ● Gapminder (Factfulness, Hans Rosling): https://www.gapminder.org/data/ ● Future Crunch: https://futurecrun.ch/goodnews (also newsletter) ● Human Progress (Marian Tupey): https://humanprogress.org/ (also newsletter) ● Books: ○ Steven Pinker, Enlightenment Now (2018) ○ Hans Rosling, Factfulness (2018) ○ Michael Shermer, The Moral Arc (2015) ○ Matt Ridley, The Rational Optimist (2010) ○ Greg Easterbrook, It’s Better Than it Looks (2018) ● Podcasts: ○ Russ Roberts, Econtalk: https://www.econtalk.org/
- 9. Wealth #1 Source: Pinker, pg. 113
- 10. Wealth #2 Source: Pinker, pg. 124
- 11. Quality of Life #1 Source: Pinker, pg. 323
- 12. Quality of Life #2 Source: Pinker, pg. 323
- 13. IQ #1 Pinker, pg. 310
- 14. IQ #2 Pinker, pg. 309, 313
- 15. Life - #1 Source: https://ourworldindata.org/life-expectancy
- 16. Life - #2 Important to keep in mind: “In societies with high infant mortality rates many people die in the first few years of life; but once they survive childhood, people often live much longer. Indeed, this is a common source of confusion in the interpretation of life expectancy figures: It is perfectly possible that a given population has a low life expectancy at birth, and yet has a large proportion of old people.” Source: https://ourworldindata.org/life-expectancy
- 17. Child mortality - #1 Source: Pinker, pg. 75
- 18. Child mortality - #2 Source: Pinker, pg. 76
- 19. Sustenance - #1 Source: Pinker, pg. 94
- 20. Sustenance - #2 Source: Pinker, pg. 92, 99
- 21. Happiness #1 Source: Pinker, pg. 341
- 22. Happiness #2 Source: Pinker, pg. 340
- 23. Thanks for participating in this Shazoom discussion! Until next time!
Hinweis der Redaktion
- #7
- #2; #3
- #1;