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Media
vision
2020
The new era of entertainment and connectivity
May 20st 2014
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 2
Networked
society
Connected Devices
Tv anywhere
Video enabled
ip
Global enabler
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 3
Consumerlab
annual research
The Voice of the Consumer
2012-06-27 | Page 3
100,000/yr
RESPONDENTS
1.1 billion
REPRESENTING
PEOPLE
15
STUDIED
MEGACITIES
40
MORE THAN
COUNTRIES
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 4
50bn
Connected Devices
15bn
Video enabled
ip
Global enabler
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 5
Game Changers – the 6 serialized elements for strategy to 2020
› The IP imperative
› The Cloud Imperative
› Changing consumption and bundles
› Forever evolving experience
› Brand-casting
› New money, new players – the Media landscape
Time to play 2.0 –
Media vision and Game Changers
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 6
TOPICS
• Consumers
• Content
• Technology
• Devices
• Money Flows
• Impact on players
2020
consumers
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 8
FUTURE is about consumer
choice – while Reducing complexity
› Choice adds complexity
› Consumers want one super simple
aggregated experience
– Aggregate navigation and services
– Aggregate discovery
– Aggregate payment and billing
– Smart recommendation
› Consequences are:
– Mixing OTT and managed services
– Linear TV is just one ingredient
– Quality content is very important
– Lock-in and binding time avoidance
– Reduced large inflexible bundles
Personalization
Fixed
Personalized
2013 2020
› Deep individual
consumer insight
essential
– Recommendation
– Personalization
– Monetize the
consumer – not
just the household
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 9
› By realizing that the experience is larger than
the content itself, new revenue streams are
enabled
– Multi-device advertising campaigns
– E.g. Cinema = movie + popcorn + parking + …
– E.g. Football = TV + betting + take away + Twitter +
…
› The media experience extends across time,
platforms, services and media
› Improves consumer loyalty and provides new
entry points
Consumption extends in 2020
Continuous experience throughout the devices and channels (E.g. Football)
(Playing the game)(Reading & discussing)(Watching the match) (Following updates) (Betting) (Additional material)
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 10
› Consumer ecosystems such as
Facebook, Twitter, Amazon, Apple have
a head-start
› Leverage or build own deep data and
analytical tools
› Deep individual consumer insight
essential
– Recommendation
– Personalization
– Monetize the consumer – not just the household
He who knows the consumer
best wins
Advice, info, recommendations,
personalization, support,...
User data, habits, personal
information, Big data…
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Personal Information Economy study 2013
content
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 12
Paying for content 2020
Willingness to pay for contentHigh Low
Live & events Movies & TV-series ”Information” Clips & UGCBackground noiseLive & events Movies & TV-series ”Information” Clips & UGCBackground noise
Subsidized by:
› Ads, product placement,
click to buy, personal info
Payment models
› Free
Subsidized by:
› Advertising, click to buy, donations
Payment models
› Direct consumer
› Subscription and transaction
Targeted Advertising Content Discovery
$
$$
Consumer Analytics
Ad
Company
Operator
$
Roles & PLAYERS
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 14
SUCCESSFUL TV Operators WILL HAVE
changeD
Consumers WILL HAVE driven CONVERGED
multi-screen and personalized TV experiences
Linear TV
OTT
+ Improved User Experience
+ Increased consumption
+ Higher advert value
Converged
Experience
$
technology
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 18
›9.8 Bn Mobile Subscriptions
›8 Bn Mobile Broadband
–4x Growth in Mobile Broadband
›1 Bn Fixed Broadband
– 75% of Digital TV homes
› Mobile BB a key media enabler
– For all regions and especially in regions
with low fixed infrastructure
Broadband IP
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2013
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 19
› Broadband IP enabled growth in on-
demand viewing
– Time-shift of TV mostly in cloud
› 50% consumed time shift
› 50% consumed live/linear
› IP critical for video delivery
– All video away from the home
– Majority of video in the home
Delivery of video
50%
50%
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 20
cloud
› Cloud is essential enabler
–B2B scenarios for hosting
–B2C services and propositions
› Agility
– Service provision
– Updates and new features
› Experience
– Harmonization of devices
– Any content, any device
– Consumer links/recommendations
› Reduced costs
– OPEX model for operators
– Centralized processing
Elasticity
Speed of
Innovation
Volume Billed
OPEX vs.
CAPEX
Virtualized
Environment
Multi-Tenant
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 21
HEVC -50% : KEY Applications
Video over LTE
Expensive bandwidth
Increasing demand
TV Anywhere
More HD
More screens
Telco / IPTV
Longer reach
More subscribers
UHDTV (4K)
Critical for delivery
devices
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 23
› 4x HD resolution
› Standard flat screen resolution
› Content available
– Premium TV services
› Consumer devices native ultra HD
– Smartphone cameras
– Video cameras
Ultra HD SCREENS
the norm in 2020
HD HD
HDHD
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 24
› Bring your own device culture firmly in-place
– TV service providers leverage all connected devices
› Complexity challenge to overcome with unified experience
Era of Bring your own device
(BYOD)
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 25
The Shrinking set top box
Today
2020
Conditional Access
Local DVR Storage
HD
RF Tuner or IP
Thick Client
Local EPG
HDMI 1.4
$$$$
Digital Rights Management
Cloud DVR Storage
UHD
IP + RF Tuner (Hybrid)
Thin Client with Android/RDK
Cloud EPG
HDMI 2.0
$$
CLOSING
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 27
› The Networked Society is realized
– 15bn video enabled devices connected to
broadband IP
› 50/50
– On-demand consumption at parity with live/linear
– Long tail and +1 channels move to on-demand
› Market revenues have grown to $750bn
– up from $530bn in 2013
– Existing service providers embrace OTT
› New money, new players
– IP connectivity brings new entrants into market
2020 VISION – KEY BELIEFS
› Content remains King
› Consumer values
– personalisation, choice and intelligent
recommendation
› Advertising more targeted/ profiled
› Emerging markets rely on mobility
– Limited fixed IP infrastructure,
– Leverage investment in local content
› 4k main screen the norm
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 28
Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 30
TV customers
> 2000
No. 1
In Satellite, Contribution and
Distribution markets
in more than 100 countries
Global on-demand content
consumed has been processed by
Ericsson solutions
> 40%
> 750k
Video assets processed by
Ericsson solutions annually
15+ year track record of first-to-market
innovations
Multi-award-winning
TV Portfolio including 3 Emmys for HDTV, On-Demand and
AFD
Global video-on-demand viewed
delivered by Ericsson solution
> 30%
3D TV
World’s first live 3D
broadcast
Our pedigree
Solutions that maximize
EFFICIENCY of video
delivery
Solutions that maximize
CONSUMER value for
OPERATORS
Solutions that
maximize value of
CONTENT

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Ericsson Media Vision 2020 - Chema Casaos at #BitBroadcast14

  • 1. Media vision 2020 The new era of entertainment and connectivity May 20st 2014
  • 2. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 2 Networked society Connected Devices Tv anywhere Video enabled ip Global enabler
  • 3. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 3 Consumerlab annual research The Voice of the Consumer 2012-06-27 | Page 3 100,000/yr RESPONDENTS 1.1 billion REPRESENTING PEOPLE 15 STUDIED MEGACITIES 40 MORE THAN COUNTRIES
  • 4. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 4 50bn Connected Devices 15bn Video enabled ip Global enabler
  • 5. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 5 Game Changers – the 6 serialized elements for strategy to 2020 › The IP imperative › The Cloud Imperative › Changing consumption and bundles › Forever evolving experience › Brand-casting › New money, new players – the Media landscape Time to play 2.0 – Media vision and Game Changers
  • 6. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 6 TOPICS • Consumers • Content • Technology • Devices • Money Flows • Impact on players 2020
  • 8. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 8 FUTURE is about consumer choice – while Reducing complexity › Choice adds complexity › Consumers want one super simple aggregated experience – Aggregate navigation and services – Aggregate discovery – Aggregate payment and billing – Smart recommendation › Consequences are: – Mixing OTT and managed services – Linear TV is just one ingredient – Quality content is very important – Lock-in and binding time avoidance – Reduced large inflexible bundles Personalization Fixed Personalized 2013 2020 › Deep individual consumer insight essential – Recommendation – Personalization – Monetize the consumer – not just the household
  • 9. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 9 › By realizing that the experience is larger than the content itself, new revenue streams are enabled – Multi-device advertising campaigns – E.g. Cinema = movie + popcorn + parking + … – E.g. Football = TV + betting + take away + Twitter + … › The media experience extends across time, platforms, services and media › Improves consumer loyalty and provides new entry points Consumption extends in 2020 Continuous experience throughout the devices and channels (E.g. Football) (Playing the game)(Reading & discussing)(Watching the match) (Following updates) (Betting) (Additional material)
  • 10. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 10 › Consumer ecosystems such as Facebook, Twitter, Amazon, Apple have a head-start › Leverage or build own deep data and analytical tools › Deep individual consumer insight essential – Recommendation – Personalization – Monetize the consumer – not just the household He who knows the consumer best wins Advice, info, recommendations, personalization, support,... User data, habits, personal information, Big data… Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Personal Information Economy study 2013
  • 12. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 12 Paying for content 2020 Willingness to pay for contentHigh Low Live & events Movies & TV-series ”Information” Clips & UGCBackground noiseLive & events Movies & TV-series ”Information” Clips & UGCBackground noise Subsidized by: › Ads, product placement, click to buy, personal info Payment models › Free Subsidized by: › Advertising, click to buy, donations Payment models › Direct consumer › Subscription and transaction Targeted Advertising Content Discovery $ $$ Consumer Analytics Ad Company Operator $
  • 14. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 14 SUCCESSFUL TV Operators WILL HAVE changeD Consumers WILL HAVE driven CONVERGED multi-screen and personalized TV experiences Linear TV OTT + Improved User Experience + Increased consumption + Higher advert value Converged Experience $
  • 16. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 18 ›9.8 Bn Mobile Subscriptions ›8 Bn Mobile Broadband –4x Growth in Mobile Broadband ›1 Bn Fixed Broadband – 75% of Digital TV homes › Mobile BB a key media enabler – For all regions and especially in regions with low fixed infrastructure Broadband IP Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2013
  • 17. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 19 › Broadband IP enabled growth in on- demand viewing – Time-shift of TV mostly in cloud › 50% consumed time shift › 50% consumed live/linear › IP critical for video delivery – All video away from the home – Majority of video in the home Delivery of video 50% 50%
  • 18. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 20 cloud › Cloud is essential enabler –B2B scenarios for hosting –B2C services and propositions › Agility – Service provision – Updates and new features › Experience – Harmonization of devices – Any content, any device – Consumer links/recommendations › Reduced costs – OPEX model for operators – Centralized processing Elasticity Speed of Innovation Volume Billed OPEX vs. CAPEX Virtualized Environment Multi-Tenant
  • 19. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 21 HEVC -50% : KEY Applications Video over LTE Expensive bandwidth Increasing demand TV Anywhere More HD More screens Telco / IPTV Longer reach More subscribers UHDTV (4K) Critical for delivery
  • 21. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 23 › 4x HD resolution › Standard flat screen resolution › Content available – Premium TV services › Consumer devices native ultra HD – Smartphone cameras – Video cameras Ultra HD SCREENS the norm in 2020 HD HD HDHD
  • 22. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 24 › Bring your own device culture firmly in-place – TV service providers leverage all connected devices › Complexity challenge to overcome with unified experience Era of Bring your own device (BYOD)
  • 23. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 25 The Shrinking set top box Today 2020 Conditional Access Local DVR Storage HD RF Tuner or IP Thick Client Local EPG HDMI 1.4 $$$$ Digital Rights Management Cloud DVR Storage UHD IP + RF Tuner (Hybrid) Thin Client with Android/RDK Cloud EPG HDMI 2.0 $$
  • 25. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 27 › The Networked Society is realized – 15bn video enabled devices connected to broadband IP › 50/50 – On-demand consumption at parity with live/linear – Long tail and +1 channels move to on-demand › Market revenues have grown to $750bn – up from $530bn in 2013 – Existing service providers embrace OTT › New money, new players – IP connectivity brings new entrants into market 2020 VISION – KEY BELIEFS › Content remains King › Consumer values – personalisation, choice and intelligent recommendation › Advertising more targeted/ profiled › Emerging markets rely on mobility – Limited fixed IP infrastructure, – Leverage investment in local content › 4k main screen the norm
  • 26. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 28
  • 27.
  • 28. Media Vision 2020 | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-05-20 | Page 30 TV customers > 2000 No. 1 In Satellite, Contribution and Distribution markets in more than 100 countries Global on-demand content consumed has been processed by Ericsson solutions > 40% > 750k Video assets processed by Ericsson solutions annually 15+ year track record of first-to-market innovations Multi-award-winning TV Portfolio including 3 Emmys for HDTV, On-Demand and AFD Global video-on-demand viewed delivered by Ericsson solution > 30% 3D TV World’s first live 3D broadcast Our pedigree Solutions that maximize EFFICIENCY of video delivery Solutions that maximize CONSUMER value for OPERATORS Solutions that maximize value of CONTENT