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Stock market special report by epic research 16th june 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
16th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
Asian stocks slipped, paring the regional index’s fifth
straight weekly gain, as airlines retreated on surging oil
prices amid escalating violence in Iraq. Energy explorers
jumped. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index (MXAP) lost 0.1 per-
cent to 144.26 in Hong Kong, after falling 0.75 earlier. The
gauge is set to advance for a fifth week, its longest streak
of gains since August, amid signs China’s economy is sta-
bilizing and the U.S. recovery is intact. Japan’s Topix index
gained 0.5 percent.
The FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index of top European shares
closed flat, just off the 6-1/2 year high of 1,398.65 hit ear-
lier this week. A global stocks index from MSCI fell 0.3%.
Wall Street Update
US stocks edged up on Friday, boosted by bullish news
from the tech sector, but major indexes fell for the week
as unrest in Iraq kept investors on edge.
The Dow Jones industrial average rose 41.55 points or
0.25 percent, to 16,775.74, the S&P 500 gained 6.05
points or 0.31 percent, to 1,936.16, and the Nasdaq Com-
posite added 13.02 points or 0.3 percent, to 4,310.65.
Previous day Roundup
Shadows of Iraq tensions fell on Indian market which
dragged benchmark indices with investors growing cau-
tious. The Sensex was down 348.04 points or 1.36 per-
cent at 25228 and the Nifty ended at 7542.10, down
107.80 points. About 943 shares have advanced, 2148
shares declined, and 75 shares are unchanged. BPCL fell 5
percent while Tata Steel, Axis Bank, Hero MotoCorp,
NTPC and Hindalco were major laggards in the Sensex.
Among the gainers were HUL, M&M, Infosys and Dr
Reddy's Labs.
Index stats
The Markets were very down in last session. The sectoral
indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [down-
269.72 pts], Capital Goods [down-337.27 pts], PSU [down
–286.90 pts], FMCG [down-27.31 pts], Realty [down pts],
Power [down pts], Auto [down-264.03 pts], Healthcare
[down –54.43 pts], IT [up 11.87 pts], Metals [down –
405.82 pts], TECK [down –27.pts], Oil& Gas [down –
220.40 pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
D J l 16775.74 +0.25
S&P 500 1936.16 +0.31
NASDAQ 4310.65 +0.30
EURO STO 3282.84 -0.04
FTSE 100 6777.85 -0.95
Nikkei 225 15097.84 +0.83
Hong Kong 23319.17 +0.62
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
HCLTECH 1434.80 28.05 1.99
HUL 638.75 8.65 1.37
TECHMAHINDRA 2014.50 15.70 0.79
INFY 3187.00 11.95 0.38
M&M 1233.30 4.30 0.35
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
DLF 205.00 -18.00 -8.07
BPCL 569.00 -30.05 -5.02
NMDC 175.20 -9.25 -5.01
HEROMOTOCO 2584.55 -133.10 -4.90
TATASTEEL 524.20 -25.45 -4.63
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ARVIND 213.45 -5.70 -2.67
BAJAJ-AUTO 2185.60 -11.60 0.53
DABUR 192.50 -3.95 -2.05
GODREJ 343.50 -7.00 -2.04
JAIN IRRIGATION 64.30 1.05 1.63
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 7542.10 -107.80 -1.41
SENSEX 25228.17 -348.04 -1.36
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
2. DAILY REPORT
16th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. HIND UNILEVER [FUTURE]
HIND UNILEVER FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long
build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sus-
tains above 635 levels. We advise buying around 635-640
levels with strict stop loss 610 for the targets of 655-675.
2. DIVIS LAB [FUTURE]
DIVIS LAB has given a breakout above its previous resis-
tance levels around 1320 levels and has also closed above
the 10 day exponential moving average. Now we expect the
stock price to rise more from current levels. We advise to
buy around 1340-1360 with stop loss below 1290 for the
targets of 1400-1465.
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. JAICORP
JAICORP trend line break out. We advise selling around
101 level with strict stop loss 103
for the targets of 99-97
MACRO NEWS
Narendra Modi government to amend 1948 Factories Act;
new law to focus on rising power shortages
The 'El Nino' risk is expected to keep inflation elevated
and RBI on a "long hold" as the first rate cut by the central
bank is likely in early 2015 rather than this December
The government may raise the dividend receipt target
from state-run firms and link it with their ability to
achieve capital expenditure plans, a move aimed at dis-
couraging "idle money" at these firms and generating
more revenues to contain the fiscal deficit.
The RBI would soon come out with policy guidelines for
differentiated banking licenses.
The regulator plans to again allow companies, specifically
those with low promoter holding, to purchase shares from
the secondary market for issuing esops. The matter is
likely to come up for consideration at Sebi's board meet-
ing on Thursday.
Finance ministry asks divestment department to complete
groundwork for PSU stake sale.
Government to review 27 coal mines next week.
3. DAILY REPORT
16th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts
)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 7,500 56.75 5,04,329 52,42,950
NIFTY PE 7,600 100 4,25,107 35,13,250
BANKNIFTY PE 15,000 230 35,894 3,13,600
BANKNIFTY PE 14,500 88 22,918 3,23,325
SBIN PE 2,600 63.85 4,634 2,07,500
SBIN PE 2,500 26.8 3,764 1,44,125
ICICIBANK PE 1,400 21.4 1,927 2,76,250
RELIANCE PE 1,060 13.1 1,829 2,95,500
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 7,700 29.6 5,17,315 56,81,550
NIFTY CE 7,800 13.7 3,44,261 59,64,000
BANKNIFTY CE 16,000 52.5 36,591 4,58,900
BANKNIFTY CE 15,500 156.05 17,082 3,11,325
SBIN CE 2,700 33 7,393 4,92,125
SBIN CE 2,800 14.05 6,750 4,30,000
RELIANCE CE 1,100 17.5 5,329 10,03,750
MCDOWELL-N CE 3,000 48 4,944 7,80,750
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 52509 1994.87 67498 2569.63 353151 13350.72 -574.76
INDEX OPTIONS 469350 17791.32 444211 16860.85 1679909 63354.86 930.47
STOCK FUTURES 106510 3888.55 90423 3436.01 1510693 54452.64 452.54
STOCK OPTIONS 99243 3887.64 100447 3936.03 108561 4047.43 -48.39
TOTAL 189.96
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 7,735.13 7,638.62 7,581.98 7,485.47 7,428.83
BANK NIFTY 15,779.37 15,443.13 15,263.52 14,927.28 14,747.67
STOCKS IN NEWS
Hero MotoCorp to enter Brazil's two-wheeler mkt by
2016.
RBI allows FIIs to buy up to 49% stake in Idea Cellular
LIC to buy addtnl stake in Central Bank of India for Rs
540 cr.
Srei grp co sells United Spirits 22 lakh shrs for Rs 597cr.
PowerGrid Seeks shareholders' nod to raise up to Rs
13,500 crore via NCDs in FY15.
JK Cement to raise up to Rs 300 crore via issue of secu-
rities, NCDs with warrants, QIP
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed downside in the last trading session.
We advise selling around 7540 levels with strict stop loss
of 7590 for the targets of 7500-7450.
4. DAILY REPORT
16th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 41900 TGT 42200,42500 SL BELOW
41650
SELL SILVER BELOW 41650 TGT 41450,41150 SL ABOVE
42000
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 26650 TGT 26800,26950 SL BELOW
26500
SELL GOLD BELOW 26500 TGT 26350,26200 SL ABOVE
26650
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Copper shined on Friday, the last trading day of the week.
The prices were recovering sharply as the Indian Rupee was
showing declines against the Dollar. Apart from this, the
trigger of gains in international markets was also assisting
prices. On COMEX, Copper futures for July were trading at $
3.036 per pound, up 2 cents. The prices so far tested a high
of $ 3.04 and a low $ 3.04 per pound. INR was last trading
at 59.81 against the US Dollar, down 1%. Meanwhile, Cop-
per was trading at Rs 401 per kg, up 1.3%.
West Texas Intermediate and Brent crudes charted the big-
gest weekly gains this year as Islamist fighters extended
their advance in Iraq, triggering concern of a return to civil
war. WTI for July delivery rose 38 cents today, or 0.4 per-
cent, to settle at $106.91 a barrel on the New York Mercan-
tile Exchange. The volume of all futures traded was 42 per-
cent higher than the 100-day average.
NYMEX crude was trading higher by around 0.5% at $107/
bbl. Further disturbance in the region can lead to supply
constraint supporting prices. On the flip side, Libyan sup-
plies are still out of the market acting as a positive factor.
Lead futures rose 0.70% to Rs 122.85 per kg as participants
enlarged positions on rising spot demand at domestic mar-
kets even as the metal weakened at the LME. At MCX, lead
for delivery in June traded higher by 85 paise, or 0.70%, to
Rs 122.85 per kg, with a turnover of 471 lots. The metal for
delivery in July also rose by 80 paise, or 0.65%, to trade at
Rs 124.05 per kg, in a business turnover of 19 lots. Strong
domestic demand led to rise in lead prices at futures trade
here but the metal's weakness at LME, capped the gains.
Continuing insurgents’ fight in Iraq may underpin gold de-
mand in the short term resulting into bullish sentiment in
bullion. But, the gains will be capped on expectations of
decision in the scheduled meeting of the Federal FOMC in
the US late this week. Gold price hit two week high last
week on heightening geo political tensions continuing its
bullish sentiment. August gold futures rose ended the week
with a gain of 1.72% at $1274.10 an oz on the Comex divi-
sion of the New York Mercantile Exchange. July silver also
rose with a weekly gain of 3.5% to $19.655 an oz.
5. DAILY REPORT
16th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA JUN ABOVE 10350 TGTS 10370,10420 SL
10300
SELL DHANIYA JUN BELOW 10200 TGTS 10170,10120 SL
10250
GUARSEED
BUY GUARSEED JUN ABOVE 5325 TGTS 5355,5405 SL 5275
SELL GUARSEED JUN BELOW 5250 TGTS 5220,5170 SL 5300
NCDEX
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Castor Seed 4084 -0.27
Chana 2766 +0.22
Coriander 9929 -0.38
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1514 +0.40
Guarseed 5180 -0.77
Jeera 10910 +0.32
Mustard seed 3430 +0.47
Soy Bean 4396 -0.32
Sugar M Grade 3073 -0.07
Turmeric 6196 +2.45
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Turmeric futures witnessed strong buying from lower levels
on the heels of weak rainfall projection for the current year
coupled with strong export demand in local mandies. The
NCDEX futures augmented by 2.54% on Friday. The prices
were also encouraged by strong export demand in local
mandies. As per the latest data of Indian Spice Board, India
exported a total quantity of 58,000 tonnes of turmeric val-
ued Rs.463.79 crore, up 17% in volume and 45% in value
terms during April-December 2013 over same period last
year . The NCDEX futures swelled by 2.54% to close at Rs
6339 per quintal. The NCDEX futures added 4% in open in-
terest indicating fresh buying by traders.
Preliminary reports of sowing of kharif crops have been re-
ceived from States. It is reported that as on 13th June 2014,
rice has been sown/transplanted in 2.38 lakh ha, pulses in
2.42 ha and oilseeds in 0.78 lakh ha. The planting of sugar-
cane and cotton is in progress. Sugarcane has been planted
in 43.52 lakh ha and cotton in 17.34 lakh ha as on 13th June
2014.
The average retail price of onions, a commodity on the gov-
ernment's radar for deciding on imposing a minimum export
price (MEP), rose 15% in June (till Thursday) as compared to
January in Mumbai and Chennai. However, prices eased in
both Delhi and Kolkata over this period.
6. DAILY REPORT
16th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
JPY/INR
BUY JPY/INR ABOVE 58.84 TGTS 58.99, 59.14 SL 58.63.
SELL JPY/INR BELOW 58.36 TGTS 58.21, 58.06 SL 58.51.
GBP/INR
BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 101.66 TGTS 101.81, 101.96 SL 101.45.
SELL GBP/INR BELOW 101.08 TGTS 100.93, 100.78 SL 101.29.
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The Indian rupee saw its biggest single-day fall in four-and-a
-half months on Friday as escalating civil war in Iraq dulled
the buoyant risk appetite, with oil importers running in to
buy the greenback on fears crude prices could spike further.
India imports nearly two-third of its oil requirements with
oil importers being the largest buyers of dollars in the local
currency market. The partially convertible rupee closed at
59.76/77 per dollar, weaker than 59.25/26 on Thursday. The
unit dropped to a low of 59.80 during the day, its lowest
level since May 13. The rupee fell 0.85 percent on the day,
its steepest one-day drop since Jan. 24. On the week, the
rupee slipped 1%, falling for the third straight week, which
is also its biggest weekly fall since the week to Jan. 24.
In the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month
contract was at 60.09 while the three-month was at 60.65.
The dollar fell against the euro for the first time in five trad-
ing sessions, although the euro was not far from a four-
month low of $1.3503 hit last week after the European Cen-
tral Bank cut rates to record lows.
A drop in U.S. Treasuries yields narrowed the gap between
yields on U.S. Treasuries and German bunds, leading traders
to take profits on the dollar's rally against the euro.
The U.S. dollar moved higher against the yen on Friday as
concerns over escalating violence in Iraq fuelled safe haven
demand while heightened expectations for more stimulus
from the Bank of Japan weighed on the yen. USD/JPY was
up 0.28% to 101.99 late Friday from 101.59 on Thursday.
For the week, the pair was down 0.49%.
The euro edged higher against the yen on Friday, with EUR/
JPY rising 0.26% to 138.18, not far from the four month low
of 137.71 struck in the previous session. For the week, the
pair lost 0.81%
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 59.4783 Yen-100 58.2800
Euro 80.7120 GBP 100.9347
7. DAILY REPORT
16th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
13/06/14 MCX GOLD JUNE BUY 26250 26320-26360 26100 NOT EXECUTED
13/06/14 MCX GOLD JUNE SELL 26050 25900-25790 26200 NOT EXECUTED
13/06/14 MCX SILVER JULY BUY 41050 41200-41500 40800 NOT EXECUTED
13/06/14 MCX SILVER JULY SELL 40800 40500-40200 41050 NOT EXECUTED
13/06/14 NCDEX GUARSEED JULY BUY 5375 5405-5455 5325
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
13/06/14 NCDEX GUARSEED JULY SELL 5315 5285-5235 5365 NOT EXECUTED
13/06/14 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY BUY 10420 10450-10500 10370
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
13/06/14 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY SELL 10290 10260-10210 10340 NOT EXECUTED
13/06/14 JPY/INR JUNE BUY 58.41 58.56-58.71 58.28
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
13/06/14 JPY/INR JUNE SELL 58.07 57.92-57.77 58.28 NOT EXECUTED
13/06/14 EUR/INR JUNE SELL 80.21 80.06-79.91 80.42 NOT EXECUTED
13/06/14 EUR/INR JUNE BUY 80.64 80.79-80.94 80.43
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
13/06/14 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 7580 7530-7480 7630 BOOKED PROFIT
13/06/14 LUPIN FUTURE BUY 980 1020-1025 960 CALL OPEN
13/06/14 YESBANK FUTURES FUTURE SELL 548 542-534 560 BOOKED PROFIT
13/06/14 CENTURY PLY CASH SELL 69 67-65 71 NOT EXECUTED
10/06/14 POWER GRID FUTURE SELL 135 142-145 130 CALL OPEN
10/06/14 BANK OF BARODA FUTURE BUY 885-890 920-950 850 SL TRIGGERED
8. DAILY REPORT
16th
JUNE 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JUNE 16
8:30 AM EMPIRE STATE INDEX JUNE 16.7 19.0
9:15 AM INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION MAY 0.5% -0.6%
9:15 AM CAPACITY UTILIZATION MAY 78.8% 78.6%
10 AM HOME BUILDERS' INDEX JUNE 47 45
10 AM CONSTRUCTION SPENDING APRIL 0.9% 0.2%
TUESDAY, JUNE 17
8:30 AM CONSUMER PRICE INDEX MAY 0.2% 0.3%
8:30 AM CORE CPI MAY 0.2% 0.2%
8:30 AM HOUSING STARTS MAY 1.03MLN 1.07 MLN
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 18
8:30 AM CURRENT ACCOUNT 1Q -- -$81 BLN
2 PM FED STATEMENT
2:30 PM YELLEN PRESS CONFERENCE
THURSDAY, JUNE 019
8:30 AM JOBLESS CLAIMS 6/14 N/A N/A
10 AM PHILLY FED JUNE 16.0 15.4
10 AM LEADING INDICATORS MAY -- 0.4%
FRIDAY, JUNE 20
NONE SCHEDULED