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Special report by epic research 17 january 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
17st JANUARY. 2013
Global markets at a glance
Asian stocks rose on Thursday on continued economic recovery in Japan and the World Bank's decision to hike its
global growth forecasts for this year. The dollar index,
which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major
currencies, was last down 0.1 percent at 80.917 .DXY. The
greenback slipped 0.1 percent to 104.26 yen, but remained well off a four-week low of 102.85 set on Monday.
Against the euro, the dollar treaded water at $1.3613.
Wall Street Update
The Dow and S&P 500 dipped on Thursday, led by financial
shares after a round of disappointing earnings from the
sector. The S&P 500 pulled back from record levels and
was nearly flat for the week. Goldman's stock slid 2.1 percent to $175.06, one of the Dow's biggest decliners, while
Citigroup dropped 4.1 percent to $52.75. The S&P financial
sector index fell 0.7 percent, making it the biggest loser
among the S&P 500 sectors
World Indices
Index
Value
% Change
16,417.01
-0.39
S&P 500
1,845.89
-0.13
NASDAQ
EURO STO
FTSE 100
4,218.69
3,150.20
6,815.45
+0.09
-0.69
-0.07
Nikkei 225
Hong Kong
15,677.66
22,898.82
-0.44
-0.38
DJl
Top Gainers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
HCLTECH
1,392.00
61.65
4.63
302.85
7.45
2.52
1,752.00
41.90
2.45
HINDALCO
113.10
2.25
2.03
WIPRO
570.50
9.80
1.75
CMP
Change
% Chg
315.05
369.55
287.45
594.50
413.50
-16.45
-7.75
-4.35
-9.00
-6.20
-4.96
-2.05
-1.49
-1.49
-1.48
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
1,292.20
1,392.00
3,721.95
151.20
261.70
-1.20
61.65
9.90
25.20
6.50
0.09
4.63
0.27
20.00
3.09
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
CMP
Change
% Chg
6318.90
21265.
-2.00
-24.31
-0.03
-0.11
COALINDIA
ULTRACEMCO
Top Losers
Previous day Roundup
The market closed on a flat note but Nifty managed to
hold the 6300-level. The Sensex was down 24.31 points at
21265.18, and the Nifty ended at 6318.90, down 2.00
points. About 1149 shares have advanced, 1486 shares
declined, and 261 shares are unchanged. In a major relief
to the government, Moodyâs in its latest report has said
that Indiaâs rating downgrade is not on the cards. Moody's
has given India an investment grade rating of Baa3 with a
stable outlook.
Index stats
The Market was very in yesterday session where Bankex
and Bank Nifty both closed almost flat (down-0.21 % and
down â0.30% respectively). Among the sartorial indices
almost the sectors which were down are; Healthcare
[down â58.85pts],Consumer Durables [down-0.39 pts],
Capital Goods AUTO [down â101.67pts],TECK [down â9.56
pts], Oil & Gas [down-27.46 pts], Power [ down â7.75pts],
and the index advanced were Metals [up167.08 pts IT
[up54.15 pts], FMCG [up-52.55 pts] [up 24.09pts], Realty
[up 0.90pts], PSU [up 14.36 pts],
Company
BHARTIARLT
TATAMOTORS
ONGC
SUNPHARMA
RANBAXY
Stocks at 52 Weekâs high
Symbol
DIVISLAB
HCLTECH
INFY
INFINITE
UPL
Stocks at 52 Weekâs Low
Symbol
--
Indian Indices
Company
NIFTY
SENSEX
YOUR MINTVISORY
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2. DAILY REPORT
17st JANUARY. 2013
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. ITC FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. GITANJALI GEMS
ITC FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up has
been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above
332 levels. We advise buying above 332 levels with strict
stop loss 327 for the targets of 338-345 levels.
2. BHARAT FORGE FUTURE
GITANJALI GEMS is looking strong on charts. We advice buying above 70 levels with strict stoploss of 65 for the targets
of 75-80 levels.
MACRO NEWS
ï·
ï·
ï·
ï·
ï·
ï·
ï·
BHARAT FORGE FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long
build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above 352 levels. We advise buying on dips around
348-350 levels with strict stop loss 342 for the targets of
358-365 levels.
YOUR MINTVISORY
ï·
ï·
FY14 deficit likely to be lower than 4.8% target
FY14 fiscal deficit expected to be lower than 4.8%
target
Air India employees back airline's pivatisation:
Moody's has given India an investment grade rating
of Baa3 with a stable outlook
Axis Bank Q3 net rises 19% to Rs 1,604 cr, NPAs rise
IOC stake sale is likely to happen within a week,
which may fetch the government Rs 4,800-Rs 5,000
crore. ONGC and OIL may pick up 50 percent stake
each.
Bajaj Auto Q3 net profit up 10.5 percent, beats estimates
Richemont seeks entry into India's luxury retail market
TCS net profit surges 49.6 percent, sees stronger
growth in next fiscal
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3. DAILY REPORT
FUTURE & OPTION
17st JANUARY. 2013
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
NIFTY
PE
6,300
52.6
3,28,234 45,53,900
NIFTY
PE
6,200
24.7
3,16,240 68,93,900
NIFTY
PE
6,100
11.55
1,54,630 57,15,950
BANKNIFTY
PE
11,000 157.85
BANKNIFTY
PE
10,500
BANKNIFTY
PE
AXISBANK
TCS
STOCKS IN NEWS
ï· HCL Tech Q2 beats estimates, net jumps 5.7% to Rs
1496 cr and dollar revenues grew 4%
ï· Sasken Communication will mull special dividend on
January 2
ï· DCB Bank's Q3 net profit rose to Rs 36.4 crore versus
Rs 27 crore (YoY)
ï· Credit Suisse downgrades Bharti to neutral and cuts
target price to Rs 310 from Rs 420
Open
Interest
14,542
2,91,150
32.05
9,437
2,74,300
10,800
89
7,043
1,05,350
PE
1,150
17.5
5,899
2,91,250
PE
2,300
23.15
5,830
3,48,000
NIFTY FUTURE
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY
CE
6,400
36
3,53,490
48,20,750
NIFTY
CE
6,300
83.25
2,97,016
49,90,150
NIFTY
CE
6,500
12.25
1,84,038
40,00,150
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,500
66.25
22,974
3,72,925
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,200
152
17,054
1,71,925
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,300
118
10,668
TCS
CE
2,400
33.9
9,292
AXISBANK
CE
1,200
22
7,870
1,30,850 Nifty Future closed in the green in the last trading session. We buying around 6300-6280 levels with strict stop
6,78,625 loss of 6250 for the targets of 6350-6380 levels.
6,57,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
SELL
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in
No. of Amount in
No. of
Contracts
Crores Contracts
Crores Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
78264
2431.38
62910
1944.73
473223
14798.49
486.65
INDEX OPTIONS
439965
13566.30
471272
14461.59
1268254
39841.09
-895.29
STOCK FUTURES
59311
1965.20
58645
1927.12
1052532
33436.53
38.08
STOCK OPTIONS
49555
1511.91
51616
1579.79
90718
2962.72
-67.87
TOTAL
-438.43
INDICES
NIFTY
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
6243.9
6282.4
6303.8
6342.3
6363.7
NIFTYJUNIOR
12498.24
12554.79
12601.84
12658.39
12705.45
BANK NIFTY
0913.86
11019.63
11091.86
11197.63
11269.86
YOUR MINTVISORY
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4. DAILY REPORT
17st JANUARY. 2013
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
MCX gold futures for February are trading on a flat
note amid lack of a major movement in global gold
prices. The commodity has slipped from its one month
high this week but the losses have been rather limited
on hopes of steady demand from retail buyers as well
as investors after a massive drop in prices last year.
COMEX Gold is quoting at $$1338.30, unchanged on
the day amid a very thin movement today. MCX Gold is
quoting at Rs 29010, down Rs 9 per 10 grams on the
day.
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 44950 TGTS 45150/45450 SL 44600
SELL SILVER BELOW 44600 TGTS 44400/44100 SL 44950
GOLD
The Union government has hiked tariff values for Gold
and silver in line with the recovery in global prices in
last couple of weeks. According to a latest update from
the Ministry of Finance, the tariff value for gold has
been hiked by $15 or 3.82% to $407 per 10 grams
while the same for Silver has been hiked by $25 or
3.91% per tonne to $663 per kg. Both gold and silver
jumped in the New Year, hitting their multi week highs
on bargain buying after massive losses in last year.
Gold prices slipped 28% while silver lost a whopping
36% in 2013.
Meanwhile, the Euro remained on tenterhooks today,
quoting around 1.3600 levels against the US dollar. The
single currency had eased yesterday and is failing to
witness much of buying amid a string of positive US
economic data and spurt in US stocks.US stocks added
further gains on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 building on its biggest gain in nearly a month, after strong
data and earnings from Bank of America pointed to
continued improvement in the economy
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 29190 TGTS 29270/29370 SL 29070
SELL GOLD BELOW 29000 TGTS 28920/28820 SL 29120
YOUR MINTVISORY
Gold was steady in early trade on Friday but was
headed for its first weekly drop in four weeks as a
string of U.S. data showed more strength in the recovery of the world's largest economy .
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5. DAILY REPORT
17st JANUARY. 2013
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
CASTORSEED
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
Castor Seed
4352
-0.64
Chana
3060
-0.65
Coriander
7970
0.64
Cotton Seed Oilcake
1572
-0.76
12540
-0.02
Maizeâ Feed/
Industrial Grade
1191
-1.16
Mustard seed
3625
0.14
Soy Bean
3715
0.95
Turmeric
6746
-0.5
Jeera
BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4445 TGTS 4475/4505 SL 4395
SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4370 TGTS 4340/4290 SL 4420
NCDEX ROUNDUP
DHANIYA
The turmeric futures pared the prior session's gains on
short selling at higher side. The turmeric futures for the
April delivery ended the day at Rs 6746, down Rs 34 or
0.50%. The Turmeric markets in Andhra Pradesh opened
today after a short Holiday on account of local festivities
owing to Pongal. Nizamabad has seen new crop arrivals of
1500 bags (75 kgs each) and around 1000 bags from the old
crop. The arrivals from new crop are expected to increase in
coming days. Spot prices are lingering at Rs 5905, up Rs 65
per quintal on the day as there is good demand after the
break in activity.
Cardamom futures ended the Thursday's session with nominal losses on long liquidations trigged by strong availability.
The MCX cardamom for February delivery ended the session at Rs 703.30, down Rs 1.80 or 0.26%.
BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8250 TGTS 8280 / 8330 SL 8200
SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8070 TGTS 8040 / 7990 SL 8120
YOUR MINTVISORY
The harvesting of the new crop had just started in Guatemala. Crop size is similar to last year. The prices of the
greens had been reduced somewhat, as it is now peak harvesting season of the green cardamoms .
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6. DAILY REPORT
17st JANUARY. 2013
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate Currency
Rupee- $
61.5325 Yen-100
Euro
83.8395 GBP
USD/INR
Rate
58.7700
100.7349
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The Indian rupee ended little changed on Thursday as
dollar demand from importers was adequately met by
dollar selling by foreign banks, likely on behalf of clients looking to invest in the domestic debt market.
Bonds continued to gain for a fifth straight session with
foreign funds having bought more than $2 billion
worth of bonds so far in 2014. Broad strength in the
dollar versus most other regional and major currencies
prevented the rupee from making sharp gains while
sustained selling from foreign banks limited any sharp
fall, holding the pair in a tight range.
SELL USD/INR BELOW 61.52 TGTS 61.38,61.18 SL 61.82.
BUY USD/INR ABOVE 61.95 TGTS 62.09, 62.23 SL 61.60.
GBP/INR
"Yesterday it was mainly the petro demand being met
by custodian bank dollar sales, there was nothing major otherwise. Tomorrow, too, expected range trading
between 61.45 to 61.75 to continue, The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.5350/5450 per dollar compared to 61.54/55 on Wednesday. The unit moved in a
narrow range of 61.51 to 61.7150 during the session.
Losses in the domestic share market also prevented
the rupee from gaining.
The U.S. dollar held firm having returned to levels seen
before last week's soft payrolls data as faith in the U.S.
economic recovery was restored, while the Australian
dollar slid to a 3-1/2-year low after a dismal local jobs re-
SELL GBP/INR BELOW 100.55 TGTS 100.40,100.25 SL 100.91.
BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 101.15 TGTS 101.34,101.55 SL 100.79
YOUR MINTVISORY
port. In the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the onemonth contract was at 61.88 while the three-month was at
62.69.The strong data reinforced expectations that the U.S.
economic recovery will continue to deepen going into this
year and offset lingering concerns over last week's surprising weak U.S. nonfarm payrolls report The dollar was
slightly lower against the euro, with EUR/USD easing up
0.11% to 1.3618
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7. DAILY REPORT
17st JANUARY. 2013
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
16/01/14
MCX GOLD
FEB.
BUY
29040
29120-29220
28920
BOOKED PROFIT
16/01/14
MCX GOLD
FEB.
SELL
28980
28900-28800
29100
SL TRIGGERED
16/01/14
MCX SILVER
MAR.
BUY
44950
45150-45450
44600
NOT EXECUTED
16/01/14
MCX SILVER
MAR.
SELL
44600
44350-44000
45000
BOOKED PROFIT
16/01/14
NCDEX CASTOR
SEED
FEB.
BUY
4480
4510-4560
4430
NOT EXECUTED
16/01/14
NCDEX CASTOR
SEED
FEB.
SELL
4400
4380-4330
4450
BOOKED PROFIT
16/01/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
FEB.
BUY
8150
8180-8230
8100
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
16/01/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
FEB.
SELL
8010
7980-7980
8050
NOT EXECUTED
16/01/14
USD/INR
JAN.
SELL
61.56
61.43-61.30
61.91
NO PROFIT NO LOSS
16/01/14
USD/INR
JAN.
BUY
61.95
62.10-62.25
61.60
NOT EXECUTED
16/01/14
EUR/INR
JAN.
SELL
83.95
83.82-83.67
84.30
BOOKED PROFIT
16/01/14
EURINR
JAN.
BUY
84.33
84.50-84.66
83.98
NOT EXECUTED
Date
Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
16/01/14
NIFTY
FUTURE
BUY
6340
6360-6390
6315
SL TRIGGERED
16/01/14
BANK OF BARODA
FUTURE
BUY
636
642-650
628
NOT EXECUTED
16/01/14
ITC
FUTURE
BUY
331
334-339
327
SL TRIGGERED
16/01/14
BHARTI AIRTEL
CASH
BUY
335
338-343
331
NOT EXECUTED
15/01/14
SKS MICRO
CASH
BUY
186
192-198
180
CALL OPEN
14/01/14
APPOLO TYRE
FUTURE
BUY
117
120-122
115
SL TRIGGERED
09/01/14
GRAVITA
CASH
BUY
46
50-54
41
CALL OPEN
YOUR MINTVISORY
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8. DAILY REPORT
17st JANUARY. 2013
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JAN .13
2 PM
FEDERAL BUDGET
DEC.
--
-$1 BLN
10 am
Factory orders
Nov.
1.6%
-0.9%
TUESDAY,JAN .14
8:30 AM
RETAIL SALES
DEC.
-0.1%
0.7%
8:30 AM
RETAIL SALES EX-AUTOS
DEC.
0.4%
0.4%
8:30 AM
IMPORT PRICE INDEX
DEC.
0.5%
-0.6%
10 AM
BUSINESS INVENTORIES
NOV.
0.3%
0.7%
0.4%
-0.1%
WEDNESDAY, JAN.15
8:30 AM
PRODUCER PRICE INDEX
DEC
.
8:30 AM
CORE PPI
DEC.
0.2%
0.1%
8:30 AM
EMPIRE STATE INDEX
JAN.
4.3
1.0
THURSDAY, JAN.16
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
1/11
N/A
330,000
8:30 AM
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
DEC.
0.3%
0.0%
8:30 AM
CORE CPI
DEC.
0.1%
0.2%
10 AM
HOME BUILDERS' INDEX
JAN.
N/A
58
10 AM
PHILLY FED
JAN.
9.4
7.0
FRIDAY, JAN.17
8:30 AM
HOUSING STARTS
DEC.
1.01 MLN
1.091 MLN
9:15 AM
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
DEC.
0.2%
1.1%
9:15 AM
CAPACITY UTILIZATION
DEC.
79.0%
79.0%
9:55 AM
UMICH CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX
JAN.
85.0
82.5
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