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Special report by epic research 16 january 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
16th JANUARY. 2013
Global markets at a glance
Asian stock markets enjoyed a strong rebound on Wednesday following the previous day's sell-off after upbeat US
data saw Wall Street chalk up its strongest performance of
the new year. Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 0.47 percent or
106.99 points at 22,898.27 and Japan's Nikkei gained 1.65
percent or 253.96 points at 15,676.36. Singapore's Straits
Times was up 0.51 percent or 15.84 points at 3,139.59 and
South Korea's Seoul Composite jumped 0.40 percent or
7.73 points at 1,953.80. Taiwan's Taiwan Weighted added
0.66 percent or 56.27 points at 8,604.41 while China's
Shanghai Composite shed 0.26 percent or 5.20 points at
2,021.64.
World Indices
Wall Street Update
U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 hitting a
record high after strong earnings from Bank of America
and data pointed to improvement in the economy. Bank of
America Corp shares climbed 2.7 percent to $17.22 and
gave one of the biggest boosts to the S&P 500 after the
second-largest U.S. bank said its quarterly profit surged by
nearly $3 billion, as revenue increased and mortgage
losses plunged in the clearest sign yet that the bank was
shaking off the impact of the financial crisis.
Previous day Roundup
It was a spectacular rally on Dalal Street with major support by rate sensitive as December wholesale price index
(WPI) eased to a 5-month low. The Nifty ended above the
6300-level, first time after January. The Nifty closed at
6320.90, up 79.05 points. The Sensex gained 256.61 points
at 21289.49. About 1352 shares advanced, 1276 shares
declined, and 309 shares were unchanged. Larsen, HDFC,
Sesa Sterlite, BHEL and ICICI Bank are top gainers in the
Sensex.
Index stats
The Market was UP in yesterday session where Bankex
and Bank Nifty both closed almost flat (up 1.59% and up
1.61% respectively). Among the sartorial indices almost
the sectors which were down are; Consumer Durables
[down-42.42 pts], Healthcare [down-1.70 pts], and the
index advanced were Capital Goods [up187.91 pts], AUTO
[up 145.69pts], PSU [up 68.19 pts], Oil & Gas [up 32.41
pts], Metals [up 104.25 pts], Power [up 32.25 pts], IT [up
66.76pts],
YOUR MINTVISORY
Index
Value
% Change
16,481.94
+0.66
1,848
+0.52
NASDAQ
EURO STO
FTSE 100
4,214.88
3,168.75
6,819.88
+0.76
+1.58
+0.78
Nikkei 225
Hong Kong
15,877.07
23,085.14
+0.43
+0.80
DJl
S&P 500
Top Gainers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
ULTRACEMCO
1,710.00
62.00
3.76
BANKBARODA
643
22.55
3.63
SSLT
198.25
5.70
2.96
NMDC
142.15
3.85
2.78
PNB
616.35
2.64
2.64
CMP
Change
% Chg
420.05
326
927.85
327.25
601.95
-9.90
-4.45
-6.50
-0.95
-1.60
-2.3
-1.35
-0.7
-0.29
-0.27
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
INFY
3,718.00
31.25
0.85
UPL
207.70
3.30
1.59
TAKE
39.95
-1.20
-3.00
886.65
-6.65
0.75
11.15
-0.10
0.90
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
CMP
Change
% Chg
6320.90
21289.49
79.05
256.61
1.27
1.22
Top Losers
Company
RANBAXY
CAIRN
LUPIN
BPCL
SUNPHARMA
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol
CADILAHC
HINDSYNTEX
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
--
Indian Indices
Company
NIFTY
SENSEX
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2. DAILY REPORT
16th JANUARY. 2013
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. BANK OF BARODA FUTURES
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. BHARTI AIRTEL
BUY BANK OF BARODA FUTURE ABOVE 636 TGT 642-650 SL
628
2. ITC FUTURES
BUY BHARTI AIRTEL CASH ABOVE 335 TGT 338-343 SL 331
MACRO NEWS
Government defers Rs 15K-cr bond issue to contain fiscal
deficit government's cash position and funding requirement, it has been decided, in consultation with RBI
Industry urges RBI to cut interest rate as inflation
dips .WPI declined to a 5-month low of 6.16% in December, providing space to RBI to ease interest rates and
prop up growth.
Unitech in talks to sell 2 hotels in NCR for about Rs
600cr.the company has decided to sell two hotels and it
is in talks with the potential buyers.
India's fiscal deficit will be contained at 4.8 percent of
the gross domestic product in the current fiscal year ending March, the finance minister said, hinting at possible
cuts in government spending .
China called on IMF member nations on Wednesday to
stick to a commitment to give emerging markets more
power at the global lender after U.S. lawmakers set back
historic reforms that would give developing countries a
greater say .
BUY ITC FUTURES ABOVE 331 TGT 334-339 SL 327
YOUR MINTVISORY
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3. DAILY REPORT
FUTURE & OPTION
16th JANUARY. 2013
STOCKS IN NEWS
Government mulls Oil India picking up about 7% in
Open
IOC and ONGC picking up about 3% in IOC
Interest
Coal India declares Rs 29/share interim dividend
Galena Biopharma signed agreement with Dr
73,30,000
Reddy's Labs to develop NeuVax in India: Reuters
Liberty Shoes' Q3 net profit jumps to Rs 3.2 crore
42,23,100
versus Rs 1.8 crore (YoY
55,09,800 Unitech puts hotels, land on the block for Rs 1,000 cr
2,77,625
2,40,200 NIFTY FUTURE
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
NIFTY
PE
6,200
29.3
4,38,160
NIFTY
PE
6,300
58.9
3,41,468
NIFTY
PE
6,100
13.7
2,76,019
BANKNIFTY
PE
10,500
32.5
17,972
BANKNIFTY
PE
11,000
148
17,287
BANKNIFTY
PE
10,800
86.05
10,587
92,975
INFY
PE
3,600
15.8
4,992
5,53,875
TCS
PE
2,250
14
4,762
4,16,875
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY
CE
6,300
85.7
5,17,226 49,07,750
NIFTY
CE
6,400
38.05
4,56,818 50,17,100
NIFTY
CE
6,500
14.1
2,54,962 38,73,500
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,500
81.4
35,027
3,27,975
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,200
180.1
22,936
2,22,075
BANKNIFTY
CE
12,000
17.05
13,515
3,66,125
SBIN
CE
1,700
19.8
7,744
7,56,125
SBIN
CE
1,650
37.55
7,418
6,19,125 BUY NIFTY ABOVE 6340 TGT 6360-6390 SL 6315
TCS
CE
2,200
58.60
1,357
1,70,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
SELL
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in
No. of Amount in
No. of
Contracts
Crores Contracts
Crores Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
32439
991.12
45692
1404.54
445711
13757.15
-413.42
INDEX OPTIONS
251597
7688.01
248633
7593.83
1211765
37587.93
94.18
STOCK FUTURES
52637
1711.24
52753
1714.47
1039748
32588.36
-3.23
STOCK OPTIONS
42047
1334.65
41368
1299.13
80533
2624.74
35.52
TOTAL
286.94
INDICES
NIFTY
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
6205.91
6223.88
6252.11
6270.08
6298.31
NIFTYJUNIOR
12494.51
12527.63
12571.26
12604.38
12648.01
BANK NIFTY
10836.0
10892.45
10979.05
11035.5
11122.1
YOUR MINTVISORY
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4. DAILY REPORT
16th JANUARY. 2013
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
MCX GOLDPETAL January contract was trading at Rs 2960
down Rs 4, or 0.13 percent. The GOLDPETAL rate touched
an intraday high of Rs 2962 and an intraday low of Rs 2955.
So far 4579 contracts have been traded. GOLDPETAL prices
have moved down Rs 47, or 1.56 percent in the January series so far. MCX GOLDPETAL February contract was trading
at Rs 2919 down Rs 5, or 0.17 percent. The GOLDPETAL rate
touched an intraday high of Rs 2923 and an intraday low of
Rs 2915. So far 1740 contracts have been traded. GOLDPETAL prices have moved down Rs 46, or 1.55 percent in
the February series so far. MCX GOLDPETAL March contract
was trading at Rs 2904 down Rs 6, or 0.21 percent. The
GOLDPETAL rate touched an intraday high of Rs 2910 and
an intraday low of Rs 2900. So far 763 contracts have been
traded. GOLDPETAL prices have moved up Rs 6, or 0.21 percent in the March series so far.
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 44950 TGTS 45150/45450 SL 44600
SELL SILVER BELOW 44600 TGTS 44350/44000 SL 45000
GOLD
MCX Gold futures are in red, falling under Rs 29000 per 10
grams amid bearish global cues. The COMEX Gold futures
have eased, failing to extend their recent gains. The yellow
metal had topped a one-month high above $1250 per
ounce but failed to hold on to these levels and dropped
back today. The metal currently trades at $1248.90, down
$2.20 per ounce on the day. The surge in US stocks overnight and gains in Asian and European indices today has
pulled the yellow metal lower and the COMEX Gold is quoting at $1238.10, down $7.30 per ounce on the day. The
MCX Gold futures are trading at Rs 28935, down Rs 161 per
10 grams on the day.
The US Commerce Department said on Tuesday that retail
sales gained 0.2% last month. For all of 2013, sales increased 4.2%. Sales excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, increased 0.7% after a 0.2%
rise in November. This boosted the US stocks as DOW
added 100 points and also supported the US currency. The
dollar gained from a near two week low of 1.3700 against
the Euro.
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 29040 TGTS 29120/29220 SL 28920
SELL GOLD BELOW 28980 TGTS 28900/28800 SL 29100
YOUR MINTVISORY
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped nearly 16% while
the broader S&P 500 index soared by nearly 30%- recording
its biggest annual gain in 16 years. Japan's Nikkei 225 index
soared by nearly 52% while UK's FTSE jumped 14% and Germany's DAX added an impressive 23%. India's S&P BSE Sensex soared to fresh all time highs above 21000 and ended
the year with a handsome gain of 9% .
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5. DAILY REPORT
16th JANUARY. 2013
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
CASTORSEED
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
Castor Seed
4387
+3.98
Chana
3066
+0.99
Coriander
7753
+4.00
Cotton Seed Oilcake
1486
+2.84
12542.5
+0.10
Maize– Feed/ Industrial grade
1195
+0.67
Mustard seed
3505
-0.68
Soy Bean
3776
-0.36
Sugar M Grade
2806
+0.11
Turmeric
6352
+0.44
Jeera
BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4480 TGTS 4510/ 4560 SL4430
SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4400 TGTS 4380/4330 SL4450
DHANIYA
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Agriculture Minister Sharad Pawar on Wednesday said the
country's foodgrain production this year is likely to surpass
the previous record of 259.29 million tonnes achieved in the
2011-12 crop year.
Jeera futures jumped on Wednesday lead by short covering
at lower side. The NCDEX Jeera for the March delivery
ended the day at Rs 12,535, up Rs 60 or 0.48% over the last
close. Latest data indicates that the acreage under Jeera
stands at 397,300 hectares in Gujarat- the prominent producing state. This is up nearly 50% compared to last year
when the crop suffered a setback. Traders estimated that
the current year Jeera production is estimated to be around
45 lakh bags in the current year, up almost 10 lakh bags
from the year.
BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8150 TGTS 8180 / 8230 SL 8100
SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8010 TGTS 7980 / 7930 SL 8060
YOUR MINTVISORY
The latest data compiled by commodityinsights.com on
15th January 2014 estimated that the Jeera stocks at 7 lakh
bags against 9-10 lakh bags in the same period of last year.
Traders are expecting that exports of the commodity should
rise in coming months amidst reports of lower production in
Turkey and Syria.
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6. DAILY REPORT
16th JANUARY. 2013
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate Currency
Rupee- $
61.5885 Yen-100
Euro
83.9915 GBP
USD/INR
Rate
58.9900
101.0914
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The greenback moved higher against most major currencies
on Wednesday after better-than-expected U.S. economic
indicators and an upbeat take on the economy from the
Federal Reserve fueled expectation for monetary stimulus
programs to continue unwinding this year. In U.S. trading on
Wednesday, EUR/USD was down 0.56% at 1.3602. The dollar firmed against the euro and most other major currencies
after data revealed that manufacturing activity in the New
York State expanded at the fastest pace since May 2012 this
month. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York said that its
general business conditions index jumped to 12.51 in January from an upwardly revised 2.22 in December. Analysts
were expecting the index to rise to only 3.75.
USD/INR SELL BELOW 61.56 TGTS 61.43, 61.30 SL 61.91
USD/INR BUY ABOVE 61.95 TGTS 62.10, 62.25 SL 61.60
EUR/INR
EUR/INR SELL BELOW 83.95 TGTS 83.82, 83.67 SL 84.30
EUR/INR BUY ABOVE 84.33 TGTS 84.50, 84.66 SL 83.98
YOUR MINTVISORY
The U.S. producer price index rose 0.4% in December, the
biggest increase since June, recovering from a 0.1% decline
in November and was 1.2% higher from a year earlier. Core
PPI was up 0.3% in December and rose 1.4% on a year-over
year basis, compared to expectations for a monthly increase
of 0.1% and an annual gain of 1.3%. The solid data convinced investors that the Federal Reserve will continue
winding down its USD75 billion in monthly bond purchases
in the coming months. Bond purchases weaken the dollar
by driving down long-term interest rates, and talk of their
dismantling tends to strengthen the greenback.
Wednesday's economic indicators were the latest convincing investors that the poor December jobs report was likely
a hiccup on the road to recovery. On Tuesday, the Commerce Department reported that U.S. retail sales rose 0.2%
in December, beating expectations for a 0.1% increase. Core
retail sales, which exclude automobile sales, expanded by
0.7% in December, well above forecasts for a 0.4% increase.
The figure convinced investors to look past data revealing
the U.S. economy added 74,000 jobs in December, well below expectations for a 196,000 increase. Also giving the dollar support, the Federal Reserve released its Beige Book earlier, which said the U.S. economy continues to expand at a
moderate pace
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8. DAILY REPORT
16th JANUARY. 2013
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JAN .13
2 PM
FEDERAL BUDGET
DEC.
--
-$1 BLN
10 am
Factory orders
Nov.
1.6%
-0.9%
TUESDAY,JAN .14
8:30 AM
RETAIL SALES
DEC.
-0.1%
0.7%
8:30 AM
RETAIL SALES EX-AUTOS
DEC.
0.4%
0.4%
8:30 AM
IMPORT PRICE INDEX
DEC.
0.5%
-0.6%
10 AM
BUSINESS INVENTORIES
NOV.
0.3%
0.7%
0.4%
-0.1%
WEDNESDAY, JAN.15
8:30 AM
PRODUCER PRICE INDEX
DEC
.
8:30 AM
CORE PPI
DEC.
0.2%
0.1%
8:30 AM
EMPIRE STATE INDEX
JAN.
4.3
1.0
THURSDAY, JAN.16
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
1/11
N/A
330,000
8:30 AM
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
DEC.
0.3%
0.0%
8:30 AM
CORE CPI
DEC.
0.1%
0.2%
10 AM
HOME BUILDERS' INDEX
JAN.
N/A
58
10 AM
PHILLY FED
JAN.
9.4
7.0
FRIDAY, JAN.17
8:30 AM
HOUSING STARTS
DEC.
1.01 MLN
1.091 MLN
9:15 AM
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
DEC.
0.2%
1.1%
9:15 AM
CAPACITY UTILIZATION
DEC.
79.0%
79.0%
9:55 AM
UMICH CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX
JAN.
85.0
82.5
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