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1. Daily Equity Report (26 JUN 2012)
Highlights
Indian market
 Indian equity markets down 0.61%.
 Nifty down 31.40 pts and settle at 5114.65.
 Sensex was down 90.35 pts at 16882.16.
 Bank Nifty down 161.75 pts at 9870.00.
Global market
 European markets were down with FTSE down by 32.71 pts at 5480.98, CAC down
by 53.92 pts at 3036.98 and DAX down 97.05 pts at 6166.20.
 Dow future down 91 pts at 12477.00.
 USD Building permits is 0.78M & previous 0.72M

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Market Analysis:
Snapping the three-day rally, the benchmark Index of the Bombay Stock Exchange
(BSE) today ended below 17K to 16,972.51, declining by 60.05 points on profit
booking by local operators and a sliding Rupee.The Nifty of National Stock
Exchange (NSE) fell by 18.95 points to 5,146.05.
High volatility was witnessed during the day. the Sensex slipped by 92.14 points in
the opening session. Later, it lost ground by nearly by 224.76 points to 16,807.80,
the day's low figure, after the rupee slumped to an all-time low against the dollar as
foreign investors shunned risky assets and month-end demand for the greenback
from Indian refiners for oil imports.
At the end of the session, it finished at 16,972.51, fell by 60.05 points from its last
close.The Sensex registered the day's high and low at 17,016.06 points and
16,807.80 points respectively.
The Nifty recorded the day's high and low at 5159.80 and 5094.00 respectively.
In the sectoral indices, Metal, Capital Goods, Technology, IT, FMCG, bankex and
Consumer durable were seen under pressure.
However, Realty, Auto and Power stocks maintained its positive trend intact for the
second day today.
Hindalco Industries was the major loser, down by 3.34 pc to Rs 117.25.
Other scrips also dipped including Reliance, SBI, L&T, Tata Steel and HDFC.
Weakness in global stocks also weighed on the sentiment.
Bank stocks were mixed. IT stocks were mostly lower on weak US economic data.
Shares of public sector oil marketing companies (PSU OMCs) were mixed. Auto
stocks were mixed.
Metal shares declined as weak manufacturing reports from around the world hit
global commodity prices hard today.
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News you can use:
 In a bid to check rupee's free falling against the US dollar, the Reserve Bank of
India (RBI) on Monday hiked the limit of external commercial borrowing (ECB) by
USD 10 billion. Moreover, the regulator also increased the limit of overseas
investment in government bonds by USD 5 billion to USD 20 billion.
 European shares were called to open flat to slightly lower on Monday with Spain
at the forefront of investors’ minds as it is expected to formally ask its euro zone
partners for 100 billion euros to recapitalize its banks.
 Asian shares fell on Monday and the safe-haven dollar rose as concerns about
faltering global growth and Europe's intractable debt crisis continued to sap
investor confidence, but commodities steadied after a pummelling last week.
Fiis & Diis
CATAGERY DATE BUY SELL NET
FII 25-Jun-2012 1404.14 1251.04 153.10
DII 25-Jun-2012 773.18 747.00 26.18
NIFTY Daily pivots
Pivot R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4
Nifty 5450.90 5346.20 5241.50 5175.40 5136.80 5070.70 5032.10 4927.40 4822.7
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Daily Nifty Gainers
COMPANY CURR.RATE VOL(000) PREV.CL NET CHANGE CHANGE%
Cairn India 329.9 2057.92 326.1 3.8 1.17
Maruti Suzuki 1113.9 910.24 1102.1 11.8 1.07
GAIL India 343.65 1426.2 340.6 3.05 0.9
Reliance Ind. 716.2 2540.45 711 5.2 0.73
HDFC 644 2475.98 640.05 3.95 0.62
Daily Nifty Losers
COMPANY CURR.RATE VOL(000) PREV.CL NET CHANGE CHANGE%
Hero Moto Corp 2030.8 291.07 2086.1 -55.3 -2.65
ONGC 272.6 1744.05 279.5 -6.9 -2.47
JP Associate 69.55 15414.15 71.3 -1.75 -2.45
Cipla 306.25 744.63 313.75 -7.5 -2.39
Grasim Ind. 2469.45 56.77 2526.7 -57.25 -2.27
Stock in ban period Stocks to watch
 ABAN
 AMBUJA
 ABGSHIP
 IDFC
 COREEDUTECV
 M&M
 ORCHID CHEM
 L&T
 SUZLON
 RELIANCE CAP.
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Nifty Daily Chart
INDEX Open High Low Close Change
Nifty 5148.90 5202.90 5098.20 5109.30 41.85
ANALYSIS:
 Nifty looks bearish
 Strategy: Sell on rise
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Bank Nifty Daily Chart
INDEX Open High Low Close Change % change
BankNifty 10050.10 10188 9867.20 9901.50 130.25 1.30
ANALYSIS
 Bank Nifty looks bearish
 Strategy: Sell on rise
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INVESTORS’ GUIDE
We head into a derivative contracts expiry week, with stock markets having climbed the
conventional ‘Wall Of Worry’ syndrome. The week ahead will be volatile with a ‘Bullish Bias’
as sentiment has started to turn positive on the back of low oil prices and expectation of better
government performance on the back of the expected ‘rejig’ on key posts being filled due to
Presidential elections.
Markets surprisingly did not react negatively to the ‘Status Quo’ on rates announced by the RBI,
rating agencies downgrade threats and also ignored poor global cues to end the week up
marginally. The only ‘Joker in the Pack’ continues to be the Rupee, which is limiting inflows by
touching new lows despite being very heavily oversold. The same was the sole reason for RBI
not cutting rates and easing money supply. Also oil marketing companies in their fortnightly oil
price revision stated the same reason for not cutting petrol prices. Rating agencies are also going
overboard in threats of downgrade to ‘Speculative grade’ purely due to the sharper than expected
fall in the Rupee.
The Nifty now seems set to test the100 dma (day moving average) at 5198 and the Right
shoulder @ 5240/50, with support now @ 5074 which is the 200dma. The high Beta ‘Bank
Nifty’ has again started to outperform the Nifty & will test the 100dma @ 10095 & the right
shoulder @ 10300.
Smart money continues to buy quality with the broader market now showing positive divergence
& mid cap stocks recording smart gains. This also indicates that purely by default how much
India’s fundamentals tend to improve on the back of low Oil prices & which will actually see
Smart Money buy stocks with a longer term horizon. High Beta sector/stocks are being chased
with Defensive’s continuing to underperform.
Globally markets continue to be ‘Haunted’ by rising yields on Spanish, Italian & Portuguese
debt, which is seeing equities underperform. However the sharp commodity sell off has also seen
Gold lose some of its sheen & it ended near 1 month lows. The same is indicating that the
relative outperformance of Gold as an asset class may be over & we could see smart money re-
entering Equities.
The other factor being watched closely is the progress of Rains/Monsoon & the also in the US
certain disruption in Oil supplies due to seasonal Tropical Storms which will see Oil prices react.
With most of Europe now actually watching the Euro cup more than tracking the Euro, expect
range bound moves globally & our own markets should see some more optimism with
prices/stocks seeking higher levels.
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Factors to watch:
 Rupee to stop falling?
 Progress of rains/US storm impact on Oil Prices.
 Low Bond yields expecting out of turn action by RBI?
 Volatility ahead of F&O expiry.
 Government Rejig: Who will be the FM?
 Nifty support @ 5070 & resistance @ 5240.
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