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Water Research Centre




           Water Wednesday
   Sustaining the River Murray with less water
Water Allocation to Murray Valley wetlands: a
         basin wide modelling approach

George Ganf,
University of Adelaide

Rod Oliver, CSIRO
Sean White, University of Adelaide

Justin Brookes, Kane Aldridge, Dominic Skinner,
Mike Young

Supported by Land & Water Australia (sadly, no
more)
Wetland Plants
7000+ wetlands
Fro this
   m       To this
Summary of major findings
  • Connectivity
  • Linking aquatic vegetation with hydrology
 Pre- v. post-regulation
  •Resilience
  •Fragmentation

The ecological unit
  •Management for ecological benefit
  •The reach
  •Weir pool manipulation (Chowilla initiative)
Connectivity – a surrogate index of water
                  regime

• 0.91- 1.0 = continuous connection to main
  channel (permanently wet)


• 0.41- 0.5 = 41 - 50% of time connected to main
  channel (seasonal inundation)


• 0.0- 0.09 = Never or rarely connected
CONNECTIVITY
P - v. p s g tio > 10 0w tla s
 re      o t-re ula n  0 e nd
lo t c nne tio w m in c nne
  s o c n ith a ha l
Gaussian distribution curves describing probability of
presence for 4 species across a gradient in wetland-river
                      connectivity.

                                   1.0

                                                 Eleocharis acuta
                                                 Potamogeton crispus
                                                 Phyla canescens
                                   0.8
                                                 Phragmites australis
         Probability of presence




                                   0.6




                                   0.4




                                   0.2




                                   0.0
                                         0.0   0.1     0.2     0.3      0.4       0.5        0.6   0.7   0.8   0.9   1.0

                                                                              Connectivity
Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal
 (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity


                                       60000                                                          3000




                                       50000                                                          2500
    Cumulative area of wetlands (ha)




                                                                                                             Cumulative number of wetlands
                                       40000                                                          2000




                                       30000                                                          1500




                                       20000                                                          1000

                                                                    Nominal
                                       10000                        Discharge                         500




                                          0                                                           0
                                           -10000   -8000   -6000       -4000      -2000   0   2000

                                                                                    -1
                                                                    Discharge (GL yr )
Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal
 (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity


                                       60000                                                          3000




                                       50000                                                          2500
    Cumulative area of wetlands (ha)




                                                                                                             Cumulative number of wetlands
                                       40000                                                          2000




                                       30000
                                                                     Post                             1500




                                       20000                                                          1000

                                                                    Nominal
                                       10000                        Discharge                         500




                                          0                                                           0
                                           -10000   -8000   -6000       -4000      -2000   0   2000

                                                                                    -1
                                                                    Discharge (GL yr )
Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal
 (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity


                                       60000                                                          3000




                                       50000                                                          2500
    Cumulative area of wetlands (ha)




                                                                                                             Cumulative number of wetlands
                                       40000                                                          2000




                                       30000
                                                                     Post                             1500




                                       20000                                                          1000

                                                                    Nominal
                                       10000                        Discharge                         500




                                          0                                                           0
                                           -10000   -8000   -6000       -4000      -2000   0   2000

                                                                                    -1
                                                                    Discharge (GL yr )
Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal
 (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity


                                       60000                                                          3000




                                       50000                                                          2500
    Cumulative area of wetlands (ha)




                                                                                                             Cumulative number of wetlands
                                       40000                                                          2000




                                       30000
                                                                     Post                             1500




                                       20000                                                          1000

                                                                    Nominal
                                       10000                        Discharge                         500




                                          0                                                           0
                                           -10000   -8000   -6000       -4000      -2000   0   2000

                                                                                    -1
                                                                    Discharge (GL yr )
Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal
 (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity


                                       60000                                                            3000


                                                    Pre-
                                       50000                                                            2500
    Cumulative area of wetlands (ha)




                                                                                                               Cumulative number of wetlands
                                       40000                                                            2000




                                       30000
                                                                       Post                             1500




                                       20000                                                            1000

                                                                      Nominal
                                       10000                          Discharge                         500




                                          0                                                             0
                                           -10000     -8000   -6000       -4000      -2000   0   2000

                                                                                      -1
                                                                      Discharge (GL yr )
Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal
 (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity


                                       60000                                                            3000


                                                    Pre-
                                       50000                                                            2500
    Cumulative area of wetlands (ha)




                                                                                                               Cumulative number of wetlands
                                       40000                                                            2000




                                       30000
                                                                       Post                             1500




                                       20000                                                            1000

                                                                      Nominal
                                       10000                          Discharge                         500




                                          0                                                             0
                                           -10000     -8000   -6000       -4000      -2000   0   2000

                                                                                      -1
                                                                      Discharge (GL yr )
Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal
 (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity


                                       60000                                                            3000


                                                    Pre-
                                       50000                                                            2500
    Cumulative area of wetlands (ha)




                                                                                                               Cumulative number of wetlands
                                       40000                                                            2000




                                       30000
                                                                       Post                             1500




                                       20000                                                            1000

                                                                      Nominal
                                       10000                          Discharge                         500




                                          0                                                             0
                                           -10000     -8000   -6000       -4000      -2000   0   2000

                                                                                      -1
                                                                      Discharge (GL yr )
Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal
 (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity


                                       60000                                                            3000


                                                    Pre-
                                       50000                                                            2500
    Cumulative area of wetlands (ha)




                                                                                                               Cumulative number of wetlands
                                       40000                                                            2000




                                       RESILIENCE
                                       30000




                                       20000
                                                                       Post                             1500




                                                                                                        1000

                                                                      Nominal
                                       10000                          Discharge                         500




                                          0                                                             0
                                           -10000     -8000   -6000       -4000      -2000   0   2000

                                                                                      -1
                                                                      Discharge (GL yr )
-10000   -8000    -6000    -4000   -2000            0   2000                                                                               -6000 -5000
                                                                     Discharge (GL yr-1)

                                            60000                                                               3000                                                                  60000

                                                    B                                                                                                                                         E




                                                                                                                       Cumulative number of wetlands
             Cumulative wetland area (ha)




                                                                                                                                                       Cumulative wetland area (ha)
                                            50000                                                               2500                                                                  50000
                                                        Natural
                                            40000                                                               2000                                                                  40000


 Family                                     30000                                                               1500                                                                  30000


                                            20000
                                                                                   Current                      1000                                                                  20000


                                            10000                                                               500                                                                   10000


                                               0                                                                0                                                                        0
                                               -20000       -15000       -10000       -5000            0                                                                                 -4000    -300
                                                                     Discharge (GL yr-1)                       Nominal Discharge
                                            60000                                                               3000                                                                  60000
                                                    C                                                                                                                                         F




                                                                                                                       Cumulative number of wetlands
             Cumulative wetland area (ha)




                                                                                                                                                       Cumulative wetland area (ha)
                                            50000                                                               2500                                                                  50000

                                                          Natural
Functional                                  40000                                                               2000                                                                  40000


                                            30000                                                               1500                                                                  30000


                                            20000                                                               1000                                                                  20000


                                            10000                             Current                           500                                                                   10000


                                               0                                                                0                                                                        0
                                               -20000       -15000        -10000           -5000           0                                                                             -1000
                                                                     Discharge (GL yr-1)               Nominal Discharge
Pre-regulation - Strong concordance – suggested
that response of one indicator is associated with
other indicators across all reaches




Post-regulation – Not significant
Suggests river regulation and extraction has
segmented the river into discrete units whose
wetland indices respond discordantly to changes
in discharge and therefore must be managed
individually
Pre-regulation - Strong concordance – suggested
 that response of one indicator is associated with
 other indicators across all reaches




FRAGMENTATION
Post-regulation – Not significant
Suggests river regulation and extraction has
segmented the river into discrete units whose
wetland indices respond discordantly to changes
in discharge and therefore must be managed
individually
Artificial watering (pumping)

                   V.

         Weir pool manipulation

sustaining the resilience of aquatic
communities and at the ecosystem level
Inund tio a ao theC w
     a n re f       ho illa
flo d la a lo flo s(10 0 ML/d y
   o p in t w w        ,0 0   a
flo toSA), w a w ut a
   w         ith nd itho n
enviro e l re ula r o e tingo
      nm nta g to p ra       n
lo e C w C e (SA MDB NRM
  w r ho illa re k
Bo rd 2 0 ).
   a 08

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Water Research Centre modelling wetland connectivity

  • 1. Water Research Centre Water Wednesday Sustaining the River Murray with less water
  • 2. Water Allocation to Murray Valley wetlands: a basin wide modelling approach George Ganf, University of Adelaide Rod Oliver, CSIRO Sean White, University of Adelaide Justin Brookes, Kane Aldridge, Dominic Skinner, Mike Young Supported by Land & Water Australia (sadly, no more)
  • 5. Fro this m To this
  • 6. Summary of major findings • Connectivity • Linking aquatic vegetation with hydrology Pre- v. post-regulation •Resilience •Fragmentation The ecological unit •Management for ecological benefit •The reach •Weir pool manipulation (Chowilla initiative)
  • 7. Connectivity – a surrogate index of water regime • 0.91- 1.0 = continuous connection to main channel (permanently wet) • 0.41- 0.5 = 41 - 50% of time connected to main channel (seasonal inundation) • 0.0- 0.09 = Never or rarely connected
  • 9. P - v. p s g tio > 10 0w tla s re o t-re ula n 0 e nd lo t c nne tio w m in c nne s o c n ith a ha l
  • 10. Gaussian distribution curves describing probability of presence for 4 species across a gradient in wetland-river connectivity. 1.0 Eleocharis acuta Potamogeton crispus Phyla canescens 0.8 Phragmites australis Probability of presence 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 Connectivity
  • 11. Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity 60000 3000 50000 2500 Cumulative area of wetlands (ha) Cumulative number of wetlands 40000 2000 30000 1500 20000 1000 Nominal 10000 Discharge 500 0 0 -10000 -8000 -6000 -4000 -2000 0 2000 -1 Discharge (GL yr )
  • 12. Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity 60000 3000 50000 2500 Cumulative area of wetlands (ha) Cumulative number of wetlands 40000 2000 30000 Post 1500 20000 1000 Nominal 10000 Discharge 500 0 0 -10000 -8000 -6000 -4000 -2000 0 2000 -1 Discharge (GL yr )
  • 13. Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity 60000 3000 50000 2500 Cumulative area of wetlands (ha) Cumulative number of wetlands 40000 2000 30000 Post 1500 20000 1000 Nominal 10000 Discharge 500 0 0 -10000 -8000 -6000 -4000 -2000 0 2000 -1 Discharge (GL yr )
  • 14. Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity 60000 3000 50000 2500 Cumulative area of wetlands (ha) Cumulative number of wetlands 40000 2000 30000 Post 1500 20000 1000 Nominal 10000 Discharge 500 0 0 -10000 -8000 -6000 -4000 -2000 0 2000 -1 Discharge (GL yr )
  • 15. Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity 60000 3000 Pre- 50000 2500 Cumulative area of wetlands (ha) Cumulative number of wetlands 40000 2000 30000 Post 1500 20000 1000 Nominal 10000 Discharge 500 0 0 -10000 -8000 -6000 -4000 -2000 0 2000 -1 Discharge (GL yr )
  • 16. Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity 60000 3000 Pre- 50000 2500 Cumulative area of wetlands (ha) Cumulative number of wetlands 40000 2000 30000 Post 1500 20000 1000 Nominal 10000 Discharge 500 0 0 -10000 -8000 -6000 -4000 -2000 0 2000 -1 Discharge (GL yr )
  • 17. Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity 60000 3000 Pre- 50000 2500 Cumulative area of wetlands (ha) Cumulative number of wetlands 40000 2000 30000 Post 1500 20000 1000 Nominal 10000 Discharge 500 0 0 -10000 -8000 -6000 -4000 -2000 0 2000 -1 Discharge (GL yr )
  • 18. Pre- v. post regulation – influence of discharge above nominal (1989-2000) on # wetlands that achieve maximum diversity 60000 3000 Pre- 50000 2500 Cumulative area of wetlands (ha) Cumulative number of wetlands 40000 2000 RESILIENCE 30000 20000 Post 1500 1000 Nominal 10000 Discharge 500 0 0 -10000 -8000 -6000 -4000 -2000 0 2000 -1 Discharge (GL yr )
  • 19. -10000 -8000 -6000 -4000 -2000 0 2000 -6000 -5000 Discharge (GL yr-1) 60000 3000 60000 B E Cumulative number of wetlands Cumulative wetland area (ha) Cumulative wetland area (ha) 50000 2500 50000 Natural 40000 2000 40000 Family 30000 1500 30000 20000 Current 1000 20000 10000 500 10000 0 0 0 -20000 -15000 -10000 -5000 0 -4000 -300 Discharge (GL yr-1) Nominal Discharge 60000 3000 60000 C F Cumulative number of wetlands Cumulative wetland area (ha) Cumulative wetland area (ha) 50000 2500 50000 Natural Functional 40000 2000 40000 30000 1500 30000 20000 1000 20000 10000 Current 500 10000 0 0 0 -20000 -15000 -10000 -5000 0 -1000 Discharge (GL yr-1) Nominal Discharge
  • 20. Pre-regulation - Strong concordance – suggested that response of one indicator is associated with other indicators across all reaches Post-regulation – Not significant Suggests river regulation and extraction has segmented the river into discrete units whose wetland indices respond discordantly to changes in discharge and therefore must be managed individually
  • 21. Pre-regulation - Strong concordance – suggested that response of one indicator is associated with other indicators across all reaches FRAGMENTATION Post-regulation – Not significant Suggests river regulation and extraction has segmented the river into discrete units whose wetland indices respond discordantly to changes in discharge and therefore must be managed individually
  • 22. Artificial watering (pumping) V. Weir pool manipulation sustaining the resilience of aquatic communities and at the ecosystem level
  • 23.
  • 24. Inund tio a ao theC w a n re f ho illa flo d la a lo flo s(10 0 ML/d y o p in t w w ,0 0 a flo toSA), w a w ut a w ith nd itho n enviro e l re ula r o e tingo nm nta g to p ra n lo e C w C e (SA MDB NRM w r ho illa re k Bo rd 2 0 ). a 08