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A new wave of investment will transform sugars and cellulosic carbohydrates into
hydrocarbon fuels


Brazil: The Bossa
Nova of biofuels
S
           hell, BP Bunge, LS9,
                   ,                  standards, Brazil’s sugarcane      ventures (Shell-Cosan JV at         outputs, including renewable
           Dow and Amyris are         ethanol is environmentally,        $12 billion, BP’s $8 billion        diesel, aviation fuel, bio-
           collectively investing     economically, and politically      through 2015) heralding this        crude oil, biochemicals and
           more than $20 billion      achievable today. Paradoxically,   new trend of emerging markets       biopolymers with significant
(€16 billion) into advanced,          using the same sustainability      technology-feedstock ventures.      GHG reductions and carbon
sustainable biofuels in Brazil.       criteria, cellulosic biofuels in                                       emissions compared to
This new relationship between         the US and the EU are not          US and the EU dance                 petrochemical hydrocarbons.
Brazilian, US and EU public           yet economically achievable        with Brazil
and private industries is kicking     in substantial volumes.                                                Integrated biorefineries
off a new era in international           As the US and EU                Another wave of next-               in sight
biofuels investment.                  governments continue to            generation renewable drop-in
                                      debate sustainability criteria,    fuel companies Amyris, LS9,         The future benefits of
The next wave                         the Obama’s US EPA                 Solazyme and Dupont are also        these integrated cellulosic
                                      administration has already         investing in and partnering         biorefineries, especially
Bossa Nova – meaning the new          scaled back 2010 cellulosic        with Brazil’s sugarcane             in Brazil, will demonstrate
wave, mixing oil traditions with      biofuels targets during an         fermentation biorefineries.          leadership, proof of concept,
new trends – is an evolutionary art   election year, as ethanol          Why? Because their emerging         and much-needed economic
form. In the case of the agri-fuels   subsidies and tax credit           technologies from cellulosic        certainty that is challenged
business, Brazil’s new wave of        benefits are challenged by the      microbes (yeast, algae, fungus      by US and EU cellulosic
advanced, sustainable biofuels        imminent arrival of the E10        and bacteria) can use the           biofuels economics, mandates
investments represents a heady        blend wall in the US. This         same ethanol fermentation           and markets today. This will
mixture of sugars and cellulosic      uncertain policy environment       facilities in the US corn belt      benefit the other big emerging
carbohydrates into ethanol and        in the US and EU has private       and in Brazil’s sugarcane belt      markets of China and India
hydrocarbon fuels, renewable          investors looking to greener       to produce bio-crude, green         as the dance progresses.
diesel, biochemicals, biobutanol,     pastures, and entering into a      diesel, petrol and biojet.             Long before the Olympics
biopolymers, and advanced, low-       new dance mixing emerging             The simplicity is astounding.    arrive in Rio in 2017, Brazil’s
carbon drop-in replacement fuels.     technologies and sustainable       Here’s the big idea. Take an        leadership in sustainable
   For more than 30 years, Brazil     feedstocks with Brazil.            existing, stranded ethanol          biofuels, coupled with
has lead the world in sustainable                                        factory or conglomerate. Buy it     advanced technologies from
biofuels production. And at the       Investment trends                  for a substantial discount. Start   US and EU industry partners,
dawn of a new decade, Brazil                                             with cheap sugar. Drop in a new     will illuminate evolutionary
is emerging as a world leader in      US/EU/UN sustainability            Amyris, LS9, Solazyme, Gevo,        pathways in achieving
advanced, sustainable biofuels        criteria have ironically lead to   Solazyme or Cobalt microbe/         successfully integrated,
investments, along with new           positive investment outcomes       bug in the same fermentation        diversified, biorefineries. In
technologies from private sector      in Brazil during a challenging     vat and what do you get? An         particular, India, the world’s
partners in the US and EU. In         economic recession world-          integrated biorefinery that can      second largest sugar producer,
2010, Brazil’s progress in private    wide. Sustainable sugars           use cheap, sustainable sugars       and the world’s most populated
sector biofuels investment is         lead the charge. During this       to produce renewable diesel,        nation, is most likely to benefit
charging ahead, while EU and          time, a consolidation among        aviation fuel, and biobutanol       from this progress along with
US government policies are            Brazil’s sugarcane production      – fuels that are compatible with    China and other key emerging
effectively reducing ethanol          facilities and conglomerates       existing petroleum pipelines,       market nations interested in
biofuels targets due to political     lead to favourable terms           storage, petrol stations, and       attracting increased investment
uncertainty and slower growth         for first generation sugar          vehicle engines today.              and emerging technologies
related to cellulosic biofuel         cane ethanol acquisitions,            In the near future,              for sustainable growth. ●
feedstock production economics.       and attractive conditions for      these fermentation-based
                                      next-generation, integrated        biorefineries will be able to
                                                                                                             For more information:
Sustainable policies                  cellulosic biorefineries. These     convert multiple inputs from        This article was written by Will Thurmond,
matter                                reasons explain the new wave       cellulosic sugars- bagasse,         CEO of market research firm Emerging
                                      of investments in Brazil, where    switchgrass, wood chips,            Markets Online, and author of Algae 2020
                                                                                                             (2009), and Advanced Biofuels 2020
Based on US, EU and UN                Shell and BP have entered          municipal solid waste, and          (summer 2010) www.emerging-markets.
sustainability government policy      into to multi-billion dollar       glycerin – into a diverse set of    com info@emerging-markets.com



biofuels international                                                                                                             june 2010 47

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Brazil The Bossa Nova of Biofuels by Will Thurmond www.emergingmarketsonline

  • 1. heading biofuels ������������������������� ������������� ���������������� ������������������������ ������������� ���������������� ����������������������������������������� A new wave of investment will transform sugars and cellulosic carbohydrates into hydrocarbon fuels Brazil: The Bossa Nova of biofuels S hell, BP Bunge, LS9, , standards, Brazil’s sugarcane ventures (Shell-Cosan JV at outputs, including renewable Dow and Amyris are ethanol is environmentally, $12 billion, BP’s $8 billion diesel, aviation fuel, bio- collectively investing economically, and politically through 2015) heralding this crude oil, biochemicals and more than $20 billion achievable today. Paradoxically, new trend of emerging markets biopolymers with significant (€16 billion) into advanced, using the same sustainability technology-feedstock ventures. GHG reductions and carbon sustainable biofuels in Brazil. criteria, cellulosic biofuels in emissions compared to This new relationship between the US and the EU are not US and the EU dance petrochemical hydrocarbons. Brazilian, US and EU public yet economically achievable with Brazil and private industries is kicking in substantial volumes. Integrated biorefineries off a new era in international As the US and EU Another wave of next- in sight biofuels investment. governments continue to generation renewable drop-in debate sustainability criteria, fuel companies Amyris, LS9, The future benefits of The next wave the Obama’s US EPA Solazyme and Dupont are also these integrated cellulosic administration has already investing in and partnering biorefineries, especially Bossa Nova – meaning the new scaled back 2010 cellulosic with Brazil’s sugarcane in Brazil, will demonstrate wave, mixing oil traditions with biofuels targets during an fermentation biorefineries. leadership, proof of concept, new trends – is an evolutionary art election year, as ethanol Why? Because their emerging and much-needed economic form. In the case of the agri-fuels subsidies and tax credit technologies from cellulosic certainty that is challenged business, Brazil’s new wave of benefits are challenged by the microbes (yeast, algae, fungus by US and EU cellulosic advanced, sustainable biofuels imminent arrival of the E10 and bacteria) can use the biofuels economics, mandates investments represents a heady blend wall in the US. This same ethanol fermentation and markets today. This will mixture of sugars and cellulosic uncertain policy environment facilities in the US corn belt benefit the other big emerging carbohydrates into ethanol and in the US and EU has private and in Brazil’s sugarcane belt markets of China and India hydrocarbon fuels, renewable investors looking to greener to produce bio-crude, green as the dance progresses. diesel, biochemicals, biobutanol, pastures, and entering into a diesel, petrol and biojet. Long before the Olympics biopolymers, and advanced, low- new dance mixing emerging The simplicity is astounding. arrive in Rio in 2017, Brazil’s carbon drop-in replacement fuels. technologies and sustainable Here’s the big idea. Take an leadership in sustainable For more than 30 years, Brazil feedstocks with Brazil. existing, stranded ethanol biofuels, coupled with has lead the world in sustainable factory or conglomerate. Buy it advanced technologies from biofuels production. And at the Investment trends for a substantial discount. Start US and EU industry partners, dawn of a new decade, Brazil with cheap sugar. Drop in a new will illuminate evolutionary is emerging as a world leader in US/EU/UN sustainability Amyris, LS9, Solazyme, Gevo, pathways in achieving advanced, sustainable biofuels criteria have ironically lead to Solazyme or Cobalt microbe/ successfully integrated, investments, along with new positive investment outcomes bug in the same fermentation diversified, biorefineries. In technologies from private sector in Brazil during a challenging vat and what do you get? An particular, India, the world’s partners in the US and EU. In economic recession world- integrated biorefinery that can second largest sugar producer, 2010, Brazil’s progress in private wide. Sustainable sugars use cheap, sustainable sugars and the world’s most populated sector biofuels investment is lead the charge. During this to produce renewable diesel, nation, is most likely to benefit charging ahead, while EU and time, a consolidation among aviation fuel, and biobutanol from this progress along with US government policies are Brazil’s sugarcane production – fuels that are compatible with China and other key emerging effectively reducing ethanol facilities and conglomerates existing petroleum pipelines, market nations interested in biofuels targets due to political lead to favourable terms storage, petrol stations, and attracting increased investment uncertainty and slower growth for first generation sugar vehicle engines today. and emerging technologies related to cellulosic biofuel cane ethanol acquisitions, In the near future, for sustainable growth. ● feedstock production economics. and attractive conditions for these fermentation-based next-generation, integrated biorefineries will be able to For more information: Sustainable policies cellulosic biorefineries. These convert multiple inputs from This article was written by Will Thurmond, matter reasons explain the new wave cellulosic sugars- bagasse, CEO of market research firm Emerging of investments in Brazil, where switchgrass, wood chips, Markets Online, and author of Algae 2020 (2009), and Advanced Biofuels 2020 Based on US, EU and UN Shell and BP have entered municipal solid waste, and (summer 2010) www.emerging-markets. sustainability government policy into to multi-billion dollar glycerin – into a diverse set of com info@emerging-markets.com biofuels international june 2010 47