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Why Being Green Is Not Enough




40th Anniversary of     Elton B. Sherwin
Earth Day                April 25, 2010
Six Things Tend to Dominate
   The Carbon Footprint of
     Affluent Americans
        What are they?
Agenda
 Global perspective
 California perspective
 What you can do
   Quiz answers
 What cities can do
“…fill the earth and subdue it.
 …work it and take care of it.”

         Genesis 1:28b, 2:15b
We are overachievers at
“filling” and “subduing.”

  The problem is with
   “take care of it.”
There Have Been a Few Surprises
No One Anticipated 40 Years Ago




    Image: Roger Braithwaite, University of Manchester (UK)
Most of the
               World’s Glaciers
                are Shrinking



Muir & Riggs
 Glaciers
   Alaska
In 2007, Much of the North Pole Disappeared




              Missing Ice




                                    North Pole
                                    NASA
What is the
Greenhouse Effect?




  Graphic from www.solcomhouse.com
CO2
       Tasteless
       Odorless
       Non toxic

        Invisible
(lets visible light through)


 Traps Infrared Heat
Simple Greenhouse Effect


                                                CO2




Graphic modified from www.stopglobalwarming.com.au
Some CO2 is Good



                              CO2




Graphic modified from www.stopglobalwarming.com.au
Double CO2 from 1800’s




      CO2




                                      Ken Caldeira
                                 ºC   Carnegie Institution
      -6 -4 -2   0   2   4   6        at Stanford Univ.
How Do We Really Know
  CO2 is the Problem?
    What About Sunspots
    Or the Earth’s Orbit?
NASA, Retro Stöckli
CO2


Temp.
are
       Current CO2 Levels                   CO2
                              0,000 Years
Unprecede nted in the Last 40




                                            Temp.
Civilization
                                    CO2




                                    c

7000 years of stable temperatures
"For the first time in human
history, science has shown that
we are altering the destiny of our
                   planet…
       It’s quite alarming.”
                Steven Chu,
          U.S. Secretary of Energy
            and Nobel Laureate
           From his remarks to scientists and staff
       at the Stanford Linear Accelerator in Palo Alto.
                        June 26, 2009
California
July Temperatures



                   California’s
                   agricultural
                   regions will be
                   hard hit




2009 California Climate Adaptation Strategy
   www.climatechange.ca.gov/adaptation
Midcentury
Increase of 5 Degrees Fahrenheit




     2009 California Climate Adaptation Strategy
        www.climatechange.ca.gov/adaptation
Could See Increases of 10 to 14
         Degree Fahrenheit in Central Valley*




2009 California Climate Adaptation Strategy


             *“Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California”
             Christopher B. Field and 17 coauthors, June 23, 2004, PNAS
Smaller snowpack
      More water shortages
     Less water for agriculture




“Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California”
Christopher B. Field and 17 coauthors, June 23, 2004, PNAS
16 Inches                                                            Vallejo

of Sea Rise
                                 San Rafael




                                                                     Oakland


                                      San
                                   Francisco




                                                                                               San Jose
SOURCE: Inundation data from Knowles, 2008. Additional salt pond elevation data by Siegel and Bachand, 2002.
Aerial imagery is NAIP 2005 data. http://www.bcdc.ca.gov/planning/climate_change/climate_change.shtml
16 Inches
                                                                          of Sea Rise

Foster City
                    es
                  or
               Sh
            d
         oo
       dw
     Re




                                            East Menlo

                                                                 East Palo Alto

SOURCE: Inundation data from Knowles, 2008. Additional salt pond elevation data by Siegel and Bachand, 2002.
Aerial imagery is NAIP 2005 data. BCDC.gov
South Bay
                                                                                        16 Inches
                                                                                       of Sea Rise

                                                                                         Cisco,
                                                                                           Sun,
                                                                                       and Google
                                                                                        all at risk
           10
              1




                                   Moffett Field

                                                                237

SOURCE: Inundation data from Knowles, 2008. Additional salt pond elevation data by Siegel and Bachand, 2002.
Aerial imagery is NAIP 2005 data. BCDC.gov
North Bay
                                                                                             16 Inches
                                                                                            of Sea Rise
                                                  Vallejo




SOURCE: Inundation data from Knowles, 2008. Additional salt pond elevation data by Siegel and Bachand, 2002.
Aerial imagery is NAIP 2005 data. BCDC.gov
North Bay
                                                                                             16 Inches
                                                                                            of Sea Rise

        San Rafael

                                                                                                         Richmond




   Larkspur



  Corte Madera




SOURCE: Inundation data from Knowles, 2008. Additional salt pond elevation data by Siegel and Bachand, 2002.
Aerial imagery is NAIP 2005 data. BCDC.gov
It Is Not Just the West Coast
Many cities at risk
• Miami
• Key West
• Tampa
• New York
• Venice
• Amsterdam
In 150 years, students may study
   New Orleans like Carthage:
    A city that no longer exists
World’s Poor
 Hard Hit


 Move 17
  million
people this
 century?
Some Consequences Are
    Unpredictable

          Tipping points
      Irreversible thresholds
Ice Sheets Collapse

                                                             Consequences
                                                              are Huge

                                                             20 Feet of
                                                              Ocean Rise


                                                          NSF Website and the National Center for
                                                          Atmospheric Research (NCAR)
Image: Roger Braithwaite, University of Manchester (UK)
Acidification and Warming
        of the Ocean
Risk of some piece of the ecosystem collapsing

                                                 NOAA
“The climate is nearing tipping
points. Changes are beginning
   to appear and there is a
    potential for explosive
changes, effects that would be
         irreversible”
              James Hansen,
    Director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for
                 Space Studies
         The Observer, February 15, 2009,
“A common misperception is that this is
     a crisis that is down the road.

“Climate change is real. It's happening
                now.”

                    Senator John McCain
                          August 24, 2009
                               LA Times

 Kristen Wyatt Associated Press
 http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/wire/sns-ap-us-global-
 warming-national-parks,0,6162897.story
What You Can Do
Answers to Quiz
Six Items Tend to Dominate The
       Carbon Footprint of Affluent
                Americans
1.   Air travel
2.   The “stuff” you buy
3.   Gasoline and diesel you use
4.   Natural gas, propane, heating oil, and
     wood you burn
5.   Electricity you use
6.   Beef and dairy you eat
Reducing Your Carbon Footprint
1.    Travel less by plane.
2.    Drive less.
3.    Buy less stuff (save more / buy less)
4.    Burn fewer hydrocarbons to make hot
      water and heat. (shorter showers)
5.    Use less electricity. (turn off lights)
6.    Eat less beef, cheese, and cream.

Stop burning wood, paper, and leaves.
Real-time Monitoring
 Black & Decker
 Power Monitor




                  You can install
                   Costs $88
                   6% to 20% reduction
                  Read all the reviews on
                    Amazon to make sure it is
                    compatible with your meter
Day After
     Installation
At 10:10 AM.

“It says I am using
$1000 a month.”

“And nothing is on.
I turned off all the lights.
Nothing is on”
Except the Pool Pump
We were spending $1,000 a year moving
water around
Installed a
 New Pool
  Pump

Spent $2,500
Saves about
$100/mo.



www.pentairpool.com
Handout




   Download from www.EltonSherwin.com
Handout




   Download from www.EltonSherwin.com
Home, School, or Business Audit
Sherwin family replaced 55 bulbs




Saved over $100 a month: 3 mo. breakeven
It Takes Time




                 Six trips to
                Home Depot
Replace light bulbs
Download from www.EltonSherwin.com
Have an Impact
Focus on One or Two Areas
Your home
A school
  Contest
Church
City
Club
Relatives
Neighborhood
On the web
Or…
Use Your Skills
Research
Teach or train others
Install CFLs
Blog (Facebook)
Call talk radio shows
Attend meetings
Start a new organization
Start a committee in an existing organization or
business
Write letters and op-ed pieces
Service Project

                      Efficient
                     Cookstoves




                  www.stovesonline.co.u
                  k/darfur-stove.html
Top 10 Recommendations for
                              Cities
1.   Eliminate all methane (food scraps)
2.   Eliminate all soot (diesel & fireplaces)
3.   Publish & post energy grades of buildings
       Need one city or county to take a leadership role.   www.Amazon.com




 www.EltonSherwin.com
      This presentation
      What are Your Home’s Top Energy Wasters?
      What are Your Company’s Top Energy
      Wasters?
We Are Leaving Our Children a
                 Different State
Foster City
                    es
                  or
               Sh
            d
         oo
       dw
     Re




                                            East Menlo                                          16 Inches
                                                                                                of Sea Rise
                                                                 East Palo Alto

SOURCE: Inundation data from Knowles, 2008. Additional salt pond elevation data by Siegel and Bachand, 2002.
Aerial imagery is NAIP 2005 data. BCDC.gov
Temperature
                          Rise




“The time for action
      is now.”
    Governor Arnold
    Schwarzenegger
Questions
Appendix
Under the Surface, it is Troubling
                        In 2009, less than
                        15% of the North
                        Pole was “old ice.”




North Pole, NASA
Number of Days Over 100ºF
                                       Higher Emissions Scenario, 2080-2099


        Recent Past, 1961-1979




                                       Lower Emissions Scenario, 2080-2099




White House Report on Climate Change
EPA and
      National
      Research
       Council
     Estimates of
     Ocean Rise



1 meter


16 inches
A word about Mercury




       Berkeley Electric Cooperative

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SlideCast Audio: Why Being Green is Not Enough from Trinity Church

  • 1. Why Being Green Is Not Enough 40th Anniversary of Elton B. Sherwin Earth Day April 25, 2010
  • 2. Six Things Tend to Dominate The Carbon Footprint of Affluent Americans What are they?
  • 3. Agenda Global perspective California perspective What you can do Quiz answers What cities can do
  • 4. “…fill the earth and subdue it. …work it and take care of it.” Genesis 1:28b, 2:15b
  • 5. We are overachievers at “filling” and “subduing.” The problem is with “take care of it.”
  • 6. There Have Been a Few Surprises No One Anticipated 40 Years Ago Image: Roger Braithwaite, University of Manchester (UK)
  • 7. Most of the World’s Glaciers are Shrinking Muir & Riggs Glaciers Alaska
  • 8. In 2007, Much of the North Pole Disappeared Missing Ice North Pole NASA
  • 9. What is the Greenhouse Effect? Graphic from www.solcomhouse.com
  • 10. CO2 Tasteless Odorless Non toxic Invisible (lets visible light through) Traps Infrared Heat
  • 11. Simple Greenhouse Effect CO2 Graphic modified from www.stopglobalwarming.com.au
  • 12. Some CO2 is Good CO2 Graphic modified from www.stopglobalwarming.com.au
  • 13. Double CO2 from 1800’s CO2 Ken Caldeira ºC Carnegie Institution -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 at Stanford Univ.
  • 14. How Do We Really Know CO2 is the Problem? What About Sunspots Or the Earth’s Orbit?
  • 17. are Current CO2 Levels CO2 0,000 Years Unprecede nted in the Last 40 Temp.
  • 18. Civilization CO2 c 7000 years of stable temperatures
  • 19. "For the first time in human history, science has shown that we are altering the destiny of our planet… It’s quite alarming.” Steven Chu, U.S. Secretary of Energy and Nobel Laureate From his remarks to scientists and staff at the Stanford Linear Accelerator in Palo Alto. June 26, 2009
  • 21. July Temperatures California’s agricultural regions will be hard hit 2009 California Climate Adaptation Strategy www.climatechange.ca.gov/adaptation
  • 22. Midcentury Increase of 5 Degrees Fahrenheit 2009 California Climate Adaptation Strategy www.climatechange.ca.gov/adaptation
  • 23. Could See Increases of 10 to 14 Degree Fahrenheit in Central Valley* 2009 California Climate Adaptation Strategy *“Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California” Christopher B. Field and 17 coauthors, June 23, 2004, PNAS
  • 24. Smaller snowpack More water shortages Less water for agriculture “Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California” Christopher B. Field and 17 coauthors, June 23, 2004, PNAS
  • 25. 16 Inches Vallejo of Sea Rise San Rafael Oakland San Francisco San Jose SOURCE: Inundation data from Knowles, 2008. Additional salt pond elevation data by Siegel and Bachand, 2002. Aerial imagery is NAIP 2005 data. http://www.bcdc.ca.gov/planning/climate_change/climate_change.shtml
  • 26. 16 Inches of Sea Rise Foster City es or Sh d oo dw Re East Menlo East Palo Alto SOURCE: Inundation data from Knowles, 2008. Additional salt pond elevation data by Siegel and Bachand, 2002. Aerial imagery is NAIP 2005 data. BCDC.gov
  • 27. South Bay 16 Inches of Sea Rise Cisco, Sun, and Google all at risk 10 1 Moffett Field 237 SOURCE: Inundation data from Knowles, 2008. Additional salt pond elevation data by Siegel and Bachand, 2002. Aerial imagery is NAIP 2005 data. BCDC.gov
  • 28. North Bay 16 Inches of Sea Rise Vallejo SOURCE: Inundation data from Knowles, 2008. Additional salt pond elevation data by Siegel and Bachand, 2002. Aerial imagery is NAIP 2005 data. BCDC.gov
  • 29. North Bay 16 Inches of Sea Rise San Rafael Richmond Larkspur Corte Madera SOURCE: Inundation data from Knowles, 2008. Additional salt pond elevation data by Siegel and Bachand, 2002. Aerial imagery is NAIP 2005 data. BCDC.gov
  • 30. It Is Not Just the West Coast
  • 31. Many cities at risk • Miami • Key West • Tampa • New York • Venice • Amsterdam
  • 32. In 150 years, students may study New Orleans like Carthage: A city that no longer exists
  • 33. World’s Poor Hard Hit Move 17 million people this century?
  • 34. Some Consequences Are Unpredictable Tipping points Irreversible thresholds
  • 35. Ice Sheets Collapse Consequences are Huge 20 Feet of Ocean Rise NSF Website and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Image: Roger Braithwaite, University of Manchester (UK)
  • 36. Acidification and Warming of the Ocean Risk of some piece of the ecosystem collapsing NOAA
  • 37. “The climate is nearing tipping points. Changes are beginning to appear and there is a potential for explosive changes, effects that would be irreversible” James Hansen, Director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies The Observer, February 15, 2009,
  • 38. “A common misperception is that this is a crisis that is down the road. “Climate change is real. It's happening now.” Senator John McCain August 24, 2009 LA Times Kristen Wyatt Associated Press http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/wire/sns-ap-us-global- warming-national-parks,0,6162897.story
  • 41. Six Items Tend to Dominate The Carbon Footprint of Affluent Americans 1. Air travel 2. The “stuff” you buy 3. Gasoline and diesel you use 4. Natural gas, propane, heating oil, and wood you burn 5. Electricity you use 6. Beef and dairy you eat
  • 42. Reducing Your Carbon Footprint 1. Travel less by plane. 2. Drive less. 3. Buy less stuff (save more / buy less) 4. Burn fewer hydrocarbons to make hot water and heat. (shorter showers) 5. Use less electricity. (turn off lights) 6. Eat less beef, cheese, and cream. Stop burning wood, paper, and leaves.
  • 43. Real-time Monitoring Black & Decker Power Monitor You can install Costs $88 6% to 20% reduction Read all the reviews on Amazon to make sure it is compatible with your meter
  • 44. Day After Installation At 10:10 AM. “It says I am using $1000 a month.” “And nothing is on. I turned off all the lights. Nothing is on”
  • 45. Except the Pool Pump We were spending $1,000 a year moving water around
  • 46. Installed a New Pool Pump Spent $2,500 Saves about $100/mo. www.pentairpool.com
  • 47. Handout Download from www.EltonSherwin.com
  • 48. Handout Download from www.EltonSherwin.com
  • 49. Home, School, or Business Audit
  • 50. Sherwin family replaced 55 bulbs Saved over $100 a month: 3 mo. breakeven
  • 51. It Takes Time Six trips to Home Depot
  • 52. Replace light bulbs Download from www.EltonSherwin.com
  • 54. Focus on One or Two Areas Your home A school Contest Church City Club Relatives Neighborhood On the web Or…
  • 55. Use Your Skills Research Teach or train others Install CFLs Blog (Facebook) Call talk radio shows Attend meetings Start a new organization Start a committee in an existing organization or business Write letters and op-ed pieces
  • 56. Service Project Efficient Cookstoves www.stovesonline.co.u k/darfur-stove.html
  • 57. Top 10 Recommendations for Cities 1. Eliminate all methane (food scraps) 2. Eliminate all soot (diesel & fireplaces) 3. Publish & post energy grades of buildings Need one city or county to take a leadership role. www.Amazon.com www.EltonSherwin.com This presentation What are Your Home’s Top Energy Wasters? What are Your Company’s Top Energy Wasters?
  • 58. We Are Leaving Our Children a Different State Foster City es or Sh d oo dw Re East Menlo 16 Inches of Sea Rise East Palo Alto SOURCE: Inundation data from Knowles, 2008. Additional salt pond elevation data by Siegel and Bachand, 2002. Aerial imagery is NAIP 2005 data. BCDC.gov
  • 59. Temperature Rise “The time for action is now.” Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger
  • 62. Under the Surface, it is Troubling In 2009, less than 15% of the North Pole was “old ice.” North Pole, NASA
  • 63.
  • 64. Number of Days Over 100ºF Higher Emissions Scenario, 2080-2099 Recent Past, 1961-1979 Lower Emissions Scenario, 2080-2099 White House Report on Climate Change
  • 65. EPA and National Research Council Estimates of Ocean Rise 1 meter 16 inches
  • 66. A word about Mercury Berkeley Electric Cooperative