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ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Developing a Methodology in Evaluating Cost
Effectiveness of Journal Packages
Nisa Bakkalbasi

Head, Electronic Collections

Yale University Library




                                              1
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




 About today’s talk
Since 1990's many academic libraries signed multi-year
contracts to subscribe to electronic journal packages from
large publishers.

With recent collection budget cuts, many academic
libraries are having second thoughts about journal package
arrangements, which force them to spend too much money
on journals they don't need and which make it difficult to
pay for journals from smaller publishers and scholarly
monographs.

In this presentation, I will share a methodology we have
developed for evaluating the cost effectiveness of journal
packages.


                                                             2
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




 Outline of methodology

ï‚€ Identify the issue.

ï‚€ Collect and analyze data for decision making.

ï‚€ Identify and review options: pros and cons.

ï‚€ Discuss decision time-line and implementation.




                                                   3
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




To identify the issue, we need:

      ï‚€ An overview of the product

      ï‚€ How funding was established?




                                             4
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




To collect and analyze data, we use:

ï‚€ Data source:
     ï‚€     COUNTER-compliant usage reports
     ï‚€     Accessible titles list from consortium or publisher
     ï‚€     Publisher’s title-by-title list price
     ï‚€     Subject categories assigned by the publisher or locally

ï‚€ Data analysis technique
     ï‚€ Exploratory data analysis using quantitative and qualitative
       variables

ï‚€ Tool/software
     ï‚€ Excel PivotTable Report

                                                                      5
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




To review options and discuss pros
and cons, we need:

ï‚€ Pricing model or the sales model
     ï‚€ Base-value
     ï‚€ Subscribed/non-subscribed titles, if relevant
     ï‚€ Cancellation allowance
     ï‚€ Price cap
     ï‚€ DDP rate
     ï‚€ Perpetual (or post-cancellation) access rights
     ï‚€ Duration of the contract
     ï‚€ Transfer titles
     ï‚€ Third-party titles


                                                        6
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Let’s get started!

Using a case study, we will walk through a step-by-step
   evaluation of a journal package!




                                                          7
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Issue

ï‚€ An Academic Library has been subscribing to the ABC
  Publishers Complete Journals Collections since 2005. The initial
  base-value of the journal package arrangement was
  established based on historical print spend in 2004.

ï‚€ The staff wants to gain an understanding of whether the
  package is worth retaining when it is up for renewal -- i.e. are
  we paying less in the package than we would if we broke the
  package and had to pay title-by-title for the journals we need
  to retain access to.

ï‚€ Reductions in collection budget and different usage patterns
  among subjects are reasons to consider dissolving the journal
  package arrangement.


                                                                     8
Product Overview

ï‚€ ABC Publishers Complete e-Journal Collection:
  ï‚€ Publishes academic and research journals.
  ï‚€ Publishes in partnership with learned societies.
  ï‚€ Publishes in physical and life sciences, medicine, social
    sciences, humanities, law, and mathematics.
  ï‚€ Publishes 200.




                 ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas
                                                                9
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Data Collection

ï‚€ Download COUNTER Journal Report 1: Number of Successful
  Full-Text Article Requests by Month and Journal.

ï‚€ Exclude all titles that are based on separate pricing models.

ï‚€ Exclude journal archives usage if backfile purchase was a
  separate acquisition.

ï‚€ Obtain a list of “Accessible Titles” list, which contains a list of all
  titles (subscribed and non-subscribed) included in the package
  arrangement.

ï‚€ Obtain a list of e-only list prices.

ï‚€ Aggregate all data in a single spreadsheet.


                                                                            10
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Producing data

ï‚€ Each record should contain the following variables:
     ï‚€ Journal title
     ï‚€ ISSNs
     ï‚€ Usage count (YTD Total from the COUNTER JR1 report)
     ï‚€ List price
     ï‚€ Categories for subscribed and non-subscribed variables
     ï‚€ Categories for subjects




                                                                11
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Enhance data to facilitate decisions

ï‚€ Calculate cost-per-use (CPU)


     CPU= e-only price for the title /YTD Total (per year)

ï‚€ Using ILL cost as a threshold, create two new categorical
  variables to filter for possible renewals and cancellations


     Let’s take a look at an anonymized data!




                                                                12
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Analysis: Title count

              Subscribed vs. non-subscribed title counts
    Subject Cluster                          NO   YES   Grand Total
    Humanities                               9    38        47
    Law                                      4    21        25
    Social Sciences                          11   26        37
    Science & Medicine                       32   41        73
    Mathematics                              10    8        18
    Grand Total                              66   134      200


                                                                      13
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




  Analysis: Usage

          Subscribed vs. non-subscribed titles usage counts
Subject Cluster                           NO           YES       Grand Total
Humanities                                     1,057         7,775         8,832
Law                                             257          1,821         2,078
Social Sciences                                1,450         4,314         5,764
Science & Medicine                         10,544        60,246           70,790
Mathematics                                     204          1,384         1,588
Grand Total                                13,512        75,540           89,052




                                                                                   14
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




   Analysis: Usage

                        Cumulative Relative Frequency (%)
   10%              20%               50%       80%     90%      No use
   1% (2)           2% (4)            8% (15)   24% (48) 40% (80) 0

10 % of use comes from two titles, 20 % of use comes from four
titles, 50 % of use comes from fifteen titles, and so on.




                                                                          15
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




   Analysis: Cost

                   Subscribed vs. non-subscribed titles cost
Subject Cluster                            NO            YES            Grand Total
Humanities                                      $2,074     $10,725           $12,799
Law                                             $1,666         $9,346        $11,012
Social Sciences                                 $4,511     $10,363           $14,874
Science & Medicine                          $24,764        $42,071           $66,835
Mathematics                                     $6,402         $9,198        $15,600
Grand Total                                 $39,417        $81,703          $121,120




                                                                                       16
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Analysis: Candidates for renewal
cancellation (based on $10/ILL)

                       Count of possible candidates for
                           renewal/cancellation
    Subject                         CPU>= $10 CPU<= $10 Grand Total
    Humanities                               7    40         47
    Law                                      13   12         25
    Social Sciences                          6    31         37
    Science &
    Medicine                                 8    65         73
    Mathematics                              16    2         18
    Grand Total                              50   150       200



                                                                      17
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Analysis: Candidates for renewal &
cancellation (based on $25/ILL)

                       Count of possible candidates for
                           renewal/cancellation
Subject                             CPU>= $25 CPU <= $25 Grand Total
Humanities                                   3     44         47
Law                                          6     19         25
Social Sciences                              2     35         37
Science & Medicine                           3     70         73
Mathematics                                  10    8          18
Grand Total                                  24   176         200



                                                                       18
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Analysis: Candidates for renewal &
cancellation (based on $10/ILL)

                         Cost of possible candidates for
                              renewal/cancellation
Subject                              CPU>= $10         CPU<= $10     Grand Total
Humanities                                    $1,782       $11,017       $12,799
Law                                           $6,738        $4,274       $11,012
Social Sciences                               $2,581       $12,293       $14,874
Science & Medicine                            $7,745       $59,090       $66,835
Mathematics                                  $15,176          $424       $15,600
Grand Total                                  $34,022       $87,098      $121,120



                                                                                   19
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Analysis: Candidates for renewal &
cancellation (based on $25/ILL)

                         Cost of possible candidates for
                              renewal/cancellation
    Subject                        CPU>=$25 CPU<=$25 Grand Total
    Humanities                                 $588     $12,211    $12,799
    Law                                       $3,832     $7,180    $11,012
    Social Sciences                            $649     $14,225    $14,874
    Science &
    Medicine                                  $1,329    $65,506    $66,835
    Mathematics                               $9,110     $6,490    $15,600
    Grand Total                              $15,508   $105,612   $121,120



                                                                             20
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Methodology reveals

ï‚€ proof that users are using electronic resources.

ï‚€ value for money.

ï‚€ necessary but insufficient data to make strategic
  decisions.




                                                      21
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Methodology does not reveal

ï‚€ The users’ experience or perception of the utility or value
  of a collection or service.

ï‚€ Low use can occur because the product’s user interface
  is difficult to use or because users are unaware that the
  product is available.




                                                                22
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Questions?




                                             23
ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas




Thank you for coming!




                                             24

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Developing a Methodology for Evaluating the Cost-effectiveness of Journal Packages

  • 1. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Developing a Methodology in Evaluating Cost Effectiveness of Journal Packages Nisa Bakkalbasi Head, Electronic Collections Yale University Library 1
  • 2. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas About today’s talk Since 1990's many academic libraries signed multi-year contracts to subscribe to electronic journal packages from large publishers. With recent collection budget cuts, many academic libraries are having second thoughts about journal package arrangements, which force them to spend too much money on journals they don't need and which make it difficult to pay for journals from smaller publishers and scholarly monographs. In this presentation, I will share a methodology we have developed for evaluating the cost effectiveness of journal packages. 2
  • 3. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Outline of methodology ï‚€ Identify the issue. ï‚€ Collect and analyze data for decision making. ï‚€ Identify and review options: pros and cons. ï‚€ Discuss decision time-line and implementation. 3
  • 4. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas To identify the issue, we need: ï‚€ An overview of the product ï‚€ How funding was established? 4
  • 5. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas To collect and analyze data, we use: ï‚€ Data source: ï‚€ COUNTER-compliant usage reports ï‚€ Accessible titles list from consortium or publisher ï‚€ Publisher’s title-by-title list price ï‚€ Subject categories assigned by the publisher or locally ï‚€ Data analysis technique ï‚€ Exploratory data analysis using quantitative and qualitative variables ï‚€ Tool/software ï‚€ Excel PivotTable Report 5
  • 6. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas To review options and discuss pros and cons, we need: ï‚€ Pricing model or the sales model ï‚€ Base-value ï‚€ Subscribed/non-subscribed titles, if relevant ï‚€ Cancellation allowance ï‚€ Price cap ï‚€ DDP rate ï‚€ Perpetual (or post-cancellation) access rights ï‚€ Duration of the contract ï‚€ Transfer titles ï‚€ Third-party titles 6
  • 7. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Let’s get started! Using a case study, we will walk through a step-by-step evaluation of a journal package! 7
  • 8. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Issue ï‚€ An Academic Library has been subscribing to the ABC Publishers Complete Journals Collections since 2005. The initial base-value of the journal package arrangement was established based on historical print spend in 2004. ï‚€ The staff wants to gain an understanding of whether the package is worth retaining when it is up for renewal -- i.e. are we paying less in the package than we would if we broke the package and had to pay title-by-title for the journals we need to retain access to. ï‚€ Reductions in collection budget and different usage patterns among subjects are reasons to consider dissolving the journal package arrangement. 8
  • 9. Product Overview ï‚€ ABC Publishers Complete e-Journal Collection: ï‚€ Publishes academic and research journals. ï‚€ Publishes in partnership with learned societies. ï‚€ Publishes in physical and life sciences, medicine, social sciences, humanities, law, and mathematics. ï‚€ Publishes 200. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas 9
  • 10. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Data Collection ï‚€ Download COUNTER Journal Report 1: Number of Successful Full-Text Article Requests by Month and Journal. ï‚€ Exclude all titles that are based on separate pricing models. ï‚€ Exclude journal archives usage if backfile purchase was a separate acquisition. ï‚€ Obtain a list of “Accessible Titles” list, which contains a list of all titles (subscribed and non-subscribed) included in the package arrangement. ï‚€ Obtain a list of e-only list prices. ï‚€ Aggregate all data in a single spreadsheet. 10
  • 11. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Producing data ï‚€ Each record should contain the following variables: ï‚€ Journal title ï‚€ ISSNs ï‚€ Usage count (YTD Total from the COUNTER JR1 report) ï‚€ List price ï‚€ Categories for subscribed and non-subscribed variables ï‚€ Categories for subjects 11
  • 12. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Enhance data to facilitate decisions ï‚€ Calculate cost-per-use (CPU) CPU= e-only price for the title /YTD Total (per year) ï‚€ Using ILL cost as a threshold, create two new categorical variables to filter for possible renewals and cancellations Let’s take a look at an anonymized data! 12
  • 13. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Analysis: Title count Subscribed vs. non-subscribed title counts Subject Cluster NO YES Grand Total Humanities 9 38 47 Law 4 21 25 Social Sciences 11 26 37 Science & Medicine 32 41 73 Mathematics 10 8 18 Grand Total 66 134 200 13
  • 14. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Analysis: Usage Subscribed vs. non-subscribed titles usage counts Subject Cluster NO YES Grand Total Humanities 1,057 7,775 8,832 Law 257 1,821 2,078 Social Sciences 1,450 4,314 5,764 Science & Medicine 10,544 60,246 70,790 Mathematics 204 1,384 1,588 Grand Total 13,512 75,540 89,052 14
  • 15. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Analysis: Usage Cumulative Relative Frequency (%) 10% 20% 50% 80% 90% No use 1% (2) 2% (4) 8% (15) 24% (48) 40% (80) 0 10 % of use comes from two titles, 20 % of use comes from four titles, 50 % of use comes from fifteen titles, and so on. 15
  • 16. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Analysis: Cost Subscribed vs. non-subscribed titles cost Subject Cluster NO YES Grand Total Humanities $2,074 $10,725 $12,799 Law $1,666 $9,346 $11,012 Social Sciences $4,511 $10,363 $14,874 Science & Medicine $24,764 $42,071 $66,835 Mathematics $6,402 $9,198 $15,600 Grand Total $39,417 $81,703 $121,120 16
  • 17. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Analysis: Candidates for renewal cancellation (based on $10/ILL) Count of possible candidates for renewal/cancellation Subject CPU>= $10 CPU<= $10 Grand Total Humanities 7 40 47 Law 13 12 25 Social Sciences 6 31 37 Science & Medicine 8 65 73 Mathematics 16 2 18 Grand Total 50 150 200 17
  • 18. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Analysis: Candidates for renewal & cancellation (based on $25/ILL) Count of possible candidates for renewal/cancellation Subject CPU>= $25 CPU <= $25 Grand Total Humanities 3 44 47 Law 6 19 25 Social Sciences 2 35 37 Science & Medicine 3 70 73 Mathematics 10 8 18 Grand Total 24 176 200 18
  • 19. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Analysis: Candidates for renewal & cancellation (based on $10/ILL) Cost of possible candidates for renewal/cancellation Subject CPU>= $10 CPU<= $10 Grand Total Humanities $1,782 $11,017 $12,799 Law $6,738 $4,274 $11,012 Social Sciences $2,581 $12,293 $14,874 Science & Medicine $7,745 $59,090 $66,835 Mathematics $15,176 $424 $15,600 Grand Total $34,022 $87,098 $121,120 19
  • 20. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Analysis: Candidates for renewal & cancellation (based on $25/ILL) Cost of possible candidates for renewal/cancellation Subject CPU>=$25 CPU<=$25 Grand Total Humanities $588 $12,211 $12,799 Law $3,832 $7,180 $11,012 Social Sciences $649 $14,225 $14,874 Science & Medicine $1,329 $65,506 $66,835 Mathematics $9,110 $6,490 $15,600 Grand Total $15,508 $105,612 $121,120 20
  • 21. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Methodology reveals ï‚€ proof that users are using electronic resources. ï‚€ value for money. ï‚€ necessary but insufficient data to make strategic decisions. 21
  • 22. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Methodology does not reveal ï‚€ The users’ experience or perception of the utility or value of a collection or service. ï‚€ Low use can occur because the product’s user interface is difficult to use or because users are unaware that the product is available. 22
  • 23. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Questions? 23
  • 24. ER&L 2010 February 1-3, 2010 Austin, Texas Thank you for coming! 24