Transboundary Modelling of Particulate Matter with REMOTE- Saji Varghese, NUIG
1. Transboundary Modelling of Particulate Matter with REMOTE Saji Varghese Centre for Climate and Air Pollution Studies and School of Physics, National University of Ireland, Galway
9. Domain - Western Europe and North East Atlantic
10. Emission - EMEP and organic-inorganic source function
11.
12.
13. Secondary Organic Aerosol (SOA) in the Marine Environment (Antilla et al., 2010) Isoprene source function Isoprene concentration in sea water is proportional to chlorophyll-a concentration (Meskhidze and Nenes, 2006) Isoprene flux =product of isoprene concentration and gas exchange coefficient (Palmer and Shaw, 2005) isoprene oxidation products as major SOA precursors SOA formation based on Henry’s law
14. SOA: Six additional components in M7 - isoprene oxidation products as SOA precursors - SOA formation based on Henry’s law
15.
16. Eyjafyalla volcano eruption April-May 2010 disruption to air-traffic Economic losses to airlines, insurance companies, logistics operations, tourism industry Initial forecasts from VAAC – using NAME model - 4mg/m3 limit - 2mg/m3 limit - Forecasting with REMOTE – an additional tool - air-quality
17. Development of volcanic ash forecasting system boundary data preparation from ECMWF forecast data and analysis model development and source term parameterisation volcano source data gathering and assimilation comparison with other dispersion models continual refinement of the model for improving forecasts forecasts issued twice daily automation
18. Key input parameters and associated uncertainties for models Source term (key eruption parameters) Mass flux vertical distribution of mass column height particle size distribution density
19. Sample 4-day forecast Spatial distribution of volcanic ash (mg/m2) Horizontal resolution: 0.5o(~50 km), 81x91 grid points Vertical levels : 19 Time step: 5 min Boundary data: ECMWF forecast Emission source: Iceland Met office
24. Conclusions state-of-the art modelling system to determine atmospheric chemical composition an integrated air-quality forecast system will be developed and evaluated a useful research tool to study implication of climate change on air-quality
25. Acknowledgements Met Eireann ICHEC Modelling Team (NUI Galway) - Damien Martin, Robert Flanagan, Liz Coleman and Colin O’Dowd BaerbelLangmann (Univ. of Hamburg) and TatuAntilla (FMI, Helsinki) EPA