2. Methodology
2
• The survey was conducted by Rating Group Ukraine on behalf of the International Republican Institute’s Center for Insights in
Survey Research.
• The survey was conducted throughout Ukraine (except for the occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas) from December 13-
27, 2018, through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes.
• The sample consisted of 2,400 permanent residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older and eligible to vote. It is representative of
the general population by gender, age, region, and settlement size. The distribution of population by regions and settlements
is based on statistical data of the Central Election Commission from the 2014 parliamentary elections, and the distribution of
population by age and gender is based on data from the State Statistics Committee of Ukraine from January 1, 2018.
• A multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and “last birthday” methods for respondent
selection.
• Stage One: The territory of Ukraine was split into 25 administrative regions (24 regions of Ukraine and Kyiv). The survey
was conducted throughout all regions of Ukraine, with the exception of the occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas.
• Stage Two: The selection of settlements was based on towns and villages. Towns were grouped into subtypes according
to their size:
• Cities with populations of more than 1 million
• Cities with populations of between 500,000-999,000
• Cities with populations of between 100,000-499,000
• Cities with populations of between 50,000-99,000
• Cities with populations of up to 50,000
• Villages
Cities and villages were selected by the PPS method (probability proportional to size). The number of selected
cities/villages in each region is proportional to the share of population living in cities/villages of a certain type in each
region.
• Stage Three: Households were selected by the random route method, and respondents were selected by the “last
birthday” rule.
• The margin of error does not exceed 2.0 percent for the full sample.
• The response rate is 62.7 percent.
• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.
• The survey was financed by the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID).
• For disaggregations by intended vote, the Top 9 parties and the Top 10 presidential candidates are displayed. The sample of
respondents who would vote for other parties/candidates is too small for analysis.
3. Frequently Cited Disaggregates
3
Region Sample Size (n)
West 625
Center 813
East 375
South 587
Age Sample Size (n)
18-35 714
36-50 652
50+ 1,024
First Choice in
Presidential Elections
Sample Size
(n)
Yuriy Boyko 169
Anatoliy Hrytsenko 164
Oleh Lyashko 136
Yevheniy Muraiev 77
Petro Poroshenko 205
Andriy Sadoviy 50
Yulia Tymoshenko 320
Oleksandr Shevchenko 69
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk 54
Volodymyr Zelenskyi 217
I would not vote 322
Undecided 451
Political Party
Preference
Sample Size
(n)
Batkivshchyna 326
BPP “Solidarnist” 180
Civic Position 146
Nashi 71
Oppositional Platform –
Za Zhyttia
159
Radical Party 141
Self-Reliance
(Samopomich)
62
Sluha Narodu 202
UKROP 66
I would not vote 355
Undecided 469
4. 4
Geographical Key
*Due to the Russian occupation of Crimea and the ongoing conflict in eastern Ukraine, residents of Crimea and the so-
called separatist-controlled territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts (“the Donbas”) were not surveyed in this poll.
6. Do you intend to vote in the presidential elections scheduled for
March 31, 2019?
6
32%
42%
5%
12%
9%
Definitely yes
Somewhat yes
Somewhat no
Definitely no
Difficult to answer/No answer
7. 7
(Disaggregated by region, age)
26%
30%
37%
26%
30%
32%
38%
43%
44%
40%
41%
40%
43%
44%
7%
5%
4%
6%
6%
5%
4%
13%
13%
10%
17%
14%
10%
7%
10%
8%
9%
10%
10%
10%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
18-35
36-50
51+
South
East
Center
West
Definitely yes Somewhat yes Somewhat no Definitely no Difficult to answer/No answer
Do you intend to vote in the presidential elections scheduled for
March 31, 2019?
9. If presidential elections were held next Sunday and the following
candidates participated in the election, for whom would you vote?
9
19%
13%
4%
<1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
6%
7%
7%
9%
9%
13%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Difficult to answer/No answer
I would not vote
Other
Arseniy Yatseniuk
Valentyn Nalyvaichenko
Ruslan Koshulynskyi
Serhiy Taruta
Andriy Sadovyi
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk
Oleksandr Shevchenko
Yevheniy Muraiev
Oleh Lyashko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Yuriy Boyko
Petro Poroshenko
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Yulia Tymoshenko
(All respondents)
10. 10
(Among likely voters: n=1,773)
17%
4%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
7%
8%
9%
11%
11%
16%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Difficult to answer/No answer
Other
Arseniy Yatseniuk
Valentyn Nalyvaichenko
Ruslan Koshulynskyi
Serhiy Taruta
Andriy Sadovyi
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk
Yevheniy Muraiev
Oleksandr Shevchenko
Oleh Lyashko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Yuriy Boyko
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Petro Poroshenko
Yulia Tymoshenko
If presidential elections were held next Sunday and the following
candidates participated in the election, for whom would you vote?
11. 11
18-35 36-50 51+ West Center South East
Yulia Tymoshenko 11% 13% 16% 13% 16% 13% 8%
Volodymyr Zelenskyi 18% 9% 3% 5% 10% 12% 7%
Petro Poroshenko 7% 10% 9% 12% 9% 5% 7%
Yuriy Boyko 3% 5% 11% 4% 5% 9% 13%
Anatoliy Hrytsenko 3% 6% 10% 9% 7% 4% 6%
Oleh Lyashko 3% 5% 8% 5% 6% 7% 3%
Yevheniy Muraiev 1% 4% 4% - 4% 4% 6%
Oleksandr Shevchenko 4% 3% 2% 6% 2% 2% 2%
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk 4% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Andriy Sadovyi 2% 4% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2%
Serhiy Taruta 1% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1%
Ruslan Koshulynskyi 1% 1% - 2% - - 1%
Valentyn Nalyvaichenko - 1% 1% 2% - - 1%
Arseniy Yatseniuk 1% - - 1% - - -
Other 4% 4% 4% 3% 5% 3% 5%
I would not vote 17% 14% 11% 9% 11% 19% 17%
Difficult to answer/No answer 20% 19% 18% 23% 16% 18% 20%
If presidential elections were held next Sunday and the following
candidates participated in the election, for whom would you vote?
(Disaggregated by age, region)
14. If the following two candidates made it to a second round in the
March 2019 presidential elections, for whom would you vote?
14
20%
41%
26%
13%
Difficult to
answer/No
answer
Would not
vote
Yulia
Tymoshenko
Petro
Poroshenko
0% 20% 40% 60%
Poroshenko vs.
Tymoshenko
21%
35%
23%
21%
Difficult to
answer/No answer
Would not vote
Yulia Tymoshenko
Anatoliy
Hrytsenko
0% 20% 40%
21%
33%
23%
24%
Difficult to
answer/No answer
Would not vote
Volodymyr
Zelenskyi
Yulia Tymoshenko
0% 20% 40%
22%
38%
25%
15%
Difficult to answer/No
answer
Would not vote
Yulia Tymoshenko
Andriy Sadovyi
0% 20% 40%
Hrytsenko vs.
Tymoshenko
Sadovyi vs.
Tymoshenko
Tymoshenko vs.
Zelenskyi
15. If the following two candidates made it to a second round in the
March 2019 presidential elections, for whom would you vote?
15
20%
38%
28%
14%
Difficult to
answer/No
answer
Would not
vote
Yulia
Tymoshenko
Yuriy Boyko
0% 20% 40%
Boyko vs.
Tymoshenko
21%
35%
18%
26%
Difficult to
answer/No answer
Would not vote
Sviatoslav
Vakarchuk
Yulia Tymoshenko
0% 20% 40%
24%
38%
11%
27%
Difficult to
answer/No answer
Would not vote
Petro Poroshenko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
0% 20% 40%
21%
36%
29%
14%
Difficult to answer/No
answer
Would not vote
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Petro Poroshenko
0% 20% 40%
Tymoshenko vs.
Vakarchuk
Poroshenko vs.
Zelenskyi
Hrytsenko vs.
Poroshenko
16. If the following two candidates made it to a second round in the
March 2019 presidential elections, for whom would you vote?
16
23%
41%
18%
18%
Difficult to
answer/No
answer
Would not
vote
Petro
Poroshenko
Yuriy Boyko
0% 20% 40% 60%
Boyko vs.
Poroshenko
24%
45%
18%
13%
Difficult to
answer/No answer
Would not vote
Andriy Sadovyi
Petro Poroshenko
0% 20% 40% 60%
24%
42%
22%
12%
Difficult to
answer/No answer
Would not vote
Sviatoslav
Vakarchuk
Petro Poroshenko
0% 20% 40% 60%
Poroshenko vs.
Sadovyi
Poroshenko vs.
Vakarchuk
17. If Yulia Tymoshenko and Petro Poroshenko made it to a second
round in the March 2019 presidential elections, for whom would
you vote?
17
99%
37%
28%
24%
22%
19%
19%
13%
13%
16%
5%
16%
15%
3%
2%
2%
10%
9%
98%
6%
39%
31%
41%
54%
59%
67%
49%
41%
29%
1%
20%
25%
19%
21%
20%
12%
28%
37%
2%
49%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Yulia Tymoshenko
Oleh Lyashko
Andriy Sadovyi
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Yuriy Boyko
Yevheniy Muraiev
Oleksandr Shevchenko
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk
Petro Poroshenko
Undecided22%
25%
30%
16%
26%
29%
29%
26%
11%
14%
13%
10%
20%
8%
12%
13%
45%
42%
37%
50%
30%
45%
42%
41%
22%
18%
19%
24%
23%
18%
17%
20%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
18-35
36-50
51+
East
West
South
Center
Nationwide
Yulia Tymoshenko Petro Poroshenko Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer
(Disaggregated by first round choice)
18. If Anatoliy Hrytsenko and Yulia Tymoshenko made it to a second
round in the March 2019 presidential elections, for whom would
you vote?
18
99%
40%
35%
30%
26%
25%
17%
12%
12%
14%
11%
18%
13%
27%
9%
14%
14%
21%
98%
12%
30%
25%
26%
30%
39%
49%
58%
41%
20%
<1%
20%
22%
31%
17%
27%
20%
16%
26%
2%
53%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Petro Poroshenko
Andriy Sadovyi
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk
Oleh Lyashko
Oleksandr Shevchenko
Yuriy Boyko
Yevheniy Muraiev
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Yulia Tymoshenko
Undecided13%
22%
26%
14%
15%
22%
31%
21%
21%
23%
24%
27%
14%
24%
23%
23%
42%
34%
30%
42%
45%
34%
22%
35%
24%
21%
20%
17%
26%
20%
24%
21%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
18-35
36-50
51+
South
East
Center
West
Nationwide
Anatoliy Hrytsenko Yulia Tymoshenko Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer
(Disaggregated by first round choice)
19. 97%
32%
24%
21%
15%
15%
13%
13%
11%
12%
<1%
21%
25%
27%
15%
22%
19%
21%
53%
97%
16%
30%
25%
30%
54%
41%
47%
34%
20%
20%
2%
17%
27%
21%
16%
22%
22%
32%
17%
3%
53%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Yulia Tymoshenko
Oleh Lyashko
Andriy Sadovyi
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Yevheniy Muraiev
Petro Poroshenko
Yuriy Boyko
Oleksandr Shevchenko
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Undecided
19
17%
23%
28%
14%
25%
25%
26%
24%
34%
23%
15%
15%
26%
22%
25%
23%
30%
34%
35%
47%
24%
38%
30%
33%
19%
20%
22%
25%
26%
14%
19%
21%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
18-35
36-50
51+
East
West
South
Center
Nationwide
Yulia Tymoshenko Volodymyr Zelenskyi Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer
If Yulia Tymoshenko and Volodymyr Zelenskyi made it to a
second round in the March 2019 presidential elections, for whom
would you vote?
(Disaggregated by first round choice)
20. 97%
40%
11%
11%
9%
8%
7%
6%
4%
1%
10%
10%
34%
22%
32%
14%
23%
33%
29%
97%
15%
36%
38%
47%
41%
45%
51%
39%
40%
25%
3%
14%
17%
20%
18%
33%
19%
22%
28%
2%
50%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Yuriy Boyko
Yevheniy Muraiev
Oleh Lyashko
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Oleksandr Shevchenko
Petro Poroshenko
Andriy Sadovyi
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk
Yulia Tymoshenko
Undecided
20
9%
14%
19%
8%
12%
18%
26%
14%
24%
27%
31%
37%
29%
26%
12%
28%
45%
40%
31%
33%
39%
41%
39%
38%
22%
20%
19%
23%
20%
15%
23%
20%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
18-35
36-50
51+
West
Center
South
East
Nationwide
Yuriy Boyko Yulia Tymoshenko Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer
If Yuriy Boyko and Yulia Tymoshenko made it to a second round in
the March 2019 presidential elections, for whom would you vote?
(Disaggregated by first round choice)
21. 98%
33%
19%
18%
16%
14%
14%
14%
13%
15%
17%
13%
31%
5%
18%
10%
39%
25%
100%
10%
31%
44%
32%
66%
38%
52%
32%
33%
23%
2%
19%
24%
19%
13%
29%
23%
16%
30%
52%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Yulia Tymoshenko
Oleh Lyashko
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Yevheniy Muraiev
Oleksandr Shevchenko
Yuriy Boyko
Petro Poroshenko
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk
Andriy Sadovyi
Undecided
21
22%
24%
28%
16%
24%
28%
28%
25%
13%
20%
14%
7%
27%
15%
9%
15%
41%
38%
36%
50%
24%
37%
46%
38%
24%
18%
22%
27%
25%
20%
17%
22%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
18-35
36-50
51+
East
West
Center
South
Nationwide
Yulia Tymoshenko Andriy Sadovyi Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer
If Yulia Tymoshenko and Andriy Sadovyi made it to a second
round in the March 2019 presidential elections, for whom would
you vote?
(Disaggregated by first round choice)
22. 92%
39%
38%
36%
32%
18%
13%
10%
10%
1%
12%
17%
20%
16%
19%
14%
34%
16%
17%
98%
14%
29%
19%
30%
29%
42%
30%
61%
52%
21%
8%
16%
23%
17%
19%
25%
23%
13%
22%
1%
54%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Andriy Sadovyi
Petro Poroshenko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Oleksandr Shevchenko
Oleh Lyashko
Yevheniy Muraiev
Yuriy Boyko
Yulia Tymoshenko
Undecided
22
14%
19%
23%
8%
12%
19%
29%
18%
30%
24%
21%
16%
29%
28%
25%
26%
34%
37%
35%
49%
44%
33%
22%
35%
22%
19%
21%
26%
15%
20%
23%
21%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
51+
36-50
18-35
East
South
Center
West
Nationwide
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk Yulia Tymoshenko Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer
If Sviatoslav Vakarchuk and Yulia Tymoshenko made it to a
second round in the March 2019 presidential elections, for whom
would you vote?
(Disaggregated by first round choice)
23. 99%
45%
42%
39%
35%
25%
24%
22%
20%
4%
20%
6%
5%
9%
2%
9%
2%
4%
2%
93%
4%
25%
30%
27%
39%
35%
51%
49%
67%
20%
1%
24%
23%
24%
23%
31%
23%
25%
10%
3%
56%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Andriy Sadovyi
Yulia Tymoshenko
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk
Oleh Lyashko
Oleksandr Shevchenko
Yuriy Boyko
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Yevheniy Muraiev
Petro Poroshenko
Undecided
23
20%
27%
32%
18%
22%
29%
35%
27%
11%
14%
11%
9%
7%
12%
17%
11%
44%
37%
34%
46%
51%
36%
23%
38%
26%
22%
23%
27%
19%
24%
25%
24%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
18-35
36-50
51+
East
South
Center
West
Nationwide
Anatoliy Hrytsenko Petro Poroshenko Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer
If Anatoliy Hrytsenko and Petro Poroshenko made it to a second
round in the March 2019 presidential elections, for whom would
you vote?
(Disaggregated by first round choice)
24. 96%
14%
12%
11%
7%
7%
5%
4%
4%
8%
2%
30%
44%
51%
25%
40%
33%
21%
22%
97%
19%
35%
23%
20%
32%
33%
39%
54%
60%
22%
2%
21%
21%
18%
36%
21%
23%
21%
14%
3%
52%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Petro Poroshenko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Andriy Sadovyi
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk
Oleksandr Shevchenko
Yulia Tymoshenko
Oleh Lyashko
Yuriy Boyko
Yevheniy Muraiev
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Undecided
24
11%
16%
14%
10%
11%
12%
21%
14%
39%
29%
21%
28%
17%
33%
31%
29%
30%
36%
40%
46%
47%
34%
22%
36%
20%
19%
24%
16%
25%
21%
25%
21%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
18-35
36-50
51+
South
East
Center
West
Nationwide
Petro Poroshenko Volodymyr Zelenskyi Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer
If Petro Poroshenko and Volodymyr Zelenskyi made it to a
second round in the March 2019 presidential elections, for whom
would you vote?
(Disaggregated by first round choice)
25. 95%
44%
22%
20%
14%
12%
10%
9%
5%
12%
2%
12%
5%
13%
31%
23%
11%
25%
98%
11%
39%
48%
56%
45%
35%
49%
42%
42%
25%
5%
16%
19%
19%
28%
22%
17%
37%
28%
2%
52%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Yuriy Boyko
Yevheniy Muraiev
Oleh Lyashko
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Yulia Tymoshenko
Andriy Sadovyi
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Oleksandr Shevchenko
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk
Petro Poroshenko
Undecided
25
13%
17%
22%
9%
14%
25%
29%
18%
16%
21%
17%
33%
16%
10%
10%
18%
46%
43%
37%
32%
47%
47%
37%
41%
25%
20%
23%
27%
23%
18%
23%
23%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
18-35
36-50
51+
West
Center
South
East
Nationwide
Yuriy Boyko Petro Poroshenko Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer
If Yuriy Boyko and Petro Poroshenko made it to a second round
in the March 2019 presidential elections, for whom would you
vote?
(Disaggregated by first round choice)
26. 97%
7%
5%
5%
5%
4%
3%
3%
2%
8%
34%
27%
27%
29%
35%
12%
20%
13%
100%
12%
40%
39%
42%
44%
33%
62%
55%
71%
29%
3%
19%
28%
26%
23%
28%
23%
22%
13%
52%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Petro Poroshenko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Oleksandr Shevchenko
Yulia Tymoshenko
Oleh Lyashko
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk
Yuriy Boyko
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Yevheniy Muraiev
Andriy Sadovyi
Undecided
26
11%
15%
12%
8%
10%
12%
20%
13%
17%
21%
18%
16%
7%
18%
28%
18%
46%
44%
45%
56%
57%
47%
26%
45%
26%
20%
25%
21%
27%
23%
26%
24%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
18-35
36-50
51+
South
East
Center
West
Nationwide
Petro Poroshenko Andriy Sadovyi Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer
If Petro Poroshenko and Andriy Sadovyi made it to a second
round in the March 2019 presidential elections, for whom would
you vote?
(Disaggregated by first round choice)
27. 91%
52%
44%
32%
32%
26%
25%
14%
13%
1%
13%
4%
2%
10%
5%
4%
7%
2%
4%
95%
8%
21%
39%
36%
39%
43%
37%
61%
66%
26%
9%
23%
15%
21%
24%
28%
31%
23%
17%
4%
53%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk
Andriy Sadovyi
Volodymyr Zelenskyi
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Yulia Tymoshenko
Oleh Lyashko
Oleksandr Shevchenko
Yuriy Boyko
Yevheniy Muraiev
Petro Poroshenko
Undecided
27
17%
22%
28%
8%
17%
23%
33%
22%
13%
15%
10%
10%
8%
12%
19%
12%
44%
42%
40%
54%
53%
43%
23%
42%
26%
22%
23%
28%
22%
22%
26%
24%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
51+
36-50
18-35
East
South
Center
West
Nationwide
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk Petro Poroshenko Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer
If Sviatoslav Vakarchuk and Petro Poroshenko made it to a
second round in the March 2019 presidential elections, for whom
would you vote?
(Disaggregated by first round choice)
29. 29
4%
1%
3%
7%
10%
15%
19%
17%
13%
11%
3%
1%
5%
7%
5%
13%
14%
20%
21%
11%
3%
1%
2%
4%
6%
7%
10%
11%
16%
39%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Difficult to answer/No answer
Other
Russian presence in Crimea
Foreign policy
Government incompetence
Social benefits
Communal housing payments, utilities, tariffs, etc.
Economy
Corruption
Military conflict in the Donbas
First choice Second choice Third choice
When making your decision on whom to vote for in the upcoming
presidential elections, currently scheduled for March 31, 2019,
which issues influence your vote the most?
30. 30
18-35 36-50 51+ West Center South East
Military conflict in the Donbas 39% 41% 38% 40% 44% 37% 33%
Corruption 16% 17% 16% 21% 18% 14% 9%
Economy 12% 12% 11% 12% 11% 10% 12%
Communal housing payments, utilities, tariffs, etc. 9% 8% 12% 8% 9% 13% 13%
Social benefits 6% 4% 10% 6% 5% 10% 9%
Government incompetence 5% 7% 5% 4% 6% 5% 8%
Foreign policy 5% 4% 4% 1% 3% 8% 7%
Russian presence in Crimea 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2%
Other 1% - 1% 1% - 1% 1%
Difficult to answer/No answer 3% 4% 2% 3% 2% 1% 7%
When making your decision on whom to vote for in the upcoming
presidential elections, currently scheduled for March 31, 2019,
which issues influence your vote the most?
(First choice; disaggregated by age, region)
31. 31
When making your decision on whom to vote for in the upcoming
presidential elections, currently scheduled for March 2019, which
issue influences your vote the most?
YuriyBoyko
SviatoslavVakarchuk
AnatoliyHrytsenko
VolodymyrZelenskyi
OlehLyashko
YevheniyMuraiev
PetroPoroshenko
AndriySadovyi
YuliaTymoshenko
OleksandrShevchenko
Wouldnotvote
Undecided
Military conflict in the Donbas 36% 35% 53% 35% 37% 37% 55% 42% 40% 25% 31% 41%
Corruption 16% 30% 13% 19% 18% 12% 8% 23% 19% 20% 14% 16%
Economy 13% 11% 9% 12% 11% 12% 13% 12% 12% 16% 9% 12%
Communal housing payments, utilities, tariffs, etc. 14% 7% 7% 8% 9% 13% 6% 2% 12% 13% 10% 13%
Social benefits 8% 7% 7% 6% 12% 11% 3% 10% 9% 2% 8% 5%
Government incompetence 5% 4% 5% 8% 6% 6% 3% 6% 3% 10% 9% 3%
Foreign policy 5% 2% 3% 6% 4% 6% 10% 4% 2% 4% 3% 4%
Russian presence in Crimea 2% 4% 3% 4% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 5% 1% 2%
Other - - - 1% 1% - - - 1% 2% 1% 1%
Difficult to answer/No answer 1% - 1% 3% 1% - - - - 4% 12% 5%
(First choice; disaggregated by first choice in presidential election)
32. 32
Improving the
economy
Improving social
protection for
the poor
Defending
Ukraine’s
territorial
integrity
Combatting
corruption
within state
bodies
Yulia Tymoshenko 17% 15% 11% 12%
Yuriy Boyko 9% 8% 6% 6%
Volodymyr Zelenskyi 6% 8% 6% 8%
Petro Poroshenko 8% 6% 10% 5%
Anatoliy Hrytsenko 5% 6% 11% 6%
Oleh Lyashko 5% 7% 5% 5%
Andriy Sadovyi 2% 2% 2% 2%
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk 2% 3% 2% 3%
Other 7% 6% 7% 7%
None of them 25% 26% 26% 32%
Difficult to answer/No answer 13% 13% 14% 15%
Which presidential candidate do you think is the best on the
following issues?
33. 33
18-35 36-50 51+ West Center South East
Yulia Tymoshenko 15% 17% 19% 18% 20% 18% 11%
Yuriy Boyko 5% 7% 13% 4% 8% 11% 17%
Petro Poroshenko 8% 8% 9% 13% 9% 4% 7%
Volodymyr Zelenskyi 12% 6% 2% 4% 8% 7% 4%
Anatoliy Hrytsenko 3% 5% 7% 8% 6% 3% 4%
Oleh Lyashko 4% 4% 7% 5% 6% 5% 3%
Andriy Sadovyi 2% 4% 2% 4% 2% 1% 2%
Sviatoslav Vakarchuk 3% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Other 6% 8% 8% 5% 9% 4% 12%
None of them 27% 28% 21% 20% 21% 34% 26%
Difficult to answer/No answer 15% 13% 12% 15% 11% 13% 15%
Which presidential candidate do you think is the best on
improving the economy?
(Disaggregated by age, region)
42. 42
4%
20%
38%
22%
16%
Completely free and fair
Somewhat free and fair
Somewhat not free and fair
Not free and fair at all
Difficult to answer/No answer
Do you believe that the upcoming presidential elections, currently
scheduled for March 31, 2019, will be free and fair?
44. 44
5%
20%
31%
20%
24% The possibility of street violence is
very high
The possibility of street violence is
somewhat high
The possibility of street violence is
somewhat low
The possibility of street violence is
very low
Difficult to answer/No answer
Do you anticipate street violence in the run-up to the
March 31, 2019 presidential elections?
46. 46
6%
24%
26%
18%
26%
The possibility of street violence is
very high
The possibility of street violence is
somewhat high
The possibility of street violence is
somewhat low
The possibility of street violence is
very low
Difficult to answer/No answer
Do you anticipate street violence in the aftermath of the
March 31, 2019 presidential elections?
48. 9%
2%
3%
13%
6%
18%
27%
22%
30%
39%
37%
24%
49%
30%
16%
21%
6%
12%
18%
20%
Completely free and fair
(n=86)
Somewhat free and fair
(n=473)
Somewhat not free and
fair (n=915)
Not free and fair at all
(n=537)
The possibility of street violence is very high The possibility of street violence is somewhat high
The possibility of street violence is somewhat low The possibility of street violence is very low
Difficult to answer/No answer
48
… in the run-up to the March 2019
presidential elections?
6%
2%
5%
14%
7%
21%
31%
27%
30%
34%
32%
21%
48%
28%
13%
16%
9%
15%
19%
21%
Completely free and fair
(n=86)
Somewhat free and fair
(n=473)
Somewhat not free and
fair (n=915)
Not free and fair at all
(n=537)
Do you anticipate street violence…
…in the aftermath of the March 2019
presidential elections?
(Disaggregated by belief that the presidential elections will be free and fair)
50. Do you intend to vote in the parliamentary elections scheduled for
October 2019?
50
28%
40%
4%
13%
15%
Definitely yes
Somewhat yes
Somewhat no
Definitely no
Difficult to answer/No answer
51. If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the
following political parties participated in the election, for which
political party would you vote?
51
20%
15%
4%
<1%
<1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
3%
3%
3%
6%
6%
7%
8%
8%
14%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Difficult to answer/No answer
I would not vote
Other
Vidrodzhennia
Narodnyi Front
Agrarian Party of Ukraine
Justice
Svoboda
OSNOVA
Opposition Bloc
Samopomich
UKROP
Nashy
Radical Party
Civic Position
Opposition Platform Za Zhyttia
BPP Solidarnist
Sluha Narodu
Batkivshchyna
(All respondents)
*In this survey, IRI replaced “Za Zhyttia” with the new political association, “Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia” with Boyko
mentioned among the leaders. The leaders of Opposition Bloc were listed as Novinskiy and Vilkul.
52. If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the
following political parties participated in the election, for which
political party would you vote?
52
(Among likely voters: n=1,631)
18%
4%
<1%
<1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
3%
3%
4%
7%
8%
8%
10%
11%
17%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Difficult to answer/No answer
Other
Vidrodzhennia
Agrarian Party of Ukraine
Narodnyi Front
Justice
Opposition Bloc
Svoboda
OSNOVA
Nashy
Samopomich
UKROP
Radical Party
Civic Position
Opposition Platform Za Zhyttia
BPP Solidarnist
Sluha Narodu
Batkivshchyna
*In this survey, IRI replaced “Za Zhyttia” with the new political association, “Opposition Platform - Za Zhyttia” with Boyko
mentioned among the leaders. The leaders of Opposition Bloc were listed as Novinskiy and Vilkul.
54. 54
9%
14%
27%
37%
13%
Completely support
Somewhat support
Somewhat oppose
Completely oppose
Difficult to answer/No answer
To what extent do you support or oppose the government’s
decision to introduce a thirty-day period of martial law in
Ukraine, beginning effective November 28, 2018?
56. 56
16%
42%
17%
9%
16%
It’s a decision that serves the interests of
Ukraine
It’s a political decision aimed at giving
some politicians an advantage
Both equally
Neither
Difficult to answer/No answer
In your opinion, did the introduction of martial law in Ukraine on
November 28, 2018 serve the interests of Ukraine or did it
represent a political decision aimed at giving some politicians an
advantage?
58. 58
3%
57%
59%
11%
15%
23%
12%
3%
12%
6%
Don't support the introduction of
martial law (n=1,548)
Support the introduction of martial
law (n=540)
It’s a decision that serves the interests of Ukraine
It’s a political decision aimed at giving some politicians an advantage
Both equally
Neither
Difficult to answer/No answer
In your opinion, did the introduction of martial law in Ukraine on
November 28, 2018 serve the interests of Ukraine or did it
represent a political decision aimed at giving some politicians an
advantage?
59. 59
To what extent did the introduction of martial law in Ukraine have
any direct, negative impact on your day-to-day (“everyday”) life?
62%
20%
6%
12%
It has not negatively affected my
everyday life at all
It has somewhat affected my
everyday life in a negative manner
It has greatly affected my everyday
life in a negative manner
Difficult to answer/No answer
60. 60
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
6%
6%
6%
63%
66%
65%
51%
14%
12%
13%
18%
14%
10%
10%
18%
5%
5%
4%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Volodymyr Hroisman
Oleh Lyashko
Yuliya Tymoshenko
Petro Poroshenko
Improved a lot Improved somewhat Hasn’t changed
Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Difficult to answer/No answer
To what extent has your attitude towards the following politicians
changed after the introduction of martial law in Ukraine?
62. Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going
in the right direction or wrong direction?
62
13% 14%
15%
18%
34%
29%
15%
17%
15%
11%
13%
11%
13%
18%
16%
14%
15% 15% 16% 16%
71%
66%
69%
64%
48%
51%
72%
68%
70%
76%
71% 72% 72%
68% 67%
71% 71% 70% 71%
70%
16%
20%
16%
17% 18%
20%
13%
15% 15%
13% 15% 17%
15%
15%
17%
15%
14% 15% 14% 14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer/No answer
63. Generally speaking, do you think that things in Ukraine are going in
the right direction or wrong direction?
63
70%
27%
20%
19%
12%
10%
5%
4%
3%
5%
12%
21%
50%
69%
63%
77%
73%
82%
90%
92%
84%
67%
9%
23%
12%
18%
11%
17%
13%
5%
6%
11%
21%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
BPP Solidarnist
Samopomich
Civic Position
UKROP
Batkivshchyna
Sluha Narodu
Radical Party
Opposition Platform
Nashy
Would not vote
Undecided
Right direction Wrong direction Difficult to answer/No answer
(Disaggregated by political party preference)
72. Which three of the following issues are the most important for
Ukraine?
72
49%
45%
25%
24%
23%
20%
17%
17%
15%
13%
10%
10%
7%
5%
4%
4%
2%
2%
2%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Military conflict in Donbas
Corruption within the state bodies
Low industry production
Growth of prices
Government incompetence
Political instability
Unemployment
Social protection for the poor
Relations with Russia
Hryvnia devaluation
Healthcare
Russian presence in the Crimea
Crime
Delay in salary/pension payments
Rights to land ownership
Lack/possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water
Environment
Russian language status
Other
Difficult to answer/No answer
(Multiple responses permitted)
73. Which three of the following issues are the most important for you
personally?
73
62%
28%
26%
26%
23%
20%
17%
14%
11%
11%
9%
9%
8%
7%
5%
5%
2%
2%
5%
2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Growth of prices
Healthcare
Social protection for the poor
Unemployment
Hryvnia devaluation
Military conflict in Donbas
Corruption within the state bodies
Low industry production
Government incompetence
Delay in salary/pension payments
Political instability
Crime
Lack/possibility of cutting off gas, electricity, water
Rights to land ownership
Relations with Russia
Environment
Russian presence in the Crimea
Russian language status
Other
Difficult to answer/No answer
(Multiple responses permitted)
76. 40%41%
38%
46%48%
44%
51%49%50%
47%45%
49%
54%
50%
47%47%49% 47%
10% 8%
16%
22%
11% 9%
12%
9% 8% 7%
13%
8% 7% 6% 6%
10% 8%
13%
0%
20%
40%
60%
Warm Cold
24%26%26%
37%
41%40%40%39%40%41%
38%
42%
47%45%
40%40%38%36%
18%16%
22%24%
16%
13%
18%16%15%15%
19%
13%
9% 8%
10% 15%15%
20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
52%50%51%
31%
15%17%17%16%18%16%18%18%19%18%18%
22%19%
15%
12%
15%
19%
45%
66%
51%
61%59%58%58%56%56%
51%49%48%48%
52%54%
0%
20%
40%
60%
European Union United States
Russia
76
How do you evaluate your attitude toward each of the following
countries?
77. 77
If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union,
which of the following should it be?
36%
37%
32%
40%
42%
41%
52%
53%
59%
55%
57%
57%
55%
54%
51%
53%
54%
52%
50%
52%
52%
54%
53%
43%
41%
42%
37%
37%
36%
27%
24%
17%
14%
17%
15%
15%
15%
19%
18%
18%
14%
16%
18%
15%
14%
13%
4%
5%
6%
5%
5%
9%
6%
10%
9%
12%
12%
12%
14%
12%
14%
14%
8%
9%
10%
15%
17%
16%
14%
17%
17%
20%
18%
17%
14%
14%
13%
15%
20%
14%
16%
15%
19%
17%
15%
20%
24%
24%
14%
16%
16%
20%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2012
May 2012
September 2012
May 2013
September 2013
February 2014
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
June 2016
September 2016
April 2017
June 2017
September 2017
December 2017
March 2018
June 2018
September 2018
December 2018
European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan Other Difficult to answer/No answer
78. 78
If Ukraine could only enter one international economic union,
which of the following should it be?
84%
77%
74%
67%
60%
57%
50%
26%
13%
52%
36%
3%
8%
6%
6%
13%
13%
8%
40%
35%
8%
12%
4%
5%
6%
11%
7%
12%
15%
21%
36%
12%
26%
9%
11%
14%
16%
20%
18%
26%
13%
16%
28%
26%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
BPP Solidarnist
UKROP
Samopomich
Civic Position
Batkivshchyna
Sluha Narodu
Radical Party
Opposition Platform
Nashy
Undecided
Would not vote
European Union Customs Union with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan Other Difficult to answer/No answer
(Disaggregated by political party preference)
79. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how
would you vote?
79
34%
38%
43%
41%
48%
48%
45%
39%
43%
46%
40%
34%
37%
43%
43%
45%
44%
43%
40%
31%
30%
28%
30%
30%
32%
29%
27%
27%
26%
26%
33%
33%
31%
30%
9%
7%
17%
14%
8%
10%
10%
12%
11%
12%
12%
15%
12%
7%
8%
8%
10%
13%
15%
8%
15%
17%
13%
16%
17%
17%
14%
22%
24%
26%
17%
16%
15%
17%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
March 2014
April 2014
September 2014
July 2015
September 2015
November 2015
February 2016
June 2016
September 2016
April 2017
June 2017
September 2017
December 2017
March 2018
June 2018
September 2018
December 2018
Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO
Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer
80. If a referendum were held today on Ukraine joining NATO, how
would you vote?
80
81%
74%
68%
63%
50%
44%
37%
16%
11%
39%
29%
7%
15%
13%
21%
25%
21%
33%
66%
66%
27%
34%
5%
1%
6%
3%
5%
14%
10%
7%
13%
11%
24%
7%
9%
12%
14%
20%
22%
20%
10%
10%
23%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
BPP Solidarnist
UKROP
Samopomich
Civic Position
Batkivshchyna
Radical Party
Sluha Narodu
Opposition Platform
Nashy
Undecided
Would not vote
Would vote for Ukraine to join NATO Would vote against Ukraine joining NATO
Would not vote Difficult to answer/No answer
(Disaggregated by political party preference)
82. Demographics
45%
55%
30%
27%
43%
2%
18%
40%
38%
<1%
44%
35%
16%
1%
4%
24%
2%
13%
6%
27%
4%
7%
5%
5%
5%
1%
67%
33%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Male
Female
18-35
36-50
51+
Primary/Incomplete secondary
General secondary
Vocational secondary
Higher/Incomplete higher
Dificult to answer/No answer
I do not work
Private
State
Public, non-governmental
Dificult to answer/No answer
Worker
Farmer/Peasant
White collar
Higher or medium level executive
Pensioner (not working)
Student
Housewife
Unemployed
Self-employed/Entrepreneur
Other
Dificult to answer/No answer
City
Village
GENDERAGEEDUCATION
SECTOROF
EMPLOYMENTOCCUPATION
SETTLE-
MENT
TYPE
82
83. Demographics
47%
31%
22%
89%
8%
3%
1%
37%
19%
9%
1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
4%
22%
2%
6%
97%
1%
1%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Ukrainian
Russian
Both, Ukrainian and Russian equally
Ukrainian
Russian
Other
Difficult to answer/No answer
Orthodox UPC KP (Kyiv Patriarchate)
Orthodox UPC MP (Moscow Patriarchate)
Greek Catholic
Catholic
Protestant
Judaism
Muslim
Atheist
I believe in God, but do not belong to any religion
Other
Difficult to answer/No answer
None
Member of a political party
Member of an NGO
Difficult to answer/No answer
LANGUAGE
SPOKENAT
HOMENATIONALITYRELIGION
PARTIES,NGO
MEMBERSHIP
83
84. Demographics
84
13%
32%
37%
11%
3%
<1%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
We need to save money for food
We have enough money for food, but we need to save or borrow
money for buying clothes and shoes
We have enough money for food and necessary clothing and
shoes, but we need to save or borrow money for other purchases
like a good suit, a mobile phone, or a vacuum cleaner
We have enough money for food, clothing, shoes, and other
purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchasing
more expensive things (e.g. appliances)
We have enough money for food, clothes, shoes, and expensive
purchases, but we need to save or borrow money for purchases
like a car or an apartment
I can buy anything at any time
Difficult to answer/No answer
FINANCIALSTATUS