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A Current and Future-State Analysis of
Vietnam’s Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
Landscape
Introduction
Current State Analysis
Future State Analysis
Recommendations
Risks & Mitigations
Conclusion
Works Cited
Overview
This presentation will lay out the FDI landscape in
Vietnam, discuss key opportunities, and illustrate
recommendations for North American investment
over the next several years.
Introduction
Current State
Analysis
Infrastructure
● Infrastructure investment
presents one of the largest
investment opportunities for
investors especially the
burgeoning renewable energy
sector
● Continued infrastructure
investment is crucial to sustain
the growth of other sectors of
the economy
Technology
● Vietnam’s demographics coupled with
high acceptance of western education
and technology makes this a promising
sector for foreign investment
● COVID-19 has driven e-commerce and
education tech growth due to lack of in
person capabilities and will continue to
be one of the factors enabling future
growth
● Vietnam is also in the process of
creating a cashless society via a digital
Dong payment system endorsed by the
central bank in Vietnam.
● Total FDI in the technology sector for
2019 amounted to over US $6.4 billion
Manufacturing/
Processing
● The growth of the
manufacturing sector has been
one of the key drivers of
Vietnam's economic rise
● Opportunities combined with
the government’s commitment
to resolving weaknesses can
guarantee continued growth of
the industry
Manufacturing/Processing
Vietnam’s Top Exporting Markets
Electronics / components
Wood Processing Clothing / Textile
Manufacturing/Processing
Electronics / components
Wood Processing
Vietnam’s Top Importing Markets
Clothing / Textile
Agriculture
● Vietnam’s advantageous
positioning along the Mekong and
Red River deltas and rich land
position it well as a continued
source for FDI
● Vietnam should ensure that it is
taking proactive measures
towards protecting its
environment, particularly in
response to sand mining and
dams along the deltas, as well as
climate change and the usage of
toxic chemicals in agriculture
● In 2020, the Agricultural sector
accounted 15% of Vietnam’s GDP
Agriculture
● The export market share has
continuously been
strengthened and expanded
● Vietnam has tried to develop
Emerging markets, niches
(Middle East, Africa, Eastern
Europe) methodically and in a
complementary manner to key
markets
● As of 2018, Vietnam exported
agri-products to Canada with a
net value of US$ 449 million
Future State
Analysis
Recommendations
Canada
• Expand
Canadian pork
exports to
Vietnam
• Export Canadian
timber to Vietnam
Both
• Export Vietnamese
flowers
• Expand Vietnam’s
seafood &
aquaculture exports
United States
• Tech jobs + TVET
investments
More shipping container
availability (will also lower
price)
Lowered duties on
pork imports
Expand allowable
timeframe for chilled
pork
Formalized marketing,
production, & distribution
plan for timber
Improvements Needed:
Vietnam & U.S. Trade
Exhibit Source:
CRSReports.C
ongress.Gov
Exhibit Source:
Vietnam-
Briefing
Exhibit Source: Census.Gov
Vietnam & Canada Trade
Exhibit Source: Vietnam-briefing
Exhibit Source: TradingEconomics
Debt & deficits
Ease of doing
business &
transparency
Environmental
protection
Labor productivity
& investments
Diplomatic
relations
COVID-19
Risks &
Mitigations
Positive and proactive approach from
the Vietnamese government (~2,900
cases, under 400 active cases, and
35 deaths)
Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine approved in
January 2021
Construction, manufacturing, and utilities
boosted by trade agreements
Services sectors suffered the most
due to the pandemic
COVID-19
Conclusion
• Historic Q1 FDI inflow of US$ 9.3 billion in Q1 of 2021
• Huge impact for North America due to the US-China trade
wars and China +1 policies
• Vietnam is a strong candidate for investments in Asia driven
by investor friendly policies, cost efficiency, and a stable
economic and political outlook
Road infrastructure Solar energy Wind energy Ports, SEZs, EPZs
Technology Agriculture Manufacturing Clothing and textiles
Thank You!
For more information or
to receive the complete analysis
Contact:
Ralf.Matthaes@infocusmekong.com
THE AUTHORS
ANDREW HART,
DONG-HA LEE,
LEA MARICH,
MAZAHIR BOOTWALA,
MICHELLE DANTAS,
YASHODHAN AGARWAL
Duong, D. T. (2020). Sustainable development for Vietnam agriculture. https://www.e3s-
conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/35/e3sconf_interagromash2020_01015.pdf
World Bank Group. (n.d.-c). Vietnam Wood Exports by country in US$ Thousand 2017. World
Integrated Trade Solution. Retrieved April 20, 2021, from
https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/VNM/Year/2017/TradeFlow/Export/Part
ner/by-country/Product/44-49_Wood
World Bank Group. (n.d.-b). Vietnam Textiles and Clothing Exports by country and region in US$
Thousand 2017. World Integrated Trade Solution. Retrieved April 20, 2021, from
https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/VNM/Year/2017/TradeFlow/Export/Part
ner/all/Product/50-63_TextCloth
Works Cited
• Source for Growth in U.S.-Vietnam Merchandise Trade:
https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11753
• Source for Vietnam-US Trade: https://www.vietnam-briefing.com/news/why-vietnam-has-
become-promising-alternative-for-us-businesses-in-asia.html/
• Source for 2021 US trade in goods with Vietnam: https://www.census.gov/foreign-
trade/balance/c5520.html
• Source for Canada’s Exports to Vietnam: https://www.vietnam-briefing.com/news/vietnam-
canada-trade-leveraging-cptpp.html/
• Source for Vietnam Exports to Canada: https://tradingeconomics.com/vietnam/exports/Canada
Exhibit
Sources

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FDI is a savier for Vietnam Recovery

  • 1. A Current and Future-State Analysis of Vietnam’s Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Landscape
  • 2. Introduction Current State Analysis Future State Analysis Recommendations Risks & Mitigations Conclusion Works Cited Overview
  • 3. This presentation will lay out the FDI landscape in Vietnam, discuss key opportunities, and illustrate recommendations for North American investment over the next several years. Introduction
  • 5. Infrastructure ● Infrastructure investment presents one of the largest investment opportunities for investors especially the burgeoning renewable energy sector ● Continued infrastructure investment is crucial to sustain the growth of other sectors of the economy
  • 6. Technology ● Vietnam’s demographics coupled with high acceptance of western education and technology makes this a promising sector for foreign investment ● COVID-19 has driven e-commerce and education tech growth due to lack of in person capabilities and will continue to be one of the factors enabling future growth ● Vietnam is also in the process of creating a cashless society via a digital Dong payment system endorsed by the central bank in Vietnam. ● Total FDI in the technology sector for 2019 amounted to over US $6.4 billion
  • 7. Manufacturing/ Processing ● The growth of the manufacturing sector has been one of the key drivers of Vietnam's economic rise ● Opportunities combined with the government’s commitment to resolving weaknesses can guarantee continued growth of the industry
  • 8. Manufacturing/Processing Vietnam’s Top Exporting Markets Electronics / components Wood Processing Clothing / Textile
  • 9. Manufacturing/Processing Electronics / components Wood Processing Vietnam’s Top Importing Markets Clothing / Textile
  • 10. Agriculture ● Vietnam’s advantageous positioning along the Mekong and Red River deltas and rich land position it well as a continued source for FDI ● Vietnam should ensure that it is taking proactive measures towards protecting its environment, particularly in response to sand mining and dams along the deltas, as well as climate change and the usage of toxic chemicals in agriculture ● In 2020, the Agricultural sector accounted 15% of Vietnam’s GDP
  • 11. Agriculture ● The export market share has continuously been strengthened and expanded ● Vietnam has tried to develop Emerging markets, niches (Middle East, Africa, Eastern Europe) methodically and in a complementary manner to key markets ● As of 2018, Vietnam exported agri-products to Canada with a net value of US$ 449 million
  • 13. Recommendations Canada • Expand Canadian pork exports to Vietnam • Export Canadian timber to Vietnam Both • Export Vietnamese flowers • Expand Vietnam’s seafood & aquaculture exports United States • Tech jobs + TVET investments More shipping container availability (will also lower price) Lowered duties on pork imports Expand allowable timeframe for chilled pork Formalized marketing, production, & distribution plan for timber Improvements Needed:
  • 14. Vietnam & U.S. Trade Exhibit Source: CRSReports.C ongress.Gov Exhibit Source: Vietnam- Briefing Exhibit Source: Census.Gov
  • 15. Vietnam & Canada Trade Exhibit Source: Vietnam-briefing Exhibit Source: TradingEconomics
  • 16. Debt & deficits Ease of doing business & transparency Environmental protection Labor productivity & investments Diplomatic relations COVID-19 Risks & Mitigations
  • 17. Positive and proactive approach from the Vietnamese government (~2,900 cases, under 400 active cases, and 35 deaths) Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine approved in January 2021 Construction, manufacturing, and utilities boosted by trade agreements Services sectors suffered the most due to the pandemic COVID-19
  • 18. Conclusion • Historic Q1 FDI inflow of US$ 9.3 billion in Q1 of 2021 • Huge impact for North America due to the US-China trade wars and China +1 policies • Vietnam is a strong candidate for investments in Asia driven by investor friendly policies, cost efficiency, and a stable economic and political outlook Road infrastructure Solar energy Wind energy Ports, SEZs, EPZs Technology Agriculture Manufacturing Clothing and textiles
  • 19. Thank You! For more information or to receive the complete analysis Contact: Ralf.Matthaes@infocusmekong.com THE AUTHORS ANDREW HART, DONG-HA LEE, LEA MARICH, MAZAHIR BOOTWALA, MICHELLE DANTAS, YASHODHAN AGARWAL
  • 20. Duong, D. T. (2020). Sustainable development for Vietnam agriculture. https://www.e3s- conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/35/e3sconf_interagromash2020_01015.pdf World Bank Group. (n.d.-c). Vietnam Wood Exports by country in US$ Thousand 2017. World Integrated Trade Solution. Retrieved April 20, 2021, from https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/VNM/Year/2017/TradeFlow/Export/Part ner/by-country/Product/44-49_Wood World Bank Group. (n.d.-b). Vietnam Textiles and Clothing Exports by country and region in US$ Thousand 2017. World Integrated Trade Solution. Retrieved April 20, 2021, from https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/VNM/Year/2017/TradeFlow/Export/Part ner/all/Product/50-63_TextCloth Works Cited
  • 21. • Source for Growth in U.S.-Vietnam Merchandise Trade: https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF11753 • Source for Vietnam-US Trade: https://www.vietnam-briefing.com/news/why-vietnam-has- become-promising-alternative-for-us-businesses-in-asia.html/ • Source for 2021 US trade in goods with Vietnam: https://www.census.gov/foreign- trade/balance/c5520.html • Source for Canada’s Exports to Vietnam: https://www.vietnam-briefing.com/news/vietnam- canada-trade-leveraging-cptpp.html/ • Source for Vietnam Exports to Canada: https://tradingeconomics.com/vietnam/exports/Canada Exhibit Sources