Roope Mokka's and Aleksi Neuvonen's presentation about the future of work, income and progress at the NextEra San Francisco launch. The Next Era - An initiative to track, connect, and amplify emerging ideas for an open and forward-looking society

1. FROM PAUSE
TO PLAY
WORK, INCOME AND PROGRESS IN THE NEXT ERA
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Roope Mokka Co-Founder Demos Helsinki @mokka
Aleksi Neuvonen Co-Founder Demos Helsinki @leksis

2. WHERE ARE
WE NOW?
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3. WHERE ARE WE NOW?
WHAT NEXT?
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4. ASTONISHING PROGRESS
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5. LOST AND LEFT BEHIND
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6. STRANGE DISSONANCE
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7. A DIVIDED SOCIETY
BACK TO GREAT VS TECHNO-OPTIMISM
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8. CULTURAL PESSIMISM
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9. STUCK IN THE MIDDLE
“THE CRISIS CONSISTS PRECISELY IN
THE FACT THAT THE OLD IS DYING AND THE
NEW CANNOT BE BORN; IN THIS
INTERREGNUM A GREAT VARIETY OF
MORBID SYMPTOMS APPEAR.”
ANTONIO GRAMSCI
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10. WHAT DOES THIS
ALL MEAN?
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11. THE PROMISE OF THE 20TH CENTURY
GROWTH WORK WELL-BEING
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12. PRIVATE
COMPANIES
PEOPLESTATE
WELL-BEING
WORK
GROWTH
THE PROMISE OF THE 20TH CENTURY
INCOME
LABOR
TAXESSOCIAL SECURITY
TAXES
INVESTMENT
E.G.EDUCATION
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13. PRIVATE
COMPANIES
PEOPLESTATE
A BROKEN SYSTEM?
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14. RISE OF THE MACHINES
World Economic Forum
5m
JOBS
lost across 15 developed nations by 2020
137m
WORKERS
across Cambodia, Indonesia, the
Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam
at risk from automization
International Labor Organisation
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15. HAVE WE BEEN HERE BEFORE?
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16. ENGELS’ PAUSE
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17. Allen, Robert (2009) Engels’ pause: Technical change, capital accumulation, and inequality in the british
industrial revolution. Explorations in Economic History 46 (4), 418–425.
ENGELS’ PAUSE
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18. GIN LANE
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19. 1800 2000
MEDIAN WAGES AND LIVING STANDARDS STAGNANT AND BY
SOME MEASURES THEY HAVE WORSENED. X X
INCOME INEQUALITY HAS CLIMBED.
X X
REMARKABLE NEW TECHNOLOGIES SUGGEST THAT THE
EFFECTS ON THE ECONOMY WILL BE PROFOUND. X X
PEOPLE HAVE NEGATIVE ANTICIPATIONS
OF THE FUTURE. X X
BACK TO THE FUTURE?
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20. 1790 18401830182018101800
2005 20552045203520252015
WHAT IF WE ARE NOW IN 1805?
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21. HOW LONG DO WE THINK THE TRANSFORMATION TAKES?
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22. “THE SPECTRE OF
USELESSNESS”
AN UNCERTAIN FUTURE
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23. AN UNCERTAIN FUTURE
— WILL TRUMP BRING JOBS BACK?
— WILL FINANCIAL DEPARTMENTS BE AUTOMATED?
— DOES IT MAKE SENSE TO USE YEARS TO LEARN A PROFESSION?
— WILL SOCIETY REDUCE TO COMPETITION OF THE FITTEST?
— ARE OWNERS RELIANT ON THE WELL-BEING OF EMPLOYEES EVER AGAIN?
— ARE MY SKILLS AND CONTRIBUTION BEING APPRECIATED?
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24. WHERE DO WE
WANT TO BE?
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25. A NEW, INCLUSIVE
STORY OF PROGRESS
✓ A NEW WAY TO ORGANIZE A POST WORK AND GROWTH SOCIETY
✓ ACTIVE AND INCLUSIVE DEMOCRACY
✓ A JUST ADMINISTRATION AND GOVERNANCE
✓ A SENSE OF BELONGING, PARTICIPATION
✓ FAIR FOR PEOPLE LOCALLY
✓ FAIR FOR PEOPLE GLOBALLY
✓ FAIR FOR THE ENVIRONMENT
A NEW VISION
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26. THE NEED FOR IDEAS
“ONLY A CRISIS - ACTUAL OR PERCEIVED -
PRODUCES REAL CHANGE. WHEN THAT
CRISIS OCCURS, THE ACTIONS THAT ARE
TAKEN DEPEND ON THE IDEAS THAT ARE
LYING AROUND. ”
MILTON FRIEDMAN
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27. FROM PAUSE TO PLAY
HOW DO WE GET THERE?
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28. —SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEMS
—WELFARE STATE
—PRIMARY EDUCATION SYSTEM
—URBAN PLANNING
—TRADE UNIONS
—REPRESENTATIVE DEMOCRACY
SOCIAL INNOVATIONS FROM THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
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29. 1. VALUES
JUST, OPEN &
INCLUSIVE
THE NEXTERA
2. EXPERIMENTS
TEST, LEARN
& SCALE
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30. WHAT IF…
—BASIC INCOME COVERS A LARGE SHARE OF YOUR LIVING COSTS?
—HEALTHCARE TURNS PREVENTIVE AND CHEAP DUE TO TECHNOLOGY?
—SHARING PLATFORMS ENABLE CASH-FREE LIFESTYLES?
—OUR PENSIONS ARE COLLABORATIVE AND MUTUAL?
—YOU GO TO COLLEGE SEVEN TIMES IN YOUR LIFETIME?
—PEER-LEARNING TAKES OFF MASSIVELY?
—ACCESS TO ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE BECOMES A CITIZEN'S RIGHT?
WHAT NEW SOCIAL INNOVATIONS ARE NEEDED?
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31. THE FINNISH BASIC INCOME EXPERIMENT
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32. MIND THE GAP
2017
UNIVERSAL
BASIC INCOME
20??
“NEW SOCIAL
CONTRACT”?
[IDEAS + EXPERIMENTS NEEDED]
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33. WHAT ARE THE
NEXTERA
SOCIAL INNOVATIONS?
THE KEY QUESTION
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