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Professor Greg Marsden
Richard Walker
Institute for Transport Studies
University of Leeds
Place-based Transport Decarbonisation
Carbon Reduction
2020 20402030 2050
Surface Transport
Emissions A Clear National
Framework is
Essential
Key Element #1: Different functions
Key Element #2: Different transport systems
Key Element #3: Different built environments
Terraced houses:
51% on-street parking
Half of these “inadequate”
Up to 45% of private
rented accommodation in
some areas
Key Element #4: Different populations and cultures
Bradford – 25% Asian/Asian British
Wakefield – 2% Asian/Asian British
South Lakeland 24% U25, 28% 65+
Newcastle Upon Tyne 39% U25, 14% 65+
Key Element #5: Different visions
Which results in very different start points:
a look at the data
Background: the MoT data set
• Home address of the vehicle’s registered keeper
• Vehicle’s make, model, engine and emissions class
• Mileage since the last test
permitting calculation of:
• Mileage & emissions per year per vehicle owned by residents of area
• Emissions per head of resident population
Metrics local authorities can feel ownership of as a baseline for
measuring progress on the required rapid transport decarbonisation.
MoT data: variation in CO2 emissions/head/year
Among the 326 English districts:
• min = 208 kg/year (LB Hackney)
• max = 1,071 kg/year (South Northants)
• median = 718kg/year (East Staffordshire)
• mean = 629 kg/year (Gedling, Slough)
• 17 of the lowest 20 are inner London, plus Manchester, Liverpool, Nottm
• All of the highest 20 are affluent rural districts in the ‘extended Gtr SE’:
2nd lowest is Cotswold (Glos), then East Hampshire, then Uttlesford (Essex)
• Highest in the North: Selby, Hambleton, Ryedale, Eden
Drivers of emissions per head
• Both pop. density & affluence/deprivation
both correlated with emissions/head, but
only weakly with each other
• Numbers of cars per head is the key driver.
Classifying districts by place type
The ONS 2011 area classification combines
settlement type/pop density, demographic &
affluence/deprivation characteristics.
Emissions & characteristics by place type category
Area classification of districts
No. of
dists
Avg car
emissions
/head (kg
CO2)
Share of
2011 pop
Share of
2011 car
emissions
Pop
density
(hd/sq
km)
IMD
score
(2015)
Cars/thou
res pop
Walk for
travel
1x/mth
2018
Cycle for
travel
1x/mth
2018
Affluent England 51 866 12.3% 16.4% 648 10 477 50% 8%
Countryside Living 62 811 14.0% 17.5% 256 18 455 40% 7%
Town and Country Living 64 804 15.3% 19.0% 524 15 452 41% 6%
Urban Settlements 54 615 17.7% 16.3% 1958 25 368 46% 6%
Services and Industrial Legacy 34 597 11.4% 10.6% 1409 27 362 41% 5%
Business, Education and Heritage Centres 29 529 13.1% 10.3% 2670 23 325 58% 14%
Ethnically Diverse Metropolitan Living 19 457 11.2% 7.9% 5185 25 287 59% 7%
London Cosmopolitan 12 272 5.0% 2.1% 10471 27 181 73% 17%
All English districts 325 698 100.0% 100.0% 1654 19 402 47% 7%
Variation of emissions within place type: the fruits of
past policy – and the space for future action?
ONS area classification of districts Min Mean Max Range Lowest Highest
Affluent England 555 866 1052 496 Richmond-u-T E Hampshire
Countryside Living 553 811 1054 500 Isle of Wight Cotswold
Town and Country Living 626 804 1071 445 Stockport S Northants
Urban Settlements 402 615 791 389 Hull Wellingborough
Services and Industrial Legacy 461 597 721 261 S Tyneside Havant
Business, Education and Heritage Centres 335 529 742 407 Manchester Warwick
Ethnically Diverse Metropolitan Living 279 457 630 350 Newham Slough
London Cosmopolitan 208 272 381 172 Hackney Ken & Chelsea
All English districts 208 698 1071 863 Hackney S Northants
Places doing well: with relatively low emissions
compared to their population density and affluence
District IMD -
Average
score
(2015)
Car
emissions
/head (kg
CO2)
Diff in
rank
City of London 13.6 285 223
Richmond upon Thames 10.0 555 216
Kingston upon Thames 11.1 541 209
Cambridge 13.8 440 201
Merton 14.9 429 189
Epsom and Ewell 8.5 666 172
York 12.2 583 170
Harrow 14.3 544 148
Sutton 14.6 542 146
Wandsworth 18.3 342 144
Oxford 17.9 449 138
Barnet 17.8 494 126
Low compared to pop density
District 2011 pop
density
(hd/sq km)
Car
emissions
/head (kg
CO2)
Diff in
rank
Carlisle 103 601 198
Scarborough 133 588 193
Copeland 96 658 173
Northumberland 63 732 147
North Devon 86 725 141
Lancaster 240 601 133
Allerdale 78 738 132
Isle of Wight 364 553 128
County Durham 231 641 118
Craven 47 788 113
Boston 177 687 109
High Peak 169 708 108
Low compared to affluence
Low compared to affluence
(excluding London boroughs)
Places doing badly: with relatively high emissions
compared to their population density and affluence
High compared to pop density High compared to deprivation level
Carbon Reduction – Sum of Places
2020 20402030 2050
Surface Transport
Emissions
2020 20402030 2050
Surface Transport
Emissions
Slow
Key Element #6: Different pathways
Recent LGA workshop
Carbon Reduction – Sum of Places
2020 20402030 2050
Surface Transport
Emissions
2020 20402030 2050
Surface Transport
Emissions
£150/tonne carbon
£50/tonne carbon
£40/tonne carbon
£220/tonne carbon
£100/tonne carbon
£40/tonne carbon
A B
Key Element #7: Different costs of action
Key Element #8: Everyone and Everywhere
The Lake District
Newcastle-Upon-Tyne
Low population, high visitor
numbers: 500 visitors/resident
Who is our community?
Community concerns around
visitor impact
Different approaches for different
places and people
But don’t lose sight of
Decarbonisation
Lake District
National Park:
Place based
decarbonisation
Higher per capita GHG
emissions
Less cost effective to provide
services and infrastructure, but
visitors can make it viable
Policy and funding focus on
urban areas
Carbon from visitors, who is
responsible?! Joint working
Rural
challenges
40% of all travel is for leisure
purposes
Aspirational car ownership based
on holiday/leisure imagery
Impacts on urban and rural areas
Leisure travel
impacts
Decarbonising a District: Electric
Vehicles
Tom Horner
Strategic Transport Planner
Harrogate Borough Council
Summary
• Site Suitability
- Will people use charge points in a location?
- Is there opportunity to locate the correct charge point
for the end user in a particular place?
• Cost
- Charge point cost – risk of becoming obsolete
- Electrical Infrastructure
- Revenue implications vs. incentivising the market
• Policy Balance
- Ensuring EV’s do actually decarbonise
Site Suitability
• Who are the potential customers, what sort of product do
they want/need?
• Land Availability
- Car parks
- Business centres
- Private sites
- Employment centres, rural areas, small
town/village parish councils, retail, leisure, tourism
• Power Supply
• Type of charger for the type of place
Ensuring EVs Decarbonise
• Price
• Salary sacrifice vs. rail ticket
• £200 p/m vs. £170p/m
• Market incentivisation options
• Free parking – begins to advantage vehicle use over
sustainable transport
• Congestion priorities
• Free electric – our preferred short term approach – not
financially sustainable longer term
• Two tier area – balancing priorities
Ensuring EVs Decarbonise
• Key Challenges
• Capital cost of electrical infrastructure to support
charge points – beyond the next 2/3 years;
• Ability to provide sufficiently fast charge points to keep
up with vehicle technology;
• Policy balance, locally and nationally to avoid mass
switch to vehicles;
• On street charging – home charge vs traditional
petrol/diesel refuelling;
• Fuel duty loss.

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Place Based Decarbonisation Webinar (1 of 2)

  • 1. Professor Greg Marsden Richard Walker Institute for Transport Studies University of Leeds Place-based Transport Decarbonisation
  • 2. Carbon Reduction 2020 20402030 2050 Surface Transport Emissions A Clear National Framework is Essential
  • 3.
  • 4. Key Element #1: Different functions
  • 5. Key Element #2: Different transport systems
  • 6. Key Element #3: Different built environments Terraced houses: 51% on-street parking Half of these “inadequate” Up to 45% of private rented accommodation in some areas
  • 7. Key Element #4: Different populations and cultures Bradford – 25% Asian/Asian British Wakefield – 2% Asian/Asian British South Lakeland 24% U25, 28% 65+ Newcastle Upon Tyne 39% U25, 14% 65+
  • 8. Key Element #5: Different visions
  • 9. Which results in very different start points: a look at the data Background: the MoT data set • Home address of the vehicle’s registered keeper • Vehicle’s make, model, engine and emissions class • Mileage since the last test permitting calculation of: • Mileage & emissions per year per vehicle owned by residents of area • Emissions per head of resident population Metrics local authorities can feel ownership of as a baseline for measuring progress on the required rapid transport decarbonisation.
  • 10. MoT data: variation in CO2 emissions/head/year Among the 326 English districts: • min = 208 kg/year (LB Hackney) • max = 1,071 kg/year (South Northants) • median = 718kg/year (East Staffordshire) • mean = 629 kg/year (Gedling, Slough) • 17 of the lowest 20 are inner London, plus Manchester, Liverpool, Nottm • All of the highest 20 are affluent rural districts in the ‘extended Gtr SE’: 2nd lowest is Cotswold (Glos), then East Hampshire, then Uttlesford (Essex) • Highest in the North: Selby, Hambleton, Ryedale, Eden
  • 11. Drivers of emissions per head • Both pop. density & affluence/deprivation both correlated with emissions/head, but only weakly with each other • Numbers of cars per head is the key driver.
  • 12. Classifying districts by place type The ONS 2011 area classification combines settlement type/pop density, demographic & affluence/deprivation characteristics.
  • 13. Emissions & characteristics by place type category Area classification of districts No. of dists Avg car emissions /head (kg CO2) Share of 2011 pop Share of 2011 car emissions Pop density (hd/sq km) IMD score (2015) Cars/thou res pop Walk for travel 1x/mth 2018 Cycle for travel 1x/mth 2018 Affluent England 51 866 12.3% 16.4% 648 10 477 50% 8% Countryside Living 62 811 14.0% 17.5% 256 18 455 40% 7% Town and Country Living 64 804 15.3% 19.0% 524 15 452 41% 6% Urban Settlements 54 615 17.7% 16.3% 1958 25 368 46% 6% Services and Industrial Legacy 34 597 11.4% 10.6% 1409 27 362 41% 5% Business, Education and Heritage Centres 29 529 13.1% 10.3% 2670 23 325 58% 14% Ethnically Diverse Metropolitan Living 19 457 11.2% 7.9% 5185 25 287 59% 7% London Cosmopolitan 12 272 5.0% 2.1% 10471 27 181 73% 17% All English districts 325 698 100.0% 100.0% 1654 19 402 47% 7%
  • 14. Variation of emissions within place type: the fruits of past policy – and the space for future action? ONS area classification of districts Min Mean Max Range Lowest Highest Affluent England 555 866 1052 496 Richmond-u-T E Hampshire Countryside Living 553 811 1054 500 Isle of Wight Cotswold Town and Country Living 626 804 1071 445 Stockport S Northants Urban Settlements 402 615 791 389 Hull Wellingborough Services and Industrial Legacy 461 597 721 261 S Tyneside Havant Business, Education and Heritage Centres 335 529 742 407 Manchester Warwick Ethnically Diverse Metropolitan Living 279 457 630 350 Newham Slough London Cosmopolitan 208 272 381 172 Hackney Ken & Chelsea All English districts 208 698 1071 863 Hackney S Northants
  • 15. Places doing well: with relatively low emissions compared to their population density and affluence District IMD - Average score (2015) Car emissions /head (kg CO2) Diff in rank City of London 13.6 285 223 Richmond upon Thames 10.0 555 216 Kingston upon Thames 11.1 541 209 Cambridge 13.8 440 201 Merton 14.9 429 189 Epsom and Ewell 8.5 666 172 York 12.2 583 170 Harrow 14.3 544 148 Sutton 14.6 542 146 Wandsworth 18.3 342 144 Oxford 17.9 449 138 Barnet 17.8 494 126 Low compared to pop density District 2011 pop density (hd/sq km) Car emissions /head (kg CO2) Diff in rank Carlisle 103 601 198 Scarborough 133 588 193 Copeland 96 658 173 Northumberland 63 732 147 North Devon 86 725 141 Lancaster 240 601 133 Allerdale 78 738 132 Isle of Wight 364 553 128 County Durham 231 641 118 Craven 47 788 113 Boston 177 687 109 High Peak 169 708 108 Low compared to affluence Low compared to affluence (excluding London boroughs)
  • 16. Places doing badly: with relatively high emissions compared to their population density and affluence High compared to pop density High compared to deprivation level
  • 17. Carbon Reduction – Sum of Places 2020 20402030 2050 Surface Transport Emissions 2020 20402030 2050 Surface Transport Emissions Slow
  • 18. Key Element #6: Different pathways Recent LGA workshop
  • 19. Carbon Reduction – Sum of Places 2020 20402030 2050 Surface Transport Emissions 2020 20402030 2050 Surface Transport Emissions £150/tonne carbon £50/tonne carbon £40/tonne carbon £220/tonne carbon £100/tonne carbon £40/tonne carbon A B
  • 20. Key Element #7: Different costs of action
  • 21. Key Element #8: Everyone and Everywhere The Lake District Newcastle-Upon-Tyne
  • 22. Low population, high visitor numbers: 500 visitors/resident Who is our community? Community concerns around visitor impact Different approaches for different places and people But don’t lose sight of Decarbonisation Lake District National Park: Place based decarbonisation
  • 23. Higher per capita GHG emissions Less cost effective to provide services and infrastructure, but visitors can make it viable Policy and funding focus on urban areas Carbon from visitors, who is responsible?! Joint working Rural challenges
  • 24. 40% of all travel is for leisure purposes Aspirational car ownership based on holiday/leisure imagery Impacts on urban and rural areas Leisure travel impacts
  • 25. Decarbonising a District: Electric Vehicles Tom Horner Strategic Transport Planner Harrogate Borough Council
  • 26. Summary • Site Suitability - Will people use charge points in a location? - Is there opportunity to locate the correct charge point for the end user in a particular place? • Cost - Charge point cost – risk of becoming obsolete - Electrical Infrastructure - Revenue implications vs. incentivising the market • Policy Balance - Ensuring EV’s do actually decarbonise
  • 27. Site Suitability • Who are the potential customers, what sort of product do they want/need? • Land Availability - Car parks - Business centres - Private sites - Employment centres, rural areas, small town/village parish councils, retail, leisure, tourism • Power Supply • Type of charger for the type of place
  • 28. Ensuring EVs Decarbonise • Price • Salary sacrifice vs. rail ticket • £200 p/m vs. £170p/m • Market incentivisation options • Free parking – begins to advantage vehicle use over sustainable transport • Congestion priorities • Free electric – our preferred short term approach – not financially sustainable longer term • Two tier area – balancing priorities
  • 29. Ensuring EVs Decarbonise • Key Challenges • Capital cost of electrical infrastructure to support charge points – beyond the next 2/3 years; • Ability to provide sufficiently fast charge points to keep up with vehicle technology; • Policy balance, locally and nationally to avoid mass switch to vehicles; • On street charging – home charge vs traditional petrol/diesel refuelling; • Fuel duty loss.