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Today’s
3% Down
Payment
Options
Presented by: Scott Meerstein - Sr. Lead Inside Sales Rep
The information presented in this presentation is for general information only, and is based on guidelines
and practices generally accepted within the mortgage finance industry and is not intended to be all-
inclusive. MGIC makes no representations or warranties of any kind with respect to the accuracy,
completeness or suitability for any purpose of the information contained in this presentation. MGIC
expressly disclaims any and all warranties, express or implied, including without limitation warranties of
merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose regarding these materials and this presentation. In no
event will MGIC be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, punitive or consequential damages of any kind
with respect to the presentation or materials provided. All examples are hypothetical and are for illustrative
purposes only. This presentation is not intended and should not be interpreted or relied upon as legal
advice. We encourage you to seek advice from a qualified professional.
Before we get started…
Why is it so important?
For you
Source: MBA October 2018 forecast
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
($Billions)
Mortgage Originations History & Forecast
Source: MBA October 2018 forecast
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
($Billions)
Mortgage Originations History & Forecast
MeetYour Competition
Consumers who would consider
a mortgage from:
• PayPal = 48%
• Walmart = 33%
Source: Carlisle & Gallagher Consulting Group
• In the UK: If you ask the virtual assistant to "open UKMortgage"
it will activate a broker app to help compare home loans
• Amazon is looking to hire the head of a newly-formed
mortgage lending division (HousingWire March 2018)
• Amazon “is definitely looking” to enter mortgage banking
but hasn’t decided on the best route (IMF June 2018)
Your Competition &YOU
Competition You
Rates âś“ âś“
Guidelines âś“ âś“
Products âś“ âś“
Services âś“ âś“
MGIC.com/social
Hope is
not a strategy
Your Competition &YOU
Competition You
Rates âś“ âś“
Guidelines âś“ âś“
Products âś“ âś“
Services âś“ âś“
You âś“
Why is it so important?
For your customers
MGIC.com/social
80%
Non-owners who report that
homeownership is part of their
American Dream
Source: NAR’s 2018 Aspiring Home Buyers profile
MGIC.com/social
82%
Non-owners who aspire
to be homeowners
Source: NAR’s 2018 Aspiring Home Buyers profile
MGIC.com/social
Top primary reason for buying now
for buyers 62 and younger:
Desire to own a home of my own
Source: NAR 2018 Home Buyer and Seller Generational Trends
MGIC.com/social
Owning a home increases number
of hours spent volunteering
Source: The Journal of the Center for Real Estate Studies Oct. 2017
MGIC.com/social
Children of homeowners
do better in school
Source: Forbes August 2016
MGIC.com/socialSource: The Journal of the Center for Real Estate Studies Oct. 2017
Homeowners are 2.5x more likely
to be in good health
MGIC.com/social
$250,000
$264,750
$275,870
$283,870
$291,250
$299,697
January 2018 January 2019 January 2020 January 2021 January 2022 January 2023
$49,697
Increased home equity based on price appreciation projected by the Home Price Expectation Survey
potential growth in family wealth over the next
five years based solely on increased home equity
Source: Home Price Expectation Survey 2018 3Q
MGIC.com/socialSource: The Washington Post September 2017
45x Amount average net worth
of homeowner is nearly
greater than renters
MGIC.com/socialSource: The Washington Post September 2017
From 2013 – 2016 average net worth
Homeowners = +15%
Renters = - 5%
Challenges
Inventory
Months Inventory of
Homes for sale
2011 - Today
Source: NAR 8/2018
January
2011
January
2012
January
2013
January
2014
January
2015
January
2016
January
2017
January
2018
MGIC.com/socialSource: NAR 7/2018
Average days on market
Appreciation
MGIC.com/social
Mo Money
Source: MSN August 2018
Millennials buying first
home will pay 39% more
than baby boomers who
bought first home in 1980s
MGIC.com/social
Year-Over-Year Appreciation
WA
11.0%
OR
7.9%
MT
6.0%
WY
3.7%
CO
9.6%
ID
13.0%
NV
17.0%
UT
9.9%
NM
4.9%
ND
2.1%
SD
4.5%
MN
6.3%
NE
6.9%
IA
6.0%
KS
5.5%
MO
5.7%
OK
3.4%
TX
5.9%
AR
3.7%
LA
2.3%
KY
7.5%
TN 7.5%
MS
3.2%
AL
6.1%
WI
7.1%
MI
7.7%
IL
4.1%
IN
8.3%
OH
5.8%
FL
8.5%
GA
8.0%
SC
8.3%
NC
6.2%
VA
4.3%
WV
2.3%
DE
4.3%
NH
6.7%
MD
3.8%
NJ
4.1%
CT
2.4%
VT 5.6%
DC
11.8%
ME
6.6%
NY
6.5%
PA
4.9%
AZ
9.5%
AK
2.6%
HI
4.7%
RI
8.1%
MA 5.9%
CA
7.1%
Four-Quarter Change: Purchase-Only Index
2017Q2 – 2018Q2
United States = 6.5%
0% or less
0.1% - 3.0%
3.1% - 5.0%
5.1% - 10.0%
10.1% or
higher
Source: FHFA U.S. House Prices August 22, 2018
Appreciation
Rising Interest Rates
Source: August 2018 forecasts
Quarter Fannie Mae
Freddie
Mac
MBA NAR Average
2018 2Q 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5
2018 3Q 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.6
2018 4Q 4.6 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.75
2019 Q1 4.7 ----- 4.9 4.9 4.833
2019 Q2 4.7 ----- 5.0 5.0 4.9
U.S.30 year fixed-rate
Source: Freddie Mac Rate Survey, August 16, 2018
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
8/16/71
8/16/72
8/16/73
8/16/74
8/16/75
8/16/76
8/16/77
8/16/78
8/16/79
8/16/80
8/16/81
8/16/82
8/16/83
8/16/84
8/16/85
8/16/86
8/16/87
8/16/88
8/16/89
8/16/90
8/16/91
8/16/92
8/16/93
8/16/94
8/16/95
8/16/96
8/16/97
8/16/98
8/16/99
8/16/00
8/16/01
8/16/02
8/16/03
8/16/04
8/16/05
8/16/06
8/16/07
8/16/08
8/16/09
8/16/10
8/16/11
8/16/12
8/16/13
8/16/14
8/16/15
8/16/16
8/16/17
8/16/18
U.S.30 year fixed-rate
Source: Freddie Mac Rate Survey, August 16, 2018
3.00
3.25
3.50
3.75
4.00
4.25
4.50
4.75
5.00
8/16/15
9/16/15
10/16/15
11/16/15
12/16/15
1/16/16
2/16/16
3/16/16
4/16/16
5/16/16
6/16/16
7/16/16
8/16/16
9/16/16
10/16/16
11/16/16
12/16/16
1/16/17
2/16/17
3/16/17
4/16/17
5/16/17
6/16/17
7/16/17
8/16/17
9/16/17
10/16/17
11/16/17
12/16/17
1/16/18
2/16/18
3/16/18
4/16/18
5/16/18
6/16/18
7/16/18
8/16/18
MGIC.com/social
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
High taxes Affordable
housing
Income gap
between rich
and poor
Rising interest
rates
Inflation The federal
budget deficit
Job
opportunities
for people
without college
education
Overall
employment
rate
Americans
losing jobs to
foreign
workers
The income
gap between
races
The income
gap between
genders
Restrictive
immigration
policies that
reduce
available labor
The trade
deficit
All survey respondents
“What do you see as the top economic concerns facing the U.S.? Select up to three options.”
Source: Redfin February 2018
Interest rate concern
MGIC.com/social
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
High taxes Affordable
housing
Income gap
between rich
and poor
Rising interest
rates
Inflation The federal
budget deficit
Job
opportunities
for people
without college
education
Overall
employment
rate
Americans
losing jobs to
foreign
workers
The income
gap between
races
The income
gap between
genders
Restrictive
immigration
policies that
reduce
available labor
The trade
deficit
All survey respondents
“What do you see as the top economic concerns facing the U.S.? Select up to three options.”
Source: Redfin February 2018
Interest rate concern
MGIC.com/social
“If mortgage rates were to rise above 5%, what effect would it have on your home-buying plans?”
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
I'd slow down my search and see if
rates come back down
No impact I'd increase my urgency to buy before
rates went up further
My urgency wont change, but I'd have
to look in other areas or buy smaller
home due to increased payment
I'd cancel my plan to buy a home
All survey respondents who said they plan on trying to buy a home in next 12 months
Source: Redfin February 2018
Interest rate concern
MGIC.com/social
Reduced purchase power
RATE
P&I + MI
rounded to the nearest dollar amount; assuming 700 credit score
Cost of waiting
5.50 $1,079 $1,109 $1,139 $1,169 $1,199
5.25 $1,052 $1,081 $1,111 $1,140 $1,169
5.00 $1,026 $1,054 $1,083 $1,111 $1,140
4.75 $1,000 $1,028 $1,056 $1,083 $1,111
4.50 $974 $1,001 $1,029 $1,056 $1,083
Purchase
price
$180,000 $185,000 $190,000 $195,000 $200,000
Slow Wage Growth
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
Mar-07
May-07
Jul-07
Sep-07
Nov-07
Jan-08
Mar-08
May-08
Jul-08
Sep-08
Nov-08
Jan-09
Mar-09
May-09
Jul-09
Sep-09
Nov-09
Jan-10
Mar-10
May-10
Jul-10
Sep-10
Nov-10
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-11
Sep-11
Nov-11
Jan-12
Mar-12
May-12
Jul-12
Sep-12
Nov-12
Jan-13
Mar-13
May-13
Jul-13
Sep-13
Nov-13
Jan-14
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
May-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
Nov-15
Jan-16
Mar-16
May-16
Jul-16
Sep-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
Mar-17
May-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
May-18
Jul-18
All nonfarm employees
Source: Economic Policy Institute’s analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics August 2,, 2018
EPI wage target
Growth of nominal wages
August 2017 – August 2018
Wages up 2.9%
Cost of living up 2.9%
Source: Department of Labor
After adjusting
for inflation,
wages are only
10% higher in
2017 than they
were in 1973
Source: The Hamilton Project, Brookings Institute
Down Payment
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
$550
$600
$650
$700
$750
$800
$850
$900
$950
$1,000
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
28%
of nonowners say
they can not save for
a down payment because
of rising rent
Source: Nar HOME Survey March 2018
Median asking
RENT
since 1988
Source: Census
MGIC.com/socialSource: Rentcafe March 2018
$93,000
Amount Millennials spend
on rent by time they hit 30
Source: Freddie Mac The Top
Misconceptions About Homebuying
Dec 2017
70%
Of consumers
fear not having
enough for a
down payment
MGIC.com/socialSource: Neighborhood Works America at Home Survey September 2017
What is preventing people from buying?
6%
11%
7%
3%
12%
17%
20%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Belief a home is not a good investment now
Concerns about maintenance/repair costs
Lack of job security
Student loan debt
Belief you can't afford your preferred neighborhood
Weak or bad credit
Lack of a down payment
If you were in the market to buy a home, which of the following would be the greatest obstacle to you personally?
Adults
21%
Other/DK/Not in the
market to buy a home
MGIC.com/socialSource: Neighborhood Works America at Home Survey September 2017
What is preventing Millennials from buying?
6%
8%
9%
10%
12%
22%
25%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Belief a home is not a good investment now
Concerns about maintenance/repair costs
Lack of job security
Student loan debt
Belief you can't afford your preferred neighborhood
Weak or bad credit
Lack of a down payment
If you were in the market to buy a home, which of the following would be the greatest obstacle to you personally?
7%
Other/DK/Not in the
market to buy a home
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Insufficient credit score
or credit history
Affording the down
payment or closing
costs
Insufficent income for
monthly payments
Too much existing debt Lack of job security or
stability
The process is too
complicated
(select up to 3)
Renters Owners Source Fannie Mae June 2018
What would be your biggest obstacle to getting
a mortgage to purchase or refinance a home today?
Biggest challenge of all?
Lack of knowledge!
MGIC.com/social
How much do lenders require you to put down?
20% 19%
30% 26%
34%
25%
17%
30%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Total Millennials
From what you have seen, read or heard, for someone to be able to purchase a home, what is the
minimum percentage down payment (must pay at closing) in order for someone to qualify and
finalize the transaction (purchase)? Please give your best estimate.
1-9% 10% 11-20% 21-100%
Source: Neighborhood Works America at Home Survey September 2017
MGIC.com/social
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
More than 20%
15%-20%
10%-14%
6%-9%
4%-5%
Less than 3%
Source: NAR HOME Survey September 2016
86%
Millennials who believe you need
10% or more down
MGIC.com/social
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
More than 20%
15%-20%
10%-14%
6%-9%
4%-5%
Less than 3%
82%
GenXers who believe you need
10% or more down
Source: NAR HOME Survey September 2016
MGIC.com/social
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
More than 20%
15%-20%
10%-14%
6%-9%
4%-5%
Less than 3%
87%
Young Boomers who believe you
need 10% or more down
Source: NAR HOME Survey September 2016
MGIC.com/social
87%
First-time home buyers who would
take advantage of down payment
assistance programs
Source: Bank of America Homebuyer Insights Report April 2017
MGIC.com/social
Source: Freddie Mac
Less than a third of consumers are familiar with low-down-payment programs
MGIC.com/socialSource: PewResearch Dec 2016
Renters went from
17% likelihood to buy
when assuming 20%
down payment to
58% when told they
could put 5% down.
MGIC.com/social
HomeReady® Mortgage Loans
• 97% financing
• No minimum borrower contribution
• Lower than standard MI coverage levels on LTVs above 90%
• LLPAs waived on LTVs > 80% and credit score ≥ 680
• Allows for all MI premium plans
MGIC.com/social
Home Possible® & Home Possible Advantage®
• 97% financing
• No minimum borrower contribution
• Lower than standard MI coverage levels
• May use Loan Product AdvisorSM or manually underwrite
• No reserve required for 1-unit primary residence
• Allows for all MI premium plans
MGIC.com/social
MGIC.com/social
So how do they all compare?
MGIC.com/social
Fannie Mae Freddie Mac
Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible
First-Time Homebuyer At least 1 borrower Not required At least 1 borrower Not required
Income Limits No limits
100% of AMI
No limits in
low-income
census tracts
No limits
100% of AMI
No limits in
low-income
census tracts
Today’s 97% LTV Options
MGIC.com/social
Fannie Mae Freddie Mac
Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible
First-Time Homebuyer At least 1 borrower Not required At least 1 borrower Not required
Income Limits No limits
100% of AMI
No limits in
low-income
census tracts
No limits
100% of AMI
No limits in
low-income
census tracts
Borrower Contribution
from Own Funds
No minimum required No minimum required
Reserves Determined by Desktop Underwriter®
Determined by
Loan Product Advisor®
Determined by Loan
Product Advisor® or
none for manual
underwrite
Today’s 97% LTV Options
MGIC.com/social
Fannie Mae Freddie Mac
Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible
CLTV 105% if community Seconds® loan 105% if Affordable Seconds® loan
Occupancy Primary residence Primary residence
Today’s 97% LTV Options
MGIC.com/social
Fannie Mae Freddie Mac
Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible
CLTV 105% if community Seconds® loan 105% if Affordable Seconds® loan
Occupancy Primary residence Primary residence
Today’s 97% LTV Options
HomeReady
Non-occupant borrowers permitted to
maximum 95% LTV in DU; 90% LTV manual
with max 43% debt-to-income (DTI) for
occupying borrower.
Income considered as part of qualifying
income and subject to income limits.
Home Possible
Effective October 29: Mortgages
secured by 1-unit properties permitted
with maximum 95% LTV for Loan
Product Advisor® Mortgages; 90% LTV
for Manually Underwritten Mortgages
with max 43% DTI
HOME POSSIBLE MORTGAGES
Effective October 29, 2018
In response to Seller feedback,
we evaluated our requirements
for Home Possible and Home
Possible Advantage Mortgages
and are combining Home
Possible and Home Possible
Advantage into one offering in
an effort to better help Sellers
originate Home Possible
Mortgages.
Maximum DTI for
manual underwrite
45% for all manually
underwritten Home
Possible Mortgages
MGIC.com/social
Fannie Mae Freddie Mac
Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible
CLTV 105% if community Seconds® loan 105% if Affordable Seconds® loan
Occupancy Primary residence Primary residence
Manufactured Homes Ineligible, unless MH Advantage Ineligible
Number of Units 1-unit 1-unit
Today’s 97% LTV Options
MGIC.com/social
Fannie Mae Freddie Mac
Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible
Homebuyer Education Not required
Required for at least
1 borrower
Required for at least
1 borrower when all borrowers are FTHBs*
Today’s 97% LTV Options
* OR credit reputation established using only noncredit payment
(nontraditional) references
MGIC.com/social
Fannie Mae Freddie Mac
Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible
Homebuyer Education Not required
Required for at least
1 borrower
Required for at least
1 borrower when all
borrowers are FTHBs
Required for at least 1
borrower when all
borrowers are FTHBs
Eligible Homebuyer
Education
N/A Framework
Homeownership*
MGIC’s at Readynest.com OR
Freddie Mac’s CreditSmart®
OR
Hud-approved agency
Today’s 97% LTV Options
* Homeownership education course required by a Community Seconds/DPA program that is
provided by a HUD-approved agency OR Housing Counseling from a HUD-approved
nonprofit housing counseling agency as evidenced by a completed Fannie Mae Form
1017 (must occur prior to buyer signing purchase contract)
MGIC.com/social
Fannie Mae Freddie Mac
Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible
Homebuyer Education Not required
Required for at least
1 borrower
Required for at least
1 borrower when all
borrowers are FTHBs
Required for at least 1
borrower when all
borrowers are FTHBs
Eligible Homebuyer
Education
N/A Framework
Homeownership*
MGIC’s at Readynest.com OR
Freddie Mac’s CreditSmart®
OR
Hud-approved agency
MI coverage
35%
OR
18% + Minimum MI
Loan-level Price
adjustment
25%
OR
18% + Minimum MI
Loan-level Price
adjustment
35%
OR
18% + Minimum MI
Delivery fee
25%
OR
18% + Minimum MI
Delivery fee
Today’s 97% LTV Options
MGIC.com/social
MGIC.com/social
So who should go FHA and who should go conventional?
MGIC.com/social
Consider & Compare
760 FICO$250,000 purchase
FHA
96.5%
MGIC 97%
HomeReady/
Home Possible
MGIC 97%
Standard/HomeOne
Down Payment $8,750 $7,500 $7,500
Base Loan Amount $241,250 $242,500 $242,500
Less down
MGIC.com/social
Consider & Compare
760 FICO$250,000 purchase
FHA
96.5%
MGIC 97%
HomeReady/
Home Possible
MGIC 97%
Standard/HomeOne
Down Payment $8,750 $7,500 $7,500
Base Loan Amount $241,250 $242,500 $242,500
Upfront Premium
(financed into loan amount)
$4,222 $0 $0
Total Amount Borrowed $245,472 $242,500 $242,500
$2,972 less
MGIC.com/social
Consider & Compare
760 FICO$250,000 purchase
FHA
96.5%
MGIC 97%
HomeReady/
Home Possible
MGIC 97%
Standard/HomeOne
Down Payment $8,750 $7,500 $7,500
Base Loan Amount $241,250 $242,500 $242,500
Upfront Premium
(financed into loan amount)
$4,222 $0 $0
Total Amount Borrowed $245,472 $242,500 $242,500
Interest Rate 4.5% 4.625% 4.75%
Monthly MI Payment $170 $65 $81
MGIC.com/social
Consider & Compare
760 FICO$250,000 purchase
FHA
96.5%
MGIC 97%
HomeReady/
Home Possible
MGIC 97%
Standard/HomeOne
Down Payment $8,750 $7,500 $7,500
Base Loan Amount $241,250 $242,500 $242,500
Upfront Premium
(financed into loan amount)
$4,222 $0 $0
Total Amount Borrowed $245,472 $242,500 $242,500
Interest Rate 4.5% 4.625% 4.75%
Monthly MI Payment $170 $65 $81
Monthly Loan Payment
(P&I+MI)
$1,414 $1,312 $1,346 Less per month
MGIC.com/social
Consider & Compare
760 FICO$250,000 purchase
FHA
96.5%
MGIC 97%
HomeReady/
Home Possible
MGIC 97%
Standard/HomeOne
Down Payment $8,750 $7,500 $7,500
Base Loan Amount $241,250 $242,500 $242,500
Upfront Premium
(financed into loan amount)
$4,222 $0 $0
Total Amount Borrowed $245,472 $242,500 $242,500
Interest Rate 4.5% 4.625% 4.75%
Monthly MI Payment $170 $65 $81
Monthly Loan Payment
(P&I+MI)
$1,414 $1,312 $1,346
assuming 3% annual appreciation
Est. MI Cancellation Month Not Cancellable 61 61
Est. Payment in 5 years
assuming cancellation
$1,398 $1,247 $1,265
MGIC.com/social
Consider & Compare
$250,000 purchase
FHA
96.5%
MGIC 97%
HomeReady/
Home Possible
MGIC 97%
Standard/HomeOne
Down Payment $8,750 $7,500 $7,500
Base Loan Amount $241,250 $242,500 $242,500
Upfront Premium
(financed into loan amount)
$4,222 $0 $0
Total Amount Borrowed $245,472 $242,500 $242,500
Interest Rate 4.5% 4.625% 4.75%
Monthly MI Payment $170 $160 $200
Monthly Loan Payment
(P&I+MI)
$1,414 $1,407 $1,465
assuming 3% annual appreciation
Est. MI Cancellation Month Not Cancellable 61 61
Est. Payment in 5 years
assuming cancellation
$1,414 $1,247 $1,265
680 FICO
FHA monthly
savings = $60
Extra down payment
+ $1,250
Upfront MI
+ $4,222
Total = $5,472
$5,472 Ă· $60=
7.6
years
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Todays 3 Percent Down Mortgage Options 2019

  • 1. Today’s 3% Down Payment Options Presented by: Scott Meerstein - Sr. Lead Inside Sales Rep
  • 2. The information presented in this presentation is for general information only, and is based on guidelines and practices generally accepted within the mortgage finance industry and is not intended to be all- inclusive. MGIC makes no representations or warranties of any kind with respect to the accuracy, completeness or suitability for any purpose of the information contained in this presentation. MGIC expressly disclaims any and all warranties, express or implied, including without limitation warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose regarding these materials and this presentation. In no event will MGIC be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, punitive or consequential damages of any kind with respect to the presentation or materials provided. All examples are hypothetical and are for illustrative purposes only. This presentation is not intended and should not be interpreted or relied upon as legal advice. We encourage you to seek advice from a qualified professional. Before we get started…
  • 3. Why is it so important? For you
  • 4. Source: MBA October 2018 forecast 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 ($Billions) Mortgage Originations History & Forecast
  • 5. Source: MBA October 2018 forecast 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ($Billions) Mortgage Originations History & Forecast
  • 6. MeetYour Competition Consumers who would consider a mortgage from: • PayPal = 48% • Walmart = 33% Source: Carlisle & Gallagher Consulting Group
  • 7. • In the UK: If you ask the virtual assistant to "open UKMortgage" it will activate a broker app to help compare home loans • Amazon is looking to hire the head of a newly-formed mortgage lending division (HousingWire March 2018) • Amazon “is definitely looking” to enter mortgage banking but hasn’t decided on the best route (IMF June 2018)
  • 8. Your Competition &YOU Competition You Rates âś“ âś“ Guidelines âś“ âś“ Products âś“ âś“ Services âś“ âś“
  • 10. Your Competition &YOU Competition You Rates âś“ âś“ Guidelines âś“ âś“ Products âś“ âś“ Services âś“ âś“ You âś“
  • 11. Why is it so important? For your customers
  • 12. MGIC.com/social 80% Non-owners who report that homeownership is part of their American Dream Source: NAR’s 2018 Aspiring Home Buyers profile
  • 13. MGIC.com/social 82% Non-owners who aspire to be homeowners Source: NAR’s 2018 Aspiring Home Buyers profile
  • 14. MGIC.com/social Top primary reason for buying now for buyers 62 and younger: Desire to own a home of my own Source: NAR 2018 Home Buyer and Seller Generational Trends
  • 15. MGIC.com/social Owning a home increases number of hours spent volunteering Source: The Journal of the Center for Real Estate Studies Oct. 2017
  • 16. MGIC.com/social Children of homeowners do better in school Source: Forbes August 2016
  • 17. MGIC.com/socialSource: The Journal of the Center for Real Estate Studies Oct. 2017 Homeowners are 2.5x more likely to be in good health
  • 18. MGIC.com/social $250,000 $264,750 $275,870 $283,870 $291,250 $299,697 January 2018 January 2019 January 2020 January 2021 January 2022 January 2023 $49,697 Increased home equity based on price appreciation projected by the Home Price Expectation Survey potential growth in family wealth over the next five years based solely on increased home equity Source: Home Price Expectation Survey 2018 3Q
  • 19. MGIC.com/socialSource: The Washington Post September 2017 45x Amount average net worth of homeowner is nearly greater than renters
  • 20. MGIC.com/socialSource: The Washington Post September 2017 From 2013 – 2016 average net worth Homeowners = +15% Renters = - 5%
  • 23. Months Inventory of Homes for sale 2011 - Today Source: NAR 8/2018 January 2011 January 2012 January 2013 January 2014 January 2015 January 2016 January 2017 January 2018
  • 26. MGIC.com/social Mo Money Source: MSN August 2018 Millennials buying first home will pay 39% more than baby boomers who bought first home in 1980s
  • 27. MGIC.com/social Year-Over-Year Appreciation WA 11.0% OR 7.9% MT 6.0% WY 3.7% CO 9.6% ID 13.0% NV 17.0% UT 9.9% NM 4.9% ND 2.1% SD 4.5% MN 6.3% NE 6.9% IA 6.0% KS 5.5% MO 5.7% OK 3.4% TX 5.9% AR 3.7% LA 2.3% KY 7.5% TN 7.5% MS 3.2% AL 6.1% WI 7.1% MI 7.7% IL 4.1% IN 8.3% OH 5.8% FL 8.5% GA 8.0% SC 8.3% NC 6.2% VA 4.3% WV 2.3% DE 4.3% NH 6.7% MD 3.8% NJ 4.1% CT 2.4% VT 5.6% DC 11.8% ME 6.6% NY 6.5% PA 4.9% AZ 9.5% AK 2.6% HI 4.7% RI 8.1% MA 5.9% CA 7.1% Four-Quarter Change: Purchase-Only Index 2017Q2 – 2018Q2 United States = 6.5% 0% or less 0.1% - 3.0% 3.1% - 5.0% 5.1% - 10.0% 10.1% or higher Source: FHFA U.S. House Prices August 22, 2018 Appreciation
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  • 31. Source: August 2018 forecasts Quarter Fannie Mae Freddie Mac MBA NAR Average 2018 2Q 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 2018 3Q 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.6 2018 4Q 4.6 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.75 2019 Q1 4.7 ----- 4.9 4.9 4.833 2019 Q2 4.7 ----- 5.0 5.0 4.9
  • 32. U.S.30 year fixed-rate Source: Freddie Mac Rate Survey, August 16, 2018 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00 8/16/71 8/16/72 8/16/73 8/16/74 8/16/75 8/16/76 8/16/77 8/16/78 8/16/79 8/16/80 8/16/81 8/16/82 8/16/83 8/16/84 8/16/85 8/16/86 8/16/87 8/16/88 8/16/89 8/16/90 8/16/91 8/16/92 8/16/93 8/16/94 8/16/95 8/16/96 8/16/97 8/16/98 8/16/99 8/16/00 8/16/01 8/16/02 8/16/03 8/16/04 8/16/05 8/16/06 8/16/07 8/16/08 8/16/09 8/16/10 8/16/11 8/16/12 8/16/13 8/16/14 8/16/15 8/16/16 8/16/17 8/16/18
  • 33. U.S.30 year fixed-rate Source: Freddie Mac Rate Survey, August 16, 2018 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75 4.00 4.25 4.50 4.75 5.00 8/16/15 9/16/15 10/16/15 11/16/15 12/16/15 1/16/16 2/16/16 3/16/16 4/16/16 5/16/16 6/16/16 7/16/16 8/16/16 9/16/16 10/16/16 11/16/16 12/16/16 1/16/17 2/16/17 3/16/17 4/16/17 5/16/17 6/16/17 7/16/17 8/16/17 9/16/17 10/16/17 11/16/17 12/16/17 1/16/18 2/16/18 3/16/18 4/16/18 5/16/18 6/16/18 7/16/18 8/16/18
  • 34. MGIC.com/social 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% High taxes Affordable housing Income gap between rich and poor Rising interest rates Inflation The federal budget deficit Job opportunities for people without college education Overall employment rate Americans losing jobs to foreign workers The income gap between races The income gap between genders Restrictive immigration policies that reduce available labor The trade deficit All survey respondents “What do you see as the top economic concerns facing the U.S.? Select up to three options.” Source: Redfin February 2018 Interest rate concern
  • 35. MGIC.com/social 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% High taxes Affordable housing Income gap between rich and poor Rising interest rates Inflation The federal budget deficit Job opportunities for people without college education Overall employment rate Americans losing jobs to foreign workers The income gap between races The income gap between genders Restrictive immigration policies that reduce available labor The trade deficit All survey respondents “What do you see as the top economic concerns facing the U.S.? Select up to three options.” Source: Redfin February 2018 Interest rate concern
  • 36. MGIC.com/social “If mortgage rates were to rise above 5%, what effect would it have on your home-buying plans?” 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% I'd slow down my search and see if rates come back down No impact I'd increase my urgency to buy before rates went up further My urgency wont change, but I'd have to look in other areas or buy smaller home due to increased payment I'd cancel my plan to buy a home All survey respondents who said they plan on trying to buy a home in next 12 months Source: Redfin February 2018 Interest rate concern
  • 37. MGIC.com/social Reduced purchase power RATE P&I + MI rounded to the nearest dollar amount; assuming 700 credit score Cost of waiting 5.50 $1,079 $1,109 $1,139 $1,169 $1,199 5.25 $1,052 $1,081 $1,111 $1,140 $1,169 5.00 $1,026 $1,054 $1,083 $1,111 $1,140 4.75 $1,000 $1,028 $1,056 $1,083 $1,111 4.50 $974 $1,001 $1,029 $1,056 $1,083 Purchase price $180,000 $185,000 $190,000 $195,000 $200,000
  • 40. August 2017 – August 2018 Wages up 2.9% Cost of living up 2.9% Source: Department of Labor
  • 41. After adjusting for inflation, wages are only 10% higher in 2017 than they were in 1973 Source: The Hamilton Project, Brookings Institute
  • 44. MGIC.com/socialSource: Rentcafe March 2018 $93,000 Amount Millennials spend on rent by time they hit 30
  • 45. Source: Freddie Mac The Top Misconceptions About Homebuying Dec 2017 70% Of consumers fear not having enough for a down payment
  • 46. MGIC.com/socialSource: Neighborhood Works America at Home Survey September 2017 What is preventing people from buying? 6% 11% 7% 3% 12% 17% 20% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Belief a home is not a good investment now Concerns about maintenance/repair costs Lack of job security Student loan debt Belief you can't afford your preferred neighborhood Weak or bad credit Lack of a down payment If you were in the market to buy a home, which of the following would be the greatest obstacle to you personally? Adults 21% Other/DK/Not in the market to buy a home
  • 47. MGIC.com/socialSource: Neighborhood Works America at Home Survey September 2017 What is preventing Millennials from buying? 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 22% 25% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Belief a home is not a good investment now Concerns about maintenance/repair costs Lack of job security Student loan debt Belief you can't afford your preferred neighborhood Weak or bad credit Lack of a down payment If you were in the market to buy a home, which of the following would be the greatest obstacle to you personally? 7% Other/DK/Not in the market to buy a home
  • 48. 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Insufficient credit score or credit history Affording the down payment or closing costs Insufficent income for monthly payments Too much existing debt Lack of job security or stability The process is too complicated (select up to 3) Renters Owners Source Fannie Mae June 2018 What would be your biggest obstacle to getting a mortgage to purchase or refinance a home today?
  • 51. MGIC.com/social How much do lenders require you to put down? 20% 19% 30% 26% 34% 25% 17% 30% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Total Millennials From what you have seen, read or heard, for someone to be able to purchase a home, what is the minimum percentage down payment (must pay at closing) in order for someone to qualify and finalize the transaction (purchase)? Please give your best estimate. 1-9% 10% 11-20% 21-100% Source: Neighborhood Works America at Home Survey September 2017
  • 52. MGIC.com/social 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% More than 20% 15%-20% 10%-14% 6%-9% 4%-5% Less than 3% Source: NAR HOME Survey September 2016 86% Millennials who believe you need 10% or more down
  • 53. MGIC.com/social 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% More than 20% 15%-20% 10%-14% 6%-9% 4%-5% Less than 3% 82% GenXers who believe you need 10% or more down Source: NAR HOME Survey September 2016
  • 54. MGIC.com/social 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% More than 20% 15%-20% 10%-14% 6%-9% 4%-5% Less than 3% 87% Young Boomers who believe you need 10% or more down Source: NAR HOME Survey September 2016
  • 55. MGIC.com/social 87% First-time home buyers who would take advantage of down payment assistance programs Source: Bank of America Homebuyer Insights Report April 2017
  • 56. MGIC.com/social Source: Freddie Mac Less than a third of consumers are familiar with low-down-payment programs
  • 57. MGIC.com/socialSource: PewResearch Dec 2016 Renters went from 17% likelihood to buy when assuming 20% down payment to 58% when told they could put 5% down.
  • 58. MGIC.com/social HomeReady® Mortgage Loans • 97% financing • No minimum borrower contribution • Lower than standard MI coverage levels on LTVs above 90% • LLPAs waived on LTVs > 80% and credit score ≥ 680 • Allows for all MI premium plans
  • 59. MGIC.com/social Home Possible® & Home Possible Advantage® • 97% financing • No minimum borrower contribution • Lower than standard MI coverage levels • May use Loan Product AdvisorSM or manually underwrite • No reserve required for 1-unit primary residence • Allows for all MI premium plans
  • 61. MGIC.com/social So how do they all compare?
  • 62. MGIC.com/social Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible First-Time Homebuyer At least 1 borrower Not required At least 1 borrower Not required Income Limits No limits 100% of AMI No limits in low-income census tracts No limits 100% of AMI No limits in low-income census tracts Today’s 97% LTV Options
  • 63. MGIC.com/social Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible First-Time Homebuyer At least 1 borrower Not required At least 1 borrower Not required Income Limits No limits 100% of AMI No limits in low-income census tracts No limits 100% of AMI No limits in low-income census tracts Borrower Contribution from Own Funds No minimum required No minimum required Reserves Determined by Desktop Underwriter® Determined by Loan Product Advisor® Determined by Loan Product Advisor® or none for manual underwrite Today’s 97% LTV Options
  • 64. MGIC.com/social Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible CLTV 105% if community Seconds® loan 105% if Affordable Seconds® loan Occupancy Primary residence Primary residence Today’s 97% LTV Options
  • 65. MGIC.com/social Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible CLTV 105% if community Seconds® loan 105% if Affordable Seconds® loan Occupancy Primary residence Primary residence Today’s 97% LTV Options HomeReady Non-occupant borrowers permitted to maximum 95% LTV in DU; 90% LTV manual with max 43% debt-to-income (DTI) for occupying borrower. Income considered as part of qualifying income and subject to income limits. Home Possible Effective October 29: Mortgages secured by 1-unit properties permitted with maximum 95% LTV for Loan Product Advisor® Mortgages; 90% LTV for Manually Underwritten Mortgages with max 43% DTI
  • 66. HOME POSSIBLE MORTGAGES Effective October 29, 2018 In response to Seller feedback, we evaluated our requirements for Home Possible and Home Possible Advantage Mortgages and are combining Home Possible and Home Possible Advantage into one offering in an effort to better help Sellers originate Home Possible Mortgages.
  • 67. Maximum DTI for manual underwrite 45% for all manually underwritten Home Possible Mortgages
  • 68. MGIC.com/social Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible CLTV 105% if community Seconds® loan 105% if Affordable Seconds® loan Occupancy Primary residence Primary residence Manufactured Homes Ineligible, unless MH Advantage Ineligible Number of Units 1-unit 1-unit Today’s 97% LTV Options
  • 69. MGIC.com/social Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible Homebuyer Education Not required Required for at least 1 borrower Required for at least 1 borrower when all borrowers are FTHBs* Today’s 97% LTV Options * OR credit reputation established using only noncredit payment (nontraditional) references
  • 70. MGIC.com/social Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible Homebuyer Education Not required Required for at least 1 borrower Required for at least 1 borrower when all borrowers are FTHBs Required for at least 1 borrower when all borrowers are FTHBs Eligible Homebuyer Education N/A Framework Homeownership* MGIC’s at Readynest.com OR Freddie Mac’s CreditSmart® OR Hud-approved agency Today’s 97% LTV Options * Homeownership education course required by a Community Seconds/DPA program that is provided by a HUD-approved agency OR Housing Counseling from a HUD-approved nonprofit housing counseling agency as evidenced by a completed Fannie Mae Form 1017 (must occur prior to buyer signing purchase contract)
  • 71. MGIC.com/social Fannie Mae Freddie Mac Standard HomeReady HomeOne Home Possible Homebuyer Education Not required Required for at least 1 borrower Required for at least 1 borrower when all borrowers are FTHBs Required for at least 1 borrower when all borrowers are FTHBs Eligible Homebuyer Education N/A Framework Homeownership* MGIC’s at Readynest.com OR Freddie Mac’s CreditSmart® OR Hud-approved agency MI coverage 35% OR 18% + Minimum MI Loan-level Price adjustment 25% OR 18% + Minimum MI Loan-level Price adjustment 35% OR 18% + Minimum MI Delivery fee 25% OR 18% + Minimum MI Delivery fee Today’s 97% LTV Options
  • 73. MGIC.com/social So who should go FHA and who should go conventional?
  • 74. MGIC.com/social Consider & Compare 760 FICO$250,000 purchase FHA 96.5% MGIC 97% HomeReady/ Home Possible MGIC 97% Standard/HomeOne Down Payment $8,750 $7,500 $7,500 Base Loan Amount $241,250 $242,500 $242,500 Less down
  • 75. MGIC.com/social Consider & Compare 760 FICO$250,000 purchase FHA 96.5% MGIC 97% HomeReady/ Home Possible MGIC 97% Standard/HomeOne Down Payment $8,750 $7,500 $7,500 Base Loan Amount $241,250 $242,500 $242,500 Upfront Premium (financed into loan amount) $4,222 $0 $0 Total Amount Borrowed $245,472 $242,500 $242,500 $2,972 less
  • 76. MGIC.com/social Consider & Compare 760 FICO$250,000 purchase FHA 96.5% MGIC 97% HomeReady/ Home Possible MGIC 97% Standard/HomeOne Down Payment $8,750 $7,500 $7,500 Base Loan Amount $241,250 $242,500 $242,500 Upfront Premium (financed into loan amount) $4,222 $0 $0 Total Amount Borrowed $245,472 $242,500 $242,500 Interest Rate 4.5% 4.625% 4.75% Monthly MI Payment $170 $65 $81
  • 77. MGIC.com/social Consider & Compare 760 FICO$250,000 purchase FHA 96.5% MGIC 97% HomeReady/ Home Possible MGIC 97% Standard/HomeOne Down Payment $8,750 $7,500 $7,500 Base Loan Amount $241,250 $242,500 $242,500 Upfront Premium (financed into loan amount) $4,222 $0 $0 Total Amount Borrowed $245,472 $242,500 $242,500 Interest Rate 4.5% 4.625% 4.75% Monthly MI Payment $170 $65 $81 Monthly Loan Payment (P&I+MI) $1,414 $1,312 $1,346 Less per month
  • 78. MGIC.com/social Consider & Compare 760 FICO$250,000 purchase FHA 96.5% MGIC 97% HomeReady/ Home Possible MGIC 97% Standard/HomeOne Down Payment $8,750 $7,500 $7,500 Base Loan Amount $241,250 $242,500 $242,500 Upfront Premium (financed into loan amount) $4,222 $0 $0 Total Amount Borrowed $245,472 $242,500 $242,500 Interest Rate 4.5% 4.625% 4.75% Monthly MI Payment $170 $65 $81 Monthly Loan Payment (P&I+MI) $1,414 $1,312 $1,346 assuming 3% annual appreciation Est. MI Cancellation Month Not Cancellable 61 61 Est. Payment in 5 years assuming cancellation $1,398 $1,247 $1,265
  • 79. MGIC.com/social Consider & Compare $250,000 purchase FHA 96.5% MGIC 97% HomeReady/ Home Possible MGIC 97% Standard/HomeOne Down Payment $8,750 $7,500 $7,500 Base Loan Amount $241,250 $242,500 $242,500 Upfront Premium (financed into loan amount) $4,222 $0 $0 Total Amount Borrowed $245,472 $242,500 $242,500 Interest Rate 4.5% 4.625% 4.75% Monthly MI Payment $170 $160 $200 Monthly Loan Payment (P&I+MI) $1,414 $1,407 $1,465 assuming 3% annual appreciation Est. MI Cancellation Month Not Cancellable 61 61 Est. Payment in 5 years assuming cancellation $1,414 $1,247 $1,265 680 FICO FHA monthly savings = $60 Extra down payment + $1,250 Upfront MI + $4,222 Total = $5,472 $5,472 Ă· $60= 7.6 years
  • 80. MGIC.com/social When that dream home leaves them cold We insure Fannie Mae HomeStyle® Energy mortgages
  • 81. MGIC.com/social For when they’re not sure what to do about that fixer- upper… and then it hits them We insure Fannie Mae HomeStyle® Renovation mortgages
  • 82. MGIC.com/social When that dream home doesn’t quite measure up We insure Freddie Mac Renovation mortgages
  • 86.