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Data Science
for Science
Ljupco Todorovski
DSC Adria 23, Rijeka, May 2023
?
2
First Black Hole Photo (2019)
3
Katherine Bouman, Computer Scientist
4
Katherine Bouman, Data Scientist
5
The Nobel Prize
in Chemistry 2013
Summary
In the 1970s, Michael Levitt,
Martin Karplus, and Arieh Warshel
successfully developed methods
that combined quantum and
classical mechanics to calculate
the courses of chemical reactions
using computers.
6
The Nobel Prize
in Chemistry 2013
Jogalekar: ScientiïŹc American,
October 2013
First and foremost it is a prize for
the ïŹeld rather for individuals, a
signal from the Nobel
Committee that computational
methods have come of age.
You would be hard-pressed these days to ïŹnd
papers that don't include at least some
computational component, from the simple
visualization of a molecule to very rigorous
high-level quantum mechanical calculations.
7
Talk Outline
● Challenges for data science in science
● Computational ScientiïŹc Discovery
○ Results
○ Methods
● Conclusion
8
Challenges of Data Science in Science
1. Not only data and not only models, relation between data and models
2. Not only accurate predictions, understanding of the models, which is
consistent with existing scientiïŹc theories
3. Not any kind of models, understandable modes stated in established
scientiïŹc formalisms
9
Computational
ScientiïŹc Discovery
DeïŹnition
Research in ArtiïŹcial Intelligence
that aims to develop computer
systems which produce results
that, if a human scientist did the
same, we would refer to as
discoveries.
10
Dzeroski and Todorovski, Eds (2007) Computational Discovery of ScientiïŹc Knowledge. Springer.
Equation Discovery aka
Symbolic Regression
Automated Discovery
of Equations from Data
11
Computational ScientiïŹc Discovery: Results
12
Why Equations?
● Most common form of knowledge in science
● Capture the relationships between variables
● Understandable to human scientists
● Potential to explain the observed phenomena
13
Explanatory Power of Equations?
14
Explanatory Power of Equations?
15
Explanatory Power of Equations (1)
As phytoplankton uptakes nitrogen, its concentration increases and the
nitrogen decreases.
16
Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
Explanatory Power of Equations (1)
As phytoplankton uptakes nitrogen, its concentration increases and the
nitrogen decreases.
17
Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
Explanatory Power of Equations (1)
As phytoplankton uptakes nitrogen, its concentration increases and the
nitrogen decreases.
Note the model relation to the data.
18
Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
Explanatory Power of Equations (2)
The uptake continues until the nitrogen is exhausted, which leads to a
phytoplankton die oïŹ€.
19
Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
Explanatory Power of Equations (3)
This produces detritus, which gradually remineralizes to replenish nitrogen...
20
Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
Explanation
Equations
As phytoplankton uptakes
nitrogen, its concentration
increases and the nitrogen
decreases. The uptake continues
until the nitrogen is exhausted,
which leads to a phytoplankton
die oïŹ€. This produces detritus,
which gradually remineralizes to
replenish nitrogen. Zooplankton
grazes on phytoplankton, slowing
the latter’s increase and also
producing detritus.
21
More Results: Protist Dynamics
22
Simulated and observed trajectories for two predator–prey data sets
Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
More Results: Hydrology
23
Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
More Results: Stormwater Control Measures
24
Radinja et al. (2021) Water 13: 2268 doi:10.3390/w13162268
Computational ScientiïŹc Discovery: Methods
25
Formal Grammars as Knowledge Vehicles
26
Traditional use of formal grammars: SpeciïŹcation of languages and parsers
We use formal grammars
● To specify the space of plausible expressions in the domain of use,
i.e., expressions that are aligned with domain theory
● As generators of candidate expressions
Example Grammar Rules for Modeling Food Chains
27
Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient
Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient / (const + Nutrient)
Decay → const · ZooPlankton
Nutrient → nitro
Nutrient → phosp
Phytoplankton → phyto
Phytoplankton → other_species
Example Grammar Rules for Modeling Food Chains
28
Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient
Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient / (const + Nutrient)
Decay → const · ZooPlankton
Nutrient → nitro
Nutrient → phosp
Phytoplankton → phyto
Phytoplankton → other_species
Example Grammar Rules for Modeling Food Chains
29
Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient
Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient / (const + Nutrient)
Decay → const · ZooPlankton
Nutrient → nitro
Nutrient → phosp
Phytoplankton → phyto
Phytoplankton → other_species
Probabilistic Grammars
30
Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient [p]
Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient / (const + Nutrient) [1−p]
We use formal probabilistic grammars
● To specify the space of plausible expressions in the domain of use,
i.e., expressions that are aligned with domain theory
● As generators of candidate expressions
● DeïŹne a priori probability distribution over candidate expressions
Deterministic vs Probabilistic Grammars
31
Brence et al. (2021) Knowledge-Based Systems 224: 107077 doi:10.1016/j.knosys.2021.107077
Dimensionally Consistent Grammars
32
Take care of correctly combining measurement units
E[m] → E[m] + E[m]
E[s] → E[s] + E[s]
E[m/s] → E[m] / E[s]
V[m] → distance
V[s] → time
V[m/s] → velocity
Brence et al. (2023) Information Sciences 632: 742-756 doi:10.1016/j.ins.2023.03.073
From Grammars to Deep Generative Models
33
Logical step forward: replace grammars with more general generative models.
Q: can we eïŹƒciently train a deep generative model for expressions?
From Grammars to Deep Generative Models
34
Logical step forward: replace grammars with more general generative models.
Q: can we eïŹƒciently train a deep generative model for expressions?
A: Yes, but only if we develop an appropriate generative model.
HVAE: EïŹƒcient Generator of Expressions
35
Model architecture tailored to the hierarchical structure of the expressions
Recursive arrangement of 2-to-1 and 1-to-2 GRU
MeĆŸnar et al. (2023) arXiv:2302.09893 doi:10.48550/arXiv.2302.09893
Comparative Evaluation of HVAE
36
MeĆŸnar et al. (2023) arXiv:2302.09893 doi:10.48550/arXiv.2302.09893
EDHiE: Symbolic Regression with HVAE
Combination of
● Deep generative model HVAE
● Evolutionary algorithm
37
MeĆŸnar et al. (2023) arXiv:2302.09893 doi:10.48550/arXiv.2302.09893
EDHiE vs State-of-the-Art
38
MeĆŸnar et al. (2023) arXiv:2302.09893 doi:10.48550/arXiv.2302.09893
Conclusion
39
Data Science
for Science
Blei and Smith (2017) PNAS 114(33):
8689-8692
doi:10.1073/pnas.1702076114
For each scientiïŹc problem, the data
scientist develops an understanding
of its context: how the data were
collected, existing theories and domain
knowledge, and the overarching goals of
the discipline.
Crucially, the data scientist solves
the problem iteratively and
collaboratively with the domain
expert. Together, they develop
computational and statistical tools to
explore data, questions, and methods
in the service of the goals of the
discipline.
40
Data Science
for Science
Blei and Smith (2017) PNAS 114(33):
8689-8692
doi:10.1073/pnas.1702076114
Data science is more than the
combination of statistics and
computer science. It requires
training in how to weave
statistical and computational
techniques into a larger
framework, problem by problem,
and to address
discipline-speciïŹc questions.
41
Do Not Try
to Replace Scientists
Perrakis and Sixma (2021)
EMBO Reports 22: e54046
doi:10.15252/embr.202154046
Notwithstanding all the justiïŹed
excitement about AlphaFold, this
achievement does not mean
though that AI will make
experimental structural biology or
its practitioners and tools
redundant. Structural biology will
remain essential for
understanding how proteins work
and how they dynamically interact
with each other.
42
Data Science for Science
43
Computational
Science
Application
Domain of Science
Take-Home Message
Three Basic Principles of
Data Science for Science
Establishing relation between
data and models
Building explanatory models
rooted in scientiïŹc theories
Casting models in standard
scientiïŹc formalisms
Tailoring the algorithms to the
problem and not vice-versa
44
Collaborators
Computational Scientists
Jure Brence, JoĆŸef Stefan Institute
Sebastian MeĆŸnar, JoĆŸef Stefan Institute
SaĆĄo DĆŸeroski, JoĆŸef Stefan Institute
Will Bridewell, Stanford University
Pat Langley, Stanford University
45
Domain Scientists
Matej Radinja, University of Ljubljana
Mateja Ć kerjanec, University of Ljubljana
NataĆĄa Atanasova, University of Ljubljana
Kevin Arrigo, Stanford University
Thanks for Your Attention, Discussion Time
46
Institutions Involved and Financial Support

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[DSC Adria 23] Ljupco Todorovski Data Science for Science.pdf

  • 1. Data Science for Science Ljupco Todorovski DSC Adria 23, Rijeka, May 2023
  • 2. ? 2
  • 3. First Black Hole Photo (2019) 3
  • 6. The Nobel Prize in Chemistry 2013 Summary In the 1970s, Michael Levitt, Martin Karplus, and Arieh Warshel successfully developed methods that combined quantum and classical mechanics to calculate the courses of chemical reactions using computers. 6
  • 7. The Nobel Prize in Chemistry 2013 Jogalekar: ScientiïŹc American, October 2013 First and foremost it is a prize for the ïŹeld rather for individuals, a signal from the Nobel Committee that computational methods have come of age. You would be hard-pressed these days to ïŹnd papers that don't include at least some computational component, from the simple visualization of a molecule to very rigorous high-level quantum mechanical calculations. 7
  • 8. Talk Outline ● Challenges for data science in science ● Computational ScientiïŹc Discovery ○ Results ○ Methods ● Conclusion 8
  • 9. Challenges of Data Science in Science 1. Not only data and not only models, relation between data and models 2. Not only accurate predictions, understanding of the models, which is consistent with existing scientiïŹc theories 3. Not any kind of models, understandable modes stated in established scientiïŹc formalisms 9
  • 10. Computational ScientiïŹc Discovery DeïŹnition Research in ArtiïŹcial Intelligence that aims to develop computer systems which produce results that, if a human scientist did the same, we would refer to as discoveries. 10 Dzeroski and Todorovski, Eds (2007) Computational Discovery of ScientiïŹc Knowledge. Springer.
  • 11. Equation Discovery aka Symbolic Regression Automated Discovery of Equations from Data 11
  • 13. Why Equations? ● Most common form of knowledge in science ● Capture the relationships between variables ● Understandable to human scientists ● Potential to explain the observed phenomena 13
  • 14. Explanatory Power of Equations? 14
  • 15. Explanatory Power of Equations? 15
  • 16. Explanatory Power of Equations (1) As phytoplankton uptakes nitrogen, its concentration increases and the nitrogen decreases. 16 Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
  • 17. Explanatory Power of Equations (1) As phytoplankton uptakes nitrogen, its concentration increases and the nitrogen decreases. 17 Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
  • 18. Explanatory Power of Equations (1) As phytoplankton uptakes nitrogen, its concentration increases and the nitrogen decreases. Note the model relation to the data. 18 Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
  • 19. Explanatory Power of Equations (2) The uptake continues until the nitrogen is exhausted, which leads to a phytoplankton die oïŹ€. 19 Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
  • 20. Explanatory Power of Equations (3) This produces detritus, which gradually remineralizes to replenish nitrogen... 20 Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
  • 21. Explanation Equations As phytoplankton uptakes nitrogen, its concentration increases and the nitrogen decreases. The uptake continues until the nitrogen is exhausted, which leads to a phytoplankton die oïŹ€. This produces detritus, which gradually remineralizes to replenish nitrogen. Zooplankton grazes on phytoplankton, slowing the latter’s increase and also producing detritus. 21
  • 22. More Results: Protist Dynamics 22 Simulated and observed trajectories for two predator–prey data sets Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
  • 23. More Results: Hydrology 23 Bridewell et al. (2008) Machine Learning 71: 1–32 doi:10.1007/s10994-007-5042-6
  • 24. More Results: Stormwater Control Measures 24 Radinja et al. (2021) Water 13: 2268 doi:10.3390/w13162268
  • 26. Formal Grammars as Knowledge Vehicles 26 Traditional use of formal grammars: SpeciïŹcation of languages and parsers We use formal grammars ● To specify the space of plausible expressions in the domain of use, i.e., expressions that are aligned with domain theory ● As generators of candidate expressions
  • 27. Example Grammar Rules for Modeling Food Chains 27 Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient / (const + Nutrient) Decay → const · ZooPlankton Nutrient → nitro Nutrient → phosp Phytoplankton → phyto Phytoplankton → other_species
  • 28. Example Grammar Rules for Modeling Food Chains 28 Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient / (const + Nutrient) Decay → const · ZooPlankton Nutrient → nitro Nutrient → phosp Phytoplankton → phyto Phytoplankton → other_species
  • 29. Example Grammar Rules for Modeling Food Chains 29 Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient / (const + Nutrient) Decay → const · ZooPlankton Nutrient → nitro Nutrient → phosp Phytoplankton → phyto Phytoplankton → other_species
  • 30. Probabilistic Grammars 30 Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient [p] Grazing → const · PhytoPlankton · Nutrient / (const + Nutrient) [1−p] We use formal probabilistic grammars ● To specify the space of plausible expressions in the domain of use, i.e., expressions that are aligned with domain theory ● As generators of candidate expressions ● DeïŹne a priori probability distribution over candidate expressions
  • 31. Deterministic vs Probabilistic Grammars 31 Brence et al. (2021) Knowledge-Based Systems 224: 107077 doi:10.1016/j.knosys.2021.107077
  • 32. Dimensionally Consistent Grammars 32 Take care of correctly combining measurement units E[m] → E[m] + E[m] E[s] → E[s] + E[s] E[m/s] → E[m] / E[s] V[m] → distance V[s] → time V[m/s] → velocity Brence et al. (2023) Information Sciences 632: 742-756 doi:10.1016/j.ins.2023.03.073
  • 33. From Grammars to Deep Generative Models 33 Logical step forward: replace grammars with more general generative models. Q: can we eïŹƒciently train a deep generative model for expressions?
  • 34. From Grammars to Deep Generative Models 34 Logical step forward: replace grammars with more general generative models. Q: can we eïŹƒciently train a deep generative model for expressions? A: Yes, but only if we develop an appropriate generative model.
  • 35. HVAE: EïŹƒcient Generator of Expressions 35 Model architecture tailored to the hierarchical structure of the expressions Recursive arrangement of 2-to-1 and 1-to-2 GRU MeĆŸnar et al. (2023) arXiv:2302.09893 doi:10.48550/arXiv.2302.09893
  • 36. Comparative Evaluation of HVAE 36 MeĆŸnar et al. (2023) arXiv:2302.09893 doi:10.48550/arXiv.2302.09893
  • 37. EDHiE: Symbolic Regression with HVAE Combination of ● Deep generative model HVAE ● Evolutionary algorithm 37 MeĆŸnar et al. (2023) arXiv:2302.09893 doi:10.48550/arXiv.2302.09893
  • 38. EDHiE vs State-of-the-Art 38 MeĆŸnar et al. (2023) arXiv:2302.09893 doi:10.48550/arXiv.2302.09893
  • 40. Data Science for Science Blei and Smith (2017) PNAS 114(33): 8689-8692 doi:10.1073/pnas.1702076114 For each scientiïŹc problem, the data scientist develops an understanding of its context: how the data were collected, existing theories and domain knowledge, and the overarching goals of the discipline. Crucially, the data scientist solves the problem iteratively and collaboratively with the domain expert. Together, they develop computational and statistical tools to explore data, questions, and methods in the service of the goals of the discipline. 40
  • 41. Data Science for Science Blei and Smith (2017) PNAS 114(33): 8689-8692 doi:10.1073/pnas.1702076114 Data science is more than the combination of statistics and computer science. It requires training in how to weave statistical and computational techniques into a larger framework, problem by problem, and to address discipline-speciïŹc questions. 41
  • 42. Do Not Try to Replace Scientists Perrakis and Sixma (2021) EMBO Reports 22: e54046 doi:10.15252/embr.202154046 Notwithstanding all the justiïŹed excitement about AlphaFold, this achievement does not mean though that AI will make experimental structural biology or its practitioners and tools redundant. Structural biology will remain essential for understanding how proteins work and how they dynamically interact with each other. 42
  • 43. Data Science for Science 43 Computational Science Application Domain of Science
  • 44. Take-Home Message Three Basic Principles of Data Science for Science Establishing relation between data and models Building explanatory models rooted in scientiïŹc theories Casting models in standard scientiïŹc formalisms Tailoring the algorithms to the problem and not vice-versa 44
  • 45. Collaborators Computational Scientists Jure Brence, JoĆŸef Stefan Institute Sebastian MeĆŸnar, JoĆŸef Stefan Institute SaĆĄo DĆŸeroski, JoĆŸef Stefan Institute Will Bridewell, Stanford University Pat Langley, Stanford University 45 Domain Scientists Matej Radinja, University of Ljubljana Mateja Ć kerjanec, University of Ljubljana NataĆĄa Atanasova, University of Ljubljana Kevin Arrigo, Stanford University
  • 46. Thanks for Your Attention, Discussion Time 46 Institutions Involved and Financial Support