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60 years of Kariba Dam:
implications for downstream water quality
IBP PhD Congress, 26/4/2019
Picture: Simon Spratley, ATEC3D
Elisa Calamita, Martin Schmid, Bernhard Wehrli
A Decision-Analytic Framework to explore the water-
energy-food NExus in complex and transboundary water
resources systems of fast growing developing countries
[https://dafne.ethz.ch/]
Introduction
2
3
[United Nations, 2017; Poff & Schmidt, 2016; Wilcox and Asbjornsen, 2018; Moran et al., 2018; Best, 2019]
population
time40% of world’s population
Low latitudes…
~3700 dams proposed
[Winton, Calamita, Wehrli (2019)]
4
How are dams changing water quality at low latitudes?
5
Water supply Food security
Economic value
Tourist attraction
Water
quality
• ecological functioning
• biodiversity
• fish communities
T
DO
[Caissie 2006; Arvola et al, 2010; Danladi Bello et al., 2017]
[The World Bank, 2010; esa.un.org; SADC 2012]
• Transboundary
• Population
• Water-energy-food security
Zambezi River Basin
only 23 % of its
hydropower potential
is being exploited
7
Lake Kariba
• world largest artificial lake by volume
• volume = 150 km3
• hydropower reservoir (1958)
• max depth = 97 m
• monomictic lake
• 4 sub-basins
[https://thetruesize.com]
Spatial heterogeneity
8
inflow
outflow
[Calamita et al. Under review]
Lake Kariba – basin IV
9
inflow
Unified database
• Vertical profiles of water temperature
and dissolved oxygen
• Coverage of 23 years
outflow
[Calamita et al. Under review]
Frequency maps
10
[Calamita et al. Under review]
T , O2 , N , P …
11
water intake Zambia water intake Zimbabwe
Lake Kariba – basin IV: a transboundary problem…
459 m a.s.l. 460 m a.s.l.
447 m a.s.l.
457 m a.s.l.
spilling gates
Zambia
Zimbabwe 1
Zimbabwe 2
Spilling gates
12
[Hipsey et al., 2014]
Lake modelling
13
weighted average
with discharge
measurements
model
Zambia
Zimbabwe 1
Zimbabwe 2
Spilling gates
14
Scenarios analysis
Max hydropower
Min irrigation deficit
Min delta deficit
Trade-off
Baseline
• Multi-objective optimization
• Simultaneous operation policies
• Scenarios 1986-2005
In collaboration with:
• Federica Bertoni
• Andrea Castelletti
Optimization targets:
Summary
 Stratification dynamics of Lake Kariba leads to alterations of
the thermal and oxygen regime of the Zambezi River.
 Transboundary operation policies directly affect the
downstream water quality.
 Workflow to assess the impact of dam operation on
downstream water quality.
Outlook: downstream travelling of thermo (-oxy) signals…
Thank you!
Elisa Calamita
elisa.calamita@usys.ethz.ch
With thanks to Collaborators:
Cristian Teodoru
Scott Winton
Davide Vanzo
Patrick Katriner

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60 years of Kariba Dam: implications for downstream water quality

  • 1. 60 years of Kariba Dam: implications for downstream water quality IBP PhD Congress, 26/4/2019 Picture: Simon Spratley, ATEC3D Elisa Calamita, Martin Schmid, Bernhard Wehrli
  • 2. A Decision-Analytic Framework to explore the water- energy-food NExus in complex and transboundary water resources systems of fast growing developing countries [https://dafne.ethz.ch/] Introduction 2
  • 3. 3 [United Nations, 2017; Poff & Schmidt, 2016; Wilcox and Asbjornsen, 2018; Moran et al., 2018; Best, 2019] population time40% of world’s population Low latitudes… ~3700 dams proposed
  • 4. [Winton, Calamita, Wehrli (2019)] 4 How are dams changing water quality at low latitudes?
  • 5. 5 Water supply Food security Economic value Tourist attraction Water quality • ecological functioning • biodiversity • fish communities T DO [Caissie 2006; Arvola et al, 2010; Danladi Bello et al., 2017]
  • 6. [The World Bank, 2010; esa.un.org; SADC 2012] • Transboundary • Population • Water-energy-food security Zambezi River Basin only 23 % of its hydropower potential is being exploited
  • 7. 7 Lake Kariba • world largest artificial lake by volume • volume = 150 km3 • hydropower reservoir (1958) • max depth = 97 m • monomictic lake • 4 sub-basins [https://thetruesize.com]
  • 9. Lake Kariba – basin IV 9 inflow Unified database • Vertical profiles of water temperature and dissolved oxygen • Coverage of 23 years outflow [Calamita et al. Under review]
  • 10. Frequency maps 10 [Calamita et al. Under review]
  • 11. T , O2 , N , P … 11 water intake Zambia water intake Zimbabwe Lake Kariba – basin IV: a transboundary problem… 459 m a.s.l. 460 m a.s.l. 447 m a.s.l. 457 m a.s.l. spilling gates
  • 12. Zambia Zimbabwe 1 Zimbabwe 2 Spilling gates 12 [Hipsey et al., 2014] Lake modelling
  • 14. 14 Scenarios analysis Max hydropower Min irrigation deficit Min delta deficit Trade-off Baseline • Multi-objective optimization • Simultaneous operation policies • Scenarios 1986-2005 In collaboration with: • Federica Bertoni • Andrea Castelletti Optimization targets:
  • 15. Summary  Stratification dynamics of Lake Kariba leads to alterations of the thermal and oxygen regime of the Zambezi River.  Transboundary operation policies directly affect the downstream water quality.  Workflow to assess the impact of dam operation on downstream water quality. Outlook: downstream travelling of thermo (-oxy) signals…
  • 16. Thank you! Elisa Calamita elisa.calamita@usys.ethz.ch With thanks to Collaborators: Cristian Teodoru Scott Winton Davide Vanzo Patrick Katriner