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IMAGINE AFRICA, CONNECTED

IMAGINE AFRICA, CONNECTED
6
7
8
9
Impact of Improving Telephony Connectivity
It is not just about Voice...
$100,000
y = 23995x
R2 = 0.6681

$10,000

$1,000

$100
0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

For each 1% increase in Mobile penetration, GDP per capita
goes up by US$240
Source: Michael Minges, TMG Telecom, and ITU World Telecommunications Database Statistics, 2003.
Country Internet Stages
Worldwide and in Africa
INTENSIVE

(18 countries: none in Africa)

EXTENSIVE

FAMILIARISATION

EARLY DAYS
PROTO-INTERNET

(23 countries: none in Africa)

(39 countries: 3 in Africa)

(32 countries: 11 in Africa)

(45 countries: 31 in Africa)
13
LTE

Peak Data Rates

LTE
291/79 Mbps
(20 MHz)

LTE
LTE
278/57 Mbps
(20 MHz)

Peak Data Rate (Mobile)

WWAN Bandwidth in a Mobile
Environment
IMT-2000
Technologies

“Always on”
packet data
connections

1xEV
EV-DO Rev B
Scalable Bandwidth EV-DO
73.5 / 27 Mbps
(20 MHz)

3GPP Rel 6
14.4/5.8 Mbps***
3GPP Rel 5
(5 MHz)
7.2/ 0.384 Mbps**
EV-DO Rev A
(5 MHz)
HSUPA
3.1/1.8 Mbps*
HSDPA
(1.25 MHz)

1xEV
1xEV
EV-DO Rel 0 (Data Optimized)
2.4/ 0.153 Mbps
(1.25 MHz)
384 kbps
(5 MHz)

153.6 kbps
(1.25MHz)
9.6 kbps

IS-95

14.4 - 64 kbps

1X

GSM

1993

1995

2000

2001

WCDMA

EDGE
< 160 kbps
GPRS < 60 kbps

2002

2003

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Commercial Availability
African operators need to leverage
Paradigm shift Towards
Distributed Architecture
Voice Voice

IP

Applications

Application

…

Session

…

Bearer

T
D
M

T
D
M

I
P

…
…

Access
Mobile

Fixed Internet

NGN/IMS Core
Session Control

IP Bearer
Backbone
PDSN

CDMA

AC

WiFi/WiMax

GGSN

GPRS/UMTS

Goal is to move to a truly access agnostic core network in the future

BRAS

xDSL/LAN
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
Impact of Improving Connectivity
It is about voice and data…
$100,000

GDP per capita, 2002

y = 48948x + 103.27
R2 = 0.7387

$10,000

$1,000

0.0%

0.1%

1.0%

10.0%

$100
100.0%

Internet penetration, 2002

For each 1% increase in Internet penetration, GDP per capita
goes up by US$593
Beyond Voice is the World of Mobile Data
• Non-voice Applications are Driving Wireless
Growth

Growing Big Tomatoes
Essential Steps;
Great Payoffs

News

Position
Location
Push to Talk

Music

Photo
Sharing

Entertainment
Email
Sports
Multiplayer
Gaming

Video
Monitoring
31
IMAGINE AFRICA, CONNECTED

IMAGINE AFRICA, CONNECTED
33
36
39
40
41
Network Readiness Index
NRI Clusters to determine recommended TAM vs GDP
Stage 10
NRI Rating 5.11 – 5.85
TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.205%
Examples: Hong Kong, Singapore, UK, USA, Germany

Stage 9
NRI Rating 4.24 – 5.10
TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.167%
Examples: Chile, Czech Republic, KSA, UAE, Bahrain, Hungary

Stage 8
NRI Rating 3.88 – 4.23
TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.122%
Examples: Brazil ,South Africa, Turkey, Jordan, Kuwait

Stage 7
NRI Rating 3.68 – 3.87
TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.104%
Examples: Egypt, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Bulgaria

Stage 6 NRI Rating 3.36 – 3.67
TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.080%
Examples: Argentina, Nigeria, Morocco, Peru, Serbia

Stage 5
NRI Rating 3.03 – 3.35
TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.078%
Examples: Algeria, Kenya, Libya, Pakistan, Tajikistan

Stage 1-4
NRI Rating 0-3.02
TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.059%
Examples: Angola, Cameroon, Mozambique, Tanzania, Uganda
43
44
45
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47
48
49
51
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See beyond realize the vision

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  • 11. Impact of Improving Telephony Connectivity It is not just about Voice... $100,000 y = 23995x R2 = 0.6681 $10,000 $1,000 $100 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% For each 1% increase in Mobile penetration, GDP per capita goes up by US$240 Source: Michael Minges, TMG Telecom, and ITU World Telecommunications Database Statistics, 2003.
  • 12. Country Internet Stages Worldwide and in Africa INTENSIVE (18 countries: none in Africa) EXTENSIVE FAMILIARISATION EARLY DAYS PROTO-INTERNET (23 countries: none in Africa) (39 countries: 3 in Africa) (32 countries: 11 in Africa) (45 countries: 31 in Africa)
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  • 14. LTE Peak Data Rates LTE 291/79 Mbps (20 MHz) LTE LTE 278/57 Mbps (20 MHz) Peak Data Rate (Mobile) WWAN Bandwidth in a Mobile Environment IMT-2000 Technologies “Always on” packet data connections 1xEV EV-DO Rev B Scalable Bandwidth EV-DO 73.5 / 27 Mbps (20 MHz) 3GPP Rel 6 14.4/5.8 Mbps*** 3GPP Rel 5 (5 MHz) 7.2/ 0.384 Mbps** EV-DO Rev A (5 MHz) HSUPA 3.1/1.8 Mbps* HSDPA (1.25 MHz) 1xEV 1xEV EV-DO Rel 0 (Data Optimized) 2.4/ 0.153 Mbps (1.25 MHz) 384 kbps (5 MHz) 153.6 kbps (1.25MHz) 9.6 kbps IS-95 14.4 - 64 kbps 1X GSM 1993 1995 2000 2001 WCDMA EDGE < 160 kbps GPRS < 60 kbps 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Commercial Availability
  • 15. African operators need to leverage Paradigm shift Towards Distributed Architecture Voice Voice IP Applications Application … Session … Bearer T D M T D M I P … … Access Mobile Fixed Internet NGN/IMS Core Session Control IP Bearer Backbone PDSN CDMA AC WiFi/WiMax GGSN GPRS/UMTS Goal is to move to a truly access agnostic core network in the future BRAS xDSL/LAN
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  • 27. Impact of Improving Connectivity It is about voice and data… $100,000 GDP per capita, 2002 y = 48948x + 103.27 R2 = 0.7387 $10,000 $1,000 0.0% 0.1% 1.0% 10.0% $100 100.0% Internet penetration, 2002 For each 1% increase in Internet penetration, GDP per capita goes up by US$593
  • 28. Beyond Voice is the World of Mobile Data • Non-voice Applications are Driving Wireless Growth Growing Big Tomatoes Essential Steps; Great Payoffs News Position Location Push to Talk Music Photo Sharing Entertainment Email Sports Multiplayer Gaming Video Monitoring
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  • 42. Network Readiness Index NRI Clusters to determine recommended TAM vs GDP Stage 10 NRI Rating 5.11 – 5.85 TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.205% Examples: Hong Kong, Singapore, UK, USA, Germany Stage 9 NRI Rating 4.24 – 5.10 TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.167% Examples: Chile, Czech Republic, KSA, UAE, Bahrain, Hungary Stage 8 NRI Rating 3.88 – 4.23 TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.122% Examples: Brazil ,South Africa, Turkey, Jordan, Kuwait Stage 7 NRI Rating 3.68 – 3.87 TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.104% Examples: Egypt, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Bulgaria Stage 6 NRI Rating 3.36 – 3.67 TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.080% Examples: Argentina, Nigeria, Morocco, Peru, Serbia Stage 5 NRI Rating 3.03 – 3.35 TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.078% Examples: Algeria, Kenya, Libya, Pakistan, Tajikistan Stage 1-4 NRI Rating 0-3.02 TAM/GDP Ratio: 0.059% Examples: Angola, Cameroon, Mozambique, Tanzania, Uganda
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