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www.colliers.com/vietnam
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
Q4 2016
TABLE OF CONTENTS			
											
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW...............................................................................................................	
	 VIETNAM ....................................................................................................................................
	 HO CHI MINH CITY ......................................................................................................................
	 HA NOI ........................................................................................................................................
	
HO CHI MINH CITY MARKET OVERVIEW ........................................................................
	 OFFICE ........................................................................................................................................
	RETAIL ........................................................................................................................................
	CONDOMINIUM ............................................................................................................................
	 VILLA & TOWNHOUSE .................................................................................................................
	 SERVICED APARTMENT ..............................................................................................................	
	INDUSTRIAL ................................................................................................................................
HA NOI MARKET OVERVIEW ................................................................................................
	 OFFICE ........................................................................................................................................
	RETAIL ........................................................................................................................................
	CONDOMINIUM ............................................................................................................................
	 VILLA & TOWNHOUSE .................................................................................................................
	 SERVICED APARTMENT ..............................................................................................................	
	INDUSTRIAL ................................................................................................................................
Cover Page: Saigon Skyline
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Page
LIST OF FIGURES										
	 Figure 1: Vietnam Exports - Imports in 2016.......................................................................................
	 Figure 2: International Arrivals to Vietnam in 2016 ............................................................................
	 Figure 3: FDI Capital of HCMC and Hanoi ..........................................................................................
	 Figure 4: GDP Growth Rate of HCMC and Hanoi ................................................................................
HO CHI MINH CITY MARKET OVERVIEW
	 Figure 5: Office, Average Asking Rent ................................................................................................
	 Figure 6: Office, Occupancy Rate .......................................................................................................
	 Figure 7: Retail, Market Performance by Year .....................................................................................
	 Figure 8: Retail, Total Supply by Year .................................................................................................
	 Figure 9: Condominium, Primary Asking Price ...................................................................................
	 Figure 10: Condominium, New Launches by Year ...............................................................................
	 Figure 11: Condominium, Sold Units by Segment and Year ..................................................................
	 Figure 12: Villa and Townhouse, Selling Prices by Quarter..................................................................
	 Figure 13: Villa and Townhouse, Supply by Year .................................................................................
	 Figure 14: Villa and Townhouse, Primary Stock by District .................................................................
	 Figure 15: Serviced Apartment, Occupancy Rate ...............................................................................
	 Figure 16: Serviced Apartment, Average Asking Rent by Grade ...........................................................
	 Figure 17: Industrial, Market Performance by District .........................................................................
	 Figure 18: Industrial, Supply by District ..............................................................................................
LIST OF TABLES
	 Table 1: Macroeconomic Indicators of HCMC and Hanoi ......................................................................
	 Table 2: Office, Future Supply ............................................................................................................
	 Table 3: Significant Office Projects ....................................................................................................
	 Table 4: Retail, Significant Future Projects under Construction ..........................................................
	 Table 5: Significant Retail Projects ....................................................................................................
	 Table 6: Condominium, Significant new Projects launched in Q4 2016 ................................................
	 Table 7: Villa and Townhouse, Significant new Projects launched in Q4 2016 ......................................
	 Table 8: Serviced Apartment, Significant Future Projects under construction .....................................
	 Table 9: Significant Serviced Apartment Projects ...............................................................................
	 Table 10: Industrial, Future Supply .....................................................................................................
	 Table 11: Industrial, Market Overview ................................................................................................
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LIST OF FIGURES											
	 Figure 19: Office, Average Asking Rent...................................................................................................
	 Figure 20: Office, Occupancy Rate .........................................................................................................
	 Figure 21: Retail, Market Performance ...................................................................................................
	 Figure 22: Retail, Total Supply ...............................................................................................................
	 Figure 23: Condominium, Primary Sale Price .........................................................................................
	 Figure 24: Condominium, New Launches by Year ...................................................................................
	 Figure 25: Condominium, Sold Units by Segment and Year .....................................................................
	 Figure 26: Villa and Townhouse, Supply by Quarter ................................................................................
	 Figure 27: Villa and Townhouse, Supply by District .................................................................................
	 Figure 28: Villa and Townhouse, Q-o-Q changes in Secondary Price .......................................................
	 Figure 29: Serviced Apartment, Average Asking Rent by Grade ...............................................................
	 Figure 30: Serviced Apartment, Current Grade A&B supply ....................................................................
	 Figure 31: Industrial, Market Performance by Distrtict .............................................................................
	 Figure 35: Industrial, Supply by District ..................................................................................................
	
LIST OF TABLES
	 Table 12: Office, Future Supply.................................................................................................................
	 Table 13: Significant CBD Office Projects ................................................................................................
	 Table 14: Retail, Future Supply ................................................................................................................
	 Table 15: Significant Retail Projects ........................................................................................................
	 Table 16: Condominium, New Projects Launched in Q4 2016 ...................................................................
	 Table 17: Villa and Townhouse, New Projects Launched in Q4 2016 .........................................................
	 Table 18: Serviced Apartment, Future Supply ..........................................................................................
	 Table 19: Significant Serviced Apartment Projects ..................................................................................
	 Table 20: Industrial, Future Supply .........................................................................................................
	 Table 21: Hanoi Industrial Market Overview .............................................................................................
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
	 ARR: 	 Average Rental Rate				 CBD: 	 Central Business District	
	 CPI:	 Consumer Price Index				GDP:	 Gross Domestic Product	
	 GFA:	 Gross Floor Area					GRDP:	 Gross Regional Domestic Product		
	 LUR: 	 Land Use Right 				 	 IP:	 Industrial Park 				
	 NLA:	 Net Lettable Area				 Q-o-Q:	 Quarter on Quarter
	 TPP: 	 Trans-Pacific Partnership			Y-o-Y:	 Year on Year	 			
	 WTO: 	 World Trade Organization				
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HA NOI MARKET OVERVIEW
Page
GDP
Vietnam’s GDP was estimated to grow by 6.2% in 2016, driven mostly by industrial expansion and growth in construction
and services. This year recorded a decrease in the country’s economic growth rate compared to the growth of 6.68% in
2015. The service sector grew by 7.57% y-o-y while the industrial and construction increased by 6.98% y-o-y. The whole
year witnessed a big slowdown in agriculture-forestry-fishing with a modest growth rate of 1.36% y-o-y mainly due to
natural disasters. Although 2016’s GDP was below the 6.7% target set by the National Assembly, the country remained one
of the strongest performers in the region. We expect next year’s GDP to remain on a positive trajectory with our full year
forecast standing at 6.5% on the back of increasing global integration and local production recovery.
CPI
The last month of 2016 saw a slight increase of 0.73% m-o-m in CPI index, despite purchasing needs at the year end. For
the whole year, average CPI rose by 2.7% y-o-y. Six out of eleven major goods and service groups saw price rises with
the highest growth recorded in medicine and healthcare services, at 5.3%. Main reasons for the CPI hike in 2016 were
determined to be the government’s upward price adjustment of healthcare services and natural disasters’ effects on crops.
With the target CPI of 4% set by National Assembly, price adjustment methods should be implemented for key commodity
groups such as healthcare services, electricity and water, as well as a close supervision process should be kept on the world
oil price to prevent the domestic price from shooting up.
FDI
As of the end of 2016, the country attracted 2,556 new foreign investment projects with total investment of both newly
registered and supplementary capital reaching USD24.37 billion, representing an increase of 7.1% y-o-y in capital. Of the
total, there are 1,225 already-operating projects raising their capital by more than USD5.7 billion. Investment in real estate
accounted for 10.1%, which is equivalent to USD1.52 billion. South Korea was the largest foreign investor with USD5.5
billion, accounting for 36.6% of total capital, followed by Singapore and China with USD1.59 billion and USD1.26 billion,
respectively.
RETAIL SALES
Vietnam’s retail sales of goods and services reached USD156 billion, up 10.2% y-o-y. If the price factor was excluded, the
growth rate would be 7.8% y-o-y, lower than the increase of 8.5% y-o-y in 2015. By sector, retail sales of goods achieved
USD118.4 billion, accounting for 75.9% of total sales, up 10.2% y-o-y. Retail sales of accommodation and catering services
reached USD18.3 billion, accounting for 11.3% of total sales, representing an increase of 10.7% y-o-y. Retail sales of tourism
services, comprising 1% of total sales, reached USD 1.5 billion, up 12% y-o-y. Retail sales of other services, accounting for
11.4% of total sales, were estimated at USD17.8 billion, equivalent to 9.3% increase y-o-y.
INTERNATIONAL ARRIVALS
In 2016, Vietnam welcomed 10.01 million international visitors, equivalent to a significant increase of 26% y-o-y. Thanks
to visa exemption policy for citizens from five European countries and various tourism marketing strategies, this is the
first time the country attracted such a high number of international tourists, a twofold increase compared to the number of
2010. Asian visitors took the lead with more than 7.2 million arrivals, mainly from traditional markets such as China, South
Korea and Japan, comprising 72.5% of total visitors, followed by European visitors with 1.6 million arrivals and American
tourists with 0.7 million arrivals, respectively.
TRADE BALANCE
In 2016, Vietnam earned roughly USD175.9 billion from exports, reporting an increase of 8.6% y-o-y. Import turnovers
reached USD173.3 billion, up 4.6% against the previous year. As a result, the whole country registered a USD2.6 billion
trade surplus. Of the total, the domestic economic sector reported a trade deficit of USD21.02 billion with USD50 billion
in exports and USD71.1 billion in imports. On the contrary, the FDI sector enjoyed a trade surplus of USD23.7 with export
revenues of USD125.9 and import revenues of USD102.1. While the United States took the lead in export revenues with
USD38.1 billion, China remained the country’s largest import market with USD49.8 billion. By product, phones and phone
parts, electronic goods, textile and garments, computers, machinery and equipment are the major foreign currency earners.
Q4 2016 | ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
©2017 Colliers International Research
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
Page 5
2017 forecast
Figure 1: Exports - Imports in Vietnam in 2016
Source: General Statistics Office | Colliers International Research
Figure 2: International arrivals to Vietnam in 2016
Source: General Statistics Office | Colliers International Research
VIETNAM
-50
0
50
100
150
200
20052006200720082009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
USDbillion
Exports Imports Trade Balance
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
200520062007200820092010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
thousandarrivals
International tourist arrivals Average
Q4 2016 | ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
©2017 Colliers International Research
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
Page 6
Figure 4: GDP Growth Rate of HCMC and Hanoi
Source: General Statistics Office | Colliers International Research
Source: General Statistics Office | Colliers International Research
Table 1: Marcoeconomic Indicators of HCMC and Hanoi
HCMC Hanoi
2016 2017 2016 2017
GDP (billion) 45.3 21.2
FDI (million) 1443.8 2800
Retail sales (billion) 30.1 22.3
Export (billion) 31.8 24.8
Import (billion) 37.9 14.2
HO CHI MINH CITY
In 2016, GRDP of Ho Chi Minh City achieved USD45.29 billion
with the growth rate of 8.05% y-o-y. In particular, the service
sector was the dominant contributor with USD24.8 billion,
comprising 54.8% of the city’s economy, followed by the industrial
& construction sector and the agriculture-forestry-fishery sector,
accounting for 0.84% and 28.76% respectively.
Of the whole year, total newly registered and supplementary FDI
achieved USD1.44 billion in which there were 177 supplementary
projects, worth of USD529.2 million. Investment in real estate took
the lead with 24 projects and USD357.4 million, accounting for
39.1% of total inflows. Cayman Islands was recorded as the biggest
foreign investor in the city, with USD270.5 million in registered
capital, accounting for 29.6%, followed by Japan (USD190.2
million) and Singapore (USD110.9 million).
Retail sales achieved USD30.1 billion, up 9.1% y-o-y. Highest
growth rates were seen in products which help to improve the
quality of life and traveling demand such as motor vehicles,
household appliances, building materials and gasoline.
The city’s export values reached USD31.8 billion, up 5.2% y-o-y.
Garments, agricultural products and computers & electronic
devices contributed the most to export values. The United States
was the largest export market with nearly USD5.4 billion, up 5%
y-o-y. Import values increased by 12.4% y-o-y, worth of USD37.85
billion, resulting in the city’s trade deficit of USD6 billion. The top
segments of import values were milk and dairy products, fuel,
garment material, plastics and iron & steel.
HANOI
In 2016, Hanoi’s GRDP achieved USD21.18 billion with the growth
rate of 8.2%. The industrial-construction sector and the service
sector had the highest growth rates, up 9% and 8.3% y-o-y
respectively, while the agriculture-forestry-fishery sector saw a
modest growth rate of 2.21% y-o-y.
Of the whole year, the capital city’s CPI increased 2.66% y-o-y. Out
of 11 sectors in the CPI basket, food and transportation witnessed
a slight fall in price.
As of the end of 2016, FDI inflows of both newly registered and
supplementary capital reached USD2.8 billion, up 46.4% in number
of projects and 164% in capital compared to the same period last
year. Disbursed capital was USD1.2 billion.
Retail sales of the capital city were up 8.8% compared to last year,
reaching USD22.3 billion.
In 2016, the city achieved USD10.61 billion in export revenues and
USD24.83 billion in import revenues, causing a trade deficit of
USD14.22 billion in the whole year.
The capital city welcomed 2.8 million international visitors in 2016,
equivalent to an increment of 19.9% y-o-y.
Figure 3: FDI Capital of HCMC and Hanoi
Source: General Statistics Office | Colliers International Research
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
HCMC Hanoi
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
USDmillion
HCMC Hanoi
Figure 6: Office, Occupancy Rate
PERFORMANCE
Q4 2016 witnessed an increase of 3.1% q-o-q in the average
asking rent across all grades, recording at USD32.5/sqm/month.
The market remained tight with average occupancy rate of 95.9%,
marginally down 0.45ppts q-o-q but up slightly 0.4 ppts y-o-y.
By segment, average rent for Grade A space was up 1.7% q-o-q,
staying at USD41.1/sqm/month whilst Grade B’s rental rates were
up 5.7% q-o-q, at USD23.8/sqm/month. On a yearly basis, both
Grade A and Grade B experienced significant rent growth of
14.2% and 13.6% respectively due to high demand and limited
prime office space in 2016. While Grade A’s occupancy rate
was slightly down 1ppt q-o-q but up 1ppt y-o-y to 95%, Grade
B’s occupancy stayed unchanged at 97% compared to both the
previous quarter and the same period last year.
SUPPLY
The last quarter of 2016 welcomed 33,840sqm NLA from the
opening of Mapletree Business Centre and Ha Do Building,
recording an increase of 12.8% in the newly launched stock
compared to the same quarter last year. Currently, the city has a
total of 11 Grade A buildings and 63 Grade B buildings, covering
approximately 212,651sqm and 896,624sqm of net leasable
space to the market respectively.
By location, all Grade A and nearly 50% of Grade B are
concentrated in the Central Business District (CBD). Clusters of
Grade B buildings are also located in District 3, Tan Binh District
and Phu My Hung New Urban Area in District 7.
DEMAND
Tertiary industry is one of the key drivers of demand for office
space as service sector businesses tend to be more labor
intensive and less capital intensive. Indeed, by looking more
closely at components of the city GDP over the past 6 years
(2011- 2016), we find that there is a strong relationship between
the service industry’s contribution to the city’s economy and the
average occupancy rate with relative high correlation coefficient
of 0.7. With HCMC government’s plans to develop a service-led
economy, targeting to increase the service sector by 10.17%-11%
in the period of 2016-2020, the relationship between the service
sector’s expansion and the demand for office space is more likely
to continue in the coming years.
OUTLOOK
Given the current construction status, it is expected that there
will be 62,300sqm of new Grade A and 124,392sqm of new
Grade B office space coming on line in 2017. Up to 71,122sqm
of such space will be located outside the CBD while 115,570sqm
will be located within the CBD.
Mature buildings in prime locations are forecasted to maintain
good performance as the amount of new office space in the
pipeline is limited and demand for high-quality office space in good
locations continues. In contrast, office buildings in decentralized
districts will face more pressure as the ample supply, raising
concerns of falling rents and increased incentives. Furthermore,
Novaland’s purchase of Continental Tower and the transfer of
ownership for Metropolitan building are expected to put further
pressure on the city’s market in the coming years.
Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | OFFICE
©2017 Colliers International Research
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
Page 7
Table 2: Office, Future Supply
Source: Colliers International Research
Source: Colliers International Research
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 5: Office, Average Asking Rent
Project name Grade NLA (sqm)
Expected
Completion
Viettel Complex B 26,320 Q1 2017
Waterfront Saigon B 8,822 Q1 2017
Deutsches Haus A 22,300 Q3 2017
Saigon Center phase 2 A 40,000 Q3 2017
Thaco-Sala Residence B 78,000 Q3 2017
The Khai B 11,250 Q4 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
US$/sqm/month
Grade A Grade B
50
60
70
80
90
100
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Grade A Grade B
%
Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | OFFICE
©2017 Colliers International Research
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
Page 8
(*) US$/sqm/month (NLA)
Table 3: Significant Office Projects
No Name Address
Completion
Year
NLA
(sqm)
Service
Charges (*)
Occupancy
rate
Average
asking rent
(**)
1 Saigon Centre 65 Le Loi 1996 11,650 7.5 99% 42.0
2 Saigon Tower 29 Le Duan 1997 13,950 7.5 99% 44.0
3 Sunwah Tower 115 Nguyen Hue 1997 20,800 6.0 99% 40.0
4 The Metropolitan 235 Dong Khoi 1997 15,200 6.0 82% 45.0
5 Diamond Plaza 34 Le Duan 1999 15,936 8.0 94% 41.0
6 Kumho Asiana Plaza 39 Le Duan 2009 26,000 8.0 84% 42.5
7 Bitexco Financial Tower 45 Ngo Duc Ke 2010 37,710 8.0 96% 44.5
8 President Place 93 Nguyen Du 2012 8,330 7.0 95% 39.0
9 Times Square 22-36 Nguyen Hue 2012 12,704 7.0 97% 40.0
10 Le Meridien 3C Ton Duc Thang 2013 9,125 6.0 95% 35.0
11 Vietcombank Tower 5 Me Linh Square 2015 41,250 7.0 99% 37.0
Grade A 212,655 7.2 95% 41.1
1 VTP-OSIC 8 Nguyen Hue 1993 6,500 6.0 100% 25.0
2 Yo Co Building 41 Nguyen Thi Minh Khai 1995 5,000 3.0 98% 23.0
3 Somerset Chancellor Court 21-23 NguyenThi Minh Khai 1996 3,200 5.0 100% 22.0
4 Central Plaza 17 Le Duan 1997 7,405 6.0 100% 27.0
5 Harbour View Tower 35 Nguyen Hue 1997 8,000 6.7 91% 20.0
6 Saigon Riverside Office 2A-4A Ton Duc Thang 1997 10,000 5.0 99% 28.0
7 Saigon Trade Center 37 Ton Duc Thang 1997 31,416 6.5 99% 27.6
8 MeLinh Point Tower 2 Ngo Duc Ke 1999 17,600 6.0 97% 36.0
9 Zen Plaza 54-56 Nguyen Trai 2001 11,037 5.0 95% 24.8
10 The Landmark 5B Ton Duc Thang 2005 8,000 7.9 98% 28.9
11 Opera View 161-167 Dong Khoi 2006 3,100 7.0 100% 27.0
12 City Light 45 Vo Thi Sau 2007 10,000 5.0 100% 19.0
13 Petro Tower 1-5 Le Duan 2007 13,304 6.5 95% 50.0
14 The Lancaster 22 – 22 Bis Le Thanh Ton 2007 7,000 6.7 90% 25.0
15 CJ Building 5 Le Thanh Ton 2008 14,000 8.7 99% 25.0
16 Continential Tower 81-85 Ham Nghi 2008 15,000 6.0 99% 22.0
17 Havana Tower 132 Ham Nghi 2008 7,326 8.0 79% 29.3
18 Royal Center 235 Nguyen Van Cu 2008 14,320 6.0 100% 23.0
19 Sailing Tower 51 Nguyen Thi Minh Khai 2008 16,910 6.0 96% 27.0
20 TMS 172 Hai Ba Trung 2009 4,000 4.0 100% 24.0
21 A&B Tower 76 Le Lai 2010 17,120 6.0 97% 32.0
22 Bao Viet Tower 233 Dong Khoi 2010 10,650 5.0 98% 28.0
23 Green Power Tower 35 Ton Duc Thang 2010 15,600 6.0 97% 27.0
24 Maritime Bank Tower 192 Nguyen Cong Tru 2010 19,596 5.0 95% 21.0
25 Saigon Royal 91 Pasteur 2010 5,340 6.0 100% 23.0
26 Vincom Center 68 -70 -72 Le Thanh Ton 2010 56,600 5.0 95% 32.0
27 Empress Tower 138 Hai Ba Trung 2012 19,538 6.0 100% 27.0
28 Lim Tower 9-11 Ton Duc Thang 2013 22,000 6.0 99% 28.0
29 MB Sunny Tower 259 Tran Hung Dao, Co Giang 2013 13,200 5.5 100% 22.0
30 Lim Tower 2 Vo Van Tan 2015 8,400 5.5 100% 24.0
Grade B 401,162 5.9 97% 27.8
Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | OFFICE
©2017 Colliers International Research
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
Page 9
SAIGON SKYLINE REVIEW- CBD HCMC GRADE A OFFICE BUILDINGS
KUMHO ASIANA PLAZA
39 Le Duan, District 1
26,000/4,062
$ 42.50
$ 8.00	
DIAMOND PLAZA SAIGON
34 Le Duan, District 1
15,936/1,020
$ 41.00
$ 8.00
LE MERIDIEN
3C Ton Duc Thang, District 1
9,125/500
$ 35.00
$ 6.00
SAIGON TOWER
29 Le Duan, District 1
13,950/101
$ 44.00
$ 7.50
DEUTSCHES HAUS
3-5 Le Van Huu, District 1
THE METROPOLITAN
235 Dong Khoi, District 1
15,200/2,748
$ 45.00
$ 6.00
PRESIDENT PLACE
93 Nguyen Du, District 1
8,330/384
$ 39.00
$ 7.00
BITEXCO FINANCIAL TOWER
45 Ngo Duc Ke, District 1
37,710/1,627
$ 44.5
$ 8.00
VIETCOMBANK TOWER
5 Me Linh Square, District 1
41,250/565
$ 37.00
$ 7.00
TIMES SQUARE SAIGON
22-36 Nguyen Hue, District 1
12,704/400
$ 40.00
$ 7.00
SAIGON CENTRE
65 Le Loi, District 1
11,650/ 155
$ 42.00
$ 7.50
SUNWAH TOWER
115 Nguyen Hue, District 1
20,800/ 128
$ 40.00
$ 6.00
Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | RETAIL
©2017 Colliers International Research
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
Page 10
Table 4: Retail, Significant Future Projects Under Construction
PERFORMANCE
The year 2016 recorded a significant rental growth of 12%
y-o-y across the market. Being a hot spot for new international
brands, the CBD remained its high average asking rents thanks
to limited supply. New supply during the year stabilized rental
rates of suburban districts.
Improvement was seen in occupancy rate, up 2% y-o-y thanks
to effective leasing strategies and stronger demand for retail
space in the city.
SUPPLY
The last quarter of 2016 welcomed the opening of Golden Plaza,
adding approximately 15,000sqm to the existing retail stock.
Located in a strategic location of District 5 with four street
frontages, the mall offers more than 600 kiosks with special
considerations to fengshui design. This is the first center that
combines both traditional and online sale for wholesale and
retail.
The total retail stock increased 13% y-o-y, reaching nearly
900,000sqm. The majority of new supply in 2016 was
decentralized to suburban districts, where having large land
bank and improving infrastructure.
DEMAND
With a population of more than 8 million people, an urbanisation
rate of 82.5% and an average income per capita of approximately
3,650 USD, HCMC is the leading city in terms of total retail sales.
In 2016, the total value was USD30.1 billion, increasing by 9.1%
compared to the same period last year, indicating a significant
improvement in local buying power. The continued strong retail
sales growth implies expanding demand for retail space in the
city in the coming years.
OUTLOOK
Vietnam has become one of the most attractive destinations
for retailers in South East Asia on the back of strong inflow of
foreign direct investment, rising household spending, a young
population and improving economic conditions. Likewise, Ho
Chi Minh City’s economic importance and status as retail hub
continues to attract a strong development pipeline. There is
currently approximately 300,000sqm GFA of retail space under
construction that will open for business in 2017. Stronger
competition from new openings is forecasted to push down
rents and occupancy rates by 2% in the next two years.
Figure 8: Retail, Total Supply by Year
Source: Colliers International Research
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 7: Retail, Market Performance by Year
Source: Colliers International Research
Project name District NLA (sqm)
Expected
Completion
Viettel Complex 10 6,400 Q1 2017
Union Square 1 39,454 Q2 2017
Leman CT Plaza 3 12,000 Q2 2017
Thaco-Sala Residence 2 24,000 Q3 2017
The Garden Mall 5 24,000 Q3 2017
Xi Grand Court 10 60,000 Q4 2017
Su Van Hanh Mall 10 96,152 Q4 2017
Vinhomes Central Park Binh Thanh 44,250 Q4 2017
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F2018F2019F
USD/sqm/month
Average asking rent Occupancy rate
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F2018F2019F
NLA(sqm)
Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | RETAIL
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 11	
Table 3: Significant Office Projects
(*) ARR (Average Rental Rate): All rents are stated in net rents per sqm, inclusive service charge but exculding VAT
Table 5: Significant Retail Projects
No Name of Project/Building Address Location
Completion
Year
NLA
(sq m)
ARR (*)
Occupancy
Rate
1 Sheraton Saigon 88 Dong Khoi District 1 2003 750 130 100%
2 The Manor 1 91 Nguyen Huu Canh Binh Thanh 2006 2,000 20 100%
3 Opera View Lam Son Square District 1 2006 1,260 54 100%
4 Caravelle Hotel 19 Lam Son Square District 1 2007 150 100 100%
5 New World Hotel 76 Le Lai Street District 1 2009 1,000 90 100%
6 Hotel Continental Sai Gon 132-134 Dong Khoi District 1 2009 200 90 100%
7 Centre Point 106 Nguyen Van Troi Phu Nhuan 2009 2,000 22 93%
8 Saigon Pearl 92 Nguyen Huu Canh Binh Thanh 2011 5,000 25 88%
9 The Manor 2 91 Nguyen Huu Canh Binh Thanh 2011 2,500 20 100%
10 The Oxygen Mall An Phu Ward District 2 2011 5,000 30 65%
11 Rex Arcade 141 Nguyen Hue District 1 2011 2,000 125 100%
12 ICON 68 @ BFT 45 Ngo Duc Ke District 1 2011 8,000 90 99%
13 Kumho Asiana 35 Le Duan District 1 2009 6,830 50 100%
14 Saigon Airport Plaza 1 Bach Dang, Ward 2 Tan Binh 2013 7,623 23 75%
15 Imperia An Phu An Phu Ward District 2 2013 2,940 15 100%
16 President Place 93 Nguyen Du District 1 2013 800 42 98%
17 Times Square 22-36 Nguyen Hue District 1 2013 9,000 300 100%
18 Thao Dien Pearl 12 Quoc Huong District 2 2015 12,855 32 81%
Retail Podium 69,908 76.9 90%
1 Diamond Plaza 34 Le Duan District 1 1999 9,000 166 100%
2 Parkson Saigontourist Plaza 35 Le Thanh Ton Street District 1 2002 17,000 100 99%
3 Parkson Hung Vuong Plaza 126 Hung Vuong Street District 5 2007 24,000 60 97%
4 Parkson C.T. Plaza Tan Son Nhat, Truong Son Tan Binh 2008 12,235 41 98%
5 Parkson Flemington Le Dai Hanh District 11 2010 26,000 40 95%
6 Parkson Cantavil Premier Cantavil Premier District 2 2013 17,815 35 96%
Department Store 106,050 64.0 97%
1 Saigon Center 35 Nam Ky Khoi Nghia District 1 1996 47,000 100 100%
2 Vincom Center B 72 Le Thanh Ton District 1 2010 45,000 100 92%
3 Vincom Plaza 3/2 3C Ba Thang Hai District 10 2010 25,000 40 95%
4 Crescent Mall 101 Ton Dat Tien District 7 2011 45,000 43 85%
5 Lotte Mart Saigon South 469 Nguyen Huu Tho District 7 2008 24,000 40 99%
6 Lotte Mart Phu Tho 968 Ba Thang Hai District 11 2010 24,500 38 98%
7 Saigon Square 1 77-89 Nam Ky Khoi Nghia District 1 2006 1,300 - 100%
8 Union Square 171 Dong Khoi District 1 2012 38,000 Under renovation
9 Zen Plaza 54-56 Nguyen Trai District 1 2001 6,817 60 100%
10 Taka Plaza 102 Nam Ky Khoi Nghia District 1 2011 1,000 70 100%
11 Superbowl Vietnam TSN A43 Truong Son Tan Binh 2002 5,500 30 80%
12 Satra Pham Hung C6/27 Pham Hung District 8 2011 11,528 14 100%
13 An Dong Plaza 18 An Duong Vuong District 5 2004 18,000 - 92%
Shopping Centre 292,645 63.2 94%
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | CONDOMINIUM
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 12
Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsPERFORMANCE
Market sentiment was improved in the last quarter of the year
with nearly 12,000 successful transactions, up 55% compared
to the previous quarter. The whole year witnessed a drop of
4% y-o-y in the number of sold units as competition was more
intense by new entrants. Long-term market fundamentals
remained positive with increasing genuine home buyers who
can afford their own property thanks to rising income and
supporting finance conditions.
On the primary market, price appreciation was modest at
4% y-o-y as developers were more cautious in their pricing
strategies in the midst of increasing new launches. Looking
forward to 2017, sale price is forecasted to move upward,
ranging from 3%-7%, depending on each market segment.
SUPPLY
The year 2016 witnessed a decline of 11% y-o-y in total new
launches, prompting the market was cooling down from 2015
boom. While mid-end segment still dominated new launches,
high-end segment reduced their market shares by 13% y-o-y as
developers began to shift their attention to lower-end market.
Robust infrastructure development and large land bank in the
east and south of the city are supporting market momentum in
these two areas. It is expected that the trend will be ongoing on
the back of the city’s master plan toward 2020.
DEMAND
Considered as potential target customers, the employed
population, especially those with stable income, will support
housing purchases. It was estimated that the labour force in
Ho Chi Minh City reached 4.1 million people in 2015, making
up more than 50% of the total population. The percentage of
trained labour increased from 40% in 2005 to 72.3% in 2015,
and was forecasted to reach 80% by the end of 2016.
OUTLOOK
While the majority of high-end condo buyers tend to be investors
looking to rent out their units or speculators, real massive housing
demand are in the mid-end and affordable condo segments. It
is observed that condo projects with prices below USD900
(VND20 million) per sqm have received positive feedbacks
from the market, and apartments’ size ranging from 60 – 90
square meters, with prices ranging from USD35.6 thousand to
USD62.2 thousand (VND800 million to VND1.4 billion) per unit
have captured attention. Therefore, it is expected that many
developers will shift their condo development towards mid-end
segment to meet the market demand.
Figure 9: Condominium, Primary Asking Price
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 11: Condominium, Sold Units by Segment and Year
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 10: Condominium, New Launches by Year
Source: Colliers International Research
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
USD/sqm
Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2018F 2019F
units
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2018F 2019F
units
Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | CONDOMINIUM
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 13
Table 6: Condominium, Significant new projects launched in Q4 2016
No Name of Project/Building Developer Location
Completion
Year
Number
of units
Asking Price
(US$/sqm)
1 Summer Square GotecLand Vietnam District 6 2017 256 800
2 Dream Home Palace The Global Group District 8 2018 978 640
3 Republic Plaza Thuy Duong - Duc Binh Tan Binh 2019 266 1,700
4 Thu Thiem Garden Thu Thiem Corp. District 2 2017 375 720
5 Sun Tower N.H.O Khang Viet. District 9 2018 379 650
6 4S Linh Đông - block D Thanh Truong Loc Cu Chi 2018 220 850
7 Him Lam Phu An Him Lam Land District 9 2017 1092 900
8 Grand Riverside - phase 2 Hong Ha Corp District 4 2017 240 1,550
9 Park Vista Đông Mekong Nha Be 2018 1300 800
10 Citi Soho Kien A Group District 2 2019 781 870
New launches in Q4 2016 5,887
* Excluding all kinds of tax, promotions and management fee
The information is updated as at the end of Q4 2016
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | VILLA & TOWNHOUSE
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 14
PERFORMANCE
The villa and townhouse segment performed well in 2016 with
a number of successful projects such as Palm Residence, Ha
Do Centrosa, Lakeview City or Melosa Garden. The transaction
volume reached 2,200 dwellings, with a growth rate of 2%
y-o-y.
On the back of ongoing demand and improving market sentiment,
new launched projects increased their primary average asking
price to 13% y-o-y. Similarly, price on the secondary market
was up 10% y-o-y.
SUPPLY
Launches were limited in the last quarter of 2016 with only
two new projects coming online, adding 307 dwellings to
the primary market, down 45% q-o-q. However, 2016 is the
year for landed properties when new launches reached 3,000
dwellings, up 40% y-o-y.
The eastern part of the city including District 2 and District 9
has been capturing attention of developers thanks to its large
available land bank, upgraded infrastructure and a long-term
vision of urban planning.
DEMAND
In recent years, the acceleration of city infrastructure
development such as Metro lines, Thu Thiem bridges, new ring
roads has enhanced connectivity of suburban districts with the
CBD. Shorter commuting times, better transportation system
and green living environment are key factors that encourage
buyers of landed properties in the city outskirt. Ongoing
infrastructure projects will continue to support growing demand
for villas and townhouses in the future.
OUTLOOK
Looking forward to 2017, selling price is forecasted to grow but
on a slower pace at approximately 4-5% y-o-y as new projects
will target at lower-end market segments in less developed
locations of the city.
Sale transactions will be stable thanks to solid demand from
both end-users and investors while future supply pipeline is
expected to decline after the market reached its climax in 2016.
Figure 12: Villa and Townhouse, Selling Prices by Quarter
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 14: Villa and Townhouse, Primary Stock by District
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 13: Villa&Townhouse, Supply by Year
Source: Colliers International Research
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
Q1
2013
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2014
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2015
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2016
Q2 Q3 Q4
USD/sqm
District 7 District 9 District 2 Others
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
units
Existing supply New supply
District 2
37%
District 9
25%
Nha Be
18%
District 12
5%
District 7
6%
District 10
4%
Binh Chanh
4%
Thu Duc
4%
Others
5%
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | VILLA & TOWNHOUSE
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 15
Table 7: Villa and Townhouse, Significant new projects launched in Q4 2016
No Name of Project/Building Developer Location
Completion
Year
Number
of units
Asking Price
(US$/sqm)
1 Serenity Sky Villas SonkimLand District 3 2017 45 5,000-6,000
2 VX home center Van Xuan District 12 2018 70 1,300
3 Dragon Parc Phu Long Nha Be 2018 58 2,000
4 PhoDong Village SCC District 2 2018 44 1,500
5 Lucasta Khang Dien District 9 2019 140 800
New launches in Q4 2016 357
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | SERVICED APARTMENT
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 16
PERFORMANCE
In the last quarter of 2016, the average net asking rent across
both Grades recorded at USD33.9/sqm/month, up 2.6% q-o-q
and 9.8% y-o-y. While Grade A saw a slight drop of 2% q-o-q
in asking rent, staying at USD37.9/sqm/month, Grade B’s rent
experienced a remarkable growth of 9% compared to the
previous quarter, achieving USD29.9/sqm/month mainly due to
the opening of a serviced apartment in District 3. By location,
the CBD continued to record the highest average rent due
to good location in conjunction with sufficient amenities and
facilities.
The city’s serviced apartment market remained healthy with
relatively high occupancy rate, at 91%, marginally down 1ppt
both on a quarterly and yearly basis.
SUPPLY
Currently, there are 37 serviced apartments of all grades
providing about 3,335 units in HCMC, mainly in District 1,
District 3 and District 7. The market’s only new supply last
quarter was the Oakwood Apartments HCMC located in District
3, expanding the total stock by 2% q-o-q. Developed by Sonkim
Land, the property provides 68 units with the interior inspired
from Saigonese architecture in the period of 1950s-1970s.
In terms of location, the CBD continued to be the most
favored destination, contributing 44% of total supply. Serviced
apartment developments are also clustered in District 3 and
District 7 thanks to their convenient locations and availability of
services targeting foreigners.
DEMAND
Several years ago, serviced apartment used to be seen as a
narrowed market segment targeting only expatriates. However,
the segment has been expanded due to rising demand from
Vietnamese tenants who want to enjoy the flexibility, privacy
and independence offered by serviced apartments. Demand
for serviced apartments is also being pushed upward as an
increasingly mobile workforce drives business travel and
relocation activity. It is expected that the positive economic
outlook, coupled with an increasing number of expatriates
coming to Vietnam promise higher demand for serviced
apartments in the coming periods.
OUTLOOK
By the end of 2017, there will be some 987 units from four
projects coming online. One project is located in the CBD while
the other three are in decentralized districts. As the fierce
competition between serviced apartments and buy-to-let
apartments in the city, rental prices across two grades of the
market are forecasted to soften. Limited future supply will allow
the sector to continue to enjoy high occupancy in the coming
years.
Project name District
Total
units
Expected
Completion
Ascott Waterfront 1 222 Q1 2017
Saigon Center (phase 2) 7 200 Q3 2017
Oakwood Residence Saigon &
Richmond Residence
7 480 Q4 2017
Berkley Serviced Residence 2 85 Q4 2017
Table 8: Serviced apartment, Significant Future Projects under construction
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 15: Serviced Apartment, Occupancy Rate
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 16: Serviced Apartment, Average Asking Rent by Grade
Source: Colliers International Research
70
75
80
85
90
95
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2013 2014 2015 2016
%
Grade A Grade B
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2013 2014 2015 2016
USD/sqm/month
Grade A Grade B
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | SERVICED APARTMENT
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 17
Table 9: Significant Serviced Apartment Projects
No. Project Name Address Location
Completion
Year
Total
Room
Average
Occupancy
ARR(*)
(**)
1 The Landmark 5B Ton Duc Thang District 1 1995 66 95.0% 26.0
2 Sedona Suites 65 Le Loi District 1 1996 89 98.0% 34.0
3 Somerset Chancellor Court 21-23 Nguyen Thi Minh Khai District 1 1996 172 90.0% 32.0
4 Nguyen Du Park Villas 111 Nguyen Du District 1 2004 41 95.0% 22.0
5 The Lancaster 22-22 Bis Le Thanh Ton District 1 2007 55 73.0% 37.0
6 Intercontinental Asian Saigon 39 Le Duan District 1 2009 260 90.0% 36.0
Grade A 683 90.5% 34.1
1 Norfork Mansion 17-21 Ly Tu Trong District 1 1998 126 100.0% 33.0
2 Saigon Sky Garden 20 Le Thanh Ton District 1 1998 154 85.0% 18.0
3 Somerset HCM 8A Nguyen Binh Khiem District 1 1998 165 100.0% 26.0
4 Diamond Plaza 34 Le Duan District 1 1999 42 95.0% 25.0
5 Garden View Court 101 Nguyen Du District 1 2000 76 99.0% 29.0
6 Ben Thanh Luxury 172-174 Ky Con District 1 2010 88 91.0% 20.0
7 Lafayette De SaiGon 8 Phung Khac Khoan District 1 2010 18 100.0% 36.0
8 Vincom Center 45A Ly Tu Trong District 1 2010 60 34.0% 20.0
9 Nikko Saigon 235 Nguyen Van Cu District 1 2011 54 100.0% 34.0
10 Saigon City Residence 8A/3D2 Thai Van Lung District 1 2011 17 84.0% 37.0
11 Spring Court 1Bis Phung Khac Khoan District 1 2011 14 87.0% 21.0
Grade B 814 90.4% 25.6
(*) US/sqm/month
(**) ARR (Average Rental Rate): All rents are stated in gross rents per sqm, not including VAT and serviced charge
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | INDUSTRIAL
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 18
PERFORMANCE
Rents remained relatively stable on quarterly basis but fluctuated
on yearly basis. More specifically, the average asking rent
stayed at USD138.3/sqm/term, recording a nominal increase of
0.2% compared to the previous quarter but a significant growth
of 15% compared to the same period last year. The increase
was mainly due to higher asking rent of some IPs. Since no new
IP entered the market in the last quarter of 2016, the average
Land Use Right term was 35.8 years, unchanged q-o-q.
The average occupancy rate was 67.5%, down 2.5 ppts q-o-q
but up 0.5 ppts y-o-y. There are eight fully occupied IPs out
of 19 existing IPs. Cu Chi district remained its lowest average
occupancy rate of 42.3%, whilst 5 districts were reported to
have occupancy rates of 100%, namely District 9, 12, 2, Tan
Phu and Thu Duc districts. For a minimum leasable area from
1,000-5,000sqm, ready-built factories charge USD2.5 USD4.0/
sqm/month (excluding VAT and service charge).
SUPPLY
The existing stock was unchanged compared to the previous
quarter with 19 operating IPs, covering a total area of nearly
3,940 hectares. The leasable area is estimated to be 71% of
total land area with nearly 2,800 hectares. Binh Chanh district
remained the largest supplier with 770 hectares, accounting for
more than 26% of the market share, followed by Cu Chi and
Thu Duc districts.
Le Minh Xuan (phase 2 and 3), Vinh Loc I (phase 2 and 3), Vinh
Loc III, Phong Phu in Binh Chanh, Tay Bac Cu Chi (phase 2) in
Cu Chi, Hiep Phuoc (phase 2) in Nha Be are some IPs that are
under construction and expected to coming on stream in the
coming years.
DEMAND
The fact that TPP ratification was deferred after the US
presidential election won by Republican Donald Trump has raised
concerns about foreign investment into Vietnam. Obviously,
the lack of TPP will negatively affect some future investment,
particularly in export and manufacturing industries. However,
it is believed that foreign inflows will continue to be strong.
Firstly, the country’s macro-economics are stable with average
annual growth rate 6%. Secondly, the government offers
favorable policies that would help to attract more investments
from foreign investors. Thirdly, labor costs are expected to be
low, about half of China’s and not likely to fluctuate in the short
or medium term. As a result, demand for industrial space is
expected to rise in the near future.
OUTLOOK
The future pipeline will expand with approximately 2,800
hectares from 8 new IPs entering the market in the coming
years, up approximately 60% from the current stock.
There is a fact that development of previous industrial zones in
Ho Chi Minh City did not take into consideration high speed of
urbanization, and thus contributing to bad traffic situation of the
City. Demand for transportation facilities between factories/
enterprises in IPs and ports/airports are forecasted to increase
in conjunction with rising demand for industrial properties.
Therefore, the City government is now planning a number of
new transportation projects to improve the city’s infrastructure,
making Ho Chi Minh City’s industrial market more attractive to
international firms.
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
Figure 17: Industrial, Market Performance by District
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 18: Industrial, Supply by District
Source: Colliers International Research
Source: Colliers International Research
Table 10: Industrial, Future Supply
Industrial Park Name District
GFA
(ha)
Le Minh Xuan Industrial Park - phase 2 Binh Chanh 338
Le Minh Xuan Industrial Park - phase 3 Binh Chanh 242
Vinh Loc I - phase 2 Binh Chanh 56
Vinh Loc I - phase 3 Binh Chanh 200
Vinh Loc Industrial Park III Binh Chanh 210.3
Tay Bac Cu Chi Industrial Park - phase 3 Cu Chi 1,000
Hiep Phuoc Industrial Park - phase 2 Nha Be 597
Phong Phu Industrial Park Binh Chanh 148.4
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
District 9 District 12 Cu Chi Binh Chanh Nha Be District 7 Tan Phu District 2 Thu Duc
USD/sqm/term
Average asking rent Occupancy rate
Binh Chanh
19%
District 9
11%
Nha Be
20%
Cu Chi
31%
Others
19%
Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | INDUSTRIAL
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 19
Table 3: Significant Office Projects
Table 11: HCMC Industrial Market Overview
No Name of Industrial Park Location
Distance to
CBD (km)
Total Area
(ha)
Total leasable
area (ha)
Asking Rent
(US$/sqm/
term)
Occupancy LUR Term
1 Tan Thuan Export Processing Zone District 7 6.4 300 204 260 81% 2041
2 Tan Binh Industrial Park(P1+2) Tan Phu 11 129 100 235 100% 2047
3 Saigon Hi-tech Park P1 District 9 15 300 300 180 100% 2052
4 Vinh Loc Industrial Park Binh Chanh 15 203 131 250 95% 2047
5 Binh Chieu Industrial Park Thu Duc 16 27 27 150 100% 2046
6 Tan Thoi Hiep District 12 16 28 20 144 100% 2049
7 Linh Trung 2 Export Processing Zone Thu Duc 17 62 44 60 100% 2050
8 Tan Tao Industrial Park 1 Binh Chanh 17 161 97 240 97% 2047
9 Tan Tao Industrial Park 2 Binh Chanh 17 183 116 240 78% 2050
10 Linh Trung 1 Export Processing Zone Thu Duc 18 62 46 60 100% 2042
11 Le Minh Xuan Industrial Park Binh Chanh 20 100 66 120 100% 2047
12 Hiep Phuoc Industrial Park 1 Nha Be 21 311 224 125 100% 2048
13 Cat Lai Industrial Park (Cluster II) District 2 21 137 87 90 100% 2061
14 Hiep Phuoc Industrial Park 2 Nha Be 22 597 345 125 31% 2058
15 An Ha Industrial Park Binh Chanh 23 124 124 69 23% 2058
16 Dong Nam Industrial Park Cu Chi 30 343 287 63 69% 2058
17 Tay Bac Cu Chi Industrial Park Cu Chi 36.5 208 150 80 3% 2048
18 Tan Phu Trung Industrial Park Cu Chi 37 543 359 80 30% 2054
19
Automotive-Mechanical (Hoa Phu)
Industrial park
Cu Chi 40 99 67 80 83% 2057
Total 3,916 2,794 138.3 68%
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HA NOI | OFFICE
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 20
PERFORMANCE
The last quarter of 2016 witnessed a fall in rents across all
grades due to continued oversupply, staying at USD22.5/sqm/
month, down 1.7% q-o-q. Average net asking rent of Grade A
declined 3% q-o-q to USD27.2/sqm/month while Grade B’s rent
remained relatively static at USD17.9/sqm/month.
Average occupancy rate continued to show a downward trend
because of an oversupply, standing at 78.7%, which was a
decline of 4.5 ppts q-o-q. Grade A’s occupancy rate was down
3 ppts to 80% while Grade B experienced a significant decrease
of 6 ppts q-o-q, staying at 78%.
The diminishing trend in both rents and occupancy rates is
expected to continue in 2017 since a huge gap exists between
supply and demand in Hanoi’s office marke.
SUPPLY
The last quarter of 2016 recorded no new supply entering the
market. The capital city currently has approximately 410,000
sqm NLA of Grade A and 770,000sqm NLA of Grade B office
buildings. On a yearly basis, the city saw a surge in supply in
both Grade A and Grade B buildings with growth rates of nearly
14% y-o-y and 5% y-o-y, respectively.
Despite an existing oversupply, it is predicted that a large
amount of additional supply would be coming in the future as
many office projects which were due for completion in 2016
rescheduled their construction progress for 2017.
DEMAND
Recently, the Federal Reserve decided to raise its key interest
rate by a quarter point, which is forecasted to widely affect
the global economy. Theoretically, once US rates rise, global
investors are more likely to move their money out of emerging
markets like Vietnam and back to less risky countries like
US. Nevertheless, in the short and medium run, this small
change will not be enough to dramatically affect capital flows,
suggesting that the impact on property market and demand for
office space as well will be limited. Economic recovery, coupled
with improvements in business environment in previous years
are expected to fuel the demand for establishing a new office or
expanding current premises of foreign and domestic enterprises,
proving a supportive landscape for the office market in Hanoi in
the upcoming period.
OUTLOOK
By 2017, the capital city’s office market will welcome 8 new
projects which are currently under construction, providing
approximately 331,122 sqm of new space. Given the huge
pipeline, the office market in Hanoi will remain as the tenant-
oriented market, indicating that rental rates will maintain their
downward trend in the coming years. As rents and vacancy
rates are continuing to come down, we will see tight competition
between landlords in CBD and non-CBD areas. In order to
attract more tenants, property owners need to apply appropriate
marketing and pricing strategy as well as to maintain their
properties with good management services.
Figure 19: Office, Average Asking Rent
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 20: Office, Occupancy Rate
Source: Colliers International Research
Table 12: Office, Future Supply
Source: Colliers International Research
Project name Grade
NLA
(sqm)
Expected
completion
Horison Tower B 8,000 Q1 2017
Discovery Complex B 93,320 Q2 2017
Comatce Tower B 43,100 Q2 2017
Eurowindow Building B 16,592 Q3 2017
Vinacomin Tower B 103,100 Q4 2017
DSD Building B 6,860 Q4 2017
Handi Resco Tower B 24,190 Q4 2017
FLC Twin Tower B 35,960 Q4 2017
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
US$/sqm/month
Grade A Grade B
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Grade A Grade B
Q4 2016 | HA NOI | OFFICE
©2017 Colliers International Research
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
Page 21
(*) US$/sqm/month (NLA)
Table 13: Significant CBD Office Projects
No Name Address
Completion
Year
NLA
(sqm)
Service
Charges
(*)
Occupancy
rate
Average
asking rent
(**)
1 Central Building 31 Hai Ba Trung 1995 3,653 9.0 100% 33.0
2 International Centre 17 Ngo Quyen 1995 6,500 - 90% 24.0
3 Hanoi Tower 49 Hai Ba Trung 1997 9,000 - 100% 27.0
4 63 Ly Thai To Building 63 Ly Thai To 1998 6,753 included 100% 47.0
5 Sun Red River Building 23 Phan Chu Trinh 1999 13,459 7.0 97% 28.0
6 Vietcombank Tower 198 Tran Quang Khai 2000 19,563 included 100% 29.0
7 Opera Business Centre 60 Ly Thai To 2007 3,787 included 98% 22.0
8 Pacific Palace 83B Ly Thuong Kiet 2007 16,600 7.4 85% 36.8
9 Asia Tower 2 Nha Tho 2007 3,100 7.7 87% 38.0
10 Sun City Building 13 Hai Ba Trung 2007 6,400 - 100% 45.0
11 BIDV Tower 194 Tran Quang Khai 2010 10,120 7.0 96% 29.3
12 Sentinel Place Hang Da 2010 8,000 8.5 98% 35.0
13 Corner Stone 16 Phan Chu Trinh 2013 26,500 7.0 96% 31.0
14 Hong Ha Center 25 Ly Thuong Kiet 2013 11,000 5.0 93% 20.0
Grade A 144,435 7.0 96% 31.1
1 Tungshing Square 2 Ngo Quyen 1996 8,306 5.7 90% 28.7
2 Melia Hotel 44B Ly Thuong Kiet 1997 8,500 - 90% 38.0
3 Prime Centre 53 Quang Trung 1998 7,600 - 100% 27.0
4 VIB Hai Ba Trung 59 Quang Trung 2006 3,000 - 68% 16.0
5 Capital Tower 109 Tran Hung Dao 2010 21,089 7.0 99% 35.0
6 Hanoi Tourist Building 18 Ly Thuong Kiet 2010 7,600 - 100% 24.0
7 Capital Building 72 Tran Hung Dao 2013 5,800 - 100% 25.0
8 Coalimex Building 33 Trang Thi 2013 5,071 5.0 79% 18.0
9 VID Building 115 Tran Hung Dao 2013 4,930 - 89% 23.0
10 Artex Port 31-33 Ngo Quyen 2014 4,725 - 100% 23
Grade B 76,621 6.0 94% 28.6
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HA NOI | RETAIL
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 22
Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsPERFORMANCE
Average net asking rents in 2016 dropped 5% y-o-y, staying at
USD38/sqm/month. While rents of the CBD recorded a nominal
rise by 2% y-o-y, reaching USD81/sqm/month, those of non-CBD
declined 6% y-o-y, staying at USD30/sqm/month.
Due to weak purchasing power and considerable new supply,
retail centers in Hanoi are suffering from increasing vacancy
space. Average occupancy rates in 2016 decreased 2%, staying
at 87% across all segments.
SUPPLY
In Q4 2016, three new retail centers, Vincom Center Pham
Ngoc Thach, Vincom Plaza Bac Tu Liem and Trang An Complex
entered the market, providing an additional 64,500sqm GFA.
With a prominent retail mix of shopping, entertainment and F&B
services, Vingroup has expanded its network across the capital
city through its 6th and 7th shopping mall. Trang An Complex
includes 10,500sqm GFA of retail space which has been fully
occupied.
After eight years of operation, Parkson Viet Tower was closed in
December 2016, withdrawing 11,000sqm GFA. With the closure
of two department stores within a two-year period, Parkson
officially decided to leave Hanoi.
DEMAND
According to a recent survey in Vietnam by Nielsen, as of Q3 2016,
Consumer Confidence Index in Viet Nam remained strong at 107
points, unchanged from the previous quarter and stayed among
the top 10 most optimistic globally. Compared to neighboring
countries, Vietnam’s consumer confidence level ranked fourth out
of six South East Asia countries, lagging behind the Philippines,
Indonesia and Thailand, while other regional peers experienced
below 100 points over the same period. The continued strong
consumer confidence index may have positive impacts on retail
sales and in turn spur demand for retail space in Hanoi.
OUTLOOK
There are a number of developments which were under
construction, or being proposed, which include quality retail
facilities that will provide more shopping centres over the coming
years. A steady supply of new developments is expected to
enter the market from 2017 onwards, and overall the long-term
outlook is positive on the back of improved economic growth and
benefits from the liberalization of retail sector under conditions
of Vietnam’s WTO membership and the recent participation in the
Trans-Pacific Partnership.
Figure 21: Retail, Market Performance
Table 14: Retail, Future Supply
Source: Colliers International Research
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 22: Retail, Total Supply
Source: Colliers International Research
Project Name District GFA (sqm)
Expected
completion
Horizon Tower Tu Liem 6,719 Q1 2017
Discovery Complex Cau Giay 38,144 Q2 2017
Ecolife Capital Nam Tu Liem 20,000 Q3 2017
Artemis Thanh Xuan 27,000 Q3 2017
Loc Ninh Singashine Chuong My 14,800 Q4 2017
FLC Twin Towers Cau Giay 25,000 Q4 2017
Handi Resco Thanh Xuan 4,769 Q4 2017
Eco Green City Hoang Mai 7,000 Q4 2017
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
sqm
CBD Non-CBD
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
US$/sqm/month
Rental rate Occupancy
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HA NOI | RETAIL
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 23
Table 15: Significant Retail Projects
No
Name of Project /
Building
Address Location
Completion
Year
NLA
(sq m)
ARR (*)
Occupancy
Rate
1 Central Building 31 Hai Ba Trung Hoan Kiem 1995 550 90-100 100%
2 Hanoi Tower 49 Hai Ba Trung Hoan Kiem 1997 2,515 50-60 73%
3 63 Ly Thai To Building 63 Ly Thai To Hoan Kiem 1998 650 150 100%
4 ICC Building 71 Nguyen Chi Thanh Dong Da 2006 2,900 19 87%
5 Pacific Place 83b Ly Thuong Kiet Hoan Kiem 2007 2,300 72 100%
6 Opera Business Center 6b Trang Tien Hoan Kiem 2007 370 90-150 100%
7 Asia Tower 6 Pho Nha Tho Hoan Kiem 2008 300 95 41%
8 Sentinel Place 41A Ly Thai To Hoan Kiem 2010 700 45 100%
9 Sky City Tower 88 Lang Ha Dong Da 2010 5,400 20-80 100%
10 The Lancaster Hanoi 20 Nui Truc Ba Dinh 2013 3,123 26-33 74%
11 Madarin Garden Residential 1 Hoang Minh Giam Cau Giay 2013 11,000 25-30 97%
Retail Podium 29,808 92%
1 Vincom Center Ba Trieu - Tower A&B 191 Ba Trieu Hai Ba Trung 2004 17,700 90-100 99%
2 Vincom Center Ba Trieu - Tower C 191 Ba Trieu Hai Ba Trung 2004 10,974 80 100%
3 Ruby Plaza 44 Le Ngoc Han Hai Ba Trung 2007 2,400 18 99%
4 Syrena 51B Xuan Dieu Tay Ho 2008 4,153 30 100%
5 Trang Tien Plaza 24 Hai Ba Trung Hoan Kiem 2008 12,000 10 85%
6 Savico MegaMall 7-9 Nguyen Van Linh Long Bien 2011 43,500 20-25 99%
7 Vincom Center Long Bien KDT Vincom Long Bien 2012 29,000 20 70%
8 Indochina Plaza Hanoi 241 Xuan Thuy Cau Giay 2012 17,000 27 97%
9 Vincom Mega Mall - Royal City 72A Nguyen Trai Thanh Xuan 2013 181,317 70 99%
10 Vincom Mega Mall - Time City 458 Minh Khai Hai Ba Trung 2014 83,950 50 100%
11 Aeon Mall Long Bien 2 Co Linh Long Bien 2015 72,000 45 100%
12 Vincom Nguyen Chi Thanh 54A Nguyen Chi Thanh Dong Da 2015 65,328 70-80 99%
Shopping Centre 539,322 97%
1 The Garden (Bitexco) Me Tri Tu Liem 2007 24,063 28-35 90%
2 Ho Guom Plaza Ha Dong Ha Dong 2013 23,380 16 94%
3 Lotte Department Store 54 Lieu Giai Ba Dinh 2014 21,480 43 97%
Department Store 68,923 94%
(*) ARR (Average Rental Rate): All rents are stated in net rents per sqm, inclusive service charge but exculding VAT
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HA NOI | CONDOMINIUM
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 24
PERFORMANCE
The year 2016 recorded 20,900 successful transactions across
all segments, down 1.9% compared to the previous year. Mid to
high-end segments dominated sales with 9,700 and 6,800 sold
units, accounting for 46% and 32% of market share respectively.
Price growth on the primary market was at 3-5% y-o-y on
average. Prices in high-end segments registered the strongest
growth at 9% y-o-y while those in mid-end and affordable
segments were static at 2% and 1% growth on yearly basis.
SUPPLY
The total number of newly launched units in 2016 reached
approximately 30,000 which were lower 10% than those of
2015.
By segment, mid-end and high-end segment recorded the highest
number of new launches with more than 80% of total new supply.
The luxury segment was revived with two new projects in the
Westlake while the affordable segment significantly decreased in
its stock. Large land bank and upgrading infrastructure enabled
the West and South West to provide largest supply among other
areas of the city.
DEMAND
Hanoi currently has a population of approximately 7.5 million,
comprising 12.2% of the whole nation’s population of 91.7
million people. The population growth rate is proportionally
high compared to the country average of 1.07% between 2010
and 2015. The number of residents in the city is forecasted to
continue to rise at a constant rate to an estimated figure of 7.9
million at the end of 2020. Steady population growth is the main
driver of the condominium market in the city.
OUTLOOK
Vingroup, a leading property developer, recently unveiled
Vin City, a brand-new project aimed at providing affordable
apartments in seven major cities and provinces throughout the
country. To meet the demand of middle and low income buyers,
more developers in Hanoi have begun to tap into this potential
market segment. It is expected that the shortage of affordable
housing will be resolved in coming years.
Figure 23: Condominium, Primary Sale Price
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 24: Condominium, New Launches by Year
Source: Colliers International Research
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 25: Condominium, Sold Units by Segment and Year
$-
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable
US$/sqm
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2018F2019F
units
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
units
Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable
Q4 2016 | HA NOI | CONDOMINIUM
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 25
Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsTable 3: Significant Office Projects
* Excluding all kinds of tax, promotions and management fee
The information is updated as at the end of Q4 2016
Table 16: Condominium, New projects launched in Q4 2016
No Name of Project/Building Developer Location
Completion
Year
Number of
units
Asking Price
(US$/sqm)
1 Tu Hiep Plaza Vinh Hanh Corp Thanh Tri 2016 648 700
2 Anland Complex Nam Cuong Corp Ha Dong 2017 533 1,100
3 Roman Plaza Hai Phat Corp Ha Dong 2017 804 1,000
4 The Legend Nguyen Tuan Dai Viet Tri Tue Thanh Xuan 2017 400 1,520
5 Sunshine Garden Sunshine Group Hai Ba Trung 2017 1,278 1,150
6 Sunshine Boulevard Sunshine Group Thanh Xuan 2017 500 1,400
7 Sunshine Center Sunshine Group Nam Tu Liem 2017 398 1,300
8 Sunshine Riverside Sunshine Group Tay Ho 2017 168 1,600
9 Ha Noi Paragon VT Corp Cau Giay 2017 495 1,400
10 Sunshine Palace Sunshine Group Hoang Mai 2017 396 1,200
11 D’.Capitale - C1, C6 Tan Hoang Minh Cau Giay 2018 1,800 1,850
12 D’.Eldorado 1 Tan Hoang Minh Tay Ho 2018 340 1,700
13 D’.Eldorado 2 - Phu Thanh complex Tan Hoang Minh Tay Ho 2018 136 1,600
14 Rivera Park Long Giang Land Thanh Xuan 2018 666 1,250
15 The Golden Palm HDIS Nam Tu Liem 2018 400 1,500
16 An Bình City - block A2 Geleximco Thanh Xuan 2018 276 1,000
17 Legend Park VIG Nam Tu Liem 2018 318 1,800
New launches in Q4 2016 9,556
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HA NOI | VILLA & TOWNHOUSE
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 26
PERFORMANCE
Thanks to improved year-end sentiment, the last quarter of
2016 witnessed the highest transaction volumes in two years
with more than 750 successful deals, up 129% compared to the
previous quarter. By type of property, townhouses dominated
sales activities with 64% of total transactions. Tu Liem and Ha
Dong took the lead with nearly 50% of sales owning to their
large land availability.
Market secondary price saw a decrease of 2% q-o-q and 3%
y-o-y, averaging at USD3,238.6 for completed properties. Cau
Giay District had the highest average price, up 4.2% q-o-q.
Meanwhile, most of other districts recorded a decline in price
on the secondary market.
SUPPLY
The supply pipeline in the last quarter of 2016 saw approximately
370 dwellings from 5 projects coming to the market. Ha Dong,
Nam Tu Liem and Bac Tu Liem Districts were the dominant
contributors, cumulatively accounting for more than 80% of the
market share. Townhouse was the most popular product with
275 units, accounting for nearly 75% of total newly launched
supply. Some of notable launches in Q4 2016 were Belleville,
Foresa Villa, Mai Son Du Parc and 24h Van Phuc.
DEMAND
While pricing is the most determinant element for buyers in
affordable segment, the villa and townhouse segment targets
affluent customers who initially focus their spending on
improving living conditions. With the growing middle and affluent
class in Vietnam, the demand for landed properties is expected
to be on the rise.
In addition, landed property is considered as an investment
vehicle, which ensures the highest profitability possible and
protects investors’ assets against currency devaluation. The
preferred choice of landed housing among Vietnamese people is
also supporting the segment.
OUTLOOK
Given the current construction status, the market will see 8
projects coming online, providing some 2680 units in the next
coming years, with the number of townhouses expected to
dominate the market share.
The villa and townhouse performance in the Hanoi City market
is predicted to remain strong in the short term owning to the
positive sentiment in both demand and supply. Thanks to better
land availability, landed property projects tend to be developed
in suburban districts. The success of these projects is closely
linked to infrastructure development.
Figure 26: Villa and Townhouse, Supply by quarter
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 27: Villa and Townhouse, Supply by District
Source: Colliers International Research
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 28: Villa and Townhouse, Q-o-Q changes in secondary price
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
26,000
27,000
28,000
29,000
30,000
31,000
32,000
33,000
34,000
35,000
36,000
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2014 2015 2016
No.ofprojects
units
Units No. of Projects
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
%
USD/sqm
Market Average Price Q4 2015 Q-o-Q changes
Ha Dong
31%
Nam Tu Liem
26%
Bac Tu Liem
25%
Cau Giay
18%
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HA NOI | VILLA & TOWNHOUSE
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 27
Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsTable 3: Significant Office ProjectsTable 3: Significant Office Projects
* Excluding all kinds of tax, promotions and management fee
The information is updated as at the end of Q4 2016
Table 17: Significant new projects launched in Q4 2016
No Name of Project/Building Developer Location
Completion
Year
Number
of units
Asking Price
(US$/sqm)
1 Roman Plaza Hai Phat Tu Liem 2019 59 4,000
2 24h Van Phuc Hai Phat Ha Dong 2017 125 5,300
3 Foresa Villa Tasco Nam Tu Liem 2017 35 1,400
4 Belleville Vimedimex Group Cau Giay 2017 66 9,200
5 Mai Son Du Parc Geleximco Bac Tu Liem 2016 94 4,200
New launches in Q4 2016 379
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HA NOI | SERVICED APARTMENT
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 28
Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsPERFORMANCE
The market in the capital city saw a slight increase of 1ppt
q-o-q in the average occupancy rate, staying at 85%, but also
witnessed a slight decrease of 2% q-o-q in average rental rates,
staying at USD26.1/sqm/month. On a yearly basis, the city’s
average occupancy rate remained unchanged, whilst the decline
of average rental price was about 3.3%, equivalent to a drop of
USD0.9/sqm/month.
By segment, Grade A’s rent stayed unchanged q-o-q, at USD32/
sqm/month and its occupancy rate dipped slightly by 1ppt, at
84%. Grade B dropped 5% q-o-q in rents but climbed 3.5ppts
in occupancy rates, staying at 84% and USD20.2/sqm/month
respectively.
SUPPLY
The market, with no new supply last quarter, has 41 buildings
providing 2,200 serviced apartments from studios to
four-bedroom units and penthouses.
By type of apartments, two-bedroom units continued to dominate
the market share with more than 50% of total supply. The asking
rent of this type of apartments usually falls into a range of
USD1,600-USD2,000 per unit.
In terms of location, Ba Dinh District was the largest source of
supply in Hanoi serviced apartment, accounting for 28% of all
units in the market, followed by Tay Ho District with 24% of total
supply.
DEMAND
Serviced apartments can be seen as hybrid properties filling the
gap between leased residences and hotel rooms as they offer
flexibility, modern conveniences and value-added services to
tenants. According to the General Statistics Office, the annual
growth rate of international visitors to Vietnam is about 20% per
year. The fact that serviced apartments are now more preferred
by travelers as opposed to hotels due to their additional space and
amenities will push upward pressure on demand for this sector.
OUTLOOK
In the near to medium term, the market will see further supply
expansion as developers rush to meet the high demand. There
will be 571 units coming on stream in the next two years from one
project located in Tay Ho District and the other two located in Cau
Giay District.
The facts that buy-to-let trend is becoming more popular and
some hotels are converting part of them into serviced apartments
will create more pressure on serviced apartment market, resulting
in a more competitive playing field going forward.
Table 18: Serviced Apartment, Future Supply	
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 29: Serviced Apartment, Average Asking Rent by Grade
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 30: Serviced Apartment, Current Grade A&B supply
Source: Colliers International Research
Project Name District
Expected
units
Expected
completion
Trang An Complex Cau Giay 42 Q1 2017
Somerset West Point Tay Ho 247 Q1 2017
Somerset West Central Hanoi Cau Giay 252 2018
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
USD/sqm/month
Grade A Grade B
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
units
Grade A Grade B
Accelerating success
Q4 2016 | HA NOI | SERVICED APARTMENT
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 29
Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsTable 19: Significant Serviced Apartment Projects
No. Project Name Address Location
Total
Units
Average
Occupancy
ARR(*)
(**)
1 Hanoi Daewoo 360 Kim Ma Ba Dinh 194 85% 28.0
2 Hanoi Somerset Grand 49 Hai Ba Trung Hoan Kiem 185 70% 30.0
3 Sedona Suites 96 To Ngoc Van Tay Ho 181 90% 34.3
4 Somerset West Lake 254D Thuy Khue Tay Ho 90 82% 33.0
5 Sofitel Plaza 1 Thanh Nien Ba Dinh 56 100% 38.0
6 Sun Red River 23 Phan Chu Trinh Hoan Kiem 46 96% 27.0
7 Hanoi Lake View 28 Thanh Nien Tay Ho 26 100% 25.0
8 Pacific Place 83B Ly Thuong Kiet Hoan Kiem 35 55% 23.0
9 Intercontinental Ha Noi 13 Nghi Tam Tay Ho 25 88% 35.0
10 Somerset Hoa Binh 106 Hoang Quoc Viet Cau Giay 206 87% 31.0
11 Fraser Suites Hanoi 51 Xuan Dieu Tay Ho 184 95% 40.5
12 Crown Plaza 36 Le Duc Tho Tu Liem 136 95% 35.0
13 Calidas E6, Pham Hung Tu Liem 378 99% 38.0
14 Lotte Center Dao Tan, Cong Vi Ba Dinh 258 87% 44.0
15 Hanoi Club 76 Yen Phu Tay Ho 54 96% 29.0
Grade A 2,054 89% 34.9
1 Oriental Palace 33 Tay Ho Tay Ho 59 88% 30.0
2 Pan Horizon 157 Xuan Thuy Cau Giay 86 80% 30.0
3 Rose Garden 170 Ngoc Khanh Ba Dinh 96 91% 24.0
4 Jana Garden Terrace 6 Kim Dong Hoang Mai 72 83% 20.0
5 V-Tower 649 Kim Ma Ba Dinh 36 100% 28.0
6 DMC Lake View 535 Kim Ma Ba Dinh 66 82% 16.0
7 Atlanta 49 Hang Chuoi Hai Ba Trung 50 92% 24.0
8 Elegant Suites Hahoi 19B Ha Hoi Hoan Kiem 39 92% 23.0
9 Hoa Binh Green No. 14, Ally 376 Buoi Ba Dinh 40 92% 22.0
10 Times City 485 Minh Khai Hai Ba Trung 150 85% 19.0
11 Royal City 72 Nguyen Trai Thanh Xuan 100 70% 17.0
12 My Way 4, Alley 86, Duy Tan Cau Giay 39 93% 25.0
13 Rainbow 7 Trieu Viet Vuong Hai Ba Trung 26 88% 14.0
14 Dolphin 28 Tran Binh Tu Liem 70 93% 15.0
15 Lancaster Hanoi 20 Nui Truc Ba Dinh 31 90% 24.0
16 Elegant Suites Westlake 10C Dang Thai Mai Tay Ho 131 94% 27.0
17 May Fair 34B Tran Phu Ba Dinh 48 95% 17.0
18 Hanoi Lakes Residences 11-13 Nam Trang Ba Dinh 10 100% 9.0
19 Skyline Tower 4 Dang Dung Ba Dinh 79 80% 30.0
20 Candle Hotel 287-301 Doi Can Ba Dinh 69 74% 27.0
21 Park View 9 Nguyen Binh Khiem Hai Ba Trung 6 100% 14.0
22 Flower Village Hanoi 14 Thuy Khue Tay Ho 131 90% 23.0
23 Palace de Thien Thai 2 Tho Nhuom Hoan Kiem 16 98% 23.0
24 The City Residences 37 Phan Dinh Phung Ba Dinh 15 67% 15.0
25 Swan Lake 3/61/31 Xuan Dieu Tay Ho 6 99% 16.0
26 Lakeside Garden 56 Xuan Dieu Tay Ho 8 62% 14.0
Grade B 1,479 87% 22.6
(*) US/sqm/month	 (**) ARR (Average Rental Rate): All rents are stated in gross rents per sqm, not including VAT and serviced charge
Q4 2016 | HA NOI | INDUSTRIAL
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 30
PERFORMANCE
Rental rates in Hanoi are generally lower compared to Ho Chi
Minh City. Average asking rent in Q4 2016 surged 20% on a
yearly basis but remained stable on a quarterly basis, recorded at
USD99.5/sqm/term. Remaining lease term is from 30-45 years.
Nam Thang Long industrial park offered the highest asking rent at
USD155/sqm/term. In spite of such a high rental rate, the 261ha
industrial park was fully occupied. Rents of ready-built factory in
Hanoi is USD1.5-2.5/sqm/month,approximately 40% lower than
those of Ho Chi Minh City.
The average occupancy rate increased by 15ppts on both quarterly
and yearly basis, reaching 77.3%. There are five out of 11 IPs fully
occupied, namely Nam Thang Long, Phu Nghia 1, Sai Dong B,
Thach That-Quoc Oai and Thang Long. Tu Liem and Long Bien are
two districts in which IPs were 100% leased out.
SUPPLY
The total stock was unchanged compared to the previous quarter
as there was no new supply in Q4 2016. Currently there are 11
operating IPs in Ha Noi, covering total land area of over 2,700 ha.
Chuong My, Thach That, Dong Anh districts are main suppliers
to the market, comprising of approximately 54% of the market
share.
DEMAND
Japan, China and Hong Kong are three leading investors at Hanoi’s
IPs, focusing on supporting industries, mechanical technology
and electronics.
The recent US interest rate hike is expected to bring some negative
effects on foreign investment to emerging markets like Vietnam.
However, with such a small change, this impact on capital inflows
will be insignificant in the short run. Foreign manufacturing firms
will continue to expand their operation and set up their factories
in the country on the back of relative low labor costs and young
dynamic workforce. Hence, demand for industrial properties in
the coming years will continue to be strong.
OUTLOOK
The future IP supply in Ha Noi is relatively higher than in HCM
City. By 2020, it is estimated to have 14 new IPs, with about 6,100
ha of total land area, equivalent to a 250% increase against the
current number.
Recently, Ha Noi’s government has agreed to switch functions and
implement the relocation plan for many IPs in order to deal with
the environmental pollution. As only 60% of industrial parks have
wastewater treatment systems, most of wastewater is discharged
directly into the environment. Thus, heavy metal concentrations
in soil in some villages have exceeded the allowed standards. It
is crucial that the establishment of industrial parks should pay
attention to environmental issues sustainable development.
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
Figure 31: Industrial, Market Performance by District
Source: Colliers International Research
Figure 32: Industrial, Supply by District
Source: Colliers International Research
Table 20: Industrial, Future Supply
Source: Colliers International Research
Industrial Park Name District
GFA
(ha)
Quang Minh II Industrial Park Me Linh 266
Phuc Tho Industrial Park Phuc Tho 74
Phu Xuyen Industrial Park Phu Xuyen 488
Thanh My - Xuan Son Industrial Park Son Tay 108
Soc Son Industrial Park Soc Son 340
Soc Son II Industrial Park Soc Son 204
Soc Son III Industrial Park Soc Son 180
Soc Son IV Industrial Park Soc Son 216
Thanh Oai II Industrial Park Thanh Oai 480
Habeco Industrial Park Thuong Tin 300
Ha Noi Hi-BioTech Park Tu Liem 200
Chuong My
15%
Thach That
25%
Dong Anh
28%
Others
32%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Tu Liem Soc Son Chuong
My
Me Linh Long Bien Thach
That
Dong Anh Phu
Xuyen
USD/sqm/term
Average asking rent Occupancy rate
Q4 2016 | HA NOI | INDUSTRIAL
VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT
©2017 Colliers International Research Page 31
Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsTable 21: Hanoi Industrial Market Overview
No. Name of Industrial Park Location
Distance to
CBD (km)
Total Area
(ha)
Asking Rent
(US$/sqm)
Occupancy LUR Term
1 Nam Thang Long Tu Liem 15 261 155 100% 2048
2 Noi Bai Soc Son 31 116 135 90% 2058
3 Phu Nghia 1 Chuong My 24 170 95 100% 2058
4 Phu Nghia 2 Chuong My 24 238 95 65% 2058
5 Quang Minh Me Linh 24 344 130 95% 2052
6 Sai Dong B (Phase I&II) Long Bien 11 97 95 100% 2046
7 Thach That Thach That 24 150 100 100% 2056
8 Thang Long Dong anh 16 302 95 100% 2047
9 Hanssip (phase 1) Phu Xuyen 44 72 120 25% 2060
10 Hoa Lac Hi-Tech Thach That 39 549 50 20% 2048
11 Dong Anh Dong Anh 19 470 100 95% 2057
Total 2,770 99.5 77.3%
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | VIETNAM
HO CHI MINH CITY
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Accelerating success
DAVID JACKSON
General Director
david.jackson@colliers.com
+84 8 3827 5665
About Colliers International
Colliers International is a leader in global real estate services, defined by our spirit of
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Through a culture of service excellence and a shared sense of initiative, we integrate the
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With more than 100 professionals in 2 offices in Vietnam, the team is market driven and
has proven and successful track record with both international and local experience.
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million square meter
under management
16,300
professionals
and staff
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Vietnam Quarterly Knowledge Report | Q4 2016

  • 2. TABLE OF CONTENTS ECONOMIC OVERVIEW............................................................................................................... VIETNAM .................................................................................................................................... HO CHI MINH CITY ...................................................................................................................... HA NOI ........................................................................................................................................ HO CHI MINH CITY MARKET OVERVIEW ........................................................................ OFFICE ........................................................................................................................................ RETAIL ........................................................................................................................................ CONDOMINIUM ............................................................................................................................ VILLA & TOWNHOUSE ................................................................................................................. SERVICED APARTMENT .............................................................................................................. INDUSTRIAL ................................................................................................................................ HA NOI MARKET OVERVIEW ................................................................................................ OFFICE ........................................................................................................................................ RETAIL ........................................................................................................................................ CONDOMINIUM ............................................................................................................................ VILLA & TOWNHOUSE ................................................................................................................. SERVICED APARTMENT .............................................................................................................. INDUSTRIAL ................................................................................................................................ Cover Page: Saigon Skyline 5-6 5 6 6 7-19 7 10 12 14 16 18 20-31 20 22 24 26 28 30 Page
  • 3. LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Vietnam Exports - Imports in 2016....................................................................................... Figure 2: International Arrivals to Vietnam in 2016 ............................................................................ Figure 3: FDI Capital of HCMC and Hanoi .......................................................................................... Figure 4: GDP Growth Rate of HCMC and Hanoi ................................................................................ HO CHI MINH CITY MARKET OVERVIEW Figure 5: Office, Average Asking Rent ................................................................................................ Figure 6: Office, Occupancy Rate ....................................................................................................... Figure 7: Retail, Market Performance by Year ..................................................................................... Figure 8: Retail, Total Supply by Year ................................................................................................. Figure 9: Condominium, Primary Asking Price ................................................................................... Figure 10: Condominium, New Launches by Year ............................................................................... Figure 11: Condominium, Sold Units by Segment and Year .................................................................. Figure 12: Villa and Townhouse, Selling Prices by Quarter.................................................................. Figure 13: Villa and Townhouse, Supply by Year ................................................................................. Figure 14: Villa and Townhouse, Primary Stock by District ................................................................. Figure 15: Serviced Apartment, Occupancy Rate ............................................................................... Figure 16: Serviced Apartment, Average Asking Rent by Grade ........................................................... Figure 17: Industrial, Market Performance by District ......................................................................... Figure 18: Industrial, Supply by District .............................................................................................. LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Macroeconomic Indicators of HCMC and Hanoi ...................................................................... Table 2: Office, Future Supply ............................................................................................................ Table 3: Significant Office Projects .................................................................................................... Table 4: Retail, Significant Future Projects under Construction .......................................................... Table 5: Significant Retail Projects .................................................................................................... Table 6: Condominium, Significant new Projects launched in Q4 2016 ................................................ Table 7: Villa and Townhouse, Significant new Projects launched in Q4 2016 ...................................... Table 8: Serviced Apartment, Significant Future Projects under construction ..................................... Table 9: Significant Serviced Apartment Projects ............................................................................... Table 10: Industrial, Future Supply ..................................................................................................... Table 11: Industrial, Market Overview ................................................................................................ 5 5 6 6 7 7 10 10 12 12 12 14 14 14 16 16 18 18 6 7 8 10 11 13 15 16 17 18 19 Page
  • 4. LIST OF FIGURES Figure 19: Office, Average Asking Rent................................................................................................... Figure 20: Office, Occupancy Rate ......................................................................................................... Figure 21: Retail, Market Performance ................................................................................................... Figure 22: Retail, Total Supply ............................................................................................................... Figure 23: Condominium, Primary Sale Price ......................................................................................... Figure 24: Condominium, New Launches by Year ................................................................................... Figure 25: Condominium, Sold Units by Segment and Year ..................................................................... Figure 26: Villa and Townhouse, Supply by Quarter ................................................................................ Figure 27: Villa and Townhouse, Supply by District ................................................................................. Figure 28: Villa and Townhouse, Q-o-Q changes in Secondary Price ....................................................... Figure 29: Serviced Apartment, Average Asking Rent by Grade ............................................................... Figure 30: Serviced Apartment, Current Grade A&B supply .................................................................... Figure 31: Industrial, Market Performance by Distrtict ............................................................................. Figure 35: Industrial, Supply by District .................................................................................................. LIST OF TABLES Table 12: Office, Future Supply................................................................................................................. Table 13: Significant CBD Office Projects ................................................................................................ Table 14: Retail, Future Supply ................................................................................................................ Table 15: Significant Retail Projects ........................................................................................................ Table 16: Condominium, New Projects Launched in Q4 2016 ................................................................... Table 17: Villa and Townhouse, New Projects Launched in Q4 2016 ......................................................... Table 18: Serviced Apartment, Future Supply .......................................................................................... Table 19: Significant Serviced Apartment Projects .................................................................................. Table 20: Industrial, Future Supply ......................................................................................................... Table 21: Hanoi Industrial Market Overview ............................................................................................. LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ARR: Average Rental Rate CBD: Central Business District CPI: Consumer Price Index GDP: Gross Domestic Product GFA: Gross Floor Area GRDP: Gross Regional Domestic Product LUR: Land Use Right IP: Industrial Park NLA: Net Lettable Area Q-o-Q: Quarter on Quarter TPP: Trans-Pacific Partnership Y-o-Y: Year on Year WTO: World Trade Organization 20 20 22 22 24 24 24 26 26 26 28 28 30 30 20 21 22 23 25 27 28 29 30 31 HA NOI MARKET OVERVIEW Page
  • 5. GDP Vietnam’s GDP was estimated to grow by 6.2% in 2016, driven mostly by industrial expansion and growth in construction and services. This year recorded a decrease in the country’s economic growth rate compared to the growth of 6.68% in 2015. The service sector grew by 7.57% y-o-y while the industrial and construction increased by 6.98% y-o-y. The whole year witnessed a big slowdown in agriculture-forestry-fishing with a modest growth rate of 1.36% y-o-y mainly due to natural disasters. Although 2016’s GDP was below the 6.7% target set by the National Assembly, the country remained one of the strongest performers in the region. We expect next year’s GDP to remain on a positive trajectory with our full year forecast standing at 6.5% on the back of increasing global integration and local production recovery. CPI The last month of 2016 saw a slight increase of 0.73% m-o-m in CPI index, despite purchasing needs at the year end. For the whole year, average CPI rose by 2.7% y-o-y. Six out of eleven major goods and service groups saw price rises with the highest growth recorded in medicine and healthcare services, at 5.3%. Main reasons for the CPI hike in 2016 were determined to be the government’s upward price adjustment of healthcare services and natural disasters’ effects on crops. With the target CPI of 4% set by National Assembly, price adjustment methods should be implemented for key commodity groups such as healthcare services, electricity and water, as well as a close supervision process should be kept on the world oil price to prevent the domestic price from shooting up. FDI As of the end of 2016, the country attracted 2,556 new foreign investment projects with total investment of both newly registered and supplementary capital reaching USD24.37 billion, representing an increase of 7.1% y-o-y in capital. Of the total, there are 1,225 already-operating projects raising their capital by more than USD5.7 billion. Investment in real estate accounted for 10.1%, which is equivalent to USD1.52 billion. South Korea was the largest foreign investor with USD5.5 billion, accounting for 36.6% of total capital, followed by Singapore and China with USD1.59 billion and USD1.26 billion, respectively. RETAIL SALES Vietnam’s retail sales of goods and services reached USD156 billion, up 10.2% y-o-y. If the price factor was excluded, the growth rate would be 7.8% y-o-y, lower than the increase of 8.5% y-o-y in 2015. By sector, retail sales of goods achieved USD118.4 billion, accounting for 75.9% of total sales, up 10.2% y-o-y. Retail sales of accommodation and catering services reached USD18.3 billion, accounting for 11.3% of total sales, representing an increase of 10.7% y-o-y. Retail sales of tourism services, comprising 1% of total sales, reached USD 1.5 billion, up 12% y-o-y. Retail sales of other services, accounting for 11.4% of total sales, were estimated at USD17.8 billion, equivalent to 9.3% increase y-o-y. INTERNATIONAL ARRIVALS In 2016, Vietnam welcomed 10.01 million international visitors, equivalent to a significant increase of 26% y-o-y. Thanks to visa exemption policy for citizens from five European countries and various tourism marketing strategies, this is the first time the country attracted such a high number of international tourists, a twofold increase compared to the number of 2010. Asian visitors took the lead with more than 7.2 million arrivals, mainly from traditional markets such as China, South Korea and Japan, comprising 72.5% of total visitors, followed by European visitors with 1.6 million arrivals and American tourists with 0.7 million arrivals, respectively. TRADE BALANCE In 2016, Vietnam earned roughly USD175.9 billion from exports, reporting an increase of 8.6% y-o-y. Import turnovers reached USD173.3 billion, up 4.6% against the previous year. As a result, the whole country registered a USD2.6 billion trade surplus. Of the total, the domestic economic sector reported a trade deficit of USD21.02 billion with USD50 billion in exports and USD71.1 billion in imports. On the contrary, the FDI sector enjoyed a trade surplus of USD23.7 with export revenues of USD125.9 and import revenues of USD102.1. While the United States took the lead in export revenues with USD38.1 billion, China remained the country’s largest import market with USD49.8 billion. By product, phones and phone parts, electronic goods, textile and garments, computers, machinery and equipment are the major foreign currency earners. Q4 2016 | ECONOMIC OVERVIEW ©2017 Colliers International Research VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT Page 5 2017 forecast Figure 1: Exports - Imports in Vietnam in 2016 Source: General Statistics Office | Colliers International Research Figure 2: International arrivals to Vietnam in 2016 Source: General Statistics Office | Colliers International Research VIETNAM -50 0 50 100 150 200 20052006200720082009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 USDbillion Exports Imports Trade Balance 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 200520062007200820092010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 thousandarrivals International tourist arrivals Average
  • 6. Q4 2016 | ECONOMIC OVERVIEW ©2017 Colliers International Research VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT Page 6 Figure 4: GDP Growth Rate of HCMC and Hanoi Source: General Statistics Office | Colliers International Research Source: General Statistics Office | Colliers International Research Table 1: Marcoeconomic Indicators of HCMC and Hanoi HCMC Hanoi 2016 2017 2016 2017 GDP (billion) 45.3 21.2 FDI (million) 1443.8 2800 Retail sales (billion) 30.1 22.3 Export (billion) 31.8 24.8 Import (billion) 37.9 14.2 HO CHI MINH CITY In 2016, GRDP of Ho Chi Minh City achieved USD45.29 billion with the growth rate of 8.05% y-o-y. In particular, the service sector was the dominant contributor with USD24.8 billion, comprising 54.8% of the city’s economy, followed by the industrial & construction sector and the agriculture-forestry-fishery sector, accounting for 0.84% and 28.76% respectively. Of the whole year, total newly registered and supplementary FDI achieved USD1.44 billion in which there were 177 supplementary projects, worth of USD529.2 million. Investment in real estate took the lead with 24 projects and USD357.4 million, accounting for 39.1% of total inflows. Cayman Islands was recorded as the biggest foreign investor in the city, with USD270.5 million in registered capital, accounting for 29.6%, followed by Japan (USD190.2 million) and Singapore (USD110.9 million). Retail sales achieved USD30.1 billion, up 9.1% y-o-y. Highest growth rates were seen in products which help to improve the quality of life and traveling demand such as motor vehicles, household appliances, building materials and gasoline. The city’s export values reached USD31.8 billion, up 5.2% y-o-y. Garments, agricultural products and computers & electronic devices contributed the most to export values. The United States was the largest export market with nearly USD5.4 billion, up 5% y-o-y. Import values increased by 12.4% y-o-y, worth of USD37.85 billion, resulting in the city’s trade deficit of USD6 billion. The top segments of import values were milk and dairy products, fuel, garment material, plastics and iron & steel. HANOI In 2016, Hanoi’s GRDP achieved USD21.18 billion with the growth rate of 8.2%. The industrial-construction sector and the service sector had the highest growth rates, up 9% and 8.3% y-o-y respectively, while the agriculture-forestry-fishery sector saw a modest growth rate of 2.21% y-o-y. Of the whole year, the capital city’s CPI increased 2.66% y-o-y. Out of 11 sectors in the CPI basket, food and transportation witnessed a slight fall in price. As of the end of 2016, FDI inflows of both newly registered and supplementary capital reached USD2.8 billion, up 46.4% in number of projects and 164% in capital compared to the same period last year. Disbursed capital was USD1.2 billion. Retail sales of the capital city were up 8.8% compared to last year, reaching USD22.3 billion. In 2016, the city achieved USD10.61 billion in export revenues and USD24.83 billion in import revenues, causing a trade deficit of USD14.22 billion in the whole year. The capital city welcomed 2.8 million international visitors in 2016, equivalent to an increment of 19.9% y-o-y. Figure 3: FDI Capital of HCMC and Hanoi Source: General Statistics Office | Colliers International Research 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 HCMC Hanoi 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 USDmillion HCMC Hanoi
  • 7. Figure 6: Office, Occupancy Rate PERFORMANCE Q4 2016 witnessed an increase of 3.1% q-o-q in the average asking rent across all grades, recording at USD32.5/sqm/month. The market remained tight with average occupancy rate of 95.9%, marginally down 0.45ppts q-o-q but up slightly 0.4 ppts y-o-y. By segment, average rent for Grade A space was up 1.7% q-o-q, staying at USD41.1/sqm/month whilst Grade B’s rental rates were up 5.7% q-o-q, at USD23.8/sqm/month. On a yearly basis, both Grade A and Grade B experienced significant rent growth of 14.2% and 13.6% respectively due to high demand and limited prime office space in 2016. While Grade A’s occupancy rate was slightly down 1ppt q-o-q but up 1ppt y-o-y to 95%, Grade B’s occupancy stayed unchanged at 97% compared to both the previous quarter and the same period last year. SUPPLY The last quarter of 2016 welcomed 33,840sqm NLA from the opening of Mapletree Business Centre and Ha Do Building, recording an increase of 12.8% in the newly launched stock compared to the same quarter last year. Currently, the city has a total of 11 Grade A buildings and 63 Grade B buildings, covering approximately 212,651sqm and 896,624sqm of net leasable space to the market respectively. By location, all Grade A and nearly 50% of Grade B are concentrated in the Central Business District (CBD). Clusters of Grade B buildings are also located in District 3, Tan Binh District and Phu My Hung New Urban Area in District 7. DEMAND Tertiary industry is one of the key drivers of demand for office space as service sector businesses tend to be more labor intensive and less capital intensive. Indeed, by looking more closely at components of the city GDP over the past 6 years (2011- 2016), we find that there is a strong relationship between the service industry’s contribution to the city’s economy and the average occupancy rate with relative high correlation coefficient of 0.7. With HCMC government’s plans to develop a service-led economy, targeting to increase the service sector by 10.17%-11% in the period of 2016-2020, the relationship between the service sector’s expansion and the demand for office space is more likely to continue in the coming years. OUTLOOK Given the current construction status, it is expected that there will be 62,300sqm of new Grade A and 124,392sqm of new Grade B office space coming on line in 2017. Up to 71,122sqm of such space will be located outside the CBD while 115,570sqm will be located within the CBD. Mature buildings in prime locations are forecasted to maintain good performance as the amount of new office space in the pipeline is limited and demand for high-quality office space in good locations continues. In contrast, office buildings in decentralized districts will face more pressure as the ample supply, raising concerns of falling rents and increased incentives. Furthermore, Novaland’s purchase of Continental Tower and the transfer of ownership for Metropolitan building are expected to put further pressure on the city’s market in the coming years. Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | OFFICE ©2017 Colliers International Research VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT Page 7 Table 2: Office, Future Supply Source: Colliers International Research Source: Colliers International Research Source: Colliers International Research Figure 5: Office, Average Asking Rent Project name Grade NLA (sqm) Expected Completion Viettel Complex B 26,320 Q1 2017 Waterfront Saigon B 8,822 Q1 2017 Deutsches Haus A 22,300 Q3 2017 Saigon Center phase 2 A 40,000 Q3 2017 Thaco-Sala Residence B 78,000 Q3 2017 The Khai B 11,250 Q4 2017 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 US$/sqm/month Grade A Grade B 50 60 70 80 90 100 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Grade A Grade B %
  • 8. Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | OFFICE ©2017 Colliers International Research VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT Page 8 (*) US$/sqm/month (NLA) Table 3: Significant Office Projects No Name Address Completion Year NLA (sqm) Service Charges (*) Occupancy rate Average asking rent (**) 1 Saigon Centre 65 Le Loi 1996 11,650 7.5 99% 42.0 2 Saigon Tower 29 Le Duan 1997 13,950 7.5 99% 44.0 3 Sunwah Tower 115 Nguyen Hue 1997 20,800 6.0 99% 40.0 4 The Metropolitan 235 Dong Khoi 1997 15,200 6.0 82% 45.0 5 Diamond Plaza 34 Le Duan 1999 15,936 8.0 94% 41.0 6 Kumho Asiana Plaza 39 Le Duan 2009 26,000 8.0 84% 42.5 7 Bitexco Financial Tower 45 Ngo Duc Ke 2010 37,710 8.0 96% 44.5 8 President Place 93 Nguyen Du 2012 8,330 7.0 95% 39.0 9 Times Square 22-36 Nguyen Hue 2012 12,704 7.0 97% 40.0 10 Le Meridien 3C Ton Duc Thang 2013 9,125 6.0 95% 35.0 11 Vietcombank Tower 5 Me Linh Square 2015 41,250 7.0 99% 37.0 Grade A 212,655 7.2 95% 41.1 1 VTP-OSIC 8 Nguyen Hue 1993 6,500 6.0 100% 25.0 2 Yo Co Building 41 Nguyen Thi Minh Khai 1995 5,000 3.0 98% 23.0 3 Somerset Chancellor Court 21-23 NguyenThi Minh Khai 1996 3,200 5.0 100% 22.0 4 Central Plaza 17 Le Duan 1997 7,405 6.0 100% 27.0 5 Harbour View Tower 35 Nguyen Hue 1997 8,000 6.7 91% 20.0 6 Saigon Riverside Office 2A-4A Ton Duc Thang 1997 10,000 5.0 99% 28.0 7 Saigon Trade Center 37 Ton Duc Thang 1997 31,416 6.5 99% 27.6 8 MeLinh Point Tower 2 Ngo Duc Ke 1999 17,600 6.0 97% 36.0 9 Zen Plaza 54-56 Nguyen Trai 2001 11,037 5.0 95% 24.8 10 The Landmark 5B Ton Duc Thang 2005 8,000 7.9 98% 28.9 11 Opera View 161-167 Dong Khoi 2006 3,100 7.0 100% 27.0 12 City Light 45 Vo Thi Sau 2007 10,000 5.0 100% 19.0 13 Petro Tower 1-5 Le Duan 2007 13,304 6.5 95% 50.0 14 The Lancaster 22 – 22 Bis Le Thanh Ton 2007 7,000 6.7 90% 25.0 15 CJ Building 5 Le Thanh Ton 2008 14,000 8.7 99% 25.0 16 Continential Tower 81-85 Ham Nghi 2008 15,000 6.0 99% 22.0 17 Havana Tower 132 Ham Nghi 2008 7,326 8.0 79% 29.3 18 Royal Center 235 Nguyen Van Cu 2008 14,320 6.0 100% 23.0 19 Sailing Tower 51 Nguyen Thi Minh Khai 2008 16,910 6.0 96% 27.0 20 TMS 172 Hai Ba Trung 2009 4,000 4.0 100% 24.0 21 A&B Tower 76 Le Lai 2010 17,120 6.0 97% 32.0 22 Bao Viet Tower 233 Dong Khoi 2010 10,650 5.0 98% 28.0 23 Green Power Tower 35 Ton Duc Thang 2010 15,600 6.0 97% 27.0 24 Maritime Bank Tower 192 Nguyen Cong Tru 2010 19,596 5.0 95% 21.0 25 Saigon Royal 91 Pasteur 2010 5,340 6.0 100% 23.0 26 Vincom Center 68 -70 -72 Le Thanh Ton 2010 56,600 5.0 95% 32.0 27 Empress Tower 138 Hai Ba Trung 2012 19,538 6.0 100% 27.0 28 Lim Tower 9-11 Ton Duc Thang 2013 22,000 6.0 99% 28.0 29 MB Sunny Tower 259 Tran Hung Dao, Co Giang 2013 13,200 5.5 100% 22.0 30 Lim Tower 2 Vo Van Tan 2015 8,400 5.5 100% 24.0 Grade B 401,162 5.9 97% 27.8
  • 9. Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | OFFICE ©2017 Colliers International Research VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT Page 9 SAIGON SKYLINE REVIEW- CBD HCMC GRADE A OFFICE BUILDINGS KUMHO ASIANA PLAZA 39 Le Duan, District 1 26,000/4,062 $ 42.50 $ 8.00 DIAMOND PLAZA SAIGON 34 Le Duan, District 1 15,936/1,020 $ 41.00 $ 8.00 LE MERIDIEN 3C Ton Duc Thang, District 1 9,125/500 $ 35.00 $ 6.00 SAIGON TOWER 29 Le Duan, District 1 13,950/101 $ 44.00 $ 7.50 DEUTSCHES HAUS 3-5 Le Van Huu, District 1 THE METROPOLITAN 235 Dong Khoi, District 1 15,200/2,748 $ 45.00 $ 6.00 PRESIDENT PLACE 93 Nguyen Du, District 1 8,330/384 $ 39.00 $ 7.00 BITEXCO FINANCIAL TOWER 45 Ngo Duc Ke, District 1 37,710/1,627 $ 44.5 $ 8.00 VIETCOMBANK TOWER 5 Me Linh Square, District 1 41,250/565 $ 37.00 $ 7.00 TIMES SQUARE SAIGON 22-36 Nguyen Hue, District 1 12,704/400 $ 40.00 $ 7.00 SAIGON CENTRE 65 Le Loi, District 1 11,650/ 155 $ 42.00 $ 7.50 SUNWAH TOWER 115 Nguyen Hue, District 1 20,800/ 128 $ 40.00 $ 6.00
  • 10. Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | RETAIL ©2017 Colliers International Research VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT Page 10 Table 4: Retail, Significant Future Projects Under Construction PERFORMANCE The year 2016 recorded a significant rental growth of 12% y-o-y across the market. Being a hot spot for new international brands, the CBD remained its high average asking rents thanks to limited supply. New supply during the year stabilized rental rates of suburban districts. Improvement was seen in occupancy rate, up 2% y-o-y thanks to effective leasing strategies and stronger demand for retail space in the city. SUPPLY The last quarter of 2016 welcomed the opening of Golden Plaza, adding approximately 15,000sqm to the existing retail stock. Located in a strategic location of District 5 with four street frontages, the mall offers more than 600 kiosks with special considerations to fengshui design. This is the first center that combines both traditional and online sale for wholesale and retail. The total retail stock increased 13% y-o-y, reaching nearly 900,000sqm. The majority of new supply in 2016 was decentralized to suburban districts, where having large land bank and improving infrastructure. DEMAND With a population of more than 8 million people, an urbanisation rate of 82.5% and an average income per capita of approximately 3,650 USD, HCMC is the leading city in terms of total retail sales. In 2016, the total value was USD30.1 billion, increasing by 9.1% compared to the same period last year, indicating a significant improvement in local buying power. The continued strong retail sales growth implies expanding demand for retail space in the city in the coming years. OUTLOOK Vietnam has become one of the most attractive destinations for retailers in South East Asia on the back of strong inflow of foreign direct investment, rising household spending, a young population and improving economic conditions. Likewise, Ho Chi Minh City’s economic importance and status as retail hub continues to attract a strong development pipeline. There is currently approximately 300,000sqm GFA of retail space under construction that will open for business in 2017. Stronger competition from new openings is forecasted to push down rents and occupancy rates by 2% in the next two years. Figure 8: Retail, Total Supply by Year Source: Colliers International Research Source: Colliers International Research Figure 7: Retail, Market Performance by Year Source: Colliers International Research Project name District NLA (sqm) Expected Completion Viettel Complex 10 6,400 Q1 2017 Union Square 1 39,454 Q2 2017 Leman CT Plaza 3 12,000 Q2 2017 Thaco-Sala Residence 2 24,000 Q3 2017 The Garden Mall 5 24,000 Q3 2017 Xi Grand Court 10 60,000 Q4 2017 Su Van Hanh Mall 10 96,152 Q4 2017 Vinhomes Central Park Binh Thanh 44,250 Q4 2017 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F2018F2019F USD/sqm/month Average asking rent Occupancy rate 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F2018F2019F NLA(sqm)
  • 11. Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | RETAIL VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 11 Table 3: Significant Office Projects (*) ARR (Average Rental Rate): All rents are stated in net rents per sqm, inclusive service charge but exculding VAT Table 5: Significant Retail Projects No Name of Project/Building Address Location Completion Year NLA (sq m) ARR (*) Occupancy Rate 1 Sheraton Saigon 88 Dong Khoi District 1 2003 750 130 100% 2 The Manor 1 91 Nguyen Huu Canh Binh Thanh 2006 2,000 20 100% 3 Opera View Lam Son Square District 1 2006 1,260 54 100% 4 Caravelle Hotel 19 Lam Son Square District 1 2007 150 100 100% 5 New World Hotel 76 Le Lai Street District 1 2009 1,000 90 100% 6 Hotel Continental Sai Gon 132-134 Dong Khoi District 1 2009 200 90 100% 7 Centre Point 106 Nguyen Van Troi Phu Nhuan 2009 2,000 22 93% 8 Saigon Pearl 92 Nguyen Huu Canh Binh Thanh 2011 5,000 25 88% 9 The Manor 2 91 Nguyen Huu Canh Binh Thanh 2011 2,500 20 100% 10 The Oxygen Mall An Phu Ward District 2 2011 5,000 30 65% 11 Rex Arcade 141 Nguyen Hue District 1 2011 2,000 125 100% 12 ICON 68 @ BFT 45 Ngo Duc Ke District 1 2011 8,000 90 99% 13 Kumho Asiana 35 Le Duan District 1 2009 6,830 50 100% 14 Saigon Airport Plaza 1 Bach Dang, Ward 2 Tan Binh 2013 7,623 23 75% 15 Imperia An Phu An Phu Ward District 2 2013 2,940 15 100% 16 President Place 93 Nguyen Du District 1 2013 800 42 98% 17 Times Square 22-36 Nguyen Hue District 1 2013 9,000 300 100% 18 Thao Dien Pearl 12 Quoc Huong District 2 2015 12,855 32 81% Retail Podium 69,908 76.9 90% 1 Diamond Plaza 34 Le Duan District 1 1999 9,000 166 100% 2 Parkson Saigontourist Plaza 35 Le Thanh Ton Street District 1 2002 17,000 100 99% 3 Parkson Hung Vuong Plaza 126 Hung Vuong Street District 5 2007 24,000 60 97% 4 Parkson C.T. Plaza Tan Son Nhat, Truong Son Tan Binh 2008 12,235 41 98% 5 Parkson Flemington Le Dai Hanh District 11 2010 26,000 40 95% 6 Parkson Cantavil Premier Cantavil Premier District 2 2013 17,815 35 96% Department Store 106,050 64.0 97% 1 Saigon Center 35 Nam Ky Khoi Nghia District 1 1996 47,000 100 100% 2 Vincom Center B 72 Le Thanh Ton District 1 2010 45,000 100 92% 3 Vincom Plaza 3/2 3C Ba Thang Hai District 10 2010 25,000 40 95% 4 Crescent Mall 101 Ton Dat Tien District 7 2011 45,000 43 85% 5 Lotte Mart Saigon South 469 Nguyen Huu Tho District 7 2008 24,000 40 99% 6 Lotte Mart Phu Tho 968 Ba Thang Hai District 11 2010 24,500 38 98% 7 Saigon Square 1 77-89 Nam Ky Khoi Nghia District 1 2006 1,300 - 100% 8 Union Square 171 Dong Khoi District 1 2012 38,000 Under renovation 9 Zen Plaza 54-56 Nguyen Trai District 1 2001 6,817 60 100% 10 Taka Plaza 102 Nam Ky Khoi Nghia District 1 2011 1,000 70 100% 11 Superbowl Vietnam TSN A43 Truong Son Tan Binh 2002 5,500 30 80% 12 Satra Pham Hung C6/27 Pham Hung District 8 2011 11,528 14 100% 13 An Dong Plaza 18 An Duong Vuong District 5 2004 18,000 - 92% Shopping Centre 292,645 63.2 94%
  • 12. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | CONDOMINIUM VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 12 Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsPERFORMANCE Market sentiment was improved in the last quarter of the year with nearly 12,000 successful transactions, up 55% compared to the previous quarter. The whole year witnessed a drop of 4% y-o-y in the number of sold units as competition was more intense by new entrants. Long-term market fundamentals remained positive with increasing genuine home buyers who can afford their own property thanks to rising income and supporting finance conditions. On the primary market, price appreciation was modest at 4% y-o-y as developers were more cautious in their pricing strategies in the midst of increasing new launches. Looking forward to 2017, sale price is forecasted to move upward, ranging from 3%-7%, depending on each market segment. SUPPLY The year 2016 witnessed a decline of 11% y-o-y in total new launches, prompting the market was cooling down from 2015 boom. While mid-end segment still dominated new launches, high-end segment reduced their market shares by 13% y-o-y as developers began to shift their attention to lower-end market. Robust infrastructure development and large land bank in the east and south of the city are supporting market momentum in these two areas. It is expected that the trend will be ongoing on the back of the city’s master plan toward 2020. DEMAND Considered as potential target customers, the employed population, especially those with stable income, will support housing purchases. It was estimated that the labour force in Ho Chi Minh City reached 4.1 million people in 2015, making up more than 50% of the total population. The percentage of trained labour increased from 40% in 2005 to 72.3% in 2015, and was forecasted to reach 80% by the end of 2016. OUTLOOK While the majority of high-end condo buyers tend to be investors looking to rent out their units or speculators, real massive housing demand are in the mid-end and affordable condo segments. It is observed that condo projects with prices below USD900 (VND20 million) per sqm have received positive feedbacks from the market, and apartments’ size ranging from 60 – 90 square meters, with prices ranging from USD35.6 thousand to USD62.2 thousand (VND800 million to VND1.4 billion) per unit have captured attention. Therefore, it is expected that many developers will shift their condo development towards mid-end segment to meet the market demand. Figure 9: Condominium, Primary Asking Price Source: Colliers International Research Figure 11: Condominium, Sold Units by Segment and Year Source: Colliers International Research Figure 10: Condominium, New Launches by Year Source: Colliers International Research 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 USD/sqm Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2018F 2019F units 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 50000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2018F 2019F units Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable
  • 13. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | CONDOMINIUM VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 13 Table 6: Condominium, Significant new projects launched in Q4 2016 No Name of Project/Building Developer Location Completion Year Number of units Asking Price (US$/sqm) 1 Summer Square GotecLand Vietnam District 6 2017 256 800 2 Dream Home Palace The Global Group District 8 2018 978 640 3 Republic Plaza Thuy Duong - Duc Binh Tan Binh 2019 266 1,700 4 Thu Thiem Garden Thu Thiem Corp. District 2 2017 375 720 5 Sun Tower N.H.O Khang Viet. District 9 2018 379 650 6 4S Linh Đông - block D Thanh Truong Loc Cu Chi 2018 220 850 7 Him Lam Phu An Him Lam Land District 9 2017 1092 900 8 Grand Riverside - phase 2 Hong Ha Corp District 4 2017 240 1,550 9 Park Vista Đông Mekong Nha Be 2018 1300 800 10 Citi Soho Kien A Group District 2 2019 781 870 New launches in Q4 2016 5,887 * Excluding all kinds of tax, promotions and management fee The information is updated as at the end of Q4 2016
  • 14. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | VILLA & TOWNHOUSE VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 14 PERFORMANCE The villa and townhouse segment performed well in 2016 with a number of successful projects such as Palm Residence, Ha Do Centrosa, Lakeview City or Melosa Garden. The transaction volume reached 2,200 dwellings, with a growth rate of 2% y-o-y. On the back of ongoing demand and improving market sentiment, new launched projects increased their primary average asking price to 13% y-o-y. Similarly, price on the secondary market was up 10% y-o-y. SUPPLY Launches were limited in the last quarter of 2016 with only two new projects coming online, adding 307 dwellings to the primary market, down 45% q-o-q. However, 2016 is the year for landed properties when new launches reached 3,000 dwellings, up 40% y-o-y. The eastern part of the city including District 2 and District 9 has been capturing attention of developers thanks to its large available land bank, upgraded infrastructure and a long-term vision of urban planning. DEMAND In recent years, the acceleration of city infrastructure development such as Metro lines, Thu Thiem bridges, new ring roads has enhanced connectivity of suburban districts with the CBD. Shorter commuting times, better transportation system and green living environment are key factors that encourage buyers of landed properties in the city outskirt. Ongoing infrastructure projects will continue to support growing demand for villas and townhouses in the future. OUTLOOK Looking forward to 2017, selling price is forecasted to grow but on a slower pace at approximately 4-5% y-o-y as new projects will target at lower-end market segments in less developed locations of the city. Sale transactions will be stable thanks to solid demand from both end-users and investors while future supply pipeline is expected to decline after the market reached its climax in 2016. Figure 12: Villa and Townhouse, Selling Prices by Quarter Source: Colliers International Research Figure 14: Villa and Townhouse, Primary Stock by District Source: Colliers International Research Figure 13: Villa&Townhouse, Supply by Year Source: Colliers International Research 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 Q1 2013 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2014 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2016 Q2 Q3 Q4 USD/sqm District 7 District 9 District 2 Others 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 units Existing supply New supply District 2 37% District 9 25% Nha Be 18% District 12 5% District 7 6% District 10 4% Binh Chanh 4% Thu Duc 4% Others 5%
  • 15. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | VILLA & TOWNHOUSE VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 15 Table 7: Villa and Townhouse, Significant new projects launched in Q4 2016 No Name of Project/Building Developer Location Completion Year Number of units Asking Price (US$/sqm) 1 Serenity Sky Villas SonkimLand District 3 2017 45 5,000-6,000 2 VX home center Van Xuan District 12 2018 70 1,300 3 Dragon Parc Phu Long Nha Be 2018 58 2,000 4 PhoDong Village SCC District 2 2018 44 1,500 5 Lucasta Khang Dien District 9 2019 140 800 New launches in Q4 2016 357
  • 16. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | SERVICED APARTMENT VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 16 PERFORMANCE In the last quarter of 2016, the average net asking rent across both Grades recorded at USD33.9/sqm/month, up 2.6% q-o-q and 9.8% y-o-y. While Grade A saw a slight drop of 2% q-o-q in asking rent, staying at USD37.9/sqm/month, Grade B’s rent experienced a remarkable growth of 9% compared to the previous quarter, achieving USD29.9/sqm/month mainly due to the opening of a serviced apartment in District 3. By location, the CBD continued to record the highest average rent due to good location in conjunction with sufficient amenities and facilities. The city’s serviced apartment market remained healthy with relatively high occupancy rate, at 91%, marginally down 1ppt both on a quarterly and yearly basis. SUPPLY Currently, there are 37 serviced apartments of all grades providing about 3,335 units in HCMC, mainly in District 1, District 3 and District 7. The market’s only new supply last quarter was the Oakwood Apartments HCMC located in District 3, expanding the total stock by 2% q-o-q. Developed by Sonkim Land, the property provides 68 units with the interior inspired from Saigonese architecture in the period of 1950s-1970s. In terms of location, the CBD continued to be the most favored destination, contributing 44% of total supply. Serviced apartment developments are also clustered in District 3 and District 7 thanks to their convenient locations and availability of services targeting foreigners. DEMAND Several years ago, serviced apartment used to be seen as a narrowed market segment targeting only expatriates. However, the segment has been expanded due to rising demand from Vietnamese tenants who want to enjoy the flexibility, privacy and independence offered by serviced apartments. Demand for serviced apartments is also being pushed upward as an increasingly mobile workforce drives business travel and relocation activity. It is expected that the positive economic outlook, coupled with an increasing number of expatriates coming to Vietnam promise higher demand for serviced apartments in the coming periods. OUTLOOK By the end of 2017, there will be some 987 units from four projects coming online. One project is located in the CBD while the other three are in decentralized districts. As the fierce competition between serviced apartments and buy-to-let apartments in the city, rental prices across two grades of the market are forecasted to soften. Limited future supply will allow the sector to continue to enjoy high occupancy in the coming years. Project name District Total units Expected Completion Ascott Waterfront 1 222 Q1 2017 Saigon Center (phase 2) 7 200 Q3 2017 Oakwood Residence Saigon & Richmond Residence 7 480 Q4 2017 Berkley Serviced Residence 2 85 Q4 2017 Table 8: Serviced apartment, Significant Future Projects under construction Source: Colliers International Research Figure 15: Serviced Apartment, Occupancy Rate Source: Colliers International Research Figure 16: Serviced Apartment, Average Asking Rent by Grade Source: Colliers International Research 70 75 80 85 90 95 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2013 2014 2015 2016 % Grade A Grade B 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2013 2014 2015 2016 USD/sqm/month Grade A Grade B
  • 17. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | SERVICED APARTMENT VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 17 Table 9: Significant Serviced Apartment Projects No. Project Name Address Location Completion Year Total Room Average Occupancy ARR(*) (**) 1 The Landmark 5B Ton Duc Thang District 1 1995 66 95.0% 26.0 2 Sedona Suites 65 Le Loi District 1 1996 89 98.0% 34.0 3 Somerset Chancellor Court 21-23 Nguyen Thi Minh Khai District 1 1996 172 90.0% 32.0 4 Nguyen Du Park Villas 111 Nguyen Du District 1 2004 41 95.0% 22.0 5 The Lancaster 22-22 Bis Le Thanh Ton District 1 2007 55 73.0% 37.0 6 Intercontinental Asian Saigon 39 Le Duan District 1 2009 260 90.0% 36.0 Grade A 683 90.5% 34.1 1 Norfork Mansion 17-21 Ly Tu Trong District 1 1998 126 100.0% 33.0 2 Saigon Sky Garden 20 Le Thanh Ton District 1 1998 154 85.0% 18.0 3 Somerset HCM 8A Nguyen Binh Khiem District 1 1998 165 100.0% 26.0 4 Diamond Plaza 34 Le Duan District 1 1999 42 95.0% 25.0 5 Garden View Court 101 Nguyen Du District 1 2000 76 99.0% 29.0 6 Ben Thanh Luxury 172-174 Ky Con District 1 2010 88 91.0% 20.0 7 Lafayette De SaiGon 8 Phung Khac Khoan District 1 2010 18 100.0% 36.0 8 Vincom Center 45A Ly Tu Trong District 1 2010 60 34.0% 20.0 9 Nikko Saigon 235 Nguyen Van Cu District 1 2011 54 100.0% 34.0 10 Saigon City Residence 8A/3D2 Thai Van Lung District 1 2011 17 84.0% 37.0 11 Spring Court 1Bis Phung Khac Khoan District 1 2011 14 87.0% 21.0 Grade B 814 90.4% 25.6 (*) US/sqm/month (**) ARR (Average Rental Rate): All rents are stated in gross rents per sqm, not including VAT and serviced charge
  • 18. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | INDUSTRIAL VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 18 PERFORMANCE Rents remained relatively stable on quarterly basis but fluctuated on yearly basis. More specifically, the average asking rent stayed at USD138.3/sqm/term, recording a nominal increase of 0.2% compared to the previous quarter but a significant growth of 15% compared to the same period last year. The increase was mainly due to higher asking rent of some IPs. Since no new IP entered the market in the last quarter of 2016, the average Land Use Right term was 35.8 years, unchanged q-o-q. The average occupancy rate was 67.5%, down 2.5 ppts q-o-q but up 0.5 ppts y-o-y. There are eight fully occupied IPs out of 19 existing IPs. Cu Chi district remained its lowest average occupancy rate of 42.3%, whilst 5 districts were reported to have occupancy rates of 100%, namely District 9, 12, 2, Tan Phu and Thu Duc districts. For a minimum leasable area from 1,000-5,000sqm, ready-built factories charge USD2.5 USD4.0/ sqm/month (excluding VAT and service charge). SUPPLY The existing stock was unchanged compared to the previous quarter with 19 operating IPs, covering a total area of nearly 3,940 hectares. The leasable area is estimated to be 71% of total land area with nearly 2,800 hectares. Binh Chanh district remained the largest supplier with 770 hectares, accounting for more than 26% of the market share, followed by Cu Chi and Thu Duc districts. Le Minh Xuan (phase 2 and 3), Vinh Loc I (phase 2 and 3), Vinh Loc III, Phong Phu in Binh Chanh, Tay Bac Cu Chi (phase 2) in Cu Chi, Hiep Phuoc (phase 2) in Nha Be are some IPs that are under construction and expected to coming on stream in the coming years. DEMAND The fact that TPP ratification was deferred after the US presidential election won by Republican Donald Trump has raised concerns about foreign investment into Vietnam. Obviously, the lack of TPP will negatively affect some future investment, particularly in export and manufacturing industries. However, it is believed that foreign inflows will continue to be strong. Firstly, the country’s macro-economics are stable with average annual growth rate 6%. Secondly, the government offers favorable policies that would help to attract more investments from foreign investors. Thirdly, labor costs are expected to be low, about half of China’s and not likely to fluctuate in the short or medium term. As a result, demand for industrial space is expected to rise in the near future. OUTLOOK The future pipeline will expand with approximately 2,800 hectares from 8 new IPs entering the market in the coming years, up approximately 60% from the current stock. There is a fact that development of previous industrial zones in Ho Chi Minh City did not take into consideration high speed of urbanization, and thus contributing to bad traffic situation of the City. Demand for transportation facilities between factories/ enterprises in IPs and ports/airports are forecasted to increase in conjunction with rising demand for industrial properties. Therefore, the City government is now planning a number of new transportation projects to improve the city’s infrastructure, making Ho Chi Minh City’s industrial market more attractive to international firms. VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT Figure 17: Industrial, Market Performance by District Source: Colliers International Research Figure 18: Industrial, Supply by District Source: Colliers International Research Source: Colliers International Research Table 10: Industrial, Future Supply Industrial Park Name District GFA (ha) Le Minh Xuan Industrial Park - phase 2 Binh Chanh 338 Le Minh Xuan Industrial Park - phase 3 Binh Chanh 242 Vinh Loc I - phase 2 Binh Chanh 56 Vinh Loc I - phase 3 Binh Chanh 200 Vinh Loc Industrial Park III Binh Chanh 210.3 Tay Bac Cu Chi Industrial Park - phase 3 Cu Chi 1,000 Hiep Phuoc Industrial Park - phase 2 Nha Be 597 Phong Phu Industrial Park Binh Chanh 148.4 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 District 9 District 12 Cu Chi Binh Chanh Nha Be District 7 Tan Phu District 2 Thu Duc USD/sqm/term Average asking rent Occupancy rate Binh Chanh 19% District 9 11% Nha Be 20% Cu Chi 31% Others 19%
  • 19. Q4 2016 | HO CHI MINH CITY | INDUSTRIAL VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 19 Table 3: Significant Office Projects Table 11: HCMC Industrial Market Overview No Name of Industrial Park Location Distance to CBD (km) Total Area (ha) Total leasable area (ha) Asking Rent (US$/sqm/ term) Occupancy LUR Term 1 Tan Thuan Export Processing Zone District 7 6.4 300 204 260 81% 2041 2 Tan Binh Industrial Park(P1+2) Tan Phu 11 129 100 235 100% 2047 3 Saigon Hi-tech Park P1 District 9 15 300 300 180 100% 2052 4 Vinh Loc Industrial Park Binh Chanh 15 203 131 250 95% 2047 5 Binh Chieu Industrial Park Thu Duc 16 27 27 150 100% 2046 6 Tan Thoi Hiep District 12 16 28 20 144 100% 2049 7 Linh Trung 2 Export Processing Zone Thu Duc 17 62 44 60 100% 2050 8 Tan Tao Industrial Park 1 Binh Chanh 17 161 97 240 97% 2047 9 Tan Tao Industrial Park 2 Binh Chanh 17 183 116 240 78% 2050 10 Linh Trung 1 Export Processing Zone Thu Duc 18 62 46 60 100% 2042 11 Le Minh Xuan Industrial Park Binh Chanh 20 100 66 120 100% 2047 12 Hiep Phuoc Industrial Park 1 Nha Be 21 311 224 125 100% 2048 13 Cat Lai Industrial Park (Cluster II) District 2 21 137 87 90 100% 2061 14 Hiep Phuoc Industrial Park 2 Nha Be 22 597 345 125 31% 2058 15 An Ha Industrial Park Binh Chanh 23 124 124 69 23% 2058 16 Dong Nam Industrial Park Cu Chi 30 343 287 63 69% 2058 17 Tay Bac Cu Chi Industrial Park Cu Chi 36.5 208 150 80 3% 2048 18 Tan Phu Trung Industrial Park Cu Chi 37 543 359 80 30% 2054 19 Automotive-Mechanical (Hoa Phu) Industrial park Cu Chi 40 99 67 80 83% 2057 Total 3,916 2,794 138.3 68%
  • 20. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HA NOI | OFFICE VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 20 PERFORMANCE The last quarter of 2016 witnessed a fall in rents across all grades due to continued oversupply, staying at USD22.5/sqm/ month, down 1.7% q-o-q. Average net asking rent of Grade A declined 3% q-o-q to USD27.2/sqm/month while Grade B’s rent remained relatively static at USD17.9/sqm/month. Average occupancy rate continued to show a downward trend because of an oversupply, standing at 78.7%, which was a decline of 4.5 ppts q-o-q. Grade A’s occupancy rate was down 3 ppts to 80% while Grade B experienced a significant decrease of 6 ppts q-o-q, staying at 78%. The diminishing trend in both rents and occupancy rates is expected to continue in 2017 since a huge gap exists between supply and demand in Hanoi’s office marke. SUPPLY The last quarter of 2016 recorded no new supply entering the market. The capital city currently has approximately 410,000 sqm NLA of Grade A and 770,000sqm NLA of Grade B office buildings. On a yearly basis, the city saw a surge in supply in both Grade A and Grade B buildings with growth rates of nearly 14% y-o-y and 5% y-o-y, respectively. Despite an existing oversupply, it is predicted that a large amount of additional supply would be coming in the future as many office projects which were due for completion in 2016 rescheduled their construction progress for 2017. DEMAND Recently, the Federal Reserve decided to raise its key interest rate by a quarter point, which is forecasted to widely affect the global economy. Theoretically, once US rates rise, global investors are more likely to move their money out of emerging markets like Vietnam and back to less risky countries like US. Nevertheless, in the short and medium run, this small change will not be enough to dramatically affect capital flows, suggesting that the impact on property market and demand for office space as well will be limited. Economic recovery, coupled with improvements in business environment in previous years are expected to fuel the demand for establishing a new office or expanding current premises of foreign and domestic enterprises, proving a supportive landscape for the office market in Hanoi in the upcoming period. OUTLOOK By 2017, the capital city’s office market will welcome 8 new projects which are currently under construction, providing approximately 331,122 sqm of new space. Given the huge pipeline, the office market in Hanoi will remain as the tenant- oriented market, indicating that rental rates will maintain their downward trend in the coming years. As rents and vacancy rates are continuing to come down, we will see tight competition between landlords in CBD and non-CBD areas. In order to attract more tenants, property owners need to apply appropriate marketing and pricing strategy as well as to maintain their properties with good management services. Figure 19: Office, Average Asking Rent Source: Colliers International Research Figure 20: Office, Occupancy Rate Source: Colliers International Research Table 12: Office, Future Supply Source: Colliers International Research Project name Grade NLA (sqm) Expected completion Horison Tower B 8,000 Q1 2017 Discovery Complex B 93,320 Q2 2017 Comatce Tower B 43,100 Q2 2017 Eurowindow Building B 16,592 Q3 2017 Vinacomin Tower B 103,100 Q4 2017 DSD Building B 6,860 Q4 2017 Handi Resco Tower B 24,190 Q4 2017 FLC Twin Tower B 35,960 Q4 2017 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 US$/sqm/month Grade A Grade B 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Grade A Grade B
  • 21. Q4 2016 | HA NOI | OFFICE ©2017 Colliers International Research VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT Page 21 (*) US$/sqm/month (NLA) Table 13: Significant CBD Office Projects No Name Address Completion Year NLA (sqm) Service Charges (*) Occupancy rate Average asking rent (**) 1 Central Building 31 Hai Ba Trung 1995 3,653 9.0 100% 33.0 2 International Centre 17 Ngo Quyen 1995 6,500 - 90% 24.0 3 Hanoi Tower 49 Hai Ba Trung 1997 9,000 - 100% 27.0 4 63 Ly Thai To Building 63 Ly Thai To 1998 6,753 included 100% 47.0 5 Sun Red River Building 23 Phan Chu Trinh 1999 13,459 7.0 97% 28.0 6 Vietcombank Tower 198 Tran Quang Khai 2000 19,563 included 100% 29.0 7 Opera Business Centre 60 Ly Thai To 2007 3,787 included 98% 22.0 8 Pacific Palace 83B Ly Thuong Kiet 2007 16,600 7.4 85% 36.8 9 Asia Tower 2 Nha Tho 2007 3,100 7.7 87% 38.0 10 Sun City Building 13 Hai Ba Trung 2007 6,400 - 100% 45.0 11 BIDV Tower 194 Tran Quang Khai 2010 10,120 7.0 96% 29.3 12 Sentinel Place Hang Da 2010 8,000 8.5 98% 35.0 13 Corner Stone 16 Phan Chu Trinh 2013 26,500 7.0 96% 31.0 14 Hong Ha Center 25 Ly Thuong Kiet 2013 11,000 5.0 93% 20.0 Grade A 144,435 7.0 96% 31.1 1 Tungshing Square 2 Ngo Quyen 1996 8,306 5.7 90% 28.7 2 Melia Hotel 44B Ly Thuong Kiet 1997 8,500 - 90% 38.0 3 Prime Centre 53 Quang Trung 1998 7,600 - 100% 27.0 4 VIB Hai Ba Trung 59 Quang Trung 2006 3,000 - 68% 16.0 5 Capital Tower 109 Tran Hung Dao 2010 21,089 7.0 99% 35.0 6 Hanoi Tourist Building 18 Ly Thuong Kiet 2010 7,600 - 100% 24.0 7 Capital Building 72 Tran Hung Dao 2013 5,800 - 100% 25.0 8 Coalimex Building 33 Trang Thi 2013 5,071 5.0 79% 18.0 9 VID Building 115 Tran Hung Dao 2013 4,930 - 89% 23.0 10 Artex Port 31-33 Ngo Quyen 2014 4,725 - 100% 23 Grade B 76,621 6.0 94% 28.6
  • 22. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HA NOI | RETAIL VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 22 Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsPERFORMANCE Average net asking rents in 2016 dropped 5% y-o-y, staying at USD38/sqm/month. While rents of the CBD recorded a nominal rise by 2% y-o-y, reaching USD81/sqm/month, those of non-CBD declined 6% y-o-y, staying at USD30/sqm/month. Due to weak purchasing power and considerable new supply, retail centers in Hanoi are suffering from increasing vacancy space. Average occupancy rates in 2016 decreased 2%, staying at 87% across all segments. SUPPLY In Q4 2016, three new retail centers, Vincom Center Pham Ngoc Thach, Vincom Plaza Bac Tu Liem and Trang An Complex entered the market, providing an additional 64,500sqm GFA. With a prominent retail mix of shopping, entertainment and F&B services, Vingroup has expanded its network across the capital city through its 6th and 7th shopping mall. Trang An Complex includes 10,500sqm GFA of retail space which has been fully occupied. After eight years of operation, Parkson Viet Tower was closed in December 2016, withdrawing 11,000sqm GFA. With the closure of two department stores within a two-year period, Parkson officially decided to leave Hanoi. DEMAND According to a recent survey in Vietnam by Nielsen, as of Q3 2016, Consumer Confidence Index in Viet Nam remained strong at 107 points, unchanged from the previous quarter and stayed among the top 10 most optimistic globally. Compared to neighboring countries, Vietnam’s consumer confidence level ranked fourth out of six South East Asia countries, lagging behind the Philippines, Indonesia and Thailand, while other regional peers experienced below 100 points over the same period. The continued strong consumer confidence index may have positive impacts on retail sales and in turn spur demand for retail space in Hanoi. OUTLOOK There are a number of developments which were under construction, or being proposed, which include quality retail facilities that will provide more shopping centres over the coming years. A steady supply of new developments is expected to enter the market from 2017 onwards, and overall the long-term outlook is positive on the back of improved economic growth and benefits from the liberalization of retail sector under conditions of Vietnam’s WTO membership and the recent participation in the Trans-Pacific Partnership. Figure 21: Retail, Market Performance Table 14: Retail, Future Supply Source: Colliers International Research Source: Colliers International Research Figure 22: Retail, Total Supply Source: Colliers International Research Project Name District GFA (sqm) Expected completion Horizon Tower Tu Liem 6,719 Q1 2017 Discovery Complex Cau Giay 38,144 Q2 2017 Ecolife Capital Nam Tu Liem 20,000 Q3 2017 Artemis Thanh Xuan 27,000 Q3 2017 Loc Ninh Singashine Chuong My 14,800 Q4 2017 FLC Twin Towers Cau Giay 25,000 Q4 2017 Handi Resco Thanh Xuan 4,769 Q4 2017 Eco Green City Hoang Mai 7,000 Q4 2017 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 sqm CBD Non-CBD 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 US$/sqm/month Rental rate Occupancy
  • 23. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HA NOI | RETAIL VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 23 Table 15: Significant Retail Projects No Name of Project / Building Address Location Completion Year NLA (sq m) ARR (*) Occupancy Rate 1 Central Building 31 Hai Ba Trung Hoan Kiem 1995 550 90-100 100% 2 Hanoi Tower 49 Hai Ba Trung Hoan Kiem 1997 2,515 50-60 73% 3 63 Ly Thai To Building 63 Ly Thai To Hoan Kiem 1998 650 150 100% 4 ICC Building 71 Nguyen Chi Thanh Dong Da 2006 2,900 19 87% 5 Pacific Place 83b Ly Thuong Kiet Hoan Kiem 2007 2,300 72 100% 6 Opera Business Center 6b Trang Tien Hoan Kiem 2007 370 90-150 100% 7 Asia Tower 6 Pho Nha Tho Hoan Kiem 2008 300 95 41% 8 Sentinel Place 41A Ly Thai To Hoan Kiem 2010 700 45 100% 9 Sky City Tower 88 Lang Ha Dong Da 2010 5,400 20-80 100% 10 The Lancaster Hanoi 20 Nui Truc Ba Dinh 2013 3,123 26-33 74% 11 Madarin Garden Residential 1 Hoang Minh Giam Cau Giay 2013 11,000 25-30 97% Retail Podium 29,808 92% 1 Vincom Center Ba Trieu - Tower A&B 191 Ba Trieu Hai Ba Trung 2004 17,700 90-100 99% 2 Vincom Center Ba Trieu - Tower C 191 Ba Trieu Hai Ba Trung 2004 10,974 80 100% 3 Ruby Plaza 44 Le Ngoc Han Hai Ba Trung 2007 2,400 18 99% 4 Syrena 51B Xuan Dieu Tay Ho 2008 4,153 30 100% 5 Trang Tien Plaza 24 Hai Ba Trung Hoan Kiem 2008 12,000 10 85% 6 Savico MegaMall 7-9 Nguyen Van Linh Long Bien 2011 43,500 20-25 99% 7 Vincom Center Long Bien KDT Vincom Long Bien 2012 29,000 20 70% 8 Indochina Plaza Hanoi 241 Xuan Thuy Cau Giay 2012 17,000 27 97% 9 Vincom Mega Mall - Royal City 72A Nguyen Trai Thanh Xuan 2013 181,317 70 99% 10 Vincom Mega Mall - Time City 458 Minh Khai Hai Ba Trung 2014 83,950 50 100% 11 Aeon Mall Long Bien 2 Co Linh Long Bien 2015 72,000 45 100% 12 Vincom Nguyen Chi Thanh 54A Nguyen Chi Thanh Dong Da 2015 65,328 70-80 99% Shopping Centre 539,322 97% 1 The Garden (Bitexco) Me Tri Tu Liem 2007 24,063 28-35 90% 2 Ho Guom Plaza Ha Dong Ha Dong 2013 23,380 16 94% 3 Lotte Department Store 54 Lieu Giai Ba Dinh 2014 21,480 43 97% Department Store 68,923 94% (*) ARR (Average Rental Rate): All rents are stated in net rents per sqm, inclusive service charge but exculding VAT
  • 24. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HA NOI | CONDOMINIUM VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 24 PERFORMANCE The year 2016 recorded 20,900 successful transactions across all segments, down 1.9% compared to the previous year. Mid to high-end segments dominated sales with 9,700 and 6,800 sold units, accounting for 46% and 32% of market share respectively. Price growth on the primary market was at 3-5% y-o-y on average. Prices in high-end segments registered the strongest growth at 9% y-o-y while those in mid-end and affordable segments were static at 2% and 1% growth on yearly basis. SUPPLY The total number of newly launched units in 2016 reached approximately 30,000 which were lower 10% than those of 2015. By segment, mid-end and high-end segment recorded the highest number of new launches with more than 80% of total new supply. The luxury segment was revived with two new projects in the Westlake while the affordable segment significantly decreased in its stock. Large land bank and upgrading infrastructure enabled the West and South West to provide largest supply among other areas of the city. DEMAND Hanoi currently has a population of approximately 7.5 million, comprising 12.2% of the whole nation’s population of 91.7 million people. The population growth rate is proportionally high compared to the country average of 1.07% between 2010 and 2015. The number of residents in the city is forecasted to continue to rise at a constant rate to an estimated figure of 7.9 million at the end of 2020. Steady population growth is the main driver of the condominium market in the city. OUTLOOK Vingroup, a leading property developer, recently unveiled Vin City, a brand-new project aimed at providing affordable apartments in seven major cities and provinces throughout the country. To meet the demand of middle and low income buyers, more developers in Hanoi have begun to tap into this potential market segment. It is expected that the shortage of affordable housing will be resolved in coming years. Figure 23: Condominium, Primary Sale Price Source: Colliers International Research Figure 24: Condominium, New Launches by Year Source: Colliers International Research Source: Colliers International Research Figure 25: Condominium, Sold Units by Segment and Year $- $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable US$/sqm 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F 2018F2019F units 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 units Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable
  • 25. Q4 2016 | HA NOI | CONDOMINIUM VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 25 Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsTable 3: Significant Office Projects * Excluding all kinds of tax, promotions and management fee The information is updated as at the end of Q4 2016 Table 16: Condominium, New projects launched in Q4 2016 No Name of Project/Building Developer Location Completion Year Number of units Asking Price (US$/sqm) 1 Tu Hiep Plaza Vinh Hanh Corp Thanh Tri 2016 648 700 2 Anland Complex Nam Cuong Corp Ha Dong 2017 533 1,100 3 Roman Plaza Hai Phat Corp Ha Dong 2017 804 1,000 4 The Legend Nguyen Tuan Dai Viet Tri Tue Thanh Xuan 2017 400 1,520 5 Sunshine Garden Sunshine Group Hai Ba Trung 2017 1,278 1,150 6 Sunshine Boulevard Sunshine Group Thanh Xuan 2017 500 1,400 7 Sunshine Center Sunshine Group Nam Tu Liem 2017 398 1,300 8 Sunshine Riverside Sunshine Group Tay Ho 2017 168 1,600 9 Ha Noi Paragon VT Corp Cau Giay 2017 495 1,400 10 Sunshine Palace Sunshine Group Hoang Mai 2017 396 1,200 11 D’.Capitale - C1, C6 Tan Hoang Minh Cau Giay 2018 1,800 1,850 12 D’.Eldorado 1 Tan Hoang Minh Tay Ho 2018 340 1,700 13 D’.Eldorado 2 - Phu Thanh complex Tan Hoang Minh Tay Ho 2018 136 1,600 14 Rivera Park Long Giang Land Thanh Xuan 2018 666 1,250 15 The Golden Palm HDIS Nam Tu Liem 2018 400 1,500 16 An Bình City - block A2 Geleximco Thanh Xuan 2018 276 1,000 17 Legend Park VIG Nam Tu Liem 2018 318 1,800 New launches in Q4 2016 9,556
  • 26. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HA NOI | VILLA & TOWNHOUSE VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 26 PERFORMANCE Thanks to improved year-end sentiment, the last quarter of 2016 witnessed the highest transaction volumes in two years with more than 750 successful deals, up 129% compared to the previous quarter. By type of property, townhouses dominated sales activities with 64% of total transactions. Tu Liem and Ha Dong took the lead with nearly 50% of sales owning to their large land availability. Market secondary price saw a decrease of 2% q-o-q and 3% y-o-y, averaging at USD3,238.6 for completed properties. Cau Giay District had the highest average price, up 4.2% q-o-q. Meanwhile, most of other districts recorded a decline in price on the secondary market. SUPPLY The supply pipeline in the last quarter of 2016 saw approximately 370 dwellings from 5 projects coming to the market. Ha Dong, Nam Tu Liem and Bac Tu Liem Districts were the dominant contributors, cumulatively accounting for more than 80% of the market share. Townhouse was the most popular product with 275 units, accounting for nearly 75% of total newly launched supply. Some of notable launches in Q4 2016 were Belleville, Foresa Villa, Mai Son Du Parc and 24h Van Phuc. DEMAND While pricing is the most determinant element for buyers in affordable segment, the villa and townhouse segment targets affluent customers who initially focus their spending on improving living conditions. With the growing middle and affluent class in Vietnam, the demand for landed properties is expected to be on the rise. In addition, landed property is considered as an investment vehicle, which ensures the highest profitability possible and protects investors’ assets against currency devaluation. The preferred choice of landed housing among Vietnamese people is also supporting the segment. OUTLOOK Given the current construction status, the market will see 8 projects coming online, providing some 2680 units in the next coming years, with the number of townhouses expected to dominate the market share. The villa and townhouse performance in the Hanoi City market is predicted to remain strong in the short term owning to the positive sentiment in both demand and supply. Thanks to better land availability, landed property projects tend to be developed in suburban districts. The success of these projects is closely linked to infrastructure development. Figure 26: Villa and Townhouse, Supply by quarter Source: Colliers International Research Figure 27: Villa and Townhouse, Supply by District Source: Colliers International Research Source: Colliers International Research Figure 28: Villa and Townhouse, Q-o-Q changes in secondary price 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 26,000 27,000 28,000 29,000 30,000 31,000 32,000 33,000 34,000 35,000 36,000 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2014 2015 2016 No.ofprojects units Units No. of Projects -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 % USD/sqm Market Average Price Q4 2015 Q-o-Q changes Ha Dong 31% Nam Tu Liem 26% Bac Tu Liem 25% Cau Giay 18%
  • 27. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HA NOI | VILLA & TOWNHOUSE VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 27 Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsTable 3: Significant Office ProjectsTable 3: Significant Office Projects * Excluding all kinds of tax, promotions and management fee The information is updated as at the end of Q4 2016 Table 17: Significant new projects launched in Q4 2016 No Name of Project/Building Developer Location Completion Year Number of units Asking Price (US$/sqm) 1 Roman Plaza Hai Phat Tu Liem 2019 59 4,000 2 24h Van Phuc Hai Phat Ha Dong 2017 125 5,300 3 Foresa Villa Tasco Nam Tu Liem 2017 35 1,400 4 Belleville Vimedimex Group Cau Giay 2017 66 9,200 5 Mai Son Du Parc Geleximco Bac Tu Liem 2016 94 4,200 New launches in Q4 2016 379
  • 28. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HA NOI | SERVICED APARTMENT VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 28 Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsPERFORMANCE The market in the capital city saw a slight increase of 1ppt q-o-q in the average occupancy rate, staying at 85%, but also witnessed a slight decrease of 2% q-o-q in average rental rates, staying at USD26.1/sqm/month. On a yearly basis, the city’s average occupancy rate remained unchanged, whilst the decline of average rental price was about 3.3%, equivalent to a drop of USD0.9/sqm/month. By segment, Grade A’s rent stayed unchanged q-o-q, at USD32/ sqm/month and its occupancy rate dipped slightly by 1ppt, at 84%. Grade B dropped 5% q-o-q in rents but climbed 3.5ppts in occupancy rates, staying at 84% and USD20.2/sqm/month respectively. SUPPLY The market, with no new supply last quarter, has 41 buildings providing 2,200 serviced apartments from studios to four-bedroom units and penthouses. By type of apartments, two-bedroom units continued to dominate the market share with more than 50% of total supply. The asking rent of this type of apartments usually falls into a range of USD1,600-USD2,000 per unit. In terms of location, Ba Dinh District was the largest source of supply in Hanoi serviced apartment, accounting for 28% of all units in the market, followed by Tay Ho District with 24% of total supply. DEMAND Serviced apartments can be seen as hybrid properties filling the gap between leased residences and hotel rooms as they offer flexibility, modern conveniences and value-added services to tenants. According to the General Statistics Office, the annual growth rate of international visitors to Vietnam is about 20% per year. The fact that serviced apartments are now more preferred by travelers as opposed to hotels due to their additional space and amenities will push upward pressure on demand for this sector. OUTLOOK In the near to medium term, the market will see further supply expansion as developers rush to meet the high demand. There will be 571 units coming on stream in the next two years from one project located in Tay Ho District and the other two located in Cau Giay District. The facts that buy-to-let trend is becoming more popular and some hotels are converting part of them into serviced apartments will create more pressure on serviced apartment market, resulting in a more competitive playing field going forward. Table 18: Serviced Apartment, Future Supply Source: Colliers International Research Figure 29: Serviced Apartment, Average Asking Rent by Grade Source: Colliers International Research Figure 30: Serviced Apartment, Current Grade A&B supply Source: Colliers International Research Project Name District Expected units Expected completion Trang An Complex Cau Giay 42 Q1 2017 Somerset West Point Tay Ho 247 Q1 2017 Somerset West Central Hanoi Cau Giay 252 2018 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 USD/sqm/month Grade A Grade B - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 units Grade A Grade B
  • 29. Accelerating success Q4 2016 | HA NOI | SERVICED APARTMENT VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 29 Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsTable 19: Significant Serviced Apartment Projects No. Project Name Address Location Total Units Average Occupancy ARR(*) (**) 1 Hanoi Daewoo 360 Kim Ma Ba Dinh 194 85% 28.0 2 Hanoi Somerset Grand 49 Hai Ba Trung Hoan Kiem 185 70% 30.0 3 Sedona Suites 96 To Ngoc Van Tay Ho 181 90% 34.3 4 Somerset West Lake 254D Thuy Khue Tay Ho 90 82% 33.0 5 Sofitel Plaza 1 Thanh Nien Ba Dinh 56 100% 38.0 6 Sun Red River 23 Phan Chu Trinh Hoan Kiem 46 96% 27.0 7 Hanoi Lake View 28 Thanh Nien Tay Ho 26 100% 25.0 8 Pacific Place 83B Ly Thuong Kiet Hoan Kiem 35 55% 23.0 9 Intercontinental Ha Noi 13 Nghi Tam Tay Ho 25 88% 35.0 10 Somerset Hoa Binh 106 Hoang Quoc Viet Cau Giay 206 87% 31.0 11 Fraser Suites Hanoi 51 Xuan Dieu Tay Ho 184 95% 40.5 12 Crown Plaza 36 Le Duc Tho Tu Liem 136 95% 35.0 13 Calidas E6, Pham Hung Tu Liem 378 99% 38.0 14 Lotte Center Dao Tan, Cong Vi Ba Dinh 258 87% 44.0 15 Hanoi Club 76 Yen Phu Tay Ho 54 96% 29.0 Grade A 2,054 89% 34.9 1 Oriental Palace 33 Tay Ho Tay Ho 59 88% 30.0 2 Pan Horizon 157 Xuan Thuy Cau Giay 86 80% 30.0 3 Rose Garden 170 Ngoc Khanh Ba Dinh 96 91% 24.0 4 Jana Garden Terrace 6 Kim Dong Hoang Mai 72 83% 20.0 5 V-Tower 649 Kim Ma Ba Dinh 36 100% 28.0 6 DMC Lake View 535 Kim Ma Ba Dinh 66 82% 16.0 7 Atlanta 49 Hang Chuoi Hai Ba Trung 50 92% 24.0 8 Elegant Suites Hahoi 19B Ha Hoi Hoan Kiem 39 92% 23.0 9 Hoa Binh Green No. 14, Ally 376 Buoi Ba Dinh 40 92% 22.0 10 Times City 485 Minh Khai Hai Ba Trung 150 85% 19.0 11 Royal City 72 Nguyen Trai Thanh Xuan 100 70% 17.0 12 My Way 4, Alley 86, Duy Tan Cau Giay 39 93% 25.0 13 Rainbow 7 Trieu Viet Vuong Hai Ba Trung 26 88% 14.0 14 Dolphin 28 Tran Binh Tu Liem 70 93% 15.0 15 Lancaster Hanoi 20 Nui Truc Ba Dinh 31 90% 24.0 16 Elegant Suites Westlake 10C Dang Thai Mai Tay Ho 131 94% 27.0 17 May Fair 34B Tran Phu Ba Dinh 48 95% 17.0 18 Hanoi Lakes Residences 11-13 Nam Trang Ba Dinh 10 100% 9.0 19 Skyline Tower 4 Dang Dung Ba Dinh 79 80% 30.0 20 Candle Hotel 287-301 Doi Can Ba Dinh 69 74% 27.0 21 Park View 9 Nguyen Binh Khiem Hai Ba Trung 6 100% 14.0 22 Flower Village Hanoi 14 Thuy Khue Tay Ho 131 90% 23.0 23 Palace de Thien Thai 2 Tho Nhuom Hoan Kiem 16 98% 23.0 24 The City Residences 37 Phan Dinh Phung Ba Dinh 15 67% 15.0 25 Swan Lake 3/61/31 Xuan Dieu Tay Ho 6 99% 16.0 26 Lakeside Garden 56 Xuan Dieu Tay Ho 8 62% 14.0 Grade B 1,479 87% 22.6 (*) US/sqm/month (**) ARR (Average Rental Rate): All rents are stated in gross rents per sqm, not including VAT and serviced charge
  • 30. Q4 2016 | HA NOI | INDUSTRIAL VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 30 PERFORMANCE Rental rates in Hanoi are generally lower compared to Ho Chi Minh City. Average asking rent in Q4 2016 surged 20% on a yearly basis but remained stable on a quarterly basis, recorded at USD99.5/sqm/term. Remaining lease term is from 30-45 years. Nam Thang Long industrial park offered the highest asking rent at USD155/sqm/term. In spite of such a high rental rate, the 261ha industrial park was fully occupied. Rents of ready-built factory in Hanoi is USD1.5-2.5/sqm/month,approximately 40% lower than those of Ho Chi Minh City. The average occupancy rate increased by 15ppts on both quarterly and yearly basis, reaching 77.3%. There are five out of 11 IPs fully occupied, namely Nam Thang Long, Phu Nghia 1, Sai Dong B, Thach That-Quoc Oai and Thang Long. Tu Liem and Long Bien are two districts in which IPs were 100% leased out. SUPPLY The total stock was unchanged compared to the previous quarter as there was no new supply in Q4 2016. Currently there are 11 operating IPs in Ha Noi, covering total land area of over 2,700 ha. Chuong My, Thach That, Dong Anh districts are main suppliers to the market, comprising of approximately 54% of the market share. DEMAND Japan, China and Hong Kong are three leading investors at Hanoi’s IPs, focusing on supporting industries, mechanical technology and electronics. The recent US interest rate hike is expected to bring some negative effects on foreign investment to emerging markets like Vietnam. However, with such a small change, this impact on capital inflows will be insignificant in the short run. Foreign manufacturing firms will continue to expand their operation and set up their factories in the country on the back of relative low labor costs and young dynamic workforce. Hence, demand for industrial properties in the coming years will continue to be strong. OUTLOOK The future IP supply in Ha Noi is relatively higher than in HCM City. By 2020, it is estimated to have 14 new IPs, with about 6,100 ha of total land area, equivalent to a 250% increase against the current number. Recently, Ha Noi’s government has agreed to switch functions and implement the relocation plan for many IPs in order to deal with the environmental pollution. As only 60% of industrial parks have wastewater treatment systems, most of wastewater is discharged directly into the environment. Thus, heavy metal concentrations in soil in some villages have exceeded the allowed standards. It is crucial that the establishment of industrial parks should pay attention to environmental issues sustainable development. VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT Figure 31: Industrial, Market Performance by District Source: Colliers International Research Figure 32: Industrial, Supply by District Source: Colliers International Research Table 20: Industrial, Future Supply Source: Colliers International Research Industrial Park Name District GFA (ha) Quang Minh II Industrial Park Me Linh 266 Phuc Tho Industrial Park Phuc Tho 74 Phu Xuyen Industrial Park Phu Xuyen 488 Thanh My - Xuan Son Industrial Park Son Tay 108 Soc Son Industrial Park Soc Son 340 Soc Son II Industrial Park Soc Son 204 Soc Son III Industrial Park Soc Son 180 Soc Son IV Industrial Park Soc Son 216 Thanh Oai II Industrial Park Thanh Oai 480 Habeco Industrial Park Thuong Tin 300 Ha Noi Hi-BioTech Park Tu Liem 200 Chuong My 15% Thach That 25% Dong Anh 28% Others 32% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Tu Liem Soc Son Chuong My Me Linh Long Bien Thach That Dong Anh Phu Xuyen USD/sqm/term Average asking rent Occupancy rate
  • 31. Q4 2016 | HA NOI | INDUSTRIAL VIETNAM QUARTERLY KNOWLEDGE REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research Page 31 Table 3: Significant Office ProjectsTable 21: Hanoi Industrial Market Overview No. Name of Industrial Park Location Distance to CBD (km) Total Area (ha) Asking Rent (US$/sqm) Occupancy LUR Term 1 Nam Thang Long Tu Liem 15 261 155 100% 2048 2 Noi Bai Soc Son 31 116 135 90% 2058 3 Phu Nghia 1 Chuong My 24 170 95 100% 2058 4 Phu Nghia 2 Chuong My 24 238 95 65% 2058 5 Quang Minh Me Linh 24 344 130 95% 2052 6 Sai Dong B (Phase I&II) Long Bien 11 97 95 100% 2046 7 Thach That Thach That 24 150 100 100% 2056 8 Thang Long Dong anh 16 302 95 100% 2047 9 Hanssip (phase 1) Phu Xuyen 44 72 120 25% 2060 10 Hoa Lac Hi-Tech Thach That 39 549 50 20% 2048 11 Dong Anh Dong Anh 19 470 100 95% 2057 Total 2,770 99.5 77.3%
  • 32. COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | VIETNAM HO CHI MINH CITY 18HBT Building, 4th floor 16-18 Hai Ba Trung Street, Ben Nghe Ward, District 1 HCMC, Vietnam Tel: + 84 8 3827 5665 HANOI Room A52, 5th Floor 68 Nguyen Du Street, Hai Ba Trung District, Hanoi, Vietnam Tel: +84 4 3942 2769 502 offices in 67 countries on 6 continents Accelerating success DAVID JACKSON General Director david.jackson@colliers.com +84 8 3827 5665 About Colliers International Colliers International is a leader in global real estate services, defined by our spirit of enterprise. Through a culture of service excellence and a shared sense of initiative, we integrate the resources of real estate specialists worldwide to accelerate the success of our partners. We connect through a shared set of values that shape a collaborative environment throughout our organization that is unsurpassed in the industry. With more than 100 professionals in 2 offices in Vietnam, the team is market driven and has proven and successful track record with both international and local experience. From Hanoi to Ho Chi Minh City, we provide a full range of real estate services The foundation of our services is the strength and depth of our experience. Publication Coverage Frequency Content Availability Knowledge Report/ Market Insights Vietnam Cities Quarterly All market sectors Publicly available Asia Pacific Office Report Asia Pacific including Vietnam Quarterly Office market Publicly available Vietnam Property Market Report Vietnam cities Quarterly All market sectors On subscription Development Recommendation Vietnam cities At request All market sectors On subscription $2.30 billion in annual revenue 158 million square meter under management 16,300 professionals and staff This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from. This publication is the copyrighted property of Colliers International and/or its licensor(s). ©2017. All rights reserved. For further information, please contact us: VIETNAM | RESEARCH FORECAST REPORT ©2017 Colliers International Research www.colliers.com/vietnam HA VO Research Manager ha.vo@colliers.com +84 8 3827 5665