Weitere ähnliche Inhalte Ähnlich wie Attorney's Guide to the Valuation of Intellectual Property (20) Kürzlich hochgeladen (20) Attorney's Guide to the Valuation of Intellectual Property1. Attorney’s Guide to the
Valuation of Intellectual
Property
Ben Armitage
Rich Billion
Billion & Armitage®
Intellectual Property that Drives Business®
Clyde Hanson, CPVA
Venture Isles, LLC
The business-side of patents & innovation
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 1
2. Introduction
Valuation of intellectual property is not the core work
of most attorneys. The goal today is to provide a
working knowledge so you’ll know what questions to
ask and have a better sense of the process.
Intellectual property has become the driver of value
creation in many industries.
80% of the market value of Fortune 500 is attributed to
intangible assets, including IP, up from 40% in 1975
Managing tangible assets is well-established, managing
intangible assets, less so. “You can’t manage what you can’t
measure” --Peter Drucker. Valuing IP is basic to managing it
well.
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 2
3. Overview
1. Types of Intellectual Property (IP)
2. Determining the Valuation Assignment
3. IP Valuation Methods
4. Performing Due Diligence
5. Selecting a Valuation Specialist
6. Data & Document Gathering: Analyst Support
7. Reviewing & Interpreting the Valuation Report
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 3
4. Types of Intellectual Property
Patents
Utility
Design
Trade Secrets
Trademarks
Copyrights
Domains
Brands
Intangible assets that
can be sold separately
from the entire firm are
intellectual property
Technology-usually pre-commercial
designs,
data, and knowhow.
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 4
5. Considerations: Context of Value
What is the context?
Licensing
Selling
Buying
Litigation
Gift
Taxation
M&A reporting
Based on the context, the value
might change.
For example, licensing, buying and
selling involves negotiation. As a
result the royalty rate might not be
indicative of the actual value.
Litigation involves damages
between two adverse parties, who
were unwilling to come to an
agreement prior to litigation.
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 5
6. Purposes of IP Valuations
Transaction pricing & deal structure
Finance collateralization & securitization
Taxation planning & compliance
Management information & strategic planning
IP portfolio management decisions
Bankruptcy & reorganization analysis
Litigation support & dispute resolution
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 6
7. Defining the Assignment
What exactly is the property to be valued?
How will the valuation be used?
Value at what date? Current? Historical?
Who is the audience? What is their focus?
What level of documentation?
Does client or analyst select techniques?
When is the work product needed?
Who is to be the analyst’s contact?
Is the existence of the valuation confidential?
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 7
8. Defining the Assignment
What definition of value is to be used? Value to whom?
Fair market value
Fair value
Market value
Acquisition value
Use value
Investment value
Owner value
Insurable value
Collateral value
Ad valorem value
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 8
9. Defining the Assignment
Premise of Value: How the value will be created
Value in continued use, as part of a going-concern
business enterprise
Value in place, but not in current use in the production
of income
Value in exchange, as part of an orderly disposition
Value in exchange, as part of a forced liquidation
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 9
10. Defining the Assignment
Which, if any, certification standards?
Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP)?, Federal
Court Rule 26?, IRS regulations 197 (Definition and valuation of intangible
assets), 482 (Intra-company transfer prices), & 170 (qualified appraisal &
appraiser)? Non-certified?
What level of precision is desired?
Maximizing−very existence of the enterprise is at stake
Optimizing−cost and value of precision is balanced
Satisfying levels−when lower cost information is “good enough”
An opinion letter states analyst’s judgment of value based
on experience without a bottom-up analysis
Single asset vs. portfolio of related or unrelated assets
Separate calculations for each asset
Sampling/ Key assets
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 10
11. Getting the Lay of the Land
Is asset an entire product? Business model? Franchise?
Is it a platform technology?
Is it a component?
Is it a sustainable competitive advantage?
Does it have or justify a premium price?
Is it a new or established market?
Who or what is competition?
Situation of client? Growth? Profitable? Stable?
Who has more power in the hypothetical transaction?
Which side may end up with more of the value?
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 11
12. Risk Lowers Value
Risks—Where handled in the valuation?
Technology—Will it work? Stay on budget?
Execution: Quality of management & workforce
Intellectual Property
Invalidity risk, claim limitation risk
Design-around risk
Freedom-to-operate / blocking patents
New competition, obsolescence
Market acceptance
Environment-economy, interest rates, buyer confidence, regulatory
Risk Adjustments
Discount interest rate
Direct increase or decrease in value by factors
(c) 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 12
13. General Valuation
Approaches
Disaggregate the value question into many smaller
questions which can be answered with public data or
assumptions that are are narrower and can be evaluated
Three traditional approaches like appraising a house
Income: values the future benefit stream, then discounts back to a present
value. Looking ahead.
Market: uses comparables to establish relative value. Looking around.
Cost: cost to create the asset. Looking back.
Use multiple approaches & techniques in a single valuation
Reality checks from multiple perspectives
(c) 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 13
14. Cost Approach
Cumulative investment in asset
Cost is close to value in building construction, but not all IP
Profit leverage of IP can be significant, so cost ≠ value
Cost Techniques
Replacement or Historical Cost
Equal Return Payments-ERP
“Fair” split of between buyer/seller for more developed assets
Both parties earn the same rate of return on their investments
Remaining cost to market, Risk-adjusted NPV EBIT
Disaggregation of profits by asset class
SG&A
Reputational IP
Technical IP
Assumes tangible assets are commodities that don’t earn
economic rents
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 14
15. Market Approach
Compare to values of similar assets sold in an arms
length transaction in a well-organized market
Auctions ideal arbiter of value
Challenge: Thin and secretive IP marketplace
Adjusting market values to make comparable
Weighted average, score closest assets higher
Sources: News releases, IP Offerings quarterly
newsletter “IP Quotient”, ICAP Auctions (Ocean
Tomo), court filings & published opinions
There may be no comparable transactions
Comparable licenses are more common
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 15
16. Other Market Techniques
Rule of Thumb: Poltorak Rule (Base year EBIT * 1.3)
Current brokerage rate—Pay 1-10% of economic
benefits in a lump sum payment
Apply to discount to sum of future royalties
(Comparable royalty rate applied to the forecast flow of
(wholesale) sales over the economic life of asset)
The more predictable & established the royalty flow,
the lower the current brokerage rate
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 16
17. Patent Market Technique
Econometrics-Pantros Patent Value Report
Predicts a sale price for a patent that considers a
computer score of the quality of the patent and its
licensing potential as indicated by patent data. Black
box, technique proprietary.
Cumulative economic flows to patent space (size of
technology area’s share of US GDP)
Inventors misinterpret market size value as what they
should get for their patent
Issued US patents only
About $250 per report
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 17
18. Income Approach
Data Needed
How big is the market in dollars? Units?
What is the is the asset’s economic life?
How much of potential market is reachable profitably?
What are major segments of the market?
What marketing channels serve each segment?
What prices, gross margins and costs are relevant?
Dealing with Uncertainty
Rating & scoring
Probability trees
Monte Carlo method
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 18
19. Income Approach Techniques
Rule of Thumb: 25% Rule (% of EBIT created goes to IP developer)
Discounted cash flow (NPV) of gross margin or cost savings
Economic life of asset
Selecting the discount rate (what risks are covered, cost of capital)
Examples of Specific Techniques
NPV (less R&D and launch costs paid by buyer) of EBIT
NPV with Probabilities Method
Technical success
Commercial success
Cost of failure
Cost Savings NPV*25% (cost saving are a positive economic benefit)
Expected Commercial Value
Probability of commercial success applies to launch costs
Probability of technical success applies to R&D costs
Adjusts the present value of future earnings from the asset
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 19
20. Income Forecast Factors
Market share growth of asset owner
Existing solutions will retain some share for some time
Takes time to sell channels, end-buyers
Except phone apps & games, toys, fashion, etc.
New, non-infringing competitors likely to arise
Technology adoption curve
Market share aside, getting customers to adopt a truly
disruptive innovation is a challenge and takes time.
Published studies of adoption curves are used by
analysts
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 20
21. Combining Results of Several
Techniques into Single Value
Analyst judges which techniques are most relevant to
this situation and weights them higher in the
calculation of a combined monetary value.
Written rationale for the weights
Sensitivity analysis
Infringement damages usually one approach
Two Summary Values (Venture Isles practice)
NPV of the flow of economic benefits
Likely sale price of asset with & without multiple offers
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 21
22. Adjusting Combined Value
Stage of technology development
Industry openness to innovation
Number of decision-makers for IP
Patent and IP quality and quantity
Litigation tested +15%
Portfolio size (single patent -15 to -30%)
Forward citations +1-3% each
Stature of the inventors
Economic cycle
Emerging competition
Profit flow large enough to justify asserting patent(s)?
Caution not to double discount for risks © 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 22
23. Valuation Opinion
Summary statement of value
Purpose for which valuation was created
Limitations on use of valuation
Value “as of” date
Professional liability boilerplate
Page 24 in ABC Company example valuation report
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 23
24. Infringement Damages
Historical sales/cost data gained through discovery
Analyst focus is on:
Comparable royalty rates; Georgia-Pacific case factors
Discount rate justification
Higher standards for documentation
Daubert Case Principles for Experts
Testable
Peer review and publication
Acceptable rate of error and maintenance of standards
Community acceptance
Expert witness experience
Credentials become more important
Trending toward academics, economists
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 24
25. Considerations for Marketing IP
Trademarks—Symbol of the brand, can be shared and
licensed to go on products of other firms
Brands—customer perception relative to
competition; premium price, higher market share, or
both
Domain names—ease of use, memorable? Online
estimators (free).
Valuation Issues
Hard to untangle brand & trademark
Few comparables
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 25
26. Example: ABC Company
Actual valuation, used with permission after redactions & modified
demand estimates
Purpose: Set a reasonable asking price for portfolio and show buyer the
economic benefits (Value-created)
Primary market research on adoption obstacles
Value date: calculations going forward till end of patent term (17 years)
Portfolio: Patent, trademark, hardware system design & software (p. 4)
Potential buyers with 3 business models valued
Potential market size—8 market segments sized
Addressable market-13-50% of potential by biz model
Cash-flow by type of buyer (3) * 8 segments = 24 estimates
Valuation by Buyer Type and Market Segments (Field-of-Use) created
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 26
27. ABC Example: Income
Approach
Pages 10-15 covers Income Approach
US Patent so US only demand estimated
Other assumptions & comparable royalty results p 11-12
Five techniques, 4 used in Value-created estimate, 1 in Market (sale
price) estimate. 1 rule of thumb, 4 NPV calculations
Excel Workbook model: 9 linked spreadsheets.
EBIT & royalty forecasts
Technique calculations
Industry trend & market segment data and assumptions documented
Technology adoption curve & market share growth adjust demand
Econometric technique also in Value-created estimate
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 27
28. ABC Example: Market
Approach
Page 20 of valuation report
Royalty rate weighted average scoring of comparable
licenses, 4.17% used
EBIT based on % of sales in published data for similar
types of business
3 techniques, all used in asking price estimate
Poltorak Rule
Current Brokerage Rate (2 rates)
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 28
29. ABC Example: Cost Approach
Page 15-18 of report
Two techniques
Replacement Cost (used in Value-created)
Equal Return Payment (used in asking price)
Lump sum also shown as annual royalty payments
Calculated by buyer type
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 29
30. Selecting a Valuation Analyst
Face-to-face meetings or telecom preference
Budget
Deadlines
Technical/industry expertise
Working relationship
Litigation/non-litigation
IRS/non-IRS audience
Professional certifications
A person, not the firm, does the work
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 30
31. IP Asset Due Diligence
Team approach
Patent attorneys
Business evaluators
Industry veterans
Contract attorneys
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 31
32. IP Asset Due Diligence
Patent Attorney
File history review
Maintenance fees
Prior art search
Freedom to operate
Litigation search
Docket review
Claim evaluation
Enforceability, coverage, etc.
Check ownership (assignments, employment
agreements, etc.)
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 32
33. IP Asset Due Diligence
Rest of team
Any liens or mortgages on IP
Market/product evaluation
Industry players
Litigious? Potential partners? etc.
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 33
34. Patent File History Review
All relevant art cited and review by Examiner
Limitations disclaimed in prosecution
Admissions by patent attorney
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 34
35. Ownership
Correct inventors
Assignments or other transfer of rights
Government rights
Third party challenges
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 35
37. Best Practices
Talk to your patent attorney
Assignments/Ownership locked up
Employment agreements
Consultant agreements
File continuations
Monitor deadlines, file on outstanding disclosures
Deal with warts head-on
Stalled prosecution, third-party issues
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 37
38. Data & Document Gathering
Internal data & interviews with key personnel
Patent, trademark, etc. lists
Encumbrances to IP assets
Past offers for the IP
Litigation history
Product lists, marketing materials, tech manuals, price
lists, customer lists
Product/division/firm financials
Resource people contact information
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 38
39. Interpreting Valuation
Reports
What was valued and why?
How was value defined? Value as of when?
What are the sources for market demand data?
What methods & techniques were used?
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 39
40. Reviewing Valuation Reports
Was the IP understood by the analyst?
Did the due diligence verify the government
recognition of the IP?
Who was interviewed about the IP?
Are the methods relevant to the situation?
Are assumptions about the future clear? Reasonable?
Did independent legal council review the IP?
Do modeling spreadsheets match the report tables?
Are risks addressed explicitly?
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 40
41. IP Valuation: In Conclusion
Valuing IP is key to maximizing its financial return
There is a wide-range of valuation types
Clarification of assignment upfront pays dividends
How important is the decision the valuation will
influence to the sponsor of the valuation?
Better to have a simpler valuation that its users
understand than a complex one understood only by
the analyst.
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 41
42. Q & A
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 42
43. Special Thanks
Frank Farrell
Frank@fsfarrell.com
Markus Lacis, CPA
Markus.Lacis@McGladrey.com
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 43
44. Reference Books
Valuation and Pricing of Technology-Based
Intellectual Property, Richard Razgaitis
Business Valuation Resources (BVR) Guide to
Intellectual Property Valuation, Michael Pellegrino
Valuing Intangible Assets, Robert Reilly, Robert
Schweihs
Fundamentals of Patenting and Licensing for Scientists
and Engineers, Matthew Y. Ma
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 44
45. For More Information
Clyde Hanson, CPVA
Clyde.hanson@ventureisles.com
(612) 418-1192 Minneapolis
Richard Billion
rbillion@billionarmitage.com
(952) 697-2633
Ben Armitage
barmitage@billionarmitage.com
(952) 697-2632
© 2014 Armitage, Billion, Hanson 45