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Integrated Modeling of RMS Impacts:
          Hydrological Processes, and
            Water Resources Modeling


Nile BDC Symposium on Modeling in the Blue Nile Basin
           Addis Ababa, 12 November 2012


                Solomon Seyoum
                     IWMI
Objectives

1.   Assess integrated biophysical impacts of RMS practices and
     large-scale developments on water availability, sediment load
     (and groundwater recharge)

2.   Device mechanisms of incorporating RMS practices into basin
     IWRM planning

3.   Investigate up- and out-scaling options of RMS practices using
     sustainability criteria of satisfying downstream requirements
Framework


                               Climate
                                 Soil      SWAT                   RMS
s n sa b bu S s de hsr e a W




                                  LU       Model                Scenarios
                                  TI
                        t




                                              Large dams and
                                              River Junctions

                                  L-S
                                           WEAP                      Impact
                                 Dev’t
                                           Model                   Evaluation
        -




                               Scenarios
  i
  ya b A
WEAP Modeling
   Large-scale development interventions (practices):
      −    Water control and storage infrastructures
      −    Irrigation schemes
      −    Hydropower plants
      −    Environmental flows

   Improved schematization for SWAT-WEAP linkages

   SEI provided first feedback on the WEAP setup

   Scenario definition (development + RMS) ?
WEAP Schematization




                 Dams / Reservoirs
                 Irrigation demands
                 River Networks
SWAT-WEAP Interface




                 SWAT sub-catchments
                 Dams / Reservoirs
                 Irrigation demands
                 River Networks
SWAT Modeling

   SWAT initialized based on WEAP requirements and flow data
    availability

   Landuse, soil and climate data improved

   Variable sources area (VSA) concept implemented using TI

   GIS Tool developed for the Soil-TI derivation

   Calibration and RMS scenarios
SWAT Sub-basins +
Landuse Map for
    SWAT
UBN SWAT Landuse Map
Soil Map for SWAT
Soil-Topography Dynamics (1)
Soil-Topography Dynamics (2)
Topography-Soil Map
Climate Data
RMS Impacts on Runoff Processes

                                           Rainfall
  Transpiration                                                                        Evaporatio
                                                                                       n
                      Canopy
                      Evaporatio                    Soil Evaporation
                      n
                                            Land                                   Water
         Vegetation
                         Throughfall       Surface                                 Body

                                   Infiltration                    Overland flow
                                                  Capillary Rise

Minimize:
     Unproductive                             Soil             Interflow           Stream
     water use

Maximize:                                    Capillary Rise
     TARGET/Productive             Percolation                      Baseflow
     water use
                                                                                   Watershed
Optimize:                                  Aquifer                                 discharge
     Transfers
SWAT Scheduled Management Operations
Code   Practice           Operation
  1    Terracing          Simulates a terrace to the HRU
  2    Tile drainage      Simulates a tile to the HRU
  3    Contouring         Simulates a contour to the HRU
  4    Filter strip       Simulates a vegetative filter strip to the HRU
  5    Strip cropping     Simulates strip cropping to the HRU
  6    fire               Simulates fire to the HRU
  7    Grassed waterway   Simulates grassed waterways to the HRU
  8    Plant parameter    Updates crop parameters to the HRU
SWAT Management Operations
GRID                                UBN       Watershed
                                    Outlet
SWAT Calibration   CODE
                     1 Megech_nr_Azezo_Stn
                                                    Subbasins
                                                        1
                                                                 Subbasins
                                                                     1
                        UpRibb_on_DebreTaborRoad_S
                     3                                  3             3
                        tn
                     4 Gumara_nr_BahirDar_Stn           4             4
                     7 Andassa_nr_BahirDar_Stn          7             1
                     8 GilgelAbbay_nr_Merawi_Stn        8             6
                     9 Koga_at_Merawi_Stn               9             7
                    12 GilgelBeles_nr_Mandura_Stn       12            1
                    17 Birr_nr_Jiga_Stn                 17            1
                    19 LowerFettam_at_Galebed_Stn       19            1
                    31 Robi_Gumero_nr_Lemi_Stn          31            1
                    33 Neshi_nr_Shambu                  33            1
                    37 Aleltu_at_Nedjo_Stn              37            1
                    43 Mugher_nr_Chancho_Stn            43            1
                    44 Debis_at_Guder_Stn               44            2
                    46 Bello_nr_Guder_Stn               46            3
                     2 Ribb_nr_AddisZemen_Stn           2             2
                    11 MainBeles_at_Bridge_Stn        11 5           2 1
                    40 Angar_nr_Nekemte_Stn           40 34          2 1
                    47 Didesa_nr_Arjo_Stn             47 48          1 2
                     6 Abbay_at_BhirDar_Stn             6              5
                                                   23 14 20 27   23 14 20 27
                    23 Abbay_nr_Kessie_Stn
                                                        24            24
                                                   10 13 15 16   10 13 15 16
                                                   18 21 22 25   18 21 22 25
                    10 Abbay_at_SudanBorder_Stn    26 28 29 30   26 28 29 30
                                                   32 35 36 38   32 35 36 38
                                                   39 41 42 45   39 41 42 45
Outlook

‱ Finalize SWAT Calibration and SWAT-WEAP
  interactions for baseline scenarios

‱ Develop scenarios of RMS practices and large-scale
  developements

‱ Implement RMS Scenarios in SWAT and large-scale
  development scenarios in WEAP

‱ Evaluate RMS impacts using WEAP and SWAT outputs

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Integrated modeling of RMS impacts: Hydrological processes, and water resources modeling

  • 1. Integrated Modeling of RMS Impacts: Hydrological Processes, and Water Resources Modeling Nile BDC Symposium on Modeling in the Blue Nile Basin Addis Ababa, 12 November 2012 Solomon Seyoum IWMI
  • 2. Objectives 1. Assess integrated biophysical impacts of RMS practices and large-scale developments on water availability, sediment load (and groundwater recharge) 2. Device mechanisms of incorporating RMS practices into basin IWRM planning 3. Investigate up- and out-scaling options of RMS practices using sustainability criteria of satisfying downstream requirements
  • 3. Framework Climate Soil SWAT RMS s n sa b bu S s de hsr e a W LU Model Scenarios TI t Large dams and River Junctions L-S WEAP Impact Dev’t Model Evaluation - Scenarios i ya b A
  • 4. WEAP Modeling  Large-scale development interventions (practices): − Water control and storage infrastructures − Irrigation schemes − Hydropower plants − Environmental flows  Improved schematization for SWAT-WEAP linkages  SEI provided first feedback on the WEAP setup  Scenario definition (development + RMS) ?
  • 5. WEAP Schematization Dams / Reservoirs Irrigation demands River Networks
  • 6. SWAT-WEAP Interface SWAT sub-catchments Dams / Reservoirs Irrigation demands River Networks
  • 7. SWAT Modeling  SWAT initialized based on WEAP requirements and flow data availability  Landuse, soil and climate data improved  Variable sources area (VSA) concept implemented using TI  GIS Tool developed for the Soil-TI derivation  Calibration and RMS scenarios
  • 11. Soil Map for SWAT
  • 16. RMS Impacts on Runoff Processes Rainfall Transpiration Evaporatio n Canopy Evaporatio Soil Evaporation n Land Water Vegetation Throughfall Surface Body Infiltration Overland flow Capillary Rise Minimize: Unproductive Soil Interflow Stream water use Maximize: Capillary Rise TARGET/Productive Percolation Baseflow water use Watershed Optimize: Aquifer discharge Transfers
  • 17. SWAT Scheduled Management Operations Code Practice Operation 1 Terracing Simulates a terrace to the HRU 2 Tile drainage Simulates a tile to the HRU 3 Contouring Simulates a contour to the HRU 4 Filter strip Simulates a vegetative filter strip to the HRU 5 Strip cropping Simulates strip cropping to the HRU 6 fire Simulates fire to the HRU 7 Grassed waterway Simulates grassed waterways to the HRU 8 Plant parameter Updates crop parameters to the HRU
  • 19. GRID UBN Watershed Outlet SWAT Calibration CODE 1 Megech_nr_Azezo_Stn Subbasins 1 Subbasins 1 UpRibb_on_DebreTaborRoad_S 3 3 3 tn 4 Gumara_nr_BahirDar_Stn 4 4 7 Andassa_nr_BahirDar_Stn 7 1 8 GilgelAbbay_nr_Merawi_Stn 8 6 9 Koga_at_Merawi_Stn 9 7 12 GilgelBeles_nr_Mandura_Stn 12 1 17 Birr_nr_Jiga_Stn 17 1 19 LowerFettam_at_Galebed_Stn 19 1 31 Robi_Gumero_nr_Lemi_Stn 31 1 33 Neshi_nr_Shambu 33 1 37 Aleltu_at_Nedjo_Stn 37 1 43 Mugher_nr_Chancho_Stn 43 1 44 Debis_at_Guder_Stn 44 2 46 Bello_nr_Guder_Stn 46 3 2 Ribb_nr_AddisZemen_Stn 2 2 11 MainBeles_at_Bridge_Stn 11 5 2 1 40 Angar_nr_Nekemte_Stn 40 34 2 1 47 Didesa_nr_Arjo_Stn 47 48 1 2 6 Abbay_at_BhirDar_Stn 6 5 23 14 20 27 23 14 20 27 23 Abbay_nr_Kessie_Stn 24 24 10 13 15 16 10 13 15 16 18 21 22 25 18 21 22 25 10 Abbay_at_SudanBorder_Stn 26 28 29 30 26 28 29 30 32 35 36 38 32 35 36 38 39 41 42 45 39 41 42 45
  • 20. Outlook ‱ Finalize SWAT Calibration and SWAT-WEAP interactions for baseline scenarios ‱ Develop scenarios of RMS practices and large-scale developements ‱ Implement RMS Scenarios in SWAT and large-scale development scenarios in WEAP ‱ Evaluate RMS impacts using WEAP and SWAT outputs