1) Satellite data shows that around 10% of Ethiopia's land area burns annually, with the highest fire activity occurring between December and May.
2) The four ecoregions that experience the most fires - accounting for 93% of burned areas from 2001-2018 - are East Sudanian savannas, Somali Acacia-Commiphora bushland and thickets, Mountain grasslands and woodlands, and Mountain forests.
3) Precipitation and drought appear to be key drivers of fire activity in Ethiopia, and understanding these climate linkages could help with early warning and prevention efforts, particularly as climate change may alter future fire risks.
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FIRE IN THE TROPICS: Understanding, foreseeing and acting on future fire risk in tropical landscapes
1. Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta (R.Roman-Cuesta@cgiar.org)
Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta, Habte Kassa, Gil Lizano, Christopher Martius
Addis Ababa, 28th August 2019
FIRE IN THE TROPICS: Understanding, foreseeing
and acting on future fire risk in tropical
landscapes
FIRE IN THE TROPICS: Understanding, foreseeing
and acting on future fire risk in tropical
landscapes
15. Ethiopia country area is 110 Mha
10% of the country burns annually
Fires in Ethiopia
Year Burned area (ha)
2001 11,386,627
2002 11,986,433
2003 8,540,651
2004 8,549,529
2005 8,930,175
2006 8,083,993
2007 7,954,193
2008 7,692,756
2009 8,200,491
2010 7,130,370
2011 6,426,712
2012 6,118,079
2013 6,680,726
2014 7,997,244
2015 7,468,021
2016 7,334,511
2017 7,972,339
2018 6,989,404
Figure 1. Landsat time‐series (2001‐2018) of Ethiopia’s
burned areas, derived by analysing LANDSAT imagery in
Google Earth Engine https://earthengine.google.com/ .
V
There is far MORE fire than reported
1984 High Forests 209,913 ha
2000 150,000 ha
Source: Vegetation Types and Forest Fire Management in
Ethiopia. Paper Presented at the “Round Table Conference
on Forest Fire in Ethiopia” 19‐20 September 2000
Demel Teketay, PhD
Fires in Ethiopia (2001‐2018)‐ Landsat
26. Next steps
•Identifying fire drivers: climate vs human
•Investigating fire management options and mainstreaming into
REDD+ and FLR programs
•Extrapolating current fire risks to future climate conditions