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Equitable REDD+ benefit sharing?
Lessons from Brazil and Peru
Sven Wunder, CIFOR
Costs and benefits of REDD+
national policies & measures (PAMs)
=> How does PAM design affect REDD+ cost-
effectiveness and welfare/ equity goals?
1. REDD+ is not a high-rent ‘free lunch’:
large compliance costs may reduce net $
2. (Net) benefit sharing is just as much about
cost sharing
3. Likely design tradeoffs, but also synergies
between PAM effectiveness and equity
Country cases
Preconditions
BRAZILIAN AMAZON
• High historical deforestation
• Highly concentrated land
ownership
• Commercial agriculture and
cattle operations at the
agricultural frontiers
• Well developed forest
monitoring
• Law enforcement strong
• Large-scale PES planned
PERUVIAN AMAZON
• Historically low deforestation
• More homogeneous
distribution of land
• Predominantly subsistence
cattle production and small but
growing commercial sector
• Weak forest monitoring
• Law enforcement lagging
• National PES piloted
Data & modeling
• District-based opportunity cost
analysis
• Grid-based spatial simulation of:
– Avoided deforestation
– Land user incomes
– Command-and-control
implementation costs
Threatened
forests
Returns to
deforestation
Community
boundaries
Population
Policy course: Brazil
• Brazil has “pre-REDD” effectively reduced
deforestation to ~80% of pre-2004 levels;
recent uptick, “ruralist” reaction
• Mainly by command-and-control (C&C)
policies (=“sticks”) -- budget-wise cheap, yet
costly to land users (Börner et al., 2014)
• Effective C&C may now require
complementary incentives to remain
politically viable (Nepstad et al., 2014)
Welfare effects of policy mixes: Brazil
PES design tradeoffsCost-
effectiveness
Equality
• Targeting small vs. large landowners
• Targeting high-threat areas
• Vary payments with opportunity costs
PES design tradeoffs: Peru’s PNCB
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000
0.00.20.40.60.81.0
Cost-effectiveness: Peruvian Soles per hectare of conserved forest
Inequality:ginicoefficientofHHincomechange
current PNCB scheme
av. p/ha opp. cost payment
compensation up to av. opp.cost
av. department p/ha opp. cost payment
av. province p/ha opp. cost payment
1 min. salary per year + pure compensation
1 min. salary per year + average opp. cost payment
UNEQUAL & INEFFICIENT
EQUAL & EFFICIENT
Political economy of adopting
large-scale PES programmes
• Cases: Peru, Ecuador, Acre (fed state Brazil)
• Mostly top-down adoption (Peru, Ecuador)
• Welfare motives vital in political decisions
• Environment less influential for design
 Benefit sharing key motive – maybe more than is
healthy from a REDD+ effectiveness perspective!
(Rosa et al., 2015)
Key findings
• Mixing (cost-effective) sticks with (equitable)
carrots makes REDD+ fairer in compensating
costs, but also overall more expensive
• Designing PES well requires knowing the spatial
patterns of deforestation and opportunity costs
• Simple and feasible adjustments to Peru’s PNCB
can boost cost-effectiveness and equity effects
• ‘Benefit sharing’ is already key driver for
national PES programmes – arguably more so
than the environment!

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Equitable REDD+ benefit sharing? Lessons from Brazil and Peru

  • 1. Equitable REDD+ benefit sharing? Lessons from Brazil and Peru Sven Wunder, CIFOR
  • 2. Costs and benefits of REDD+ national policies & measures (PAMs) => How does PAM design affect REDD+ cost- effectiveness and welfare/ equity goals? 1. REDD+ is not a high-rent ‘free lunch’: large compliance costs may reduce net $ 2. (Net) benefit sharing is just as much about cost sharing 3. Likely design tradeoffs, but also synergies between PAM effectiveness and equity
  • 4. Preconditions BRAZILIAN AMAZON • High historical deforestation • Highly concentrated land ownership • Commercial agriculture and cattle operations at the agricultural frontiers • Well developed forest monitoring • Law enforcement strong • Large-scale PES planned PERUVIAN AMAZON • Historically low deforestation • More homogeneous distribution of land • Predominantly subsistence cattle production and small but growing commercial sector • Weak forest monitoring • Law enforcement lagging • National PES piloted
  • 5. Data & modeling • District-based opportunity cost analysis • Grid-based spatial simulation of: – Avoided deforestation – Land user incomes – Command-and-control implementation costs Threatened forests Returns to deforestation Community boundaries Population
  • 6. Policy course: Brazil • Brazil has “pre-REDD” effectively reduced deforestation to ~80% of pre-2004 levels; recent uptick, “ruralist” reaction • Mainly by command-and-control (C&C) policies (=“sticks”) -- budget-wise cheap, yet costly to land users (Börner et al., 2014) • Effective C&C may now require complementary incentives to remain politically viable (Nepstad et al., 2014)
  • 7. Welfare effects of policy mixes: Brazil
  • 8. PES design tradeoffsCost- effectiveness Equality • Targeting small vs. large landowners • Targeting high-threat areas • Vary payments with opportunity costs
  • 9. PES design tradeoffs: Peru’s PNCB 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 0.00.20.40.60.81.0 Cost-effectiveness: Peruvian Soles per hectare of conserved forest Inequality:ginicoefficientofHHincomechange current PNCB scheme av. p/ha opp. cost payment compensation up to av. opp.cost av. department p/ha opp. cost payment av. province p/ha opp. cost payment 1 min. salary per year + pure compensation 1 min. salary per year + average opp. cost payment UNEQUAL & INEFFICIENT EQUAL & EFFICIENT
  • 10. Political economy of adopting large-scale PES programmes • Cases: Peru, Ecuador, Acre (fed state Brazil) • Mostly top-down adoption (Peru, Ecuador) • Welfare motives vital in political decisions • Environment less influential for design  Benefit sharing key motive – maybe more than is healthy from a REDD+ effectiveness perspective! (Rosa et al., 2015)
  • 11. Key findings • Mixing (cost-effective) sticks with (equitable) carrots makes REDD+ fairer in compensating costs, but also overall more expensive • Designing PES well requires knowing the spatial patterns of deforestation and opportunity costs • Simple and feasible adjustments to Peru’s PNCB can boost cost-effectiveness and equity effects • ‘Benefit sharing’ is already key driver for national PES programmes – arguably more so than the environment!