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Consequences of forest loss for smallholders and
their response in Southern Ethiopia
The New agrarian Change Project
Jean-Yves Duriaux, Frédéric Baudron, Sarah Gergel, Kevin
Yang, Ian eddy, Terry Sunderland
Local livelihoods HouseholdLandscape
Outcome of LUC
Response to LUC
1970 20141980 1990 2000
Drought
Food security
Forest cover
Farm size
Government H.Selassie Current government (EPRDF)
Events Land to the
tillers
Fertilizer
Varieties
Agr. tech.
assistance
War
Famine
Derg
2010
Infrastructures improve
Population
Livestock N°
Agricultural expansion improved livelihoods but decreased ES
Rural household actively respond to LUC outcomes
Intermediate
NearDistant
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
50 100 250
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
50 100 250
Proportionofareabylanduse(%)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
50 100 250
Distance from the homestead (m)
Near Intermediate Distant
Homestead establishment promotes trees and grass
-5%
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
1972-1986 1986-1999 1999-2013
Annualnetforestchange
(%oftotalarea)
Near
Intermediate
Distant
Recovering ecosystem services drives reforestation
Near Intermediate Distant
Proportionofeucalyputs
fromtreebasalaream2ha-1
Compromises between tree cover and biodiversity value
Let´s take a closer look into
the current situation
Near Intermediate Distant
Forest promotes equality
31%
39%
31%
Near
36%
41%
23%
Intermediate
49%
28%
22%
Distant
Resource
poor
Crop
oriented
Livestock
oriented
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Diverse Intermediate Simplified
Households<0.5ha
Resource
poor
Livestock
oriented
Comments?
Questions?

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