Introduction to my futuring talk. This sketches out major methods: extrapolation, prediction markets, scenarios, environmental scanning.
After this, I went over to Prezi to demo some scenarios: http://prezi.com/whxzhabagrec/four-futures-for-liberal-education-aacu-2012/
7. iPhone Apps Store downloads
1. April 2009 1.0 billion
2. July 2009 1.5 billion
3. Sept 2009 2.0 billion
4. Dec 2009 …?
-works with data sources
-can lead to more data-gathering, metrics
13. Assemble
experts
Probe for
opinions
Rank and
distill ideas
Reiterate
14. “[A] comprehensive review and analysis of
research, articles, papers, blogs, and
interviews
[We] discussed existing applications and
brainstormed new ones.
A key criterion was the potential relevance
of the topics to
teaching, learning, research, and creative
expression.
Iteration, ranking, reiteration, reranking”
20. Is there a higher Scholarly
education bubble? publication
Digital humanities and/versus open
on the rise access
Adjunctification Higher education
continues budgets
Alternative online Computer
learning hardware ecology
Textbooks going Has the World
ebook+ Wide Web hit its
limit?
January 2012 scan sample
21.
22. Social media
Mobile devices
Digital content, born and made
Ferment of forms
› Gaming
› User-generated, remixed content
28. NITLE
http://nitle.org
Techne
http://blogs.nitle.org/
NITLE prediction markets game
http://markets.nitle.org/
Bryan on Twitter
http://twitter.com/BryanAlexander
Hinweis der Redaktion
The National Institute for Technology in Liberal Education (NITLE) works with a diverse community of liberal arts colleges and universities. This national network is focused on developing a deep understanding of the undergraduate student experience, the impact of the broader technological environment on teaching and learning, and the future of liberal education.