My quartet of scenarios for the BETT 2015 conference.

1. 4 Realities:
What does
future
Access to
Education
Look Like?

5. Monthly
environmental
scan report
Trends
identified,
tested,
projected

8. Stories about futures
 Event and response
 Creativity
 Roles and times
 Emergent practices and
patterns

9. Integrate previous methods
Select drivers – environmental
scan
Identify trends – Delphi reports
Test trends - extrapolation
Test propositions – prediction
markets

10. 1. Fall of the silos
2. Health care nation
3. Peak higher education
4. Renaissance

12. Content
Teaching
Access
Source

13. Global conversations
increase, filter bubble pops
More access, more
information
Lots of creativity

14. Information prices drop
Faculty creativity, flexibility
grow
IT “ “ “
Academic content
unleashed on the world

15. Industries collapse
Authorship mysterious
Some low quality tech
(videoconf.)
Some higher costs
More malware + less privacy

16. Tech challenges
Outsourcing and offshoring
PLE beats VLE
Crowdsourcing faculty work
Information literacy central

17. Internet has always been
open
Web <> money
Online identity has always
been fictional, playful

18. Medical
sector grows
into leading
US industry
45% of GDP

19. Ageing population

20. Byzantine finances
Treatment improvements
Greater presence in
society
Baumol’s disease

21. More programs, more
people, more tech
Increased feminization of
student body
Space sharing w/clinics +
hospitals

22. Some took premed-themed
classes in high school
Medical heroes loom as large as
sports figures
Many already familiar with
eldercare practices

23. Academia
experiences a
serious
correction

24. http://research.studentclearinghouse.org/files/TermEnrollmentReport-Spring2013.pdf

25. Demographic decline
Accelerated prices + sunk
costs
Low public funding
Alternatives rising

26. Fewer, less crowded
campuses
Very international student
body
Low-cost programs ($10K
BA)

27. Vocational tech classes are
widespread in K-12
Apprenticeships are accepted in
career paths
Colleges have always been
transnational

33. Gaming
world

34. Classroom and courses
 Curriculum content
 Delivery mechanism
 Creating games
Peacemaker,
Impact Games
Revolution (via
Jason Mittell)

35. •Joost Raessens and Jeffrey Goldstein, eds,
Handbook of Computer Game Studies (MIT, 2005)
•Frans Mayra, An Introduction to Game Studies
(Sage, 2008)
•Pat Harrigan and Noah Wardrip-Fruin, eds. Third
Person: Authoring and Exploring Vast Narratives
(MIT, 2009)

37. Changes in hardware,
software
Part of undergraduate life
Learning content, both
informal and formal
Career paths

38. Higher education landscape:
Accreditation: drives project-based,
studio-style pedagogy
Libraries: gaming production,
archiving
Professional development: distance,
DiY
Faculty multimedia production is the
norm

39. Most students identified with
one+ game characters in K-12
Leading game developers are as
well known as movie directors
Most of their work and school
is gamified

41. 1. Fall of the silos
2. Health care nation
3. Peak higher education
4. Renaissance

42. The blog
http://bryanalexander.org
On the Twitters
http://twitter.com/BryanAlexander
The email
bryan.alexander@gmail.com