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A quick look at
the economy
Overview of the economy
 Economic growth – improving, but should be better
 Employment growing, but should be faster
 Inflation remains moderate
 Washington less of an obstacle, but will wrangling
break out again and hinder basic business?
 Federal Reserve has started to taper, when do
interest rates rise?
 SF housing continues to recover from a low level
 MF housing largely recovered, but still room to grow
 Lenders slowly loosening lending standards
Risks to the
economy
Risks to the economy
 Spike in interest rates due to Fed unwinding its
Quantitative Easing program too fast
 Sharp cuts to federal government spending in the
near term
 European government debt default
 The euro
 Energy (oil) prices
 Russia?

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Quick look at the US economy and risks in 2022

  • 1.
  • 2. A quick look at the economy
  • 3. Overview of the economy  Economic growth – improving, but should be better  Employment growing, but should be faster  Inflation remains moderate  Washington less of an obstacle, but will wrangling break out again and hinder basic business?  Federal Reserve has started to taper, when do interest rates rise?  SF housing continues to recover from a low level  MF housing largely recovered, but still room to grow  Lenders slowly loosening lending standards
  • 5. Risks to the economy  Spike in interest rates due to Fed unwinding its Quantitative Easing program too fast  Sharp cuts to federal government spending in the near term  European government debt default  The euro  Energy (oil) prices  Russia?