2. Disclaimer
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements based on current
assumptions and forecasts made by Bayer Group or subgroup management.
Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to
material differences between the actual future results, financial situation,
development or performance of the company and the estimates given here.
These factors include those discussed in Bayer’s public reports which are
available on the Bayer website at www.bayer.com.
The company assumes no liability whatsoever to update these forward-looking
statements or to conform them to future events or developments.
Page 2 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
3. 2012 Has Been a Very Successful
Year For Bayer
Operationally, a record year driven by strong execution and currency tailwind
All subgroups contributed to top and bottom line improvement
5% organic sales growth to ~€40bn, driven by LifeSciences
Special charges of €1.7bn, mainly further provisions for litigation resulted in reported
EBITDA / net income on prior-year level
Adj. EBITDA up 9% at €8.3bn, core EPS up 11%, group targets achieved, proposed
DPS of €1.90 up 15% (payout ratio 35.5%)
Excellent innovation pipeline progress strengthens LifeScience businesses
Encouraging growth (+7%) in the emerging markets (37% of group sales, up by ~80
basis points)
Q4 – strong finish to a very successful year
Outlook 2013 projects continuing record performance in anniversary year
Page 3 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
4. 4th Quarter 2012 –
Strong Finish to a Very Successful Year
Sales EBIT EBITDA Core EPS
in € million adjusted*
% currency & portfolio adj. in € million in € million in €
9,862
9,191 1,825
1,541
0.97 1.00
735
629
Q4’11 Q4’12 Q4’11 Q4’12 Q4’11 Q3’12 Q4’11 Q4’12
+6% +17% +18% +3%
*before special items
Page 4 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
6. 4th Quarter 2012 –
Performance Driven by Emerging Markets
In € million, ∆% yoy Fx adjusted
Q4’12 Group Sales by Region Emerging Economies
+14%
Emerging +7%
USA ~1,560
Economies¹
+5% ~1,420
+9%
20%
40%
+12%
30%
Western ~520 -1%
10% Others²
Europe
+2% ~460
+1%
Group €9,862m; +5%
Emerging Latin Eastern Africa &
Asia³ America Europe Middle East
¹ Emerging economies include: Latin America, Asia w/o Japan, Australia,
New Zealand, Africa and Middle East incl. Turkey, Eastern Europe
Page 6 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers ² Others = Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada
³ Emerging Asia = Asia w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand
7. Full Year 2012 –
All Targets Achieved
Sales ∆ Fx & portf. adjusted, EBITDA before special items
2012
Outlook 2012 ∆ vs.
Comments
actual 2011
original
+~3% or Raised to 4-5% or
Sales €37bn
€39.8bn +5%
€39-40bn in Q2
adj. slightly Raised to a high-single-
€8.3bn +9%
EBITDA improve digit % increase in Q2
Core slightly
€5.35 +11% Raised to ~10% in Q2
EPS improve
Page 7 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
9. HealthCare –
Building Growth Momentum, Improving Margins
Sales ∆ Fx & portf. adjusted, margin = EBITDA before special items to sales
Target Aspiration
Priority 2012
2013* 2015
mid-single-digit CAGR ~6%
HealthCare: Accelerate sales growth €18.6bn
% to ~€19bn towards €22bn
Pharma: Successfully commercialize new CAGR ~7%
€10.8bn mid-single-digit
products and realize emerging markets % to ~€11bn towards €13bn
(EM) opportunity
New product sales¹ €368m ~€1bn >€2.5bn
EM growth 7.5% high-single high-single
digit % digit %
Consumer Health: Aspire to become #1 mid-single-digit
€7.8bn ~€9bn
OTC company % to ~€8bn
HealthCare: Improve margins 27.2% slightly up towards 29%
Pharma 29.6% slightly up ≥31%
Consumer Health 23.9% at level ~25%
¹ Xarelto, Eylea, Stivarga, Radium-223-Dichloride and Riociguat; subject to regulatory approval
Page 9 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers *Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per €
Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report
10. Pharma – New Products Drive Growth and
Rejuvenate Portfolio
Sales from new Pharma pipeline in € m
>2,500 Successful launch, 2012 sales above target –
important countries with outstanding uptake,
disappointing so far in Japan
Xarelto 322
Eylea 14 Encouraging early feedback on first launches
Stivarga 32
Positive early indications on commercial launch
~1,000 in the US, approved for GIST in the US, CHMP
opinion expected 1H 2013
Radium-223- Dichloride
368 Submitted for treating bone metastases in
patients with CRPC (Dec. 2012)
86
2011 2012 2013e 2015e Submitted for PAH and CTEPH (Feb. 2013)
Page 10 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
11. Pharma Aspiration – Targeting High-Single
Digit Emerging Market Growth
In € million, ∆% yoy Fx adjusted
2012 Pharma Sales by Region Highlights Emerging Economies
Portfolio of established brands and
Developed Emerging innovative medicines further expanding
Markets Economies¹
+2% +7.5% Sales CAGR of 11% in EM for the last 5
years
64% 36%
Women’s Health business growing 8%
PR China sales above €1bn, up 23%
Total €10,803m; +4%
¹ Emerging economies include: Latin America, Asia w/o Japan, Australia,
Page 11 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers New Zealand, Africa and Middle East incl. Turkey, Eastern Europe
² Others = Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada
12. Consumer Health –
Aspire to Become #1 OTC Company
Sales Consumer Care in € million; ∆% Fx & portfolio adj.
Product Highlights 2012
+6%
* €494m (+1%)
3,853
3,534
3,371
3,080 €323 (+5%)
3,020
2,634
€269 (+14%)
€250 (+8%)
€196 (+4%)
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
* Only Aspirin CC
Page 12 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
13. CropScience – Above Market Growth at
Benchmark Profitability
Sales ∆ Fx & portf. adjusted, margin = EBITDA before special items to sales
Target Aspiration
Priority 2012
2013* 2015
high-single CAGR ~6%
+12.4%
Above-market sales growth digit % towards
to €8.4bn
towards €9bn €10bn
Translate R&D effectively into new
€1.1bn ~€1.4bn ~€1.9bn
product sales (CP products launched since 2006)
double-digit % double-digit %
Extend seeds footprint +14%
growth growth p.a.
slight
Maintain industry leading profitability level 24.0% ~24%
improvement
CP: Crop Protection
Page 13 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers *Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per €
Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report
14. CropScience – Translate R&D Effectively
into New Product Sales
Sales from new Crop Protection
products launched since 2006 in € bn
~1.9 2012 Highlights
∆% y-o-y, () Fx adj.
Xpro (+61%) - New cereal fungicide with
yield-boosting effect
~1.4 Adengo family (+85%) - Excellent weed
control in corn and cereal crops, also in
1.1 case of glyphosate resistance
+60%
Belt (+54%) – Broad-spectrum
0.7 insecticide with fast and long-lasting
action
Launch of Luna fungicide in the US
0.3
First launch of new SeedGrowth family
0.02 EverGol/Emesto in Canada
2007 2009 2011 2012 2013e 2015e
Page 14 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
15. Seeds – Double-Digit Growth in All Our
Broad-Acre Crops in 2012
Sales in € million; ∆% y-o-y, () Fx & portfolio adj.
2012 Highlights
Double-digit % High demand for InVigor in Canada;
CAGR expected launch of conventional oilseed rape
+14%
in Europe
+14% Expansion of cotton seed business
+14%
962 driven by US and Brazil
Other
820 Soybean (+83%) Growing rice seed business in Asia
47 Rice (+23%)
(esp. India)
40 199 Cotton (+10%)
179 About 70 new vegetable seed varieties
launched
311 Oilseeds (+33%) Successful launch of Bayer soybean
227
seed in the US
Build-up of global wheat seed business
299 304 Vegetables (-2%)
continued with new research
cooperations
2011 2012 2015e
Page 15 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
16. MaterialScience – Higher Asset Utilization &
Efficiency Measures Are Driving Performance
Sales ∆ Fx & portf. adjusted, margin = EBITDA before special items to sales
Grow business (volume)
above global GDP
Defend market leading
positions in PCS and PUR
Sales to slightly increase Realize 150 bp margin
to ~€12bn contribution through new
Sales +3.0% to €11.5bn Adj. EBITDA to further efficiency initiative
(volumes +2%) Optimize asset structure
improve
Adj. EBITDA +7% to Q1‘2013 vs Q4‘2012: in Germany
€1,251m Sales to further increase CFROI# > WACC
CFROI# 5.6% < WACC and adj. EBITDA at same
7.1% level
2012 Target 2013 Aspiration 2015
*Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per €
Page 16 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers #after reproduction
Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report
17. Group
Outlook
Page 17 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
19. Full Year 2013 Outlook Projects Further
Growth And Higher Earnings
Sales ∆ Fx and portfolio adjusted, EBITDA before special items
2012 ∆ vs. 2011 2013E
+4-5% to
Sales €39.8bn +5%
~€41bn*
mid-single-digit %
adj. EBITDA €8.3bn +9%
increase
high-single-digit %
Core EPS €5.35 +11%
increase
*Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per €
Page 19 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report
26. FY’2012 –
Cash Flow and Net Debt Development
Cash Flow in € million, Net Debt in € billion
2012 Cash Flow Net Debt Development
GCF NCF Invest- oFCF 7.0 +€15m 7.0
cont. ments
4,599 4,532 1,929 2,603
∆%
y-o-y -11 -10 +19 -24
FY´11 FY´12
Net debt constant, despite €1bn pension funding in Q4’2012
Page 26 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
27. FY’2012 –
Regional Performance
In € million, ∆% yoy Fx adjusted
2012 Group Sales by Region Emerging Economies
+5%
USA Emerging
+9% Economies¹
~5,700
+7% +12%
21%
~4,900
37%
+10%
~2,400 0%
31% ~1,800
11%
Western Europe Others²
0% +4%
Emerging Latin Eastern Africa &
Group €39,760m; +5% Asia³ America Europe Middle East
¹ Emerging economies include: Latin America, Asia w/o Japan, Australia,
New Zealand, Africa and Middle East incl. Turkey, Eastern Europe
Page 27 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers ² Others = Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada
³ Emerging Asia = Asia w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand
31. MaterialScience –
Planning Assumptions 2013
Global Economic GDP Outlook Key Customer Industries Outlook
GDP growth % prev. year Sales by industry 2012 and expected 2013 growth
Others Automotive
5 5.1 (incl. (+2%)
Chemicals)
28% 20%
4
3
2 2.5
16%
1.7
1 Electro /
17%
0.1 0.4 Furniture 19% Electronic
(+5%)
(+5%)
Construction
(+4%)
*Assuming Fx rate of $1.29 per €
Page 31 • FY/Q4 2012 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report