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Job crisis
1.
Deficit Crisis or
Job Crisis?
2.
3.
4.
5.
Focus on the
Deficit
6.
7.
Debt milestones –
born into debt USA born (Jan 1, 1791) $75,463,476 Lowest ever (Jan 1, 1835) $33,733 Pre-Reagan (Oct 30, 1980) $907,701,000,000 FY 2011 (currently) $15,476,000,000,000
8.
Pre-Reagan $1.0T Reagan
$1.9T Bush II $6.1T Obama $2.4T Who holds the debt When the debt was accumulated
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
Pre-Reagan $1.0T Reagan
$1.9T Bush II $6.1T Net debt = $8.1T Obama $2.4T
14.
2Q 2011= 95%
2Q 2011 = 57% % of GDP
15.
16.
17.
18.
On taxes ….briefly
19.
20.
21.
22.
Actual corporate
taxes paid as % of GDP by OECD countries
23.
24.
Is there a
deficit crisis?
25.
The jobs crisis
26.
27.
WSJ: Untangling the
Long-Term-Unemployment Crisis
28.
29.
What are the
costs of unemployment?
30.
Okun’s Law:
1% ↑ in UR 2% ↓ in GDP
31.
32.
33.
Why are there
jobs? Key concept is “aggregate demand” [AD] Think of “AD” as “GDP ” This means jobs
34.
Why recessions?
Because “leakages” occur in the spending stream If not, workers are laid off
35.
The market solution
36.
What if markets
don’t adjust? Savings
37.
Why recessions?
Because “leakages” occur in the spending stream Tx Government spending (G)
38.
39.
40.
Central paradox Why
has the deficit debate taken precedence in the midst of massive, destructive unemployment?
41.
42.
43.
44.
What’s to be
done? The desperate need for deeper changes
Hinweis der Redaktion
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/10/business/economy/in-the-real-world-will-the-jobs-plan-make-a-difference.html?scp=3&sq=september%2010,%202011&st=cse
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/07/28/us/politics/28default.html?scp=1&sq=As 11th hour nears&st=cs
http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/federal_debt_chart.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/07/28/us/politics/28default.html?scp=1&sq=As 11th hour nears&st=cs
http://nationalpriorities.org/en/resources/federal-budget-101/budget-briefs/federal-deficit-surplus-and-national-debt/
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/119xx/doc11999/12-14-FederalDebt_Summary.pdf
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/119xx/doc11999/12-14-FederalDebt_Summary.pdf
http://www.cbpp.org/files/2-23-10tax.pdf
http://www.ctj.org/pdf/taxday2011.pdf
http://www.ctj.org/pdf/taxday2011.pdf
http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/05/31/are-taxes-in-the-u-s-high-or-low/ By Bruce Barlett, source is OECD
www.oecd.org/document/60/0,3746,en_2649_34533_1942460_1_1_1_1,00.html#A_RevenueStatistics
http://www.cbpp.org/research/index.cfm?fa=topic&id=29
http://www.stateofworkingamerica.org/charts/view/4
http://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/NA-BN793A_CAPIT_G_20111019171203.jpg
http://www.stateofworkingamerica.org/files/images/orig/jobs_unemployment_total%20all%20years%20swa%20live_2.png
Add: Frictional (people voluntarily between jobs and looking for work); discouraged (a good category to add)
Save this for the end.
Save this for the end.
Notes: cut backs in education, technology, infrastructure, health care, attacks on SSI, weak support for unions
Specific names in The Nation article, p.1
Link to
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