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Analysis of Variance
Chapter Goals ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Chapter Overview Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) F-test F-test Tukey- Kramer  test Fisher’s Least  Significant Difference test One-Way  ANOVA Randomized  Complete  Block ANOVA Two-factor  ANOVA  with replication
General ANOVA Setting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
One-Way Analysis of Variance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Completely Randomized Design ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hypotheses of One-Way ANOVA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
One-Factor ANOVA  All Means are the same: The Null Hypothesis is True  (No Treatment Effect)
One-Factor ANOVA  At least one mean is different: The Null Hypothesis is NOT true  (Treatment Effect is present) or (continued)
Partitioning the Variation ,[object Object],SST = Total Sum of Squares SSB = Sum of Squares Between SSW = Sum of Squares Within SST = SSB + SSW
Partitioning the Variation Total Variation  = the aggregate dispersion of the individual data values across the various factor levels (SST) Within-Sample Variation  = dispersion that exists among the data values within a particular factor level (SSW) Between-Sample Variation  = dispersion among the factor sample means (SSB) SST = SSB + SSW (continued)
Partition of Total Variation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Variation Due to Factor (SSB) Variation Due to Random Sampling (SSW) Total Variation (SST) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],= +
Total Sum of Squares Where: SST = Total sum of squares k = number of populations (levels or treatments) n i  = sample size from population i x ij  = j th  measurement from population i x = grand mean (mean of all data values) SST = SSB + SSW
Total Variation (continued)
Sum of Squares Between Where: SSB = Sum of squares between k = number of populations n i  = sample size from population i x i  = sample mean from population i x = grand mean (mean of all data values) SST = SSB + SSW
Between-Group Variation Variation Due to  Differences Among Groups Mean Square Between = SSB/degrees of freedom
Between-Group Variation (continued)
Sum of Squares Within Where: SSW = Sum of squares within k = number of populations n i  = sample size from population i x i  = sample mean from population i x ij  = j th  measurement from population i SST = SSB + SSW
Within-Group Variation Summing the variation within each group and then adding over all groups Mean Square Within = SSW/degrees of freedom
Within-Group Variation (continued)
One-Way ANOVA Table Source of Variation df SS MS Between Samples SSB MSB = Within Samples N - k SSW MSW = Total N - 1 SST = SSB+SSW k - 1 MSB MSW F ratio k = number of populations N = sum of the sample sizes from all populations df = degrees of freedom SSB k - 1 SSW N - k F =
One-Factor ANOVA F Test Statistic ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],H 0 : μ 1 = μ 2  = …   = μ  k H A : At least two population means are different
Interpreting One-Factor ANOVA  F Statistic ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
One-Factor ANOVA  F Test Example ,[object Object],Club 1   Club 2   Club 3 254   234   200 263   218   222 241   235   197 237   227   206 251   216   204
One-Factor ANOVA Example: Scatter Diagram • • • • • 270 260 250 240 230 220 210 200 190 • • • • • • • • • • Distance Club 1   Club 2   Club 3 254   234   200 263   218   222 241   235   197 237   227   206 251   216   204 Club 1  2  3
One-Factor ANOVA Example Computations Club 1   Club 2   Club 3 254   234   200 263   218   222 241   235   197 237   227   206 251   216   204 x 1  = 249.2 x 2  = 226.0 x 3  = 205.8 x = 227.0 n 1  = 5 n 2  = 5 n 3  = 5 N = 15 k = 3 SSB =  5 [ (249.2 – 227) 2  + (226 – 227) 2  + (205.8 – 227) 2  ] = 4716.4 SSW =  (254 – 249.2) 2  + (263 – 249.2) 2  +…+ (204 – 205.8) 2  = 1119.6 MSB = 4716.4 / (3-1) = 2358.2 MSW = 1119.6 / (15-3) = 93.3
One-Factor ANOVA Example Solution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],F   = 25.275 Test Statistic:  Decision: Conclusion: Reject H 0  at    = 0.05 There is evidence that at least one  μ i   differs from the rest 0      = .05 F .05  = 3.885 Reject H 0 Do not  reject H 0 Critical Value:  F    = 3.885
ANOVA -- Single Factor: Excel Output EXCEL:  tools | data analysis | ANOVA: single factor SUMMARY Groups Count Sum Average Variance Club 1 5 1246 249.2 108.2 Club 2 5 1130 226 77.5 Club 3 5 1029 205.8 94.2 ANOVA Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F crit Between Groups 4716.4 2 2358.2 25.275 4.99E-05 3.885 Within  Groups 1119.6 12 93.3 Total 5836.0 14        
The Tukey-Kramer Procedure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],x μ 1 =  μ 2 μ 3
Tukey-Kramer Critical Range where: q    = Value from standardized range table  with k and N - k degrees of freedom for  the desired level of   MSW = Mean Square Within n i  and n j  = Sample sizes from populations (levels) i and j
The Tukey-Kramer Procedure: Example ,[object Object],Club 1   Club 2   Club 3 254   234   200 263   218   222 241   235   197 237   227   206 251   216   204 2. Find the q value from the table in appendix J with k and N - k degrees of freedom for  the desired level of  
The Tukey-Kramer Procedure: Example 5. All of the absolute mean differences are greater than critical range. Therefore there is a significant difference between each pair of means at 5% level of significance.   3. Compute Critical Range: 4. Compare:
Tukey-Kramer in PHStat
Randomized Complete Block ANOVA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Partitioning the Variation ,[object Object],SST = Total sum of squares SSB = Sum of squares between factor levels SSBL = Sum of squares between blocks SSW = Sum of squares within levels SST = SSB + SSBL + SSW
Sum of Squares for Blocking Where: k = number of levels for this factor b = number of blocks x j  = sample mean from the j th  block  x = grand mean (mean of all data values) SST = SSB + SSBL + SSW
Partitioning the Variation ,[object Object],SST and SSB are computed as they were in One-Way ANOVA SST = SSB + SSBL + SSW SSW = SST – (SSB + SSBL)
Mean Squares
Randomized Block ANOVA Table Source of Variation df SS MS Between Samples SSB MSB  Within Samples (k–1)(b-1) SSW MSW Total N - 1 SST k - 1 MSBL MSW F ratio k = number of populations N = sum of the sample sizes from all populations b = number of blocks df = degrees of freedom Between Blocks SSBL b - 1 MSBL  MSB MSW
Blocking Test ,[object Object],[object Object],MSBL MSW F = Reject H 0   if  F > F 
[object Object],[object Object],Main Factor Test MSB MSW F = Reject H 0   if  F > F 
Fisher’s  Least Significant Difference Test ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],x  =    1 2 3
Fisher’s Least Significant Difference (LSD) Test where: t  /2   = Upper-tailed value from Student’s t-distribution  for   /2 and (k -1)(n - 1) degrees of freedom MSW = Mean square within from ANOVA table   b = number of blocks   k = number of levels of the main factor
Fisher’s Least Significant Difference (LSD) Test (continued) If the absolute mean difference is greater than LSD then there is a significant difference between that pair of means at the chosen level of significance.   Compare:
Two-Way ANOVA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Two-Way ANOVA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],(continued)
Two-Way ANOVA  Sources of Variation Two Factors of interest:  A  and  B a =  number of levels of factor A b =  number of levels of factor B N = total number of observations in all cells
Two-Way ANOVA  Sources of Variation SST Total Variation SS A Variation due to factor A SS B Variation due to factor B SS AB Variation due to interaction  between A and B SSE Inherent variation (Error) Degrees of Freedom: a – 1 b – 1 (a – 1)(b – 1) N – ab N - 1 SST = SS A  + SS B  + SS AB  + SSE (continued)
Two Factor ANOVA Equations Total Sum of Squares: Sum of Squares Factor A: Sum of Squares Factor B:
Two Factor ANOVA Equations Sum of Squares Interaction Between A and B: Sum of Squares Error: (continued)
Two Factor ANOVA Equations where: a =  number of levels of factor A b =  number of levels of factor B n’ = number of replications in each cell (continued)
Mean Square Calculations
Two-Way ANOVA: The F Test Statistic F Test for Factor B Main Effect F Test for Interaction Effect H 0 : μ A1  = μ A2  = μ A3   =   • • • H A : Not all μ Ai  are equal H 0 : factors A and B do not interact to affect the mean response   H A : factors A and B do interact F Test for Factor A Main Effect H 0 : μ B1  = μ B2  = μ B3   =   • • • H A : Not all μ Bi  are equal Reject H 0  if  F > F  Reject H 0  if  F > F  Reject H 0  if  F > F 
Two-Way ANOVA Summary Table Source of Variation Sum of Squares Degrees of Freedom Mean  Squares F Statistic Factor A SS A a – 1 MS A   = SS A  /(a – 1) MS A MSE Factor B SS B b – 1 MS B = SS B  /(b – 1) MS B MSE AB (Interaction) SS AB (a – 1)(b – 1) MS AB = SS AB  / [(a – 1)(b – 1)] MS AB MSE Error SSE N – ab MSE =  SSE/(N – ab) Total SST N – 1
Features of Two-Way ANOVA  F   Test ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Examples: Interaction vs. No Interaction ,[object Object],1 2 Factor B Level 1 Factor B Level 3 Factor B Level 2 Factor A Levels 1 2 Factor B Level 1 Factor B Level 3 Factor B Level 2 Factor A Levels Mean Response Mean Response Interaction is present:

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Analysis of variance ppt @ bec doms

  • 2.
  • 3. Chapter Overview Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) F-test F-test Tukey- Kramer test Fisher’s Least Significant Difference test One-Way ANOVA Randomized Complete Block ANOVA Two-factor ANOVA with replication
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. One-Factor ANOVA All Means are the same: The Null Hypothesis is True (No Treatment Effect)
  • 9. One-Factor ANOVA At least one mean is different: The Null Hypothesis is NOT true (Treatment Effect is present) or (continued)
  • 10.
  • 11. Partitioning the Variation Total Variation = the aggregate dispersion of the individual data values across the various factor levels (SST) Within-Sample Variation = dispersion that exists among the data values within a particular factor level (SSW) Between-Sample Variation = dispersion among the factor sample means (SSB) SST = SSB + SSW (continued)
  • 12.
  • 13. Total Sum of Squares Where: SST = Total sum of squares k = number of populations (levels or treatments) n i = sample size from population i x ij = j th measurement from population i x = grand mean (mean of all data values) SST = SSB + SSW
  • 15. Sum of Squares Between Where: SSB = Sum of squares between k = number of populations n i = sample size from population i x i = sample mean from population i x = grand mean (mean of all data values) SST = SSB + SSW
  • 16. Between-Group Variation Variation Due to Differences Among Groups Mean Square Between = SSB/degrees of freedom
  • 18. Sum of Squares Within Where: SSW = Sum of squares within k = number of populations n i = sample size from population i x i = sample mean from population i x ij = j th measurement from population i SST = SSB + SSW
  • 19. Within-Group Variation Summing the variation within each group and then adding over all groups Mean Square Within = SSW/degrees of freedom
  • 21. One-Way ANOVA Table Source of Variation df SS MS Between Samples SSB MSB = Within Samples N - k SSW MSW = Total N - 1 SST = SSB+SSW k - 1 MSB MSW F ratio k = number of populations N = sum of the sample sizes from all populations df = degrees of freedom SSB k - 1 SSW N - k F =
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. One-Factor ANOVA Example: Scatter Diagram • • • • • 270 260 250 240 230 220 210 200 190 • • • • • • • • • • Distance Club 1 Club 2 Club 3 254 234 200 263 218 222 241 235 197 237 227 206 251 216 204 Club 1 2 3
  • 26. One-Factor ANOVA Example Computations Club 1 Club 2 Club 3 254 234 200 263 218 222 241 235 197 237 227 206 251 216 204 x 1 = 249.2 x 2 = 226.0 x 3 = 205.8 x = 227.0 n 1 = 5 n 2 = 5 n 3 = 5 N = 15 k = 3 SSB = 5 [ (249.2 – 227) 2 + (226 – 227) 2 + (205.8 – 227) 2 ] = 4716.4 SSW = (254 – 249.2) 2 + (263 – 249.2) 2 +…+ (204 – 205.8) 2 = 1119.6 MSB = 4716.4 / (3-1) = 2358.2 MSW = 1119.6 / (15-3) = 93.3
  • 27.
  • 28. ANOVA -- Single Factor: Excel Output EXCEL: tools | data analysis | ANOVA: single factor SUMMARY Groups Count Sum Average Variance Club 1 5 1246 249.2 108.2 Club 2 5 1130 226 77.5 Club 3 5 1029 205.8 94.2 ANOVA Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F crit Between Groups 4716.4 2 2358.2 25.275 4.99E-05 3.885 Within Groups 1119.6 12 93.3 Total 5836.0 14        
  • 29.
  • 30. Tukey-Kramer Critical Range where: q  = Value from standardized range table with k and N - k degrees of freedom for the desired level of  MSW = Mean Square Within n i and n j = Sample sizes from populations (levels) i and j
  • 31.
  • 32. The Tukey-Kramer Procedure: Example 5. All of the absolute mean differences are greater than critical range. Therefore there is a significant difference between each pair of means at 5% level of significance. 3. Compute Critical Range: 4. Compare:
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. Sum of Squares for Blocking Where: k = number of levels for this factor b = number of blocks x j = sample mean from the j th block x = grand mean (mean of all data values) SST = SSB + SSBL + SSW
  • 37.
  • 39. Randomized Block ANOVA Table Source of Variation df SS MS Between Samples SSB MSB Within Samples (k–1)(b-1) SSW MSW Total N - 1 SST k - 1 MSBL MSW F ratio k = number of populations N = sum of the sample sizes from all populations b = number of blocks df = degrees of freedom Between Blocks SSBL b - 1 MSBL MSB MSW
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43. Fisher’s Least Significant Difference (LSD) Test where: t  /2 = Upper-tailed value from Student’s t-distribution for  /2 and (k -1)(n - 1) degrees of freedom MSW = Mean square within from ANOVA table b = number of blocks k = number of levels of the main factor
  • 44. Fisher’s Least Significant Difference (LSD) Test (continued) If the absolute mean difference is greater than LSD then there is a significant difference between that pair of means at the chosen level of significance. Compare:
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. Two-Way ANOVA Sources of Variation Two Factors of interest: A and B a = number of levels of factor A b = number of levels of factor B N = total number of observations in all cells
  • 48. Two-Way ANOVA Sources of Variation SST Total Variation SS A Variation due to factor A SS B Variation due to factor B SS AB Variation due to interaction between A and B SSE Inherent variation (Error) Degrees of Freedom: a – 1 b – 1 (a – 1)(b – 1) N – ab N - 1 SST = SS A + SS B + SS AB + SSE (continued)
  • 49. Two Factor ANOVA Equations Total Sum of Squares: Sum of Squares Factor A: Sum of Squares Factor B:
  • 50. Two Factor ANOVA Equations Sum of Squares Interaction Between A and B: Sum of Squares Error: (continued)
  • 51. Two Factor ANOVA Equations where: a = number of levels of factor A b = number of levels of factor B n’ = number of replications in each cell (continued)
  • 53. Two-Way ANOVA: The F Test Statistic F Test for Factor B Main Effect F Test for Interaction Effect H 0 : μ A1 = μ A2 = μ A3 = • • • H A : Not all μ Ai are equal H 0 : factors A and B do not interact to affect the mean response H A : factors A and B do interact F Test for Factor A Main Effect H 0 : μ B1 = μ B2 = μ B3 = • • • H A : Not all μ Bi are equal Reject H 0 if F > F  Reject H 0 if F > F  Reject H 0 if F > F 
  • 54. Two-Way ANOVA Summary Table Source of Variation Sum of Squares Degrees of Freedom Mean Squares F Statistic Factor A SS A a – 1 MS A = SS A /(a – 1) MS A MSE Factor B SS B b – 1 MS B = SS B /(b – 1) MS B MSE AB (Interaction) SS AB (a – 1)(b – 1) MS AB = SS AB / [(a – 1)(b – 1)] MS AB MSE Error SSE N – ab MSE = SSE/(N – ab) Total SST N – 1
  • 55.
  • 56.