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Workshop Innovation in Africa - Context, challenges & opportunities for urban transport modernization in Africa by Ramon Munoz
1. CONTEXT,
CHALLENGES & OPPORTUNITIES
FOR URBAN TRANSPORT
MODERNIZATION IN AFRICA
29TH JUNE, 2018 || DAR ES SALAAM, TANZANIA
BRT INNOVATION IN AFRICA WORKSHOP
RAMON MUNOZ-RASKIN
SR. TRANSPORT SPECIALIST
2. Low average density
POOR CITIES IN AFRICA: FEATURELESS PLAINS
Source: Llal, through http://citypopulation.de/
Source: Munoz-Raskin
3. Most people walk or take public
transport
But street are very congested
THE WALKING AND CONGESTION PARADOX
Source: International Association of Public Transport 2010. Source: World Bank Flickr
4. Nairobi and Gauteng are more fragmented and less well-connected than
its siblings in Asia or Latin America
African cities are different: they are more fragmented
Source: Henderson and Nigmatulina 2016.
Source: LSE Cities. https://lsecities.net/media/objects/articles/measuring-density/en-gb/ http://brandondonnelly.com/post/140880939048/residential-population-densities-compared
5. In Nairobi, 70% walk or take the matatu to
work…
Source: Avner and Lall 2016.
…limiting access to opportunities
28% Matatu
% of jobs within 60 minutes
42% Walk
How do people get to their jobs?
11
%
20%
In London, a central resident can reach 54% of all jobs
within 45 minutes using public transit, in Nairobi, the
corresponding share is 20%
6. Increase in motorization threatens
competitiveness and quality of life in cities
Source: Lee Schipper, Universidad de California, Berkeley, 2009
Trends for emerging economies
• Individuals buy vehicles as soon as they can afford them
• Real vehicle value decreases and access to credit increases
income = motorization
7. With the entire investment in the BRT network,
the number of people who will be able to access
the center of the city in 1 h using PT to increase
from 42% to 73%.
Source: World Bank staff simulation through the OTPA tool developed by the World Bank.
Estimated impact of the Dar es Salaam BRT on Accessibility to CBD
Estimated impact of a hypothetical BRT in Kigali on
employment accessibility
Implementation of a BRT in Kigali could
increase accessibility to employment
opportunities by as much as 75% in some
areas.
LEVERAGING TRANSPORT SYSTEMS TO IMPROVE MOBILITY
AND ACCESSIBILITY: THE EVIDENCE
8. Built Form and Urban Planning/Governance
as a foundation for the vision for the city
Source: Munoz-Raskin
SSA cities growing at 4% annually and generate > 50% GDP;
2/3 of urbanization still needs to happen;
180M jobs need to be created within cities by 2030.
11. Mobility for All
• Focus on improving mobility and
accessibility for all, including the
poor
• Multi-modalism AND integration
as a response to demand
patterns. Including demand-
responsive services for low
density environment(e.g.
minibuses/e-hauling)
Source: Munoz-Raskin
Source: unknown
12. Service Planning
• Adaptation of solutions to travel
market and land use. Infrastructure as
a facilitator to the service plan.
• Building the infrastructure is not
enough. Coordination to facilitate
service provision and priority along
the routes
• Anticipate for teething problems
Source: DART
13. Policy Considerations
• Axiomatic assumptions (e.g. BRT = Fare
recovery) have serious policy implications
• Technical tariff vs. fare to the user- service
providers in the business of operating and
public sector to establish policies, planning
and contractual management as applicable
• Adequate risk sharing arrangements
between public and private sector to attract
professional private sector service
providers (local and international)
Source: unknown
Source: Munoz-Raskin
Source: unknown
14. Regulatory & Institutional Considerations
• Institutional set-up with institutional
architecture, funding and teeth to favor
public transport (e.g. metropolitan
authorities)
• Institutional coordination is complex
and requires many stakeholders during
planning, development and operations
• Regulate the market so that public
transport modernization is set for
success (e.g. Who can operate in the
corridors? Enforcement approach?
Who decides?)
Source: Munoz-Raskin
Source: Munoz-Raskin
15. Human Capital
• Early and serious investment: capacity
and capability + project management
• Greater global knowledge base but still
African cities have less experience in
implementing public transport
modernization, coupled with less
resources.
• Insider + Outsider: co-producing
knowledge and empowering the local
Source: Munoz-Raskin
Source: Munoz-Raskin
Presentation first on the context of African cities
Continuation with selected messages based on modern African experience in implementing public transport modernization, and, in particular, BRT
Dialogue relevant African larger cities, but also to the intermediate emerging cities that are rapidly urbanizing and still have the opportunity to avoid becoming congested metropolis.
Low densities, especially in the peripheries
Paradox, most people walk but the cities are more congested that more motorized cities in the world!
NMT critical for urban mobility
Dominant modes for the poor, cities in Africa can still reach 90%.
(LAC and Asia 40-60% of walking+biking modal share. )
Intermediate cities and villages: often default option.
European and American cities working hard to get it back
…but very often neglected in policy or programs
Despite their recognized merits as sustainable modes with benign environmental performance and economically cost-effective
Travel market and urban form structurally affect accessibility and the operational efficiencies for mass transit provision
Cities thinking boldly
Sub-Saharan Africa cities growing at 4% annually and generate more than 50% of GDP;
2/3 of urbanization still needs to happen;
180 million jobs need to be created within cities 2030:
cities are pathways out of poverty and centers of innovation and economic advancement
Human centered
5 topic areas in which I’d like to zoom in and that, in my opinion,
are still not fully consolidated in the context of African cities
but critical for public transport modernization
Mobility for All
C: solution needs to be for all. Too much attention to strategic project-> sucks up the discussion on the rest while city keeps growing
2. Multimodalism AND Integration
C: Not one system fits all the travel market
O: Need to use what we have too (e.g. paratransit)
Adaptation
LAC model for very dense cities inspired original approaches.
Lighter approaches may be more successful depending on the market.
Coordination
True BRT comes with cost effective measures to improve operations such as traffic signal priority but may require other agencies to collaborate
Anticipate for teething problems
Not even the best LAC project were born without teething problems
Time to consolidate, painful and critical decisions
Public transport modernization, and in particular BRT, is and will increasingly more important for Africa as it urbanizes.
Lets make sure that African cities can take stock of all the African and global experience and leapfrog