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Cautionary statements:
This should be read in conjunction with the documents filed by Aviva plc (the “Company” or “Aviva”) with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). This
presentation contains, and we may make other verbal or written “forward-looking statements” with respect to certain of Aviva’s plans and current goals and expectations relating to future
financial condition, performance, results, strategic initiatives and objectives. Statements containing the words “believes”, “intends”, “expects”, “projects”, “plans”, “will,” “seeks”,
“aims”, “may”, “could”, “outlook”, “likely”, “target”, “goal”, “guidance”, “trends”, “future”, “estimates”, “potential” and “anticipates”, and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking.
By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those
indicated in these statements. Aviva believes factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in forward-looking statements in the presentation include, but
are not limited to: the impact of ongoing difficult conditions in the global financial markets and the economy generally; the impact of simplifying our operating structure and activities; the
impact of various local political, regulatory and economic conditions; market developments and government actions regarding the sovereign debt crisis in Europe; the effect of credit
spread volatility on the net unrealised value of the investment portfolio; the effect of losses due to defaults by counterparties, including potential sovereign debt defaults or restructurings,
on the value of our investments; changes in interest rates that may cause policyholders to surrender their contracts, reduce the value of our portfolio and impact our asset and liability
matching; the impact of changes in short or long term inflation; the impact of changes in equity or property prices on our investment portfolio; fluctuations in currency exchange rates;
the effect of market fluctuations on the value of options and guarantees embedded in some of our life insurance products and the value of the assets backing their reserves; the amount of
allowances and impairments taken on our investments; the effect of adverse capital and credit market conditions on our ability to meet liquidity needs and our access to capital; changes
in, or restrictions on, our ability to initiate capital management initiatives or an acceleration of repayment of intercompany indebtedness; changes in or inaccuracy of assumptions in
pricing and reserving for insurance business (particularly with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates), longevity and endowments; a cyclical
downturn of the insurance industry; the impact of natural and man-made catastrophic events on our business activities and results of operations; our reliance on information and
technology and third-party service providers for our operations and systems; the inability of reinsurers to meet obligations or unavailability of reinsurance coverage; increased
competition in the UK and in other countries where we have significant operations; the effect of the European Union’s “Solvency II” rules on our regulatory capital requirements; the
impact of actual experience differing from estimates used in valuing and amortising deferred acquisition costs (“DAC”) and acquired value of in-force business (“AVIF”); the impact of
recognising an impairment of our goodwill or intangibles with indefinite lives; changes in valuation methodologies, estimates and assumptions used in the valuation of investment
securities; the effect of legal proceedings and regulatory investigations; the impact of operational risks, including inadequate or failed internal and external processes, systems and
human error or from external events; risks associated with arrangements with third parties, including joint ventures; our reliance on third-party distribution channels to deliver our
products; funding risks associated with our participation in defined benefit staff pension schemes; the failure to attract or retain the necessary key personnel; the effect of systems errors
or regulatory changes on the calculation of unit prices or deduction of charges for our unit-linked products that may require retrospective compensation to our customers; the effect of
fluctuations in share price as a result of general market conditions or otherwise; the effect of simplifying our operating structure and activities; the effect of a decline in any of our ratings
by rating agencies on our standing among customers, broker-dealers, agents, wholesalers and other distributors of our products and services; changes to our brand and reputation;
changes in government regulations or tax laws in jurisdictions where we conduct business, including decreased demand for annuities in the UK due to proposed changes in UK law; the
inability to protect our intellectual property; the effect of undisclosed liabilities, integration issues and other risks associated with our acquisitions; and the timing/regulatory approval
impact, integration risk, including specifically the integration of Friends Life; and other uncertainties, such as non-realisation of expected benefits or diversion of management attention
and other resources, relating to announced acquisitions and pending disposals and relating to future acquisitions, combinations or disposals within relevant industries; the policies,
decisions and actions of government or regulatory authorities in the UK, the EU, the US or elsewhere, including the implementation of key legislation and regulation. For a more detailed
description of these risks, uncertainties and other factors, please see Item 3d, “Risk Factors”, and Item 5, “Operating and Financial Review and Prospects” in Aviva’s most recent Annual
Report on Form 20-F as filed with the SEC on 16 March 2015 and also the risk factors contained in the Euro Note Programme prospectus published on 1 May 2015. Aviva undertakes no
obligation to update the forward looking statements in this presentation or any other forward-looking statements we may make. Forward-looking statements in this presentation are
current only as of the date on which such statements are made.
Disclaimer
2
AIMS
launched
Budget
impacting
annuities
New CEO
appointed
Spanish
restructure
€895m received
Strategic anchor
launched
Friends Life
acquisition
announced
Digital garage
launched
Cell analysis
Indonesia JV
launched
SII Internal
model
submitted
External
leverage
within
target range
Sale of
Aviva USA Aviva Turkey
IPO
£571m
Cost
savings
achieved
Final
dividend
up 30%
Strategic review
of AI
Plan for
internal
leverage
reduction
Aviva purpose,
strategy
& values
Dividend
rebased
£400m
Cost
target
Cash flow +
growth
investment
thesis
JAN 2013 MAY 2013 OCT 2013 MAR 2014 SEP 2014 MAR 2015 AUG 2015
Restructure in
Italy
Integration
ahead of
schedule
Interim
dividend
up 15%
Cash flow
up 65%
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Friends Life Integration – ahead of schedule
7
•
•
•
•
•

•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
8
•
•
•
•
•
•
9
10
11
12
•
•
•
•
•
13
•
•
•
14
•
•
•
•
15
•
•
•
HY14 included a £16m one-off dividend in Spain
16
•
•
•
•
•
17
2
18
•
•
•
•
•
•
19
Plan
•
•

•
20
Economic Capital sensitivities
176%
21
22
Plan
23
24
25
Adjustments to Friends Life Operating Profit
26
•
27
28
29
30

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Aviva half year results 2015 analyst presentation

  • 1. 1
  • 2. Cautionary statements: This should be read in conjunction with the documents filed by Aviva plc (the “Company” or “Aviva”) with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). This presentation contains, and we may make other verbal or written “forward-looking statements” with respect to certain of Aviva’s plans and current goals and expectations relating to future financial condition, performance, results, strategic initiatives and objectives. Statements containing the words “believes”, “intends”, “expects”, “projects”, “plans”, “will,” “seeks”, “aims”, “may”, “could”, “outlook”, “likely”, “target”, “goal”, “guidance”, “trends”, “future”, “estimates”, “potential” and “anticipates”, and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Aviva believes factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in forward-looking statements in the presentation include, but are not limited to: the impact of ongoing difficult conditions in the global financial markets and the economy generally; the impact of simplifying our operating structure and activities; the impact of various local political, regulatory and economic conditions; market developments and government actions regarding the sovereign debt crisis in Europe; the effect of credit spread volatility on the net unrealised value of the investment portfolio; the effect of losses due to defaults by counterparties, including potential sovereign debt defaults or restructurings, on the value of our investments; changes in interest rates that may cause policyholders to surrender their contracts, reduce the value of our portfolio and impact our asset and liability matching; the impact of changes in short or long term inflation; the impact of changes in equity or property prices on our investment portfolio; fluctuations in currency exchange rates; the effect of market fluctuations on the value of options and guarantees embedded in some of our life insurance products and the value of the assets backing their reserves; the amount of allowances and impairments taken on our investments; the effect of adverse capital and credit market conditions on our ability to meet liquidity needs and our access to capital; changes in, or restrictions on, our ability to initiate capital management initiatives or an acceleration of repayment of intercompany indebtedness; changes in or inaccuracy of assumptions in pricing and reserving for insurance business (particularly with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates), longevity and endowments; a cyclical downturn of the insurance industry; the impact of natural and man-made catastrophic events on our business activities and results of operations; our reliance on information and technology and third-party service providers for our operations and systems; the inability of reinsurers to meet obligations or unavailability of reinsurance coverage; increased competition in the UK and in other countries where we have significant operations; the effect of the European Union’s “Solvency II” rules on our regulatory capital requirements; the impact of actual experience differing from estimates used in valuing and amortising deferred acquisition costs (“DAC”) and acquired value of in-force business (“AVIF”); the impact of recognising an impairment of our goodwill or intangibles with indefinite lives; changes in valuation methodologies, estimates and assumptions used in the valuation of investment securities; the effect of legal proceedings and regulatory investigations; the impact of operational risks, including inadequate or failed internal and external processes, systems and human error or from external events; risks associated with arrangements with third parties, including joint ventures; our reliance on third-party distribution channels to deliver our products; funding risks associated with our participation in defined benefit staff pension schemes; the failure to attract or retain the necessary key personnel; the effect of systems errors or regulatory changes on the calculation of unit prices or deduction of charges for our unit-linked products that may require retrospective compensation to our customers; the effect of fluctuations in share price as a result of general market conditions or otherwise; the effect of simplifying our operating structure and activities; the effect of a decline in any of our ratings by rating agencies on our standing among customers, broker-dealers, agents, wholesalers and other distributors of our products and services; changes to our brand and reputation; changes in government regulations or tax laws in jurisdictions where we conduct business, including decreased demand for annuities in the UK due to proposed changes in UK law; the inability to protect our intellectual property; the effect of undisclosed liabilities, integration issues and other risks associated with our acquisitions; and the timing/regulatory approval impact, integration risk, including specifically the integration of Friends Life; and other uncertainties, such as non-realisation of expected benefits or diversion of management attention and other resources, relating to announced acquisitions and pending disposals and relating to future acquisitions, combinations or disposals within relevant industries; the policies, decisions and actions of government or regulatory authorities in the UK, the EU, the US or elsewhere, including the implementation of key legislation and regulation. For a more detailed description of these risks, uncertainties and other factors, please see Item 3d, “Risk Factors”, and Item 5, “Operating and Financial Review and Prospects” in Aviva’s most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F as filed with the SEC on 16 March 2015 and also the risk factors contained in the Euro Note Programme prospectus published on 1 May 2015. Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward looking statements in this presentation or any other forward-looking statements we may make. Forward-looking statements in this presentation are current only as of the date on which such statements are made. Disclaimer 2
  • 3.
  • 4. AIMS launched Budget impacting annuities New CEO appointed Spanish restructure €895m received Strategic anchor launched Friends Life acquisition announced Digital garage launched Cell analysis Indonesia JV launched SII Internal model submitted External leverage within target range Sale of Aviva USA Aviva Turkey IPO £571m Cost savings achieved Final dividend up 30% Strategic review of AI Plan for internal leverage reduction Aviva purpose, strategy & values Dividend rebased £400m Cost target Cash flow + growth investment thesis JAN 2013 MAY 2013 OCT 2013 MAR 2014 SEP 2014 MAR 2015 AUG 2015 Restructure in Italy Integration ahead of schedule Interim dividend up 15% Cash flow up 65%
  • 5.
  • 7. Friends Life Integration – ahead of schedule 7 • • • • •  • • • •
  • 10. 10
  • 11. 11
  • 12. 12
  • 16. • • • HY14 included a £16m one-off dividend in Spain 16
  • 23. 23
  • 24. 24
  • 25. 25
  • 26. Adjustments to Friends Life Operating Profit 26 •
  • 27. 27
  • 28. 28
  • 29. 29
  • 30. 30