"Current Global & Malaysian Economic & Market Outlook: an Economic Chartist's Viewpoints" by Arifin Abdul Latif, Founder & Senior Consultant/Economist, ArifinLatif Consulting. Paper presented at RHB Technical Analysis Day 6 May Seminar @ DoubleTree by Hilton, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; 6 May 2015.

1. by
Arifin Abdul LatifArifin Abdul Latif
Founder&SeniorConsultant/EconomistFounder&SeniorConsultant/Economist
ArifinLatif ConsultingArifinLatif Consulting
Current Global &Current Global &
Malaysian EconomicMalaysian Economic
& Market Outlook:& Market Outlook:
an Economican Economic
Chartist's ViewpointsChartist's Viewpoints
6 May 20156 May 2015
RHBTechnical Analysis Day 6 May SeminarRHBTechnical Analysis Day 6 May Seminar
@ DoubleTreebyHilton, KualaLumpur@ DoubleTreebyHilton, KualaLumpur

2. ** I'll be using my own
technical analysis
softwares (Advanced
GET and MetaStock 11)
for the purpose of
charting (I shall run
through using latest
updated data on my
lappy during TA Day)
List of charts requested
for analyses**
q Equities - Dow, NASDAQ, Dax, SENSEX, SHCOMP, HSI, STI, KLCI, JCI and SET
q Currency market - Dollar Index, Euro, Yen, Yuan, Ringgit and Sing Dollar
q Commodities - WTI and Brent Crude oil, Soybean and CPO
q Safe Haven instruments - US Treasury, German Bund and Gold
q

3. Other analyses**
Cyclical analysis to cover the long term forecasting part/ megatrend
forecasts which I have done before in my crude oil forecasts for my The
EDGE's published articles. I’ll fall upon my Masters Degree
(MADE) thesis from ANU Canberra - specialising in 'stock market
economics‘ for specific deliberations.
Postcript:
Thanks for lending your ears ~
may you have gain same extra
insights from personal
experiences we have shared
among us for the betterment of
our professional career.
Work together, work smart to
succeed! Keep in touch.. all of
you!

4. Talking points to cover…
In Malaysia context –
How low Ringgit or How strong dollar
can go?
Sub topic – If Greece leave European
Monetary Union, EMU, where would
Euro go?
Money is flowing out of China. Can
China keep strong CNY?
JPY – is Japan done with its QE or more
to come going forward? CNY and JPY, if
they remain weak – Ringgit will stay
weak right?
Crude – has we bottom?, and how high
can it go from here?.
CPO – now stuck within 2000/2100 to
2400/2500. When will we break this
range? To the upside or downside?

5. Talking points to cover…
In Global context –
4. How long will the world see low yield? – If US raise interest rate, how
high US Yield (US 10 year yield) can go?
5. Other issues – Shanghai Composite at 4400, now what?
6. Nasdaq close new high – how high can it go?

6. Questions posted for analyses are
currently hot in the NEWS…
Keep abreast with the LATEST!

7. Chartist –
(30 Apr 15)
Daily
Trademaps
for FBM
KLCI “Turtle
trade signal emerges ~
with the
coming of
Michael Covel?”

8. Chartist –
(30 Apr 15)
my Contact with
Michael Covel
via Facebook…

9. Charts &
EWA –
(27 Apr 15)
The Original text of Elliot
Wave
Principle

10. Charts &
EWA –
(27 Apr 15) Technical
Analysis using Advanced
GET - with
Andy Bushak
(Nov 13-14, 1993)

11. Charts & EWA –
(27 Apr 15) My old manuscript jottings...
Trekking the KLCI's megatrend Wave 3 is
never the shortest! ... and that Wave 3
insofar as KLCI is concerned

12. Crude oil –
(27 Apr 15)
Mixed views
on report
about oil
hitting US$100 by September

13. Some of my previous
articles on Crude oil forecasts… published
in The EDGE Malaysia

20. Currencies –
(2 May 15)
Hedging the
Ringgit

21. Currencies –
(30 Apr 15)
Ringgit
strengthens

22. QE –
(30 Apr 15)
Abenomics
& Obama

23. Charts & ETP –
(4 May 15)
My megatrend chart, from cyclical
analysis and time
clusters, for
FBM KLCI
points towards the realisation
for GTP+ETP & Vision 2020

24. Charts & ETP –
(4 May 15) Transformation Unplugged
Staying the course by IDRIS JALA

25. Transformation -Transformation -
SomeSome
definitions,definitions,
directions...?directions...?
q Transformation towards
what end?
Ø Transforming Traditional/
Agrarian Societies 
e.g. Cambodia - From
killing fields to economic
transformation.
Ø Transformation to Transition
Economies  e.g.
Turkmenistan – From USSR
republic to CIS nation.
Ø Transformation to NICs ~
Tigers/Lions?  e.g.
Malaysia/ Nigeria.
Ø Transformation to High
Income Nation ~
1Malaysia  towards
Realising Vision 2020.
Ø
Ø
Ø
Capacity building training in Ashgabad (1998) & Lagos (2000).
q Transformation is a
fashionable,
buzzword today!

26. q Transformation with
political will/ agenda
Ø Government Transformation
Program (GTP) 
Najibnomics
Ø Economic Transformation
Program (ETP)  NKEAs;
10th Malaysia Plan;
Economic Corridors
(NCER, ECER, Iskandar,
SCORE)
Ø Budget 2013 & 2014 
“Najib: nobody is left
out!”
Ø
Ø
Ø
Ø
Ø

27. Biz Talk Live! (Bernama TV) ~Biz Talk Live! (Bernama TV) ~ “ETP – Is it on“ETP – Is it on
Track?”Track?”

28. Live! interview on BERNAMA TV
(15 Dec 2012 @9.30pm – 1 hour)
Live! interview invited at short
notice, off-the-cuff interactions with
audiences on-the-air/online (on
twitter), etc.

29. Live! interview invited at short
notice, off-the-cuff interactions with
audiences on-the-air/online (on
twitter), etc.
Latest Updates! PM Najib live! on Air!
& PEMANDU’s Scorecard (4 May 2015)

30. Both strategies are dooBoth strategies are doomed to fail us so avoidmed to fail us so avoid
them! So, how far shoulthem! So, how far should KLCI grow or climb?d KLCI grow or climb?

31. Charting using Advanced GET, among the
best charting software from the West!
List of charts requested
for analyses**
q Equities - Dow, NASDAQ, Dax, SENSEX, SHCOMP, HSI, STI, KLCI, JCI and SET
q Currency market - Dollar Index, Euro, Yen, Yuan, Ringgit and Sing Dollar
q Commodities - WTI and Brent Crude oil, Soybean and CPO
q Safe Haven instruments - US Treasury, German Bund and Gold
q

32. GTP/ETP: High Income EcoGTP/ETP: High Income Economy & 2020 achievanomy & 2020 achievableble
with KLCI megatrendwith KLCI megatrend @@magical 2000 levelmagical 2000 level

33. KLCI intermediate (weekly) trend analysis byKLCI intermediate (weekly) trend analysis by
Elliot Wave Analysis (EWA) using Advanced GETElliot Wave Analysis (EWA) using Advanced GET

34. KLCI minor (daily) trend analysis byKLCI minor (daily) trend analysis by
Elliot Wave Analysis (EWA) using Advanced GETElliot Wave Analysis (EWA) using Advanced GET

35. Charting using MetaStock 11 ~ applying
‘Beyond Candlesticks’ (among the
oldest charting techniques to have
emerged from Japan/ Nippon!
q Bermuda Triangle
Analysis (BTA) - my
personal technique
adapted/developed,
published in The EDGE
Malaysia series of
articles.
q
List of types of ‘Beyond
Candlesticks’ charts***
q
q 3 Line Break chart***
q Renko chart***
q
q Kagi chart***q

36. KLCI minor (daily) trend analysis byKLCI minor (daily) trend analysis by
Bermuda Triangle Analysis (BTA) using MetaStock 11Bermuda Triangle Analysis (BTA) using MetaStock 11

37. KLCI minor (daily) trend analysis byKLCI minor (daily) trend analysis by
3 Line Break using MetaStock 113 Line Break using MetaStock 11

38. KLCI minor (daily) trend analysis byKLCI minor (daily) trend analysis by
5 Pt Renko chart using MetaStock 115 Pt Renko chart using MetaStock 11

39. KLCI minor (daily) trend analysis byKLCI minor (daily) trend analysis by
0.05% Kagi chart using MetaStock 110.05% Kagi chart using MetaStock 11

40. Concepts/ChartingConcepts/Charting
Techniques/ThemeTechniques/Theme
ss published inpublished in TheThe
EDGEEDGE MalaysiaMalaysia
List of Concepts/ChartingConcepts/Charting
Techniques/ThemesTechniques/Themes
developed & writtendeveloped & written in The
EDGE Malaysia series of
articles.
q In Search of the Three
Buddhas
q Bermuda Triangle/Rhu
Muda Triangle
Analyses (BTA)
q ‘Lord of the Rings’ (LOTR)
trilogy journey of stock
prices
q In Search of the Da Vinci
Code – application to
KLCI

46. Arifin Abdul Latif
PMP, AMN Honorary Fellow (MATA),
MADE (ANU), BAgrSc (UPM),
Unclassified Studies (UBC), BMITA
(Cranfield), Privatisation (IDS Sussex),
ICRET (UPLB), R&D Management
(KOICA/KITA)
ArifinLatif Consulting
Founder & Chief Consultant/
Economist (since 1991)
Freelance Consultant on Analysis &
Forecasting of Economic & Stock
Market Trends
@Taman Tun Dr Ismail,
Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia Postcript:
Thanks for lending your ears ~ may you have gain same extra insights from personal experiences we have shared among us for the betterment of our
professional career.
Work together, work smart to succeed! Keep in touch.. all of you!
Thank you & terima kasih, Wassalaaam

47. My CV (top
page)
My Curriculum Vitae (top page)

48. My Professional & Online Referrrals
My Professional & Online Referrrals

49. I was among the earliest Malaysia’s
LinkedIn member…
I’m an active nerd on LinkedIn……..!!

50. …and was among the earliest Facebook
member too!
I was a pioneering FaceBook addict