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Impact of Blockchain on the
organizational design of Ryanair
June 14, 2017 | Group C:
Antonio Auricchio | Barbara Fontela | Avaneesh Goel | Yuxiang He | Clemens Jungmair | Andrea Roa
Executive Summary Introduction
The Irish airline Ryanair is known for its
innovative business model as a low-cost
carrier, offering plane tickets for very cheap
prices while providing extra services at
additional cost to the consumer.
Consequently, the business model relies
highly on low ticket prices and the control
over its operating costs. (1)
Historically, maximization of profits in the
aviation industry have been highly dependent
on revenues, as most costs are relatively
fixed. Consequently, airlines have been
exploiting various strategies for the
maximization of their revenues, known as
‘yield management’. While traditional carriers
introduced different booking classes, for
example, their low-cost competitors focused
on ‘dynamic pricing’. (1) The latter is known as
a technique to discriminate fare prices by
matching ticket prices with the customers´
willingness to pay.
On the contrary, Ryanair has been working on
identifying further opportunities for increasing
profitability by saving costs. The airline has
thereby created a program in which pilots´
contributions to efficiency and profitability are
evaluated and ranked to incentivize them to
take decisions accordingly.
The use of cookies and lack of transparency
regarding ticket prices have lately led to high
controversies among customers. Moreover,
pilot mistakes have put Ryanair multiple times
in the spotlight of scandals. The following
1
Despite the great success of Ryanair in the
last years, the low-cost carrier grabbed the
headlines because of several controversies.
First, Ryanair´s pricing model with the
practice of price discrimination and dynamic
pricing has led to a lack of transparency. The
adaption to a blockchain-based ticket system
would certainly resolve the issue, as clients
will have access to any recorded
transactions which will make it easier for
them to anticipate future prices.
Secondly, Ryanair pilots suffer from pressure
of the company to contribute to heavy cost
reductions. The implementation of blockchain
technology in airplane equipment that tracks,
validates and memorizes various
transactions would certainly lead to more
responsible behavior of pilots.
Last but not least, an organizational re-
design to blockchain technology would
enhance transparency about any mistakes
and incidents. They can create and record
additional events that reverse some of the
effects of the previous incident, but they can’t
delete or undo the past. These approach to
memory of institutions is closer to humans
and therefore closer to customers: brains, as
blockchains, aren’t designed to forget, they
are designed to forgive. By striving for
minimum rate of mistakes, Ryanair could
proof its trustworthiness and gain a
competitive advantage.
Issues at Ryanair
paper is going to first provide an overview of
the indicated issues within the organizational
design of Ryanair, and will then show how a
redesign to blockchain integration can have a
positive impact on the company. It could
record all its transactions in a public, shared
and immutable database, meaning that
Ryanair’s recorded decisions will be
transparently stored in a public blockchain
memory available to competitors, regulators
and customers.
What is Blockchain?(2)
“The blockchain is an incorruptible digital
ledger of economic transactions that can be
programmed to record not just financial
transactions but virtually everything of
value.”
Don & Alex Tapscott
1. Issues at Ryanair
1.1 Dynamic Pricing and Price
Discrimination
For Ryanair, maximizing profits is highly
related to maximizing revenues. Therefore,
the company is constantly looking for new
strategies such as “dynamic pricing” as to
modify their prices. For low-cost airlines, the
main factor that affects price is the time of the
departure. If the clients book with enough
time prior the flight, they would have access
to a lower price for the ticket, rather than if
they book it close to the departure date. This
fact was proven by The Pricing Strategy study
where they tracked 1829 flights two months
prior the flight, and 109,740 prices were
collected. (1) A major influencing variable is the
number of tickets sold for a specific flight. If
demand is higher or lower as usual, airline will
adapt prices according and thereby try to
maximize profits.(3)
Furthermore, dynamic pricing is supported by
the use of cookies on airline websites. These
internet cookies save information and help
the website identify the customer when he
reenters the page. Since web cookies can
even remember behavior and personal
information, it is strongly recommended to
clear cookies from the web browser when
looking for flights (again), as airlines may
adapts prices according to your demand and
search history.(5)
Price discrimination is another common
practice that allow airlines to maximize their
revenues. In fact, airline websites ask the
user for personal information and thereby get
to know him better. With this information, they
can make assumptions about his
socioeconomic status and propose a
personalized offer.(6)
What are web cookies?(4)
An internet cookie is a message from the
user’s web browser that is stored as a data
file. When revisiting a website, the user will
be identified and preferences and personal
information remembered.
Figure 1: Average price trend on Dublin-London Gatwick
(2006-2007; 90-day period)
Source: (1) D’Alfonso, T., et al, 2010
2
Issues at Ryanair
According to AOPA Air Safety Foundation,
poor decision making is the root cause of
most aviation accidents. Year after year, the
National Transportation Safety Board of the
United States attributes approximately 75% of
all aircraft accidents to decision making
errors.(7)
The notion ‘Aeronautical Decision-Making
(ADM)’ summarizes the implication behind
decision making of pilots in the aviation
industry, which are done freely by pilots
themselves. While routine tasks allow for
more time to collect information and make a
decision, other situations require highly
responsive actions under high pressure.
Historically, approaches to improve ADM were
pilot training and technological improvements
of airplane systems, which made aviation
transportation the safest way of transportation
today. Nevertheless, accidents and incidents
still occur because of the human factor that
may be the result of wrong decision making.(8)
The pilot in command of an aircraft is directly
responsible for, and is the final authority as to,
the operation of that aircraft.(9) However,
Ryanair pilots suffer from pressure of the
company to contribute to heavy cost
reductions. Since their performance is tracked
and ranked according to KPIs related to
efficiency and profitability, a pilot at the lower-
middle part of the ranking may be
encouraged by the corporation to improve the
performance. Ryanair’s ranking is a risk of
incentivizing pilots to make decisions based
on cost implications for the company and to
prioritize cost-considerations over safety
aspects.(10)
1.2 Decision Making at Ryanair Ryanair´s pilot ranking KPIs
Cost Index 6 Compliance
Compliance with the recommendations
of a tool built into the Flight
Management Systems to reduce fuel
burn.
1
5
LDA – Gear Up passing 4.0D
Bringing the landing gear or wheels of
the plane down after descending to
4000 feet (1200 meters), given that
having it down consumes more fuel
than regular flying.
One Engine Taxi > 3 mins
Shutting down all engines except one
while landing and parking to reduce
ground-level fuel burn.
Actual vs. Planned Burn
Actual fuel burn versus the fuel burn
planned before take off.
Arrival On-Time Performance
Punctuality and beating flight time
estimates.
Average APU Run Time (min)
Run time of the tool used for air
conditioning and engine start, which
also burns fuel.
6
2
3
4
Figure 2: Ryanair´s pilot ranking KPIs
Source: (10) https://www.eurocockpit.be/news/ryanair-
metamorphosis-hardly-possible
Figure 3: Ryanair ranking pilot ‘performance’
Source: (10) https://www.eurocockpit.be/news/ryanair-
metamorphosis-hardly-possible
3
Issues at Ryanair
1.3 Scandals and Customers
With the purpose of minimizing the cost,
Ryanair is frequently reported by the media
regarding the incidents that negatively
impacted customers’ flying experiences they
had due to its abusive practices, lack of
maintenance and inappropriate fuel saving
actions. However, due to the forgetfulness
and forgiveness of the customers, Ryanair
was slightly and short-termly influenced by
the reported scandals and did not experience
any significant loss. Instead, according to the
statistics, they had a consecutive increasingly
traffic of passengers over the past 5 years.(11)
In 2012, a customer in Andalusia sued the
Ryanair for its outrageously unreasonable
policies and practices, for instance, the
additional fee that are charged for printing a
boarding card at the airport.(12) Under
international conventions, passengers should
not be demanded of showing up with printed
boarding card nor be charged by printing
service in the case that the customers don’t
have it.(13)
Moreover, Ryanair's insufficient maintenance
for its aircraft fleet caused worrisome
incidents for the passengers. According to the
interim report by the German Federal Bureau
of Aircraft Accident Investigation, one of
emergency descent incident was due to the
failure of the main pressure controller, as well
as the a back up controller, which should be
installed appropriately during the
maintenance process.(14) Besides, a
significant damage of the aircraft while parked
at a Portuguese airport was not detected until
the crew found the control problem in a later
flight.(15)
As other carriers, Ryanair reduces the fuel
usage trying to minimize its operation costs.
Ryanair rank pilots according to their
performance in reducing the fuel burnt, which
had a big impact on their upper hand
decision-making and it indicated a high risk
for the passengers on board when
underperformed pilots are pressured to burn
less fuel at unacceptable level.(10) Fuel
shortage took Ryanair to generate 50
incidences during 2012. In 2012, on an only
one hour flight from Madrid to Valencia, three
Ryanair flights had to call mayday
emergencies because of low fuel after being
diverted through a storm.(16)
Nevertheless, the customer volume of
Ryanair kept growing despite the incidents.
As a European No. 1 airline, the rolling
annual traffic increased by 12% and reached
123.8m customers.(11) The negative impact of
the issues on the passengers diminished as
the years went by, and forgiveness from the
customers is generated as long as the values
are still being delivered by the low-cost
carrier.
Figures 4&5: Examples of news scandals of Ryanair
Source: (17) http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-
2947077/Eleven-planes-forced-make-Mayday-landings-
British-airports-year-running-fuel.html
Source: (18) http://www.independent.co.uk/travel/news-
and-advice/exclusive-safety-warning-as-budget-airlines-
such-as-ryanair-cut-fuel-levels-for-flights-8749046.html
4
Organizational re-design through Blockchain
2. Organizational re-de-
sign through Blockchain
2.1 Blockchain applied to dynamic
pricing
Since flights are usually pre-scheduled long
time in advance, it is almost impossible to
achieve a perfect market equilibrium by
matching supply and demand with fixed
supply (the fixed number of seats on that
plane) at a fixed pre-determined price
(scenario 1). For example, as demand
increases and tickets get sold out, the
company did not maximize its profits as some
potential customers were willing to pay even
higher prices than tickets were sold.
Consequently, dynamic pricing has helped
airlines to increase economic efficiency by
adjusting prices to estimated demand and
thereby achieve several equilibria at different
price levels (scenario 2).
While Ryanair benefits from their pursued
pricing strategies, customers highly suffer
from price uncertainties and complain about
lack of transparency. In fact, consumers can
only consider historic price changes to make
their purchase decision. As a result, the lack
of transparency regarding ticket prices have
led to high controversies among customers.
The adaption of the booking platform to
blockchain technology would resolve this
issue to a large extend (see graph of the
redesign in page 8). The blockchain would
approve ticket purchases, and would record
them in distributed ledgers. Consequently, all
historic transactions would be memorized in
publicly visible ledgers that would
tremendously increase transparency to
potential customers, thereby decreases their
uncertainty as they can use this information
for price anticipation.
Costs,
Revenues
Q
MC=S
AR=D
Q*
P*
P’
Airline
Surplus
Consumer
Surplus
Market Equilibrium
Loss of
Economic
Welfare
Costs,
Revenues
Q
MC=S
AR=D
Q*
P*
P’
Airline
Surplus
Consumer
Surplus Market Equilibrium
Loss of
Economic
Welfare
Ryanair would need to be able to estimate the optimal price
(P*) in order to reach the equilibrium by offering tickets at a
pre-determined price. Prices P1 and P2 show that both
over- and underpricing would lead to suboptimal outcomes,
not because of excess demand and supply, but also
because of net loss of welfare.
Scenario 1: Fixed supply at fixed price
By using dynamic pricing, Ryanair is currently able to
discriminate prices and charge fares according to customers´
individual willingness to pay. Beyond the point where costs
have been covered, as the number of price points increases,
so do the potential profits. In terms of supply and demand,
increasing demands make the demand curve shift and create
a new equilibrium at a new price.
Scenario 2: Dynamic pricing
D
Market
Equilibrium
Excess
Demand
P
Q
S
Q*
P*
P1
P2
Excess Supply
Number
of buyers
PriceCost Selling Price
Profit
Passed-up
profit
Money left on
the table
Number
of buyers
PriceCost P 1 P 2 P 3
Profit
P
Q
S
Q*
P**
P***
D’’
D’
D
P*
5
Organizational re-design through Blockchain
The organizational redesign of Ryanair to a
blockchain-based booking process (see graph
of the redesign in page 8) can be seen as a
great opportunity. Not only could the airline
benefit from more trust of its customers,
transparency could certainly create high
levels of anxiety about increasing prices
among potential buyers. It can be argued that
the historic information about number of
tickets sold at respective prices for a specific
flight would reconfirm the buying decision.
Thus, people may decide to not postpone
their purchases any longer but buy their ticket
at Ryanair. Consequently, the airline could
increase their market share and capture
higher market demand.
In a second stage, Ryanair could introduce a
cryptocurrency and allow for tokening loyalty
points on the blockchain, which would give
customers immediate value.
Blockchain is fast rising new technology that came into life with the emergence of the
cryptocurrency ‘Bitcoin’. Different to conventional systems in which intermediaries control
contracts and transactions, distributed ledgers record and approve each transaction in a
peer-to-peer network. Especially the latest rise of cryptocurrencies and Initial Coin Offerings
(ICOs) indicate the great future potential of blockchain technologies and the potential
disruption of business models and industries.
The benefits of blockchain are obvious. Historically, the purchase and sale of a real estate
has been performed by a lawyer or notary who served as an intermediary and source of
trust. However, in blockchain the only need is to write a piece of code called smart contract.
The smart contract in sitting on the blockchain waiting for both inputs, the house and the
money; to be validated by thousands of computers and finally it exchanges the value.
Thanks to Blockchain, two parties are able to make an exchange without the intermediation
of a third party.
The information held on a blockchain is hosted in a decentralized and shared database
among million of computers. Every computer tapped into the system stores a copy of this
blockchain, changes to the blockchain are public creating transparency, and all transactions
are immutable, meaning they cannot be altered or deleted.
Today, corporations are designed to forget, they don’t show all their decisions and
transactions because they might be detrimental to the future. However, the decentralized
blockchain information can’t be deleted, creating a memory of the corporation’s actions that
is public to society.
What is Blockchain?(19)
Nowadays, Ryanair pilots are incentivized to
contribute to the company's efficiency and
productivity. Since their “performance” is
evaluated according to KPIs (figure 2) and
ranked among their colleagues, pilots may
decide to take risky decisions in order to
improve their ranking positions. However,
aeronautical decision making based on costs
is clearly a safety risk, and may put Ryanair in
the spotlight of further scandals (see 1.3).
The implementation of a blockchain-based
monitoring system could also solve this issue.
If technical equipment was connected to the
blockchain, risky pilot decisions that are
outside of the normal range, for example the
transaction of ordering too little fuel, would
2.2 Blockchain applied to decision
making
6
Organizational re-design through Blockchain
immediately be detected by a risk
management department of Ryanair that will
revise the decision. Consequently, the
organizational adaption to blockchain
technology of planes will help Ryanair to
prevent scandals to happen (see graph of the
redesign in page 8). This is especially critical
because of the memory aspect of the
blockchain. Since ledger entries are
transparent, immutable and don’t allow
Ryanair to delete scandalous ledger entries, it
is of the highest interest of the company to
invest in highly sophisticated risk
management as incidents would lead to
irreversible reputation damages of the
company.
Moreover, pilots will be hindered to take
highly risky decisions as their irresponsible
actions will most probably be detected and
blockchain will take record of them. Since
blockchain transactions cannot be reversed,
pilots may suffer from ever-lasting
consequences on their career.
Furthermore, Ryanair could adapt the current
incentive system. By adding ‘risk level’ as a
further KPI to evaluate performance, pilots
would naturally take risk into consideration
when striving for a high performance ranking
position. In other words, risk levels will be
reduced to acceptable levels while high
efficiency will be achieved on average.
Ryanair´s pilot ranking KPIs
Cost Index 6 Compliance
LDA – Gear Up passing 4.0D
One Engine Taxi > 3 mins
Actual vs. Planned Burn
Arrival On-Time Performance
Average APU Run Time (min)
Risk to Performance Ratio
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2.3 Blockchain applied to
customers
Today institutions are designed to forget
incidents. Therefore, as it was mentioned
before, when an incident occurs, the demand
only goes down for a short period of time, due
to the forgetfulness of the customers.
By implementing the use of the blockchain,
information will be permanent and transparent
(see graph of the redesign in page 8). A
special step must be taken and included into
the organization design to prevent the
memory of the blockchain from affecting
future realities: forgiveness. While to forget is
to destroy the past, to forgive is to move on
without rewriting the history. When Ryanair
faces an irreversible event recorded in the
blockchain, they can create and record
additional events that reverse some of the
effects of the previous incident, but they can’t
delete or undo the past. This approach to
history of institutions is closer to humans and
therefore closer to customers: brains, as a
blockchain, aren’t designed to forget either.
Therefore, when a scandal takes place, the
demand will shift to lower levels, yet only for a
short period of time.
The application of blockchain to decision
making (section 2.2) would measure various
transactions, save them irreversibly in a
distributed ledger network and make them
publicly available. In other words, blockchain
would give full transparency to customers
about all historic mistakes and incidents. As a
result, if risk management and pilots’
responsible actions led to no or minimum
number of incidents, Ryanair would be able to
prove its trustworthiness.
Consequently, one can argue that the higher
levels of trust would increase demand and
Ryanair would become gain a considerable
competitive advantage over competitors.
7
Customer wants to buy
a Ryanair ticket
One block is created
representing the transaction
The block is broadcasted to
the network
Ryanair receives the
money from the
customer
The block is added to the chain, providing
a permanent, immutable record of the
transaction
The network validates the
transaction
The records of the
transactions are public
1 2 3
6 5 4
7
2.1 Blockchain applied to dynamic pricing
Organizational re-design through Blockchain
2.3 Blockchain applied to customers
Forgiveness
Incident Transparent record
of the transaction
[here: incident] Customers and regulators
will have full access to
transparent information
2.2 Blockchain applied to decision making and risk management
8
Fuel levels Pilot’s logbooks Maintenance
The block is added to the chain,
providing a permanent, immutable
record of the transaction
Universal Ledger
The network validates the
transaction
Pilot actions trigger
transactions on the blockchain
1
2 The records of the
transactions are public43
Performance is included
in pilot´s KPIs5
1 2
3
References
9
1. D’Alfonso, T., Malighetti, P., & Redondi, R. (2010). The pricing strategy of Ryanair. In Airline Industry: Strategies,
Operations and Safety. Connor R. Walsh.
2. Blockgeeks. (2017). What is Blockchain Technology? A Step-by-Step Guide For Beginners. Blockgeeks. Retrieved 13
July 2017, from https://blockgeeks.com/guides/what-is-blockchain-technology/
3. Gornall, E. (2013). Low-cost air fares: How ticket prices fall and rise. BBC News. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-22882559
4. McGloin, C. (2017). Mythbusters: Do browser cookies increase flight prices?. Skyscanner.net. Retrieved 13 July 2017,
from https://www.skyscanner.net/news/tips/do-cookies-increase-flight-prices/
5. Hoeller, S. (2015). This is the one thing you should do when searching for flights online. Business Insider. Retrieved 13
July 2017, from http://www.businessinsider.com/clear-cooking-when-searching-for-flights-online-2015-9
6. Mahdawi, A. (2016). Cookie monsters: why your browsing history could mean rip-off prices. The Guardian. Retrieved 13
July 2017, from https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/dec/06/cookie-monsters-why-your-browsing-history-
could-mean-rip-off-prices
7. D. Peterson, B. (2006). Do The Right Thing: Decision Making for Pilots. SAFETY ADVISOR, 11(SA24-10/06). Retrieved
from http://www.aopa.org.il/userfiles/files/safety/Decision.pdf
8. Federal Aviation Administration, Airman Testing Standards Branch. (2016). Effective Aeronautical Decision-Making. In
Airplane Flying Handbook. Oklahoma City: United States Department of Transportation.
9. U.S. Government Publishing Office. (2017). eCFR — Code of Federal Regulations. Ecfr.gov. Retrieved 13 July 2017,
from https://www.ecfr.gov/cgi-bin/text-
idx?c=ecfr&sid=3efaad1b0a259d4e48f1150a34d1aa77&rgn=div5&view=text&node=14:2.0.1.3.10&idno=14#se14.2.91_
13
10. Eurocockpit.be. (2017). Ryanair metamorphosis? Hardly possible.. Eurocockpit.be. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from
https://www.eurocockpit.be/news/ryanair-metamorphosis-hardly-possible
11. Ryanair. (2017). Ryanair | Traffic. Investor.ryanair.com. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from https://investor.ryanair.com/traffic/
12. Badcock, J. (2015). Spanish court says Ryanair 'lowest of the low' jibe not libellous. Telegraph.co.uk. Retrieved 13 July
2017, from http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/spain/11390098/Spanish-court-says-Ryanair-lowest-of-
the-low-jibe-not-libellous.html
13. Tremlett, G. (2011). Judge tells Ryanair that forcing passengers to print boarding passes is illegal. the Guardian.
Retrieved 13 July 2017, from https://www.theguardian.com/business/2011/jan/14/ryanair-spanish-court-boarding-pass
14. BBC News. (2012). Ryanair emergency descent 'forced by maintenance errors. BBC News. Retrieved 13 July 2017,
from http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-nottinghamshire-19543673
15. Flynn, P. (2014). ‘Significant damage’ to Ryanair jet only discovered mid-flight. The Irish Times. Retrieved 13 July 2017,
from https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/significant-damage-to-ryanair-jet-only-discovered-mid-flight-
1.1897018
16. Galiacho, J. (2016). Volar con el depósito justo: el juego aéreo de la ruleta. El Español. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from
http://www.elespanol.com/reportajes/grandes-historias/20161202/175233159_0.html
17. Glanfield, E. (2015). 11 planes forced to make Mayday landings because they were low on fuel. Mail Online. Retrieved
14 July 2017, from http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2947077/Eleven-planes-forced-make-Mayday-landings-
British-airports-year-running-fuel.html
18. Wright, O. (2013). Safety warning as budget airlines such as Ryanair cut fuel. The Independent. Retrieved 14 July 2017,
from http://www.independent.co.uk/travel/news-and-advice/exclusive-safety-warning-as-budget-airlines-such-as-ryanair-
cut-fuel-levels-for-flights-8749046.html
19. Tapscott, D., & Tapscott, A. (2017). Realizing the Potential of Blockchain. Cologny/Geneva: World Economic Forum.
Retrieved from http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Realizing_Potential_Blockchain.pdf

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The Impact of Blockchain on Ryanair's Dynamic Prices

  • 1. Impact of Blockchain on the organizational design of Ryanair June 14, 2017 | Group C: Antonio Auricchio | Barbara Fontela | Avaneesh Goel | Yuxiang He | Clemens Jungmair | Andrea Roa Executive Summary Introduction The Irish airline Ryanair is known for its innovative business model as a low-cost carrier, offering plane tickets for very cheap prices while providing extra services at additional cost to the consumer. Consequently, the business model relies highly on low ticket prices and the control over its operating costs. (1) Historically, maximization of profits in the aviation industry have been highly dependent on revenues, as most costs are relatively fixed. Consequently, airlines have been exploiting various strategies for the maximization of their revenues, known as ‘yield management’. While traditional carriers introduced different booking classes, for example, their low-cost competitors focused on ‘dynamic pricing’. (1) The latter is known as a technique to discriminate fare prices by matching ticket prices with the customers´ willingness to pay. On the contrary, Ryanair has been working on identifying further opportunities for increasing profitability by saving costs. The airline has thereby created a program in which pilots´ contributions to efficiency and profitability are evaluated and ranked to incentivize them to take decisions accordingly. The use of cookies and lack of transparency regarding ticket prices have lately led to high controversies among customers. Moreover, pilot mistakes have put Ryanair multiple times in the spotlight of scandals. The following 1 Despite the great success of Ryanair in the last years, the low-cost carrier grabbed the headlines because of several controversies. First, Ryanair´s pricing model with the practice of price discrimination and dynamic pricing has led to a lack of transparency. The adaption to a blockchain-based ticket system would certainly resolve the issue, as clients will have access to any recorded transactions which will make it easier for them to anticipate future prices. Secondly, Ryanair pilots suffer from pressure of the company to contribute to heavy cost reductions. The implementation of blockchain technology in airplane equipment that tracks, validates and memorizes various transactions would certainly lead to more responsible behavior of pilots. Last but not least, an organizational re- design to blockchain technology would enhance transparency about any mistakes and incidents. They can create and record additional events that reverse some of the effects of the previous incident, but they can’t delete or undo the past. These approach to memory of institutions is closer to humans and therefore closer to customers: brains, as blockchains, aren’t designed to forget, they are designed to forgive. By striving for minimum rate of mistakes, Ryanair could proof its trustworthiness and gain a competitive advantage.
  • 2. Issues at Ryanair paper is going to first provide an overview of the indicated issues within the organizational design of Ryanair, and will then show how a redesign to blockchain integration can have a positive impact on the company. It could record all its transactions in a public, shared and immutable database, meaning that Ryanair’s recorded decisions will be transparently stored in a public blockchain memory available to competitors, regulators and customers. What is Blockchain?(2) “The blockchain is an incorruptible digital ledger of economic transactions that can be programmed to record not just financial transactions but virtually everything of value.” Don & Alex Tapscott 1. Issues at Ryanair 1.1 Dynamic Pricing and Price Discrimination For Ryanair, maximizing profits is highly related to maximizing revenues. Therefore, the company is constantly looking for new strategies such as “dynamic pricing” as to modify their prices. For low-cost airlines, the main factor that affects price is the time of the departure. If the clients book with enough time prior the flight, they would have access to a lower price for the ticket, rather than if they book it close to the departure date. This fact was proven by The Pricing Strategy study where they tracked 1829 flights two months prior the flight, and 109,740 prices were collected. (1) A major influencing variable is the number of tickets sold for a specific flight. If demand is higher or lower as usual, airline will adapt prices according and thereby try to maximize profits.(3) Furthermore, dynamic pricing is supported by the use of cookies on airline websites. These internet cookies save information and help the website identify the customer when he reenters the page. Since web cookies can even remember behavior and personal information, it is strongly recommended to clear cookies from the web browser when looking for flights (again), as airlines may adapts prices according to your demand and search history.(5) Price discrimination is another common practice that allow airlines to maximize their revenues. In fact, airline websites ask the user for personal information and thereby get to know him better. With this information, they can make assumptions about his socioeconomic status and propose a personalized offer.(6) What are web cookies?(4) An internet cookie is a message from the user’s web browser that is stored as a data file. When revisiting a website, the user will be identified and preferences and personal information remembered. Figure 1: Average price trend on Dublin-London Gatwick (2006-2007; 90-day period) Source: (1) D’Alfonso, T., et al, 2010 2
  • 3. Issues at Ryanair According to AOPA Air Safety Foundation, poor decision making is the root cause of most aviation accidents. Year after year, the National Transportation Safety Board of the United States attributes approximately 75% of all aircraft accidents to decision making errors.(7) The notion ‘Aeronautical Decision-Making (ADM)’ summarizes the implication behind decision making of pilots in the aviation industry, which are done freely by pilots themselves. While routine tasks allow for more time to collect information and make a decision, other situations require highly responsive actions under high pressure. Historically, approaches to improve ADM were pilot training and technological improvements of airplane systems, which made aviation transportation the safest way of transportation today. Nevertheless, accidents and incidents still occur because of the human factor that may be the result of wrong decision making.(8) The pilot in command of an aircraft is directly responsible for, and is the final authority as to, the operation of that aircraft.(9) However, Ryanair pilots suffer from pressure of the company to contribute to heavy cost reductions. Since their performance is tracked and ranked according to KPIs related to efficiency and profitability, a pilot at the lower- middle part of the ranking may be encouraged by the corporation to improve the performance. Ryanair’s ranking is a risk of incentivizing pilots to make decisions based on cost implications for the company and to prioritize cost-considerations over safety aspects.(10) 1.2 Decision Making at Ryanair Ryanair´s pilot ranking KPIs Cost Index 6 Compliance Compliance with the recommendations of a tool built into the Flight Management Systems to reduce fuel burn. 1 5 LDA – Gear Up passing 4.0D Bringing the landing gear or wheels of the plane down after descending to 4000 feet (1200 meters), given that having it down consumes more fuel than regular flying. One Engine Taxi > 3 mins Shutting down all engines except one while landing and parking to reduce ground-level fuel burn. Actual vs. Planned Burn Actual fuel burn versus the fuel burn planned before take off. Arrival On-Time Performance Punctuality and beating flight time estimates. Average APU Run Time (min) Run time of the tool used for air conditioning and engine start, which also burns fuel. 6 2 3 4 Figure 2: Ryanair´s pilot ranking KPIs Source: (10) https://www.eurocockpit.be/news/ryanair- metamorphosis-hardly-possible Figure 3: Ryanair ranking pilot ‘performance’ Source: (10) https://www.eurocockpit.be/news/ryanair- metamorphosis-hardly-possible 3
  • 4. Issues at Ryanair 1.3 Scandals and Customers With the purpose of minimizing the cost, Ryanair is frequently reported by the media regarding the incidents that negatively impacted customers’ flying experiences they had due to its abusive practices, lack of maintenance and inappropriate fuel saving actions. However, due to the forgetfulness and forgiveness of the customers, Ryanair was slightly and short-termly influenced by the reported scandals and did not experience any significant loss. Instead, according to the statistics, they had a consecutive increasingly traffic of passengers over the past 5 years.(11) In 2012, a customer in Andalusia sued the Ryanair for its outrageously unreasonable policies and practices, for instance, the additional fee that are charged for printing a boarding card at the airport.(12) Under international conventions, passengers should not be demanded of showing up with printed boarding card nor be charged by printing service in the case that the customers don’t have it.(13) Moreover, Ryanair's insufficient maintenance for its aircraft fleet caused worrisome incidents for the passengers. According to the interim report by the German Federal Bureau of Aircraft Accident Investigation, one of emergency descent incident was due to the failure of the main pressure controller, as well as the a back up controller, which should be installed appropriately during the maintenance process.(14) Besides, a significant damage of the aircraft while parked at a Portuguese airport was not detected until the crew found the control problem in a later flight.(15) As other carriers, Ryanair reduces the fuel usage trying to minimize its operation costs. Ryanair rank pilots according to their performance in reducing the fuel burnt, which had a big impact on their upper hand decision-making and it indicated a high risk for the passengers on board when underperformed pilots are pressured to burn less fuel at unacceptable level.(10) Fuel shortage took Ryanair to generate 50 incidences during 2012. In 2012, on an only one hour flight from Madrid to Valencia, three Ryanair flights had to call mayday emergencies because of low fuel after being diverted through a storm.(16) Nevertheless, the customer volume of Ryanair kept growing despite the incidents. As a European No. 1 airline, the rolling annual traffic increased by 12% and reached 123.8m customers.(11) The negative impact of the issues on the passengers diminished as the years went by, and forgiveness from the customers is generated as long as the values are still being delivered by the low-cost carrier. Figures 4&5: Examples of news scandals of Ryanair Source: (17) http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article- 2947077/Eleven-planes-forced-make-Mayday-landings- British-airports-year-running-fuel.html Source: (18) http://www.independent.co.uk/travel/news- and-advice/exclusive-safety-warning-as-budget-airlines- such-as-ryanair-cut-fuel-levels-for-flights-8749046.html 4
  • 5. Organizational re-design through Blockchain 2. Organizational re-de- sign through Blockchain 2.1 Blockchain applied to dynamic pricing Since flights are usually pre-scheduled long time in advance, it is almost impossible to achieve a perfect market equilibrium by matching supply and demand with fixed supply (the fixed number of seats on that plane) at a fixed pre-determined price (scenario 1). For example, as demand increases and tickets get sold out, the company did not maximize its profits as some potential customers were willing to pay even higher prices than tickets were sold. Consequently, dynamic pricing has helped airlines to increase economic efficiency by adjusting prices to estimated demand and thereby achieve several equilibria at different price levels (scenario 2). While Ryanair benefits from their pursued pricing strategies, customers highly suffer from price uncertainties and complain about lack of transparency. In fact, consumers can only consider historic price changes to make their purchase decision. As a result, the lack of transparency regarding ticket prices have led to high controversies among customers. The adaption of the booking platform to blockchain technology would resolve this issue to a large extend (see graph of the redesign in page 8). The blockchain would approve ticket purchases, and would record them in distributed ledgers. Consequently, all historic transactions would be memorized in publicly visible ledgers that would tremendously increase transparency to potential customers, thereby decreases their uncertainty as they can use this information for price anticipation. Costs, Revenues Q MC=S AR=D Q* P* P’ Airline Surplus Consumer Surplus Market Equilibrium Loss of Economic Welfare Costs, Revenues Q MC=S AR=D Q* P* P’ Airline Surplus Consumer Surplus Market Equilibrium Loss of Economic Welfare Ryanair would need to be able to estimate the optimal price (P*) in order to reach the equilibrium by offering tickets at a pre-determined price. Prices P1 and P2 show that both over- and underpricing would lead to suboptimal outcomes, not because of excess demand and supply, but also because of net loss of welfare. Scenario 1: Fixed supply at fixed price By using dynamic pricing, Ryanair is currently able to discriminate prices and charge fares according to customers´ individual willingness to pay. Beyond the point where costs have been covered, as the number of price points increases, so do the potential profits. In terms of supply and demand, increasing demands make the demand curve shift and create a new equilibrium at a new price. Scenario 2: Dynamic pricing D Market Equilibrium Excess Demand P Q S Q* P* P1 P2 Excess Supply Number of buyers PriceCost Selling Price Profit Passed-up profit Money left on the table Number of buyers PriceCost P 1 P 2 P 3 Profit P Q S Q* P** P*** D’’ D’ D P* 5
  • 6. Organizational re-design through Blockchain The organizational redesign of Ryanair to a blockchain-based booking process (see graph of the redesign in page 8) can be seen as a great opportunity. Not only could the airline benefit from more trust of its customers, transparency could certainly create high levels of anxiety about increasing prices among potential buyers. It can be argued that the historic information about number of tickets sold at respective prices for a specific flight would reconfirm the buying decision. Thus, people may decide to not postpone their purchases any longer but buy their ticket at Ryanair. Consequently, the airline could increase their market share and capture higher market demand. In a second stage, Ryanair could introduce a cryptocurrency and allow for tokening loyalty points on the blockchain, which would give customers immediate value. Blockchain is fast rising new technology that came into life with the emergence of the cryptocurrency ‘Bitcoin’. Different to conventional systems in which intermediaries control contracts and transactions, distributed ledgers record and approve each transaction in a peer-to-peer network. Especially the latest rise of cryptocurrencies and Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) indicate the great future potential of blockchain technologies and the potential disruption of business models and industries. The benefits of blockchain are obvious. Historically, the purchase and sale of a real estate has been performed by a lawyer or notary who served as an intermediary and source of trust. However, in blockchain the only need is to write a piece of code called smart contract. The smart contract in sitting on the blockchain waiting for both inputs, the house and the money; to be validated by thousands of computers and finally it exchanges the value. Thanks to Blockchain, two parties are able to make an exchange without the intermediation of a third party. The information held on a blockchain is hosted in a decentralized and shared database among million of computers. Every computer tapped into the system stores a copy of this blockchain, changes to the blockchain are public creating transparency, and all transactions are immutable, meaning they cannot be altered or deleted. Today, corporations are designed to forget, they don’t show all their decisions and transactions because they might be detrimental to the future. However, the decentralized blockchain information can’t be deleted, creating a memory of the corporation’s actions that is public to society. What is Blockchain?(19) Nowadays, Ryanair pilots are incentivized to contribute to the company's efficiency and productivity. Since their “performance” is evaluated according to KPIs (figure 2) and ranked among their colleagues, pilots may decide to take risky decisions in order to improve their ranking positions. However, aeronautical decision making based on costs is clearly a safety risk, and may put Ryanair in the spotlight of further scandals (see 1.3). The implementation of a blockchain-based monitoring system could also solve this issue. If technical equipment was connected to the blockchain, risky pilot decisions that are outside of the normal range, for example the transaction of ordering too little fuel, would 2.2 Blockchain applied to decision making 6
  • 7. Organizational re-design through Blockchain immediately be detected by a risk management department of Ryanair that will revise the decision. Consequently, the organizational adaption to blockchain technology of planes will help Ryanair to prevent scandals to happen (see graph of the redesign in page 8). This is especially critical because of the memory aspect of the blockchain. Since ledger entries are transparent, immutable and don’t allow Ryanair to delete scandalous ledger entries, it is of the highest interest of the company to invest in highly sophisticated risk management as incidents would lead to irreversible reputation damages of the company. Moreover, pilots will be hindered to take highly risky decisions as their irresponsible actions will most probably be detected and blockchain will take record of them. Since blockchain transactions cannot be reversed, pilots may suffer from ever-lasting consequences on their career. Furthermore, Ryanair could adapt the current incentive system. By adding ‘risk level’ as a further KPI to evaluate performance, pilots would naturally take risk into consideration when striving for a high performance ranking position. In other words, risk levels will be reduced to acceptable levels while high efficiency will be achieved on average. Ryanair´s pilot ranking KPIs Cost Index 6 Compliance LDA – Gear Up passing 4.0D One Engine Taxi > 3 mins Actual vs. Planned Burn Arrival On-Time Performance Average APU Run Time (min) Risk to Performance Ratio 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2.3 Blockchain applied to customers Today institutions are designed to forget incidents. Therefore, as it was mentioned before, when an incident occurs, the demand only goes down for a short period of time, due to the forgetfulness of the customers. By implementing the use of the blockchain, information will be permanent and transparent (see graph of the redesign in page 8). A special step must be taken and included into the organization design to prevent the memory of the blockchain from affecting future realities: forgiveness. While to forget is to destroy the past, to forgive is to move on without rewriting the history. When Ryanair faces an irreversible event recorded in the blockchain, they can create and record additional events that reverse some of the effects of the previous incident, but they can’t delete or undo the past. This approach to history of institutions is closer to humans and therefore closer to customers: brains, as a blockchain, aren’t designed to forget either. Therefore, when a scandal takes place, the demand will shift to lower levels, yet only for a short period of time. The application of blockchain to decision making (section 2.2) would measure various transactions, save them irreversibly in a distributed ledger network and make them publicly available. In other words, blockchain would give full transparency to customers about all historic mistakes and incidents. As a result, if risk management and pilots’ responsible actions led to no or minimum number of incidents, Ryanair would be able to prove its trustworthiness. Consequently, one can argue that the higher levels of trust would increase demand and Ryanair would become gain a considerable competitive advantage over competitors. 7
  • 8. Customer wants to buy a Ryanair ticket One block is created representing the transaction The block is broadcasted to the network Ryanair receives the money from the customer The block is added to the chain, providing a permanent, immutable record of the transaction The network validates the transaction The records of the transactions are public 1 2 3 6 5 4 7 2.1 Blockchain applied to dynamic pricing Organizational re-design through Blockchain 2.3 Blockchain applied to customers Forgiveness Incident Transparent record of the transaction [here: incident] Customers and regulators will have full access to transparent information 2.2 Blockchain applied to decision making and risk management 8 Fuel levels Pilot’s logbooks Maintenance The block is added to the chain, providing a permanent, immutable record of the transaction Universal Ledger The network validates the transaction Pilot actions trigger transactions on the blockchain 1 2 The records of the transactions are public43 Performance is included in pilot´s KPIs5 1 2 3
  • 9. References 9 1. D’Alfonso, T., Malighetti, P., & Redondi, R. (2010). The pricing strategy of Ryanair. In Airline Industry: Strategies, Operations and Safety. Connor R. Walsh. 2. Blockgeeks. (2017). What is Blockchain Technology? A Step-by-Step Guide For Beginners. Blockgeeks. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from https://blockgeeks.com/guides/what-is-blockchain-technology/ 3. Gornall, E. (2013). Low-cost air fares: How ticket prices fall and rise. BBC News. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from http://www.bbc.com/news/business-22882559 4. McGloin, C. (2017). Mythbusters: Do browser cookies increase flight prices?. Skyscanner.net. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from https://www.skyscanner.net/news/tips/do-cookies-increase-flight-prices/ 5. Hoeller, S. (2015). This is the one thing you should do when searching for flights online. Business Insider. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from http://www.businessinsider.com/clear-cooking-when-searching-for-flights-online-2015-9 6. Mahdawi, A. (2016). Cookie monsters: why your browsing history could mean rip-off prices. The Guardian. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/dec/06/cookie-monsters-why-your-browsing-history- could-mean-rip-off-prices 7. D. Peterson, B. (2006). Do The Right Thing: Decision Making for Pilots. SAFETY ADVISOR, 11(SA24-10/06). Retrieved from http://www.aopa.org.il/userfiles/files/safety/Decision.pdf 8. Federal Aviation Administration, Airman Testing Standards Branch. (2016). Effective Aeronautical Decision-Making. In Airplane Flying Handbook. Oklahoma City: United States Department of Transportation. 9. U.S. Government Publishing Office. (2017). eCFR — Code of Federal Regulations. Ecfr.gov. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from https://www.ecfr.gov/cgi-bin/text- idx?c=ecfr&sid=3efaad1b0a259d4e48f1150a34d1aa77&rgn=div5&view=text&node=14:2.0.1.3.10&idno=14#se14.2.91_ 13 10. Eurocockpit.be. (2017). Ryanair metamorphosis? Hardly possible.. Eurocockpit.be. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from https://www.eurocockpit.be/news/ryanair-metamorphosis-hardly-possible 11. Ryanair. (2017). Ryanair | Traffic. Investor.ryanair.com. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from https://investor.ryanair.com/traffic/ 12. Badcock, J. (2015). Spanish court says Ryanair 'lowest of the low' jibe not libellous. Telegraph.co.uk. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/spain/11390098/Spanish-court-says-Ryanair-lowest-of- the-low-jibe-not-libellous.html 13. Tremlett, G. (2011). Judge tells Ryanair that forcing passengers to print boarding passes is illegal. the Guardian. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from https://www.theguardian.com/business/2011/jan/14/ryanair-spanish-court-boarding-pass 14. BBC News. (2012). Ryanair emergency descent 'forced by maintenance errors. BBC News. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-nottinghamshire-19543673 15. Flynn, P. (2014). ‘Significant damage’ to Ryanair jet only discovered mid-flight. The Irish Times. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/significant-damage-to-ryanair-jet-only-discovered-mid-flight- 1.1897018 16. Galiacho, J. (2016). Volar con el depósito justo: el juego aéreo de la ruleta. El Español. Retrieved 13 July 2017, from http://www.elespanol.com/reportajes/grandes-historias/20161202/175233159_0.html 17. Glanfield, E. (2015). 11 planes forced to make Mayday landings because they were low on fuel. Mail Online. Retrieved 14 July 2017, from http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2947077/Eleven-planes-forced-make-Mayday-landings- British-airports-year-running-fuel.html 18. Wright, O. (2013). Safety warning as budget airlines such as Ryanair cut fuel. The Independent. Retrieved 14 July 2017, from http://www.independent.co.uk/travel/news-and-advice/exclusive-safety-warning-as-budget-airlines-such-as-ryanair- cut-fuel-levels-for-flights-8749046.html 19. Tapscott, D., & Tapscott, A. (2017). Realizing the Potential of Blockchain. Cologny/Geneva: World Economic Forum. Retrieved from http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Realizing_Potential_Blockchain.pdf