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scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 1
HCI International 2016 Toronto
The epidemiology
of innovation
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 2
The Big Short (2015)
(crisis clarifies our
weaknesses)
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 3
The sad state
of innovation
A recent McKinsey poll revealed that 94% of
managers are dissatisfied with their
company’s innovation performance.
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 4
innovation has moved from the
efficient production of goods…
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 5
…to the pursuit of greater
shareholder returns
(both approaches are proving to be outdated and unsustainable)
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 6
culture is a
system
the diffusion model of innovation reflects
this outdated linear framework
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 7
the diffusion of inventionS is not linear
the success of new technologies will requires conspiring with the
natural creativity of people adapting over time.
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 8
creativity & society are
the new key pillars for
shaping innovation going
forward
technology has
transformed innovation
to be much more
about variability and
adaptability than how
quickly ideas spread.
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 9
we need a systems approach to innovation
an inductive, rather than deductive approach, to encouraging new ideas.
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 10
an approach more akin to epidemiology
an approach that leads us to uncovering evolving patterns.
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 11
1. 2. 3.
a methodology reboot is vitally needed
detect brand
dilution earlier
make capital
investments earlier
develop measurable
co-creation frameworks
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 12
semiotics gives us a critical
structure to work with
patterns
dynamics
dimensions
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology
culture mapping is our structured approach
to visualize changing cultural signals
13
symbol
vision and
purpose
1 ritual
placing vision in
the context of
everyday life
2
badge
consumption as
social currency
3zeitgeist
cultural
saturation
4
the pattern
of dissent
the pattern
of aspiration
1 2
34
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 14
good visualizations reveal dynamic stories
when we analyze data it should convey the full dynamics of how
people are processing the world around them.
ritualsymbol
badgezeitgeist
emergent codes
dominant codes
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 15
the epidemiology of coffee in america
the meaning of coffee reveals deeper cultural dynamics.
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology
the rise and fall of cultural signifiers
16
we can leverage greater information from these dynamics
the rise
and fall
gourmet coffee
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 17
LOCAL
COFFEE
SHOPS
starbucks had lost touch with the deeper
cultural meaning of coffee in 2008
vision and
purpose
technique
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 18
technique
a
sourcing
vision
statusroutine what we share
these patterns in language represent a
cultural immune response of sorts
what we know
the pattern
of dissent
the pattern
of aspiration
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology
starbucks is now
tapping into this
system of cultural
language
19
Starbucks Reserve
Roastery & Tasting Room
techniquevision
statusroutine
emergent codes
dominant codes
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 20
techniquevision
statusroutine
emergent codes
dominant codes
the efficiency of the
brand cannot
compromise the cultural
depth of the brand
Starbucks Express
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 21
the epidemiology of luxury in asia
there is a split between younger and older millennials in China and South
Korea when it comes to the perception of indulgence and luxury.
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology
analyzing the signifiers in selfies
reveals discrete cognitive frameworks
22
older
millennial
younger
millennial
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology
these emerging signifiers are revealing
fundamental cognitive shifts
23
rank freedom
older millennials
respect approvalin the know
younger millennials
guilt perfection
restlessaccountable inquisitive
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 24
the epidemiology of food in america
the meaning of food has broad implications from how healthy we are
to how livable our cities are.
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 25
we’ve come a long way from frozen tv dinners
organic food dominates over 80% of all food we consume today in America.
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 26
organic food was cultivated as a system
of language over the last half century
the
story
started
here 60
years
ago
1940s - 1960s 1970s - 1980s
1990s - 2000sToday
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 27
synchronized
natural
emergent codes
dominant codes
This system of
language and codes
continues to evolve
(and reveal future narratives)
living
craft
Open AG at MIT
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 28
in the future
our kitchen
will be a
growing space
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology
in the future
ugly food is
good food
29
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology
in the future
we will be
networked
with our food
sources
30
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 31
“Man cannot stand
a meaningless life”
- Carl Jung
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 32
we can coax a better potential out of
today’s technology
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 33
impactful innovation is about
conspiring with humans naturally
(and learning to love the poetry )
scenarioDNA data science + anthropology
thank you.
34
Email
@timstock
timstock@scenariodna.com
34

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The Epidemiology of Innovation

  • 1. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 1 HCI International 2016 Toronto The epidemiology of innovation
  • 2. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 2 The Big Short (2015) (crisis clarifies our weaknesses)
  • 3. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 3 The sad state of innovation A recent McKinsey poll revealed that 94% of managers are dissatisfied with their company’s innovation performance.
  • 4. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 4 innovation has moved from the efficient production of goods…
  • 5. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 5 …to the pursuit of greater shareholder returns (both approaches are proving to be outdated and unsustainable)
  • 6. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 6 culture is a system the diffusion model of innovation reflects this outdated linear framework
  • 7. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 7 the diffusion of inventionS is not linear the success of new technologies will requires conspiring with the natural creativity of people adapting over time.
  • 8. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 8 creativity & society are the new key pillars for shaping innovation going forward technology has transformed innovation to be much more about variability and adaptability than how quickly ideas spread.
  • 9. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 9 we need a systems approach to innovation an inductive, rather than deductive approach, to encouraging new ideas.
  • 10. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 10 an approach more akin to epidemiology an approach that leads us to uncovering evolving patterns.
  • 11. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 11 1. 2. 3. a methodology reboot is vitally needed detect brand dilution earlier make capital investments earlier develop measurable co-creation frameworks
  • 12. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 12 semiotics gives us a critical structure to work with patterns dynamics dimensions
  • 13. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology culture mapping is our structured approach to visualize changing cultural signals 13 symbol vision and purpose 1 ritual placing vision in the context of everyday life 2 badge consumption as social currency 3zeitgeist cultural saturation 4 the pattern of dissent the pattern of aspiration 1 2 34
  • 14. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 14 good visualizations reveal dynamic stories when we analyze data it should convey the full dynamics of how people are processing the world around them. ritualsymbol badgezeitgeist emergent codes dominant codes
  • 15. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 15 the epidemiology of coffee in america the meaning of coffee reveals deeper cultural dynamics.
  • 16. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology the rise and fall of cultural signifiers 16 we can leverage greater information from these dynamics the rise and fall gourmet coffee
  • 17. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 17 LOCAL COFFEE SHOPS starbucks had lost touch with the deeper cultural meaning of coffee in 2008 vision and purpose technique
  • 18. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 18 technique a sourcing vision statusroutine what we share these patterns in language represent a cultural immune response of sorts what we know the pattern of dissent the pattern of aspiration
  • 19. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology starbucks is now tapping into this system of cultural language 19 Starbucks Reserve Roastery & Tasting Room techniquevision statusroutine emergent codes dominant codes
  • 20. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 20 techniquevision statusroutine emergent codes dominant codes the efficiency of the brand cannot compromise the cultural depth of the brand Starbucks Express
  • 21. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 21 the epidemiology of luxury in asia there is a split between younger and older millennials in China and South Korea when it comes to the perception of indulgence and luxury.
  • 22. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology analyzing the signifiers in selfies reveals discrete cognitive frameworks 22 older millennial younger millennial
  • 23. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology these emerging signifiers are revealing fundamental cognitive shifts 23 rank freedom older millennials respect approvalin the know younger millennials guilt perfection restlessaccountable inquisitive
  • 24. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 24 the epidemiology of food in america the meaning of food has broad implications from how healthy we are to how livable our cities are.
  • 25. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 25 we’ve come a long way from frozen tv dinners organic food dominates over 80% of all food we consume today in America.
  • 26. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 26 organic food was cultivated as a system of language over the last half century the story started here 60 years ago 1940s - 1960s 1970s - 1980s 1990s - 2000sToday
  • 27. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 27 synchronized natural emergent codes dominant codes This system of language and codes continues to evolve (and reveal future narratives) living craft Open AG at MIT
  • 28. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 28 in the future our kitchen will be a growing space
  • 29. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology in the future ugly food is good food 29
  • 30. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology in the future we will be networked with our food sources 30
  • 31. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 31 “Man cannot stand a meaningless life” - Carl Jung
  • 32. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 32 we can coax a better potential out of today’s technology
  • 33. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology 33 impactful innovation is about conspiring with humans naturally (and learning to love the poetry )
  • 34. scenarioDNA data science + anthropology thank you. 34 Email @timstock timstock@scenariodna.com 34