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Possible applications of low-rank tensors in statistics
and UQ
Alexander Litvinenko,
Extreme Computing Research Center and Uncertainty
Quantification Center, KAUST
(joint work with H.G. Matthies, MIT and KAUST)
Center for Uncertainty
Quantification
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http://sri-uq.kaust.edu.sa/
4*
Problem 1. Predict temperature, velocity, salinity
Grid: 50Mi locations on 50 levels, 4*(X*Y*Z) = 4*500*500*50=
50Mi.
High-resolution time-dependent data about Red Sea: zonal velocity and
temperature
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4*
Problem 1. Apply low-rank tensor for
1. Kriging estimate
ˆs := Csy C−1
yy y
2. Estimation of variance ˆσ, is the diagonal of conditional cov.
matrix
Css|y = diag Css − Csy C−1
yy Cys
,
3. Gestatistical optimal design
ϕA := n−1
trace{Css|y }
ϕC := cT
Css − Csy C−1
yy Cys c
,
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Problem 2. Stochastic Galerkin Operator
Problem 2. Stochastic Galerkin Operator
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Discretization of stoch. PDE − div(κ(p, x) u(p, x)) = f(x, p)
Pictures 1, 2 (poor and rich discretization of p):
(
i=1
∆i ⊗ Ki) · (x ⊗ e) = (f ⊗ e) (1)
Picture 3:
(
i=1
Ki ⊗ ∆i) · (x ⊗ e) = (f ⊗ e) (2)
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antification Logo Lock-up
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Problem 3. Predict moisture, estimate covariance parameters
Grid: 1830 × 1329 = 2, 432, 070 locations with 2,153,888
observations and 278,182 missing values.
−120 −110 −100 −90 −80 −70
253035404550
Soil moisture
longitude
latitude
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
High-resolution daily soil moisture data at the top layer of the Mississippi
basin, U.S.A., 01.01.2014 (Chaney et al., in review).
Important for agriculture, defense. Moisture is very heterogeneous.
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Problem 4: Identifying uncertain parameters
Given: a vector of measurements z = (z1, ..., zn)T with a
covariance matrix C(θ∗) = C(σ2, ν, ).
To identify: uncertain parameters (σ2, ν, ).
Plan: Maximize the log-likelihood function
L(θ) = −
1
2
Nlog2π + log det{C(θ)} + zT
C(θ)−1
z ,
On each iteration i we have a new matrix C(θi ).
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Solution: Estimation of uncertain parameters
H-matrix rank
3 7 9
cov.length
0.02
0.025
0.03
0.035
0.04
0.045
0.05
0.055
0.06
Box-plots for = 0.0334 (domain [0, 1]2) vs different H-matrix
ranks k = {3, 7, 9}.
Which H-matrix rank is sufficient for identification of parameters
of a particular type of cov. matrix?
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0 10 20 30 40
−4000
−3000
−2000
−1000
0
1000
2000
parameter θ, truth θ*=12
Log−likelihood(θ)
Shape of Log−likelihood(θ)
log(det(C))
zT
C−1
z
Log−likelihood
Figure : Minimum of negative log-likelihood (black) is at
θ = (·, ·, ) ≈ 12 (σ2
and ν are fixed)
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Problem 5: Multivariate characteristic function
Multivariate characteristic function
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Problem 5: Multivariate characteristic function
The multivariate characteristic function ϕX(t) of a d-dimensional
random vector X = (X1, ..., Xd ) with X1,...,Xd independent, is
ϕX(t) =
Rd
pX(y)exp(i y, t )dy, t = (t1, ..., td ) ∈ Rd
, (1)
The probability density is
pX(y) =
1
(2π)d
Rd
exp(−i y, t )ϕX(t)dt, y ∈ Rd
(2)
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Elliptically contoured multivariate stable distribution
The characteristic function ϕX(t) of the elliptically contoured
multivariate stable distribution is defined as follow:
ϕX(t) = exp i(t1, t2) · (µ1, µ2)T
− (t1, t2)
σ2
1 0
0 σ2
2
(t1, t2)T
α/2
(3)
Now the question is to find a separation of
(t1, t2)
σ2
1 0
0 σ2
2
(t1, t2)T
α/2
≈
R
ν=1
φν,1(t1) · φν,2(t2), (4)
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4*
Multivariate distribution
Let ϕX(t) of some multivariate d-dimensional distribution is
approximated as follow:
ϕX(t) ≈
R
=1
d
µ=1
ϕX ,µ
(tµ). (5)
pX(y) ≈
Rd
exp(−i y, t )ϕX(t)dt (6)
≈
Rd
exp(−i
d
j=1
yj tj )
R
=1
d
µ=1
ϕX ,µ
(tµ)dt1...dtd (7)
≈
R
=1
d
µ=1 R
exp(−iyµtµ)ϕX ,µ
(tµ)dtµ ≈
R
=1
d
µ=1
pX ,µ
(yµ)
(8)
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4*
Literature
1. PCE of random coefficients and the solution of stochastic partial
differential equations in the Tensor Train format, S. Dolgov, B. N.
Khoromskij, A. Litvinenko, H. G. Matthies, 2015/3/11, arXiv:1503.03210
2. Efficient analysis of high dimensional data in tensor formats, M. Espig,
W. Hackbusch, A. Litvinenko, H.G. Matthies, E. Zander Sparse Grids and
Applications, 31-56, 40, 2013
3. Application of hierarchical matrices for computing the Karhunen-Loeve
expansion, B.N. Khoromskij, A. Litvinenko, H.G. Matthies, Computing
84 (1-2), 49-67, 31, 2009
4. Efficient low-rank approximation of the stochastic Galerkin matrix in
tensor formats, M. Espig, W. Hackbusch, A. Litvinenko, H.G. Matthies,
P. Waehnert, Comp. & Math. with Appl. 67 (4), 818-829, 2012
Center for Uncertainty
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Possible applications of low-rank tensors in statistics and UQ (my talk in Bonn, Germany)

  • 1. Possible applications of low-rank tensors in statistics and UQ Alexander Litvinenko, Extreme Computing Research Center and Uncertainty Quantification Center, KAUST (joint work with H.G. Matthies, MIT and KAUST) Center for Uncertainty Quantification ntification Logo Lock-up http://sri-uq.kaust.edu.sa/
  • 2. 4* Problem 1. Predict temperature, velocity, salinity Grid: 50Mi locations on 50 levels, 4*(X*Y*Z) = 4*500*500*50= 50Mi. High-resolution time-dependent data about Red Sea: zonal velocity and temperature Center for Uncertainty Quantification tion Logo Lock-up 2 / 13
  • 3. 4* Problem 1. Apply low-rank tensor for 1. Kriging estimate ˆs := Csy C−1 yy y 2. Estimation of variance ˆσ, is the diagonal of conditional cov. matrix Css|y = diag Css − Csy C−1 yy Cys , 3. Gestatistical optimal design ϕA := n−1 trace{Css|y } ϕC := cT Css − Csy C−1 yy Cys c , Center for Uncertainty Quantification tion Logo Lock-up 3 / 13
  • 4. 4* Problem 2. Stochastic Galerkin Operator Problem 2. Stochastic Galerkin Operator Center for Uncertainty Quantification tion Logo Lock-up 4 / 13
  • 5. 4* Discretization of stoch. PDE − div(κ(p, x) u(p, x)) = f(x, p) Pictures 1, 2 (poor and rich discretization of p): ( i=1 ∆i ⊗ Ki) · (x ⊗ e) = (f ⊗ e) (1) Picture 3: ( i=1 Ki ⊗ ∆i) · (x ⊗ e) = (f ⊗ e) (2) Center for Uncertainty Quantification antification Logo Lock-up 1 / 1 Center for Uncertainty Quantification tion Logo Lock-up 5 / 13
  • 6. 4* Problem 3. Predict moisture, estimate covariance parameters Grid: 1830 × 1329 = 2, 432, 070 locations with 2,153,888 observations and 278,182 missing values. −120 −110 −100 −90 −80 −70 253035404550 Soil moisture longitude latitude 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 High-resolution daily soil moisture data at the top layer of the Mississippi basin, U.S.A., 01.01.2014 (Chaney et al., in review). Important for agriculture, defense. Moisture is very heterogeneous. Center for Uncertainty Quantification tion Logo Lock-up 5 / 13
  • 7. 4* Problem 4: Identifying uncertain parameters Given: a vector of measurements z = (z1, ..., zn)T with a covariance matrix C(θ∗) = C(σ2, ν, ). To identify: uncertain parameters (σ2, ν, ). Plan: Maximize the log-likelihood function L(θ) = − 1 2 Nlog2π + log det{C(θ)} + zT C(θ)−1 z , On each iteration i we have a new matrix C(θi ). Center for Uncertainty Quantification tion Logo Lock-up 6 / 13
  • 8. 4* Solution: Estimation of uncertain parameters H-matrix rank 3 7 9 cov.length 0.02 0.025 0.03 0.035 0.04 0.045 0.05 0.055 0.06 Box-plots for = 0.0334 (domain [0, 1]2) vs different H-matrix ranks k = {3, 7, 9}. Which H-matrix rank is sufficient for identification of parameters of a particular type of cov. matrix? Center for Uncertainty Quantification tion Logo Lock-up 7 / 13
  • 9. 0 10 20 30 40 −4000 −3000 −2000 −1000 0 1000 2000 parameter θ, truth θ*=12 Log−likelihood(θ) Shape of Log−likelihood(θ) log(det(C)) zT C−1 z Log−likelihood Figure : Minimum of negative log-likelihood (black) is at θ = (·, ·, ) ≈ 12 (σ2 and ν are fixed) Center for Uncertainty Quantification tion Logo Lock-up 8 / 13
  • 10. 4* Problem 5: Multivariate characteristic function Multivariate characteristic function Center for Uncertainty Quantification tion Logo Lock-up 9 / 13
  • 11. 4* Problem 5: Multivariate characteristic function The multivariate characteristic function ϕX(t) of a d-dimensional random vector X = (X1, ..., Xd ) with X1,...,Xd independent, is ϕX(t) = Rd pX(y)exp(i y, t )dy, t = (t1, ..., td ) ∈ Rd , (1) The probability density is pX(y) = 1 (2π)d Rd exp(−i y, t )ϕX(t)dt, y ∈ Rd (2) Center for Uncertainty Quantification tion Logo Lock-up 10 / 13
  • 12. 4* Elliptically contoured multivariate stable distribution The characteristic function ϕX(t) of the elliptically contoured multivariate stable distribution is defined as follow: ϕX(t) = exp i(t1, t2) · (µ1, µ2)T − (t1, t2) σ2 1 0 0 σ2 2 (t1, t2)T α/2 (3) Now the question is to find a separation of (t1, t2) σ2 1 0 0 σ2 2 (t1, t2)T α/2 ≈ R ν=1 φν,1(t1) · φν,2(t2), (4) Center for Uncertainty Quantification tion Logo Lock-up 11 / 13
  • 13. 4* Multivariate distribution Let ϕX(t) of some multivariate d-dimensional distribution is approximated as follow: ϕX(t) ≈ R =1 d µ=1 ϕX ,µ (tµ). (5) pX(y) ≈ Rd exp(−i y, t )ϕX(t)dt (6) ≈ Rd exp(−i d j=1 yj tj ) R =1 d µ=1 ϕX ,µ (tµ)dt1...dtd (7) ≈ R =1 d µ=1 R exp(−iyµtµ)ϕX ,µ (tµ)dtµ ≈ R =1 d µ=1 pX ,µ (yµ) (8) Center for Uncertainty Quantification tion Logo Lock-up 12 / 13
  • 14. 4* Literature 1. PCE of random coefficients and the solution of stochastic partial differential equations in the Tensor Train format, S. Dolgov, B. N. Khoromskij, A. Litvinenko, H. G. Matthies, 2015/3/11, arXiv:1503.03210 2. Efficient analysis of high dimensional data in tensor formats, M. Espig, W. Hackbusch, A. Litvinenko, H.G. Matthies, E. Zander Sparse Grids and Applications, 31-56, 40, 2013 3. Application of hierarchical matrices for computing the Karhunen-Loeve expansion, B.N. Khoromskij, A. Litvinenko, H.G. Matthies, Computing 84 (1-2), 49-67, 31, 2009 4. Efficient low-rank approximation of the stochastic Galerkin matrix in tensor formats, M. Espig, W. Hackbusch, A. Litvinenko, H.G. Matthies, P. Waehnert, Comp. & Math. with Appl. 67 (4), 818-829, 2012 Center for Uncertainty Quantification tion Logo Lock-up 13 / 13