Government should take a middle road approach to automated vehicles by neither significantly leading nor lagging community choices. This involves a four-phase national process: 1) understanding community attitudes; 2) developing concurrent federal and state legislation; 3) reporting on AV use and infrastructure needs; and 4) continually assessing uptake and identifying opportunities. The role of government is to engage stakeholders, address safety and liability, and plan infrastructure while allowing industry and public preferences to guide automated vehicle adoption.

1. www.advisian.com
Zoltan Maklary | Principal, Advisian
17 November 2017
Automated Vehicles:
lead or follow
Is government ready to decide?

2. What do we see now?
What about the public?
What is the role of government?
The people will decide
Outline

3. What do we see now?

4. 3.5 billion live in cities today and 7 billion will
live in cities by 2050.
1.2 million people are moving into cities each week.
The number of cars on the road will double by 2050,
even accounting for new technologies.
By 2050 there will be 600% more people on the move
every day.

5. Sustainable energy and climate change
Increasing computational power
Community expectations
New and evolving industries:
• Automation
• CAVs
• Zero emission vehicles
• Mobility as a Service
• Adaptive traffic management
Economics and industry
$, Choices, Flexibility
Artificial Intelligence
Efficiency and Productivity
Urbanisation and congestion
Many drivers will lead to new technologies and industries

6. Governments have a major role and
will - by action or inaction - strongly
influence the outcomes.

7. Safety
Energy Legislation
Service
Liability
Support
Employment
Land
usage
Transport
Infrastructure
Government
touch points

8. What about the public?

9. What is the opportunity?
Will they use AVs?
How will they use AVs?

10. The speed of uptake depends on public acceptance
Source: Advisian, IPA, UNSW: Automated Vehicles: Do we know which road to take?

11. What is the role of
government?

12. Education InfrastructureLegislation and
Regulation

14. A ‘low road’ – where regulation and investment severely
lags AV adoption
A ‘middle road’ – where regulation is responsive, but
follows observed community choices
A ‘high road’- where the government sector ‘pick winners’
in advance of community adoption.
1.
2.
3.
Driving the middle road

15. Government should take a path of
middle road leadership where
transport policy and investment decisions
neither significantly lead, nor significantly
lag, community choices.

16. A four phase national process
1. Understand the opportunity
2. Develop legislation and regulation
3. Infrastructure and data collection
4. Planning and choices

17. Engage with transport industry partners and road users to
benchmark community needs, hesitations and choices regarding AVs
Understand
the opportunity
1

18. AVs offer opportunities?
Road safety
Road capacity
Productivity
Convenience
Congestion (?)
Car ownership
CostsIncreased
Decreased

19. Considerations
• How will the public embrace adoption?
• How will AVs affect mobility, urban planning, transport?
• What new laws and regulations will be required?
• How should the introduction of AVs be staged?
• Will it begin with short trip shuttles, a right-of-way for AVs
on assigned, controlled corridors or a mix?

20. Possible solutions
 Regular benchmarking of community and user group opinions
 Consult with industry (local and overseas) to gauge emerging trends
and preferences
 Significantly increase community engagement and communications
during test and trials
 Ensure trials have sound scientific and engineering basis

21. Develop concurrent federal and state legislation and regulations
to allow AVs and Driverless Vehicles (DVs) to enter Australian roads
Develop legislation
and regulation
2

22. The current
situation

23. Considerations
• How and when will AVs operate legally on Australian Roads?
• At present fully autonomous vehicles are illegal outside of approved trials
• How does the private sector get involved?
• What about security and privacy?

24. Possible solutions
 Earn the trust of the community through open communication
 Discuss the real issues, removed from the hype
 Clarity around certification for vehicles
 Prepare coordinated plans to align legislation
 Learn from international experience
 Harmonise state and federal legislation

25. Report on the number, type and location of AVs
entering the vehicle fleet
Plan for the changes we need to make now
to capture the full potential of AVs
Infrastructure and
Data Collection
3

26. If roads could talk, we could…
• Understand and respond to opportunities to enable
and enhance the introduction of AVs
• Develop smart infrastructure: vehicle to “anything”
• Fully leverage artificial intelligence and machine learning
• Review and optimise road design
• Plan for change

27. Possible solutions
 Road authorities to switch from asset centric to data centric
• Real time traffic/road condition data for traffic and asset performance
• Adaptive and predictive traffic management
• Seamless multi mode transport management
 Investigate cyber resilience
 Prepare existing infrastructure – future proof

28. Assess AV uptake in long-term infrastructure, land use
and wider strategic planning
Identify other opportunities that will emerge
Planning and Choices
4

29. Possible solutions
 A national approach to collecting and sharing information broadly
 Identify a programme of potential investments
 Engage the federal and state Infrastructure “bodies”
 Identify possible adjustments to existing regulations or legislation
 Explore options to shift the road funding paradigm

30. Cheap
Safe
Convenient
= Transition to AVs
AV
The people will decide

31. Summary

32. Government should take the middle road
Four-phase national process:
1. Benchmark community attitudes
2. Develop concurrent Federal and state legislation and regulations
3. Report on the number, type and location of AVs entering the vehicle fleet
4. Routinely assess AV uptake and constantly identify opportunities

33. DISCLAIMER
This presentation has been prepared by a representative of Advisian.
The presentation contains the professional and personal opinions of the presenter, which are given in good faith. As such, opinions presented herein may not always necessarily reflect the position of
Advisian as a whole, its officers or executive.
Any forward-looking statements included in this presentation will involve subjective judgment and analysis and are subject to uncertainties, risks and contingencies—many of which are outside the
control of, and may be unknown to, Advisian.
Advisian and all associated entities and representatives make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information in this document and do not take responsibility
for updating any information or correcting any error or omission that may become apparent after this document has been issued.
To the extent permitted by law, Advisian and its officers, employees, related bodies and agents disclaim all liability—direct, indirect or consequential (and whether or not arising out of the negligence,
default or lack of care of Advisian and/or any of its agents)—for any loss or damage suffered by a recipient or other persons arising out of, or in connection with, any use or reliance on this presentation or
information.
For more information contact:
Zoltan Maklary
Principal, Advisian
Email: zoltan.maklary@advisian.com