Food Security Resulting from Climate Change
•
1 gefällt mir•548 views
Although this presentation is a little dated, the basic premise of how we need to consider food security as climate change advances.
Empfohlen
Empfohlen
Weitere ähnliche Inhalte
Was ist angesagt?
Was ist angesagt? (19)
Ähnlich wie Food Security Resulting from Climate Change
Ähnlich wie Food Security Resulting from Climate Change (20)
Mehr von Asian Food Regulation Information Service
Mehr von Asian Food Regulation Information Service (20)
Kürzlich hochgeladen
Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)
Food Security Resulting from Climate Change
- 1. Household Vulnerability to Food Security Resulting from Climate Change in the Philippines Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 2. Background Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 3. As defined in the World Food Summit, food security is existing “when all people at all times have access to sufficient, safe, and nutritious food to maintain a healthy and active life”. WHO, 1996 Food Security Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 4. Food Security Food Security ProductionProduction ConsumptionConsumption DistributionDistribution Food Security Concept Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 5. Chronically Food Insecure • food insecure today and likely to be so in the future unless assisted Temporarily Food Secure • food secure today but likely to be food insecure in the future unless assisted Temporarily Food Insecure • food insecure today but likely to be food secure in the future without any assistance Permanently Food Secure • food secure today and likely to be food secure in the future even without assistance Food Security Concept Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 6. What is vulnerability? Vulnerability = sensitivity + exposure - adaptability HazardHazard ExposureExposure ImpactImpact SensitivitySensitivity Adaptive Capacity Adaptive Capacity Vulnerability to Climate Change Vulnerability to Climate Change Outcome VulnerabilityOutcome Vulnerability Contextual VulnerabilityContextual Vulnerability income gender occupation Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 7. What is vulnerability to climate change? Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 8. Why assess vulnerability? Priority Setting Developing policies and adaptation strategies Fostering collaboration Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 9. Literature reviews Literature reviews Identification and selection of variables Identification and selection of variables Statistical assessment Statistical assessment Vulnerability Index Vulnerability Index Policy Simulation Policy Simulation Vulnerability Assessment Framework Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 10. Classification of Vulnerability Index And Energy Consumption Not Vulnerable Vulnerable 0.5 10 Vulnerability Index Caloric threshold Inadequate Energy Intake Adequate Energy Intake 0 Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 11. Objectives of the Study • identify and map the location of vulnerable groups • determine the degree of vulnerability • formulate policies that help a community or a particular household adapt to climate shocks • determine the association of policy-related actions with small adverse effects of climate change Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 12. Data Sets Used FNRI Socio-demographic, household information and dietary variables Age of hh head Sex of hh head Occupation of hh head No of appliances owned Total calories consumed Etc. NSO Wealth-related variables Total Income Share of Income from Farming PAGASA Downscaled climate data Precipitation Maximum Temperature Minimum Temperature Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 13. Results Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 14. Self-Assessed Hunger, Inadequate Energy Intake and Vulnerability 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 Vulnerable Inadequate Energy Intake Self-Assessed Hunger Proportion 2003 National Estimates of Food Insecurity Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 15. Self-Assessed Hunger, Inadequate Energy Intake and Vulnerability 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 2003 Regional Estiamtes Food Insecurity Self Assessed Hunger (Proportion) Inadequate Energy Intake (Proportion) Vulnerability Index (mean) Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 16. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 1-4 5-8 9-12 13 up Household Size Inadequate Energy Intake (proportion) Vulnerability Index (mean) 2003 Estimates of Vulnerability across Household Size Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 17. 2003 Estimates of Vulnerability across Educational Attainment of Household Head 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% At most 3rd Grade 3rd Grade - 4th Year High School 1st year College - 3rd Year College College Graduate and Above Educational Attainment Inadequate Energy Intake (proportion) Vulnerability Index (mean) Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 18. 2003 Estimates of Vulnerability and Fraction of Calorie Consumed Relative to Expected Calorie Consumption Calorie Consumed Over Expected Calorie Consumption VulnerabilityIndex 10200.40.60.81.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 19. 2003 Estimates of Vulnerability and Precipitation (Agricultural Households) 2003 Rainfall (mm) VulnerabilityIndex 0.00.20.40.60.81.0 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 Lowess smoother Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 20. 2003 Maximum Temperature (C) VulnerabilityIndex 0.00.20.40.60.81.0 27 28 29 30 31 32 0.2.4.6.81 2003 Estimates of Vulnerability and Maximum Temperature (Agricultural Households) Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 21. 2003 Minimum Temperature (C) VulnerabilityIndex 0.00.20.40.60.81.0 14 16 18 20 22 24 14 16 18 20 22 24 2003 Estimates of Vulnerability and Minimum Temperature (Agricultural Households) Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 22. Vulnerable Total Inadequate Energy Intake No Yes No 40.99% [0.2057] 4.23% [0.6650] 45.22 [0.2487] Yes 5.91% [0.3257] 48.87% [0.8051] 54.78 [0.7534] Total 46.90% [0.2209] 53.10% [0.7940] 100.00 [0.5252] Inadequate energy intake and Vulnerability in the Philippines, 2003 (population shares in % and mean vulnerability probability in parenthesis) Vulnerability and Inadequate Energy Intake Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 23. • 48.87% of households are chronically food insecure (food insecure today and likely to be so in the future unless assisted) • 4.23% of households are temporarily food secure (food secure today but likely to be food insecure in the future unless assisted) • 5.91% of households are temporarily food insecure (food insecure today but likely to be food secure in the future without any assistance) • 40.99% of households are permanently food secure (food secure today and likely to be food secure in the future even without assistance) Summary of Food Insecurity of 2003 Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 24. Simulation Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 25. Simulation: Maximum Temperature and Vulnerability 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% actual 5% increase in maximum temperature 10% increase in maximum temperature MeanVulnerability 2003 2008 Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 26. Maximum Temperature in the Philippines (1979-2050) Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 27. Simulation: Minimum Temperature and Vulnerability 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% actual 5% increase in minimum temperature 10%increase in minimum temperature MeanVulnerability 2003 2008 Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 28. Minimum Temperature in the Philippines (1979-2050) Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 29. Simulation: Educational Attainment and Vulnerability 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 actual mimimum of elementary level minimum of high school level at least college MeanVulnerability 2003 2008 Food and Nutrition Research Institute Department of Science and Technology
- 30. Thank You. We do not own/claim any of the pictures included in this presentation.
- 31. Characteristics Of Household Head • Age • Education • Civil Status • Sex • Occupation • Place of Work • Physiological Status Variables Used in the Study
- 32. Variables Used in the Study Characteristics Of Household Dwelling • Number of Rooms • Other rooms used for sleeping • Tenure status of Dwelling unit • Tenure status of lot • Roofing Materials • Walling Materials • Flooring Materials • Type of Dwelling Unit • Availability of Electricity • Appliances • Toilet Facility • Household Size
- 33. Variables Used in the Study Communication Infrastructure • Telephone/Cellphone Household Transportation • Car • Motorcycle/Tricycle
- 34. Variables Used in the Study Climate Variables • Level change of Rainfall relative to past 20 year average • Level change of Maximum and Minimum Temperature relative to past 20 year average • Climate type Wealth Index • Total Income • Share of Agricultural Income
- 35. Vulnerability Equation Vulnerability to food security was defined as:
- 36. AFRIS. AsianFoodRegulationInformationService. We have the largest database of Asian food regulations in the world and it’s FREE to use. We publish a range of communication services, list a very large number of food events and online educational webinars and continue to grow our Digital Library. We look forward to hearing from you soon! www.asianfoodreg.com adrienna@asianfoodreg.com