As South Bend Mayor and Presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg tries to win over voters in Iowa and New Hampshire, a poll of likely voters here in Marion County, a Democratic stronghold, shows nearly 60 percent of them either view him unfavorably or have no opinion of him.
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Pete's Poll Numbers
1. Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 1
PETE’S POLL NUMBERS
As South Bend Mayor and Presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg tries to win over voters in Iowa and New
Hampshire, a poll of likely voters here in Marion County, a Democratic stronghold, shows nearly 60 percent of
them either view him unfavorably or have no opinion of him.
The poll of 400 likely voters shows Buttigieg with a 41 percent favorable/somewhat favorable rating in
Indianapolis. However, that same poll also revealed 28 percent have an unfavorable or somewhat unfavorable
opinion and another 28 percent either have no opinion or do not know who he is.
Among Democrats, 62 percent have a favorable view, but almost a quarter (24 percent) haven’t heard of him or
have no opinion of him. Buttigieg scores higher approval ratings with progressives (72 percent) than with
conservative/moderates (51 percent), although 37 percent of moderate Democrats and 24 percent of
progressives either do not know who Buttigieg is or have no opinion of him.
African-American attitudes towards Buttigieg are somewhat reflective of the narrative that’s been taking place
at the national level. His favorable ratings among black voters are at 36 percent, with 46 percent saying they
have no opinion or don’t know who he is.
“In the largest city of his home state, Mayor Pete certainly can’t complain about his favorable ratings,” said
pollster Stephen Spiker, President and owner of Mason Strategies. “However, with so many Democratic voters
even here unfamiliar with him, particularly black voters, something has to change in a big way for him to
overcome the front-runners for the Democratic nomination.”
An earlier Mason Strategies poll, conducted in October 2018, showed that over 80 percent of voters in
Indianapolis did not know who Pete Buttigieg was or had an opinion of him. “His presidential bid and small
boomlet of national attention have certainly increased his statewide profile in less than 12 months,” Spiker
noted.
In the August 2019 poll, fifty percent of Independent voters give Buttigieg favorable marks, while 65 percent of
Republicans view him unfavorably. But like in other demographics, 27 percent of Republicans have no opinion
or don’t know Mayor Pete, compared to 15 percent of Independents.
The poll was conducted by Aug 11-14 by Mason Strategies and has a margin of error of +/-4.9 percent.
The survey sample was composed of 42 percent self-identified Democrats, 27 percent self-identified
Republicans and 26 percent identified themselves as Independents.
2. Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 2
Topline Results - Indianapolis Survey
n=400 likely voters
August 11 - 14, 2018
Introduction & Screener Questions
1. First, are you or any member of your family a member of the news media, a public relations
company, or an active participant with any political campaign?
No 100%
2. When there are local elections for mayor and the city-county council, do you always vote, almost
always vote, vote most of the time, vote some of the time, hardly ever vote, or never vote?
Always vote 66%
Almost always vote 15%
Vote most of the time 19%
Mayor’s Ballot
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Images
Next, I’m going to read you some names. For each, please tell me whether you have a favorable or
unfavorable opinion of that person. If you have no opinion or have never heard of them, just say so. IF
FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE, PROBE: Is that very or somewhat? RANDOMIZE SERIES
TOTAL
FAV
TOTAL
UNFAV
Very
Fav
S’what
Fav
S’what
Unfav
Very
Unfav
No
Opinion
Never
Heard of
4. Donald Trump 38% 58% 29% 9% 6% 52% 4% *
5. Mike Pence 43% 51% 29% 14% 9% 42% 5% *
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7. Pete Buttigieg 41% 28% 21% 20% 5% 23% 15% 13%
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3. Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 3
Issues & Job Approval
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Education Policy
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Demographics
23. Wrapping up, I have just a few more questions for demographic purposes only. First, in which of
the following ranges is your age:
18-40 26%
41-54 24%
55-64 26%
65 or older 25%
Refused 1%
4. Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 4
24. Gender:
Male 53%
Female 47%
25. Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?
White 69%
Hispanic or Latino 2%
African-American 22%
Asian-American 1%
Something else 5%
Refused 1%
26. If you had to label yourself, would you say you are a [ROTATE] liberal, moderate, or
conservative in your political beliefs? IF LIBERAL OR CONSERVATIVE, PROBE: Is that very
[liberal/conservative] or somewhat?
TOTAL CONSERVATIVE 32%
Very conservative 16%
Somewhat conservative 16%
TOTAL MODERATE 38%
TOTAL LIBERAL 28%
Somewhat liberal 17%
Very liberal 11%
DK/Refused 3%
5. Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 5
27. In politics, do you generally consider yourself to be a (ROTATE) Republican, Independent, or
Democrat? IF REPUBLICAN OR DEMOCRAT, PROBE: Is that a strong (Republican/Democrat) or
not-so-strong?
TOTAL REPUBLICAN 27%
Strong Republican 19%
Not-so-strong Republican 8%
TOTAL INDEPENDENT 26%
TOTAL DEMOCRAT 42%
Not-so-strong Democrat 10%
Strong Democrat 32%
Other 1%
DK/Refused 4%
28. What is the highest level of education you have completed?
Some high school 4%
Graduated high school 29%
Some college or associate’s 32%
Graduated college 21%
Masters/Post-Graduate 15%
29. Which of the following categories best describes your annual household income?
IF REFUSED INITIALLY: This information is for demographic purposes and is confidential. Which
of these broad income categories best describes your annual household income?
Less than $25,000 7%
$25,000 to less than $50,000 24%
$50,000 to less than $100,000 31%
$100,000 to less than $150,000 14%
$150,000 or more 9%
DK/Refused 15%
Thank you for your time. This call was authorized and paid for by Indy Politics.
6. Mason Strategies, LLC for Indy Politics August 2019
Indianapolis August 2019 Survey – TOPLINE RESULTS 6
Methodology Statement
On behalf of IndyPolitics.org, Mason Strategies, LLC, a research firm located out of Woodbridge, Virginia, conducted a telephone
survey of 400 likely voters in Marion County, Indiana. The survey was completed from August 11 - 14, 2018 using live
interviewers from a call center who called of landline and cell phones. 50% of the interviews were completed on cell phones.
The survey used RBS (Registration-Based Sampling) methodology, using voter registration records to create a random sample of
voters who have voted in at least two of the previous four general elections, or were newly registered to vote. The final sample
was weighted for age and education.
The survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.9% at the 95% confidence level. The margin of error applies to each individual data
point at the topline level. When applying margins of error to relative analysis (e.g., a ballot test), it would apply to each data
point and not the margin between the two. Thus, even a difference greater than 4.9% between two data points may not be
statistically significant. Sampling error is larger for subgroup analysis.
Pollster Contact:
Stephen Spiker
President & Owner of Mason Strategies
(757) 618-0676
email: stephen.spiker@gmail.com
www.masonstrategies.com
Sponsor Contact:
Abdul-Hakim Shabazz
IndyPolitics.org
(317) 727-1250
attyabdul@gmail.com