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Fulfilling the Legacy and Vision of Alan Magill:
Malaria Delenda Est
Chris Plowe MD MPH FASTMH
Institute for Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine
Baltimore, Maryland USA
~~~
Alan Magill Malaria Symposium
~~~
WRAIR, Silver Spring, MD
23 June 2016
Malaria can be eliminated
COL John Boyd Coates, Jr., MC, USA
http://history.amedd.army.mil/booksdocs/wwii/Malaria/default.htm
• Control – reduction of disease incidence and burden to the
point where it is no longer a public health priority
• Elimination – interruption of transmission of the pathogen
and a fall in disease incidence to zero in a defined
geographical area
• Eradication – interruption of pathogen transmission
worldwide & fall in disease incidence to zero
• Extinction – disappearance of the pathogen from the planet
Definitions
100 years
pre-eradication
Source:
Global malaria control and elimination
WHO 2008
Eradication era
1945 - 1977
Source:
Global malaria control and elimination
WHO 2008
Control era
1977 - 2007
Source:
Global malaria control and elimination
WHO 2008
Shrinking the
malaria map
• 62 countries have
eliminated malaria
• 96 countries still have
malaria
• 35 countries now
actively committed to
eliminating malaria
• 9 countries are close
to elimination
Today’s tools for malaria control,
elimination, eradication:
• LLIN = Long-lasting insecticide-treated nets
• IRS = Indoor residual spraying (DDT)
• IPT = Intermittent preventive treatment for pregnant women, infants,children
• ACT = Artemisinin-based combination therapy
~~~ Tomorrow’s tools?~~~
• SERCaP = Single Encounter Radical Cure & Prophylaxis
– (Targeted) Mass Drug Administration
– Focal/Mass Screening and Treatment
• VIMT = Vaccines that interrupt malaria transmission
• New surveillance tools?
• Transgenic mosquitoes?
• …?
Current tools:
Long-lasting insecticide-impregnated nets
WHO/S. Hollyman
C. Plowe
Elimination  eradication
Can malaria be eradicated?
Yes…
…eventually
…with an end to poverty and strife.
and/or
with new and better tools that can be
implemented everywhere.
What has worked for eradicating
other diseases?
Eradication programs
• Failure
Hookworm
Yellow fever
Yaws
Malaria
• Success
Smallpox
Polio (Americas)
Measles (Americas)
• Near success
Polio
Guinea worm
Rinderpest
Rubella (Americas)
DA Henderson, malERA Zenith Week, March 2010
Eradication programs
• Failure
Hookworm
Yellow fever
Yaws
Malaria
• Success
Smallpox
Polio (Americas)
Measles (Americas)
• Near success
Polio
Guinea worm
Rinderpest
Rubella (Americas)
DA Henderson, malERA Zenith Week, March 2010
Vaccines: Principal tool
Breman and Plowe J Inf Dis 2009
Modified from PATH Malaria Vaccine Initiative
Malaria vaccines
Is RTS,S an
elimination
vaccine?
R A Seder et al. Science 2013;341:1359-1365
Published by AAAS
IV PfSPZ Vaccine had 100% protective
efficacy in highest dose group
Snowden “The Conquest of Malaria”
2006
Malaria elimination in Italy 1900-1962
The logistical challenges are considerable…
Mali 2012
…but a frozen live sporozoite vaccine is already
being delivered in liquid nitrogen in Africa
International Livestock Research Institute, Kenya
Theileria parva (East Coast Fever)
“This artemisinin resistance—is it popping, or is it jumping?”
Professor Pe Thet Khin, former Minister of Health, Myanmar
April 2014
K13 molecular marker map
Woodrow et al. Lancet Inf Dis 2015
A wave of
artemisinin resistance?
Artemisinin resistance “paternity testing”
using K13 molecular marker
Most common resistance mutation has both
emerged independently (popped) and spread
K13 migration: Implications
• Many different K13 mutations arose
independently on many different
genetic backgrounds
• Several resistance mutations have
spread between countries in the
Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS)
• Based on this result, new WHO
recommendation:
– Containment is not possible
– Elimination is imperative for the GMS
Malaria as a catalyst
for social change
Washington DC August 2015
Surveillance & response:
Stratification of malaria risk to guide
elimination interventions
• Myanmar NMCP: Malaria risk stratification at
the township level is inadequate
– Ecological risks of vector exposure, reported clinical
cases
• Goal: Microstratification of malaria risk at village
level
• Identify sources and sinks of migrating parasites
to guide elimination interventions?
Gene flow:
Parasite migration patterns
• SNP chip: Genome-wide genotyping
• Coalescent theory to estimate gene
flow magnitude and direction
• 19 sites across Greater Mekong
Subregion
• Aim to identify sources, sinks,
pathways of malaria transmission to
target interventions
Chris Jacob PhD thesis
Molecular evolution methods may
provide new tools for mapping
contemporary parasite migration
• Next step: Move from regional to local
mapping to identify sources and sinks of
malaria transmission
• Useful for mapping transmission and spread
patterns of other parasites?
Subclinical, submicroscopic malaria reservoir
Malaria elimination may require elimination of all parasites
Demanding more sensitive tools to detect and map low density malaria
New WHO recommendations:
MDA is OK, but FSAT & MSAT need better diagnostic tests
http://www.who.int/malaria/publications/atoz/role-of-mda-for-malaria.pdf
Hunting for low density
malaria
• Field scalable: No sample processing, no cold chain x 14 days
• High throughput pipeline in Yangon: >20,000 samples since 2015
• Concordant with high volume PCR from frozen venous blood
• Now achieving same lower limit of detection from dried blood spots
• RDT: 100,000 parasites/mL; conventional PCR 1000-5000 parasites/mL)
• Ultrasensitive low-volume Reverse Transcriptase PCR
– Sensitivity: 16 parasites/mL & can detect both Pf & Pv simultaneously
0.3mL finger prick
blood in cap tube
+
Mix with DNA-
RNA shield
Transport to lab
Extract DNA/RNA Ultrasensitive
qPCR
Adams et al. Malaria Journal 2015
Mapping subclinical malaria in Myanmar
Simply increasing access to diagnosis
and treatment reduces malaria
• Village malaria workers
• Need for integration
especially as burden falls
• Will this be enough to
eliminate?
• Need tools to stratify and
forecast malaria risk and
target interventions
Alan Magill, February 2015
Siem Reap, Cambodia
Thanks to
Shannon Takala-Harrison
Chris Jacob
Jason Bailey
Andrew Pike
Alexa Machikis
Sonia Agarwal
Andrea Berry
Mark Travassos
Matthew Adams
Nicole Eddington Johnson
Gillian Mbambo
Biraj Shrestha
Kayvan Zainabadi
Myaing Nyunt
Institute for Genome Sciences
University of Maryland
Joana Silva
Amol Shetty
Tim O’Connor
Department of Geographical Sciences
University of Maryland College Park
Demian Rybock
Kathleen Stewart
Tatiana Loboda
Department of Medical Research
Myanmar Ministry of Health
Zayar Han
Hnin Hnin Wai Lwin
Kay Thwe Han
Myat Phone Kyaw
Kyaw Zin Thant
Defence Services Military Academy
Myanmar Ministry of Defence
Khine Zaw Oo
Ye Myat Kyaw
Tin Maung Hlaing
National Institute of Parasitic Diseases
Chinese CDC
Huang Fang
Xiao-Nong Zhou
Global Malaria Program
World Health Organization
Pascal Ringwald
Roche Innovation Technology
John Tan
TRAC, ARC3 & ARCE investigators
Arjen Dondorp, Mark Fukuda, Francois Nosten,
Harald Noedl, Mallika Imwong, Delia Bethell, Youry
Se, Chanthap Lon, Stuart Tyner, David L Saunders,
Charlotte Lanteri, Frederic Ariey, Aung Pyae Phyo,
Peter Starzengruber, Hans-Peter Fuehrer, Paul
Swododa, Nicholas White, Odile Mercereau-
Puijalon, Didier Menard, Paul Newton, Maniphone
Khanthavong, Bouasy Hongvanthong, Wasif A.
Khan

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ASTMH Past President Chris Plowe's Tribute to Alan Magill During WRAIR's 2016 Magill Symposium

  • 1. Fulfilling the Legacy and Vision of Alan Magill: Malaria Delenda Est Chris Plowe MD MPH FASTMH Institute for Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine Baltimore, Maryland USA ~~~ Alan Magill Malaria Symposium ~~~ WRAIR, Silver Spring, MD 23 June 2016
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Malaria can be eliminated COL John Boyd Coates, Jr., MC, USA http://history.amedd.army.mil/booksdocs/wwii/Malaria/default.htm
  • 5. • Control – reduction of disease incidence and burden to the point where it is no longer a public health priority • Elimination – interruption of transmission of the pathogen and a fall in disease incidence to zero in a defined geographical area • Eradication – interruption of pathogen transmission worldwide & fall in disease incidence to zero • Extinction – disappearance of the pathogen from the planet Definitions
  • 6. 100 years pre-eradication Source: Global malaria control and elimination WHO 2008
  • 7. Eradication era 1945 - 1977 Source: Global malaria control and elimination WHO 2008
  • 8. Control era 1977 - 2007 Source: Global malaria control and elimination WHO 2008
  • 9. Shrinking the malaria map • 62 countries have eliminated malaria • 96 countries still have malaria • 35 countries now actively committed to eliminating malaria • 9 countries are close to elimination
  • 10. Today’s tools for malaria control, elimination, eradication: • LLIN = Long-lasting insecticide-treated nets • IRS = Indoor residual spraying (DDT) • IPT = Intermittent preventive treatment for pregnant women, infants,children • ACT = Artemisinin-based combination therapy ~~~ Tomorrow’s tools?~~~ • SERCaP = Single Encounter Radical Cure & Prophylaxis – (Targeted) Mass Drug Administration – Focal/Mass Screening and Treatment • VIMT = Vaccines that interrupt malaria transmission • New surveillance tools? • Transgenic mosquitoes? • …?
  • 11.
  • 14. Can malaria be eradicated? Yes… …eventually …with an end to poverty and strife. and/or with new and better tools that can be implemented everywhere.
  • 15. What has worked for eradicating other diseases?
  • 16. Eradication programs • Failure Hookworm Yellow fever Yaws Malaria • Success Smallpox Polio (Americas) Measles (Americas) • Near success Polio Guinea worm Rinderpest Rubella (Americas) DA Henderson, malERA Zenith Week, March 2010
  • 17. Eradication programs • Failure Hookworm Yellow fever Yaws Malaria • Success Smallpox Polio (Americas) Measles (Americas) • Near success Polio Guinea worm Rinderpest Rubella (Americas) DA Henderson, malERA Zenith Week, March 2010 Vaccines: Principal tool
  • 18. Breman and Plowe J Inf Dis 2009 Modified from PATH Malaria Vaccine Initiative Malaria vaccines
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. R A Seder et al. Science 2013;341:1359-1365 Published by AAAS IV PfSPZ Vaccine had 100% protective efficacy in highest dose group
  • 23. Snowden “The Conquest of Malaria” 2006 Malaria elimination in Italy 1900-1962 The logistical challenges are considerable… Mali 2012
  • 24. …but a frozen live sporozoite vaccine is already being delivered in liquid nitrogen in Africa International Livestock Research Institute, Kenya Theileria parva (East Coast Fever)
  • 25.
  • 26. “This artemisinin resistance—is it popping, or is it jumping?” Professor Pe Thet Khin, former Minister of Health, Myanmar April 2014
  • 27. K13 molecular marker map Woodrow et al. Lancet Inf Dis 2015 A wave of artemisinin resistance?
  • 28. Artemisinin resistance “paternity testing” using K13 molecular marker
  • 29. Most common resistance mutation has both emerged independently (popped) and spread
  • 30. K13 migration: Implications • Many different K13 mutations arose independently on many different genetic backgrounds • Several resistance mutations have spread between countries in the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) • Based on this result, new WHO recommendation: – Containment is not possible – Elimination is imperative for the GMS
  • 31. Malaria as a catalyst for social change
  • 33. Surveillance & response: Stratification of malaria risk to guide elimination interventions • Myanmar NMCP: Malaria risk stratification at the township level is inadequate – Ecological risks of vector exposure, reported clinical cases • Goal: Microstratification of malaria risk at village level • Identify sources and sinks of migrating parasites to guide elimination interventions?
  • 34. Gene flow: Parasite migration patterns • SNP chip: Genome-wide genotyping • Coalescent theory to estimate gene flow magnitude and direction • 19 sites across Greater Mekong Subregion • Aim to identify sources, sinks, pathways of malaria transmission to target interventions Chris Jacob PhD thesis
  • 35. Molecular evolution methods may provide new tools for mapping contemporary parasite migration • Next step: Move from regional to local mapping to identify sources and sinks of malaria transmission • Useful for mapping transmission and spread patterns of other parasites?
  • 36. Subclinical, submicroscopic malaria reservoir Malaria elimination may require elimination of all parasites Demanding more sensitive tools to detect and map low density malaria
  • 37. New WHO recommendations: MDA is OK, but FSAT & MSAT need better diagnostic tests http://www.who.int/malaria/publications/atoz/role-of-mda-for-malaria.pdf
  • 38.
  • 39. Hunting for low density malaria • Field scalable: No sample processing, no cold chain x 14 days • High throughput pipeline in Yangon: >20,000 samples since 2015 • Concordant with high volume PCR from frozen venous blood • Now achieving same lower limit of detection from dried blood spots • RDT: 100,000 parasites/mL; conventional PCR 1000-5000 parasites/mL) • Ultrasensitive low-volume Reverse Transcriptase PCR – Sensitivity: 16 parasites/mL & can detect both Pf & Pv simultaneously 0.3mL finger prick blood in cap tube + Mix with DNA- RNA shield Transport to lab Extract DNA/RNA Ultrasensitive qPCR Adams et al. Malaria Journal 2015
  • 41. Simply increasing access to diagnosis and treatment reduces malaria • Village malaria workers • Need for integration especially as burden falls • Will this be enough to eliminate? • Need tools to stratify and forecast malaria risk and target interventions
  • 42. Alan Magill, February 2015 Siem Reap, Cambodia
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45. Thanks to Shannon Takala-Harrison Chris Jacob Jason Bailey Andrew Pike Alexa Machikis Sonia Agarwal Andrea Berry Mark Travassos Matthew Adams Nicole Eddington Johnson Gillian Mbambo Biraj Shrestha Kayvan Zainabadi Myaing Nyunt Institute for Genome Sciences University of Maryland Joana Silva Amol Shetty Tim O’Connor Department of Geographical Sciences University of Maryland College Park Demian Rybock Kathleen Stewart Tatiana Loboda Department of Medical Research Myanmar Ministry of Health Zayar Han Hnin Hnin Wai Lwin Kay Thwe Han Myat Phone Kyaw Kyaw Zin Thant Defence Services Military Academy Myanmar Ministry of Defence Khine Zaw Oo Ye Myat Kyaw Tin Maung Hlaing National Institute of Parasitic Diseases Chinese CDC Huang Fang Xiao-Nong Zhou Global Malaria Program World Health Organization Pascal Ringwald Roche Innovation Technology John Tan TRAC, ARC3 & ARCE investigators Arjen Dondorp, Mark Fukuda, Francois Nosten, Harald Noedl, Mallika Imwong, Delia Bethell, Youry Se, Chanthap Lon, Stuart Tyner, David L Saunders, Charlotte Lanteri, Frederic Ariey, Aung Pyae Phyo, Peter Starzengruber, Hans-Peter Fuehrer, Paul Swododa, Nicholas White, Odile Mercereau- Puijalon, Didier Menard, Paul Newton, Maniphone Khanthavong, Bouasy Hongvanthong, Wasif A. Khan