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Aligning Learning Incentives of Students and
Teachers: Results from a Social Experiment
         in Mexican High Schools

        Jere Behrman, Susan Parker,
       Petra E, Todd, Kenneth I. Wolpin
Overview

Study the effects of a performance incentive program aimed at
improving mathematics knowledge in Mexican high schools.
Overview

Study the effects of a performance incentive program aimed at
improving mathematics knowledge in Mexican high schools.

 Mexico ranked last of 34 OECD countries in the 2009 rankings of
  PISA test sores in mathematics.
Overview

Study the effects of a performance incentive program aimed at
improving mathematics knowledge in Mexican high schools.

 Mexico ranked last of 34 OECD countries in the 2009 rankings of
  PISA test sores in mathematics.

 Less than 10 % of students score at or above the Proficient level
  on the 2008 national 9th grade Mathematics test and over 50%
  score at the Pre-Basic level.
Overview

Study the effects of a performance incentive program aimed at
improving mathematics knowledge in Mexican high schools.

 Mexico ranked last of 34 OECD countries in the 2009 rankings of
  PISA test sores in mathematics.

 Less than 10 % of students score at or above the Proficient level
  on the 2008 national 9th grade Mathematics test and over 50%
  score at the Pre-Basic level.


ALI program designed to promote mathematics achievement
through monetary incentives for performance on curriculum-based
tests.
Empirical Literature on School
              Performance Incentives

1. Teacher Incentives: Glewwe et. Al. (2003) in Kenya,
Springer et. al. (2010) in Tennessee, Muralidharan and
Sundararaman (2011) in India.
Empirical Literature on School
              Performance Incentives

1. Teacher Incentives: Glewwe et. Al. (2003) in Kenya,
Springer et. al. (2010) in Tennessee, Muralidharan and
Sundararaman (2011) in India.

2. Student Incentives: Angrist and Lavy (2009) in Israel,
Kremer et. al. (2009) in Kenya, Fryer (2010) in Chicago,
Dallas, New York and Washington D.C., Levitt et. al.
(2010) in a Chicago suburb.
Empirical Literature on School
              Performance Incentives

1. Teacher Incentives: Glewwe et. Al. (2003) in Kenya,
Springer et. al. (2010) in Tennessee, Muralidharan and
Sundararaman (2011) in India.

2. Student Incentives: Angrist and Lavy (2009) in Israel,
Kremer et. al. (2009) in Kenya, Fryer (2010) in Chicago,
Dallas, New York and Washington D.C., Levitt et. al.
(2010) in a Chicago suburb.

3. Student and Teacher Incentives: Jackson (2010) in
Dallas.
Empirical Literature on School
                Performance Incentives

  1. Teacher Incentives: Glewwe et. Al. (2003) in Kenya,
  Springer et. al. (2010) in Tennessee, Muralidharan and
  Sundararaman (2011) in India.

  2. Student Incentives: Angrist and Lavy (2009) in Israel,
  Kremer et. al. (2009) in Kenya, Fryer (2010) in Chicago,
  Dallas, New York and Washington D.C., Levitt et. al.
  (2010) in a Chicago suburb.

  3. Student and Teacher Incentives: Jackson (2010) in
  Dallas.

 Effect sizes on test scores generally .10-.25 sd.
Some Facts About Education in Mexico

School Completion Rates (1996 1st grade entry cohort):
  87% complete 6th grade – 82% enter 7th grade
  65% complete 9th grade – 62% enter 10th grade
  47% complete 10th grade
  39% complete 11th grade
  38% complete 12th grade
  28% enter college
Some Facts About Education in Mexico

School Completion Rates (1996 1st grade entry cohort):
  87% complete 6th grade – 82% enter 7th grade
  65% complete 9th grade – 62% enter 10th grade
  47% complete 10th grade
  39% complete 11th grade
  38% complete 12th grade
  28% enter college

Federal high schools (1,000 schools):
  Per-pupil expenditure - 21,000 pesos
  Average teacher monthly salary - 20,000 pesos
  Pct. of high school students attending - 25%
  Average annual tuition – 1,200 pesos
ALI Program



Pilot program period: AY 2008/09, 2009/10 and 2010/11.



Program participants: all students in 88 Federal high
    schools in Mexico – 24 of 31 states.


Overall design: Random assignment to three treatment
   groups of 20 schools each and 28 control schools
Treatments


Treatments:

  T1 (20 schools)
      Payment provided to students related to their
      individual performance.
Treatments


Treatments:

  T1 (20 schools)
      Payment provided to students related to their
      individual performance.

  T2 (20 schools)
      Payment provided to mathematics teachers based
      on the performance of the students in their classes.
Treatments

T3 (20 schools)
    1. Payment to students based on individual
performance and on performance of classmates.
Treatments

T3 (20 schools)
    1. Payment to students based on individual
performance and on performance of classmates.

     2. Payment to mathematics teachers based on
performance of students in their classes and of students
in all other mathematics classes.
Treatments

T3 (20 schools)
    1. Payment to students based on individual
performance and on performance of classmates.

     2. Payment to mathematics teachers based on
performance of students in their classes and of students
in all other mathematics classes.

    3. Payment to non-mathematics teachers based on
performance of students in all mathematics classes.
Treatments

T3 (20 schools)
    1. Payment to students based on individual
performance and on performance of classmates.

     2. Payment to mathematics teachers based on
performance of students in their classes and of students
in all other mathematics classes.

    3. Payment to non-mathematics teachers based on
performance of students in all mathematics classes.

    4. Payment to principals and other administrators
based on performance of students in all mathematics
classes.
Randomization



School-based block randomization design.



Nine blocks characterized by school size and graduation
rates prior to the initiation of the program.



Within each block, schools are allocated randomly to the
three treatment groups and the control group.
ENLACE scores are reported both standardized (mean=500, sd=100) and
in four categories.




National figures include students who never attended high school.
ALI Tests


The tests are based on the standardized curriculum for
each grade and were produced especially for this project
by a Mexican educational testing service (CENEVAL).
ALI Tests


The tests are based on the standardized curriculum for
each grade and were produced especially for this project
by a Mexican educational testing service (CENEVAL).

Grade 10: Algebra, Geometry and Trigonometry (class
hours - 4hrs/wk) – 2.5 hour ALI examination
ALI Tests


The tests are based on the standardized curriculum for
each grade and were produced especially for this project
by a Mexican educational testing service (CENEVAL).

Grade 10: Algebra, Geometry and Trigonometry (class
hours - 4hrs/wk) – 2.5 hour ALI examination

Grade 11: Analytical Geometry, Calculus (class hours -
4hrs/wk) – 2.5 hour ALI examination
ALI Tests


The tests are based on the standardized curriculum for
each grade and were produced especially for this project
by a Mexican educational testing service (CENEVAL).

Grade 10: Algebra, Geometry and Trigonometry (class
hours - 4hrs/wk) – 2.5 hour ALI examination

Grade 11: Analytical Geometry, Calculus (class hours -
4hrs/wk) – 2.5 hour ALI examination

Grade 12: Probability and Statistics, Applied Statistics
(class hours - 5hrs/wk) – 2.5 hour examination on 12th
grade material, 1.25 hours each on 10th and 11th grade
material.
Incentive Schedules : Teachers (T2, T3)
Incentive Schedules


Incentive schedules are based on the categorical scores
on an initial test (grades 10 and 11) and on the end-of-
year ALI test (grades 10,11,12).
Incentive Schedules


Incentive schedules are based on the categorical scores
on an initial test (grades 10 and 11) and on the end-of-
year ALI test (grades 10,11,12).

    The initial test score for the tenth grade is the
    national 9th year mathematics ENLACE (curriculum-
    based test).
Incentive Schedules


Incentive schedules are based on the categorical scores
on an initial test (grades 10 and 11) and on the end-of-
year ALI test (grades 10,11,12).

    The initial test score for the tenth grade is the
    national 9th year mathematics ENLACE (curriculum-
    based test).

    The initial test score for the eleventh grade is the
    10th grade ALI curriculum test (except in first year –
    9th grade ENLACE).
Incentive Schedules


The 10th grade test score cutoffs mimic the control
group’s distribution of categorical scores on the 9th grade
mathematics ENLACE.
Incentive Schedules


The 10th grade test score cutoffs mimic the control
group’s distribution of categorical scores on the 9th grade
mathematics ENLACE.

The 11th grade test score cutoffs mimic the control
group’s distribution on the 9th grade ENLACE in year 1
and on the 10th grade ALI test in years 2 and 3.
Incentive Schedules


The 10th grade test score cutoffs mimic the control
group’s distribution of categorical scores on the 9th grade
mathematics ENLACE.

The 11th grade test score cutoffs mimic the control
group’s distribution on the 9th grade ENLACE in year 1
and on the 10th grade ALI test in years 2 and 3.

The 12th grade test score cutoffs mimic the control
group’s distribution on the 12th grade mathematics
ENLACE.
Incentive Schedules: Students (T1, T3)
Incentive Schedules: Students (T1, T3)
Incentive Schedules : Students (T1, T3)
Incentive Schedules : Students (T1, T3)
Incentive Schedules : Students (T1, T3)
Incentive Schedules : Students (T1, T3)
Incentive Schedules : Teachers (T2, T3)
Incentive Schedules : Teachers (T2, T3)
Incentive Schedules : Teachers (T2, T3)
Incentive Schedules: Performance of Others (T3)

In addition to the incentives based on own performance,

    Students receive an additional payment of one percent of the
    total amount received by all of the students in their class.
Incentive Schedules: Performance of Others (T3)

In addition to the incentives based on own performance,

    Students receive an additional payment of one percent of the
    total amount received by all of the students in their class.

    FTE mathematics teachers receives an additional payment of
    25 percent of the average (FTE) amount earned by the other
    mathematics teachers.
Incentive Schedules: Performance of Others (T3)

In addition to the incentives based on own performance,

    Students receive an additional payment of one percent of the
    total amount received by all of the students in their class.

    FTE mathematics teachers receives an additional payment of
    25 percent of the average (FTE) amount earned by the other
    mathematics teachers.

    A FTE non-mathematics teacher receives a payment of 25
    percent of the average (FTE) amount earned by the
    mathematics teachers.
Incentive Schedules: Performance of Others (T3)

In addition to the incentives based on own performance,

    Students receive an additional payment of one percent of the
    total amount received by all of the students in their class.

    FTE mathematics teachers receives an additional payment of
    25 percent of the average (FTE) amount earned by the other
    mathematics teachers.

    A FTE non-mathematics teacher receives a payment of 25
    percent of the average (FTE) amount earned by the
    mathematics teachers.

    The principal of the school receives a payment of 50 percent of
    the average (FTE) amount earned by the mathematics
    teachers.
Attrition




There are existing incentive programs that pay students for attendance
and the bonus from the ALI program is uncertain.
Testing Protocol


 One external monitor per classroom – one overall external
  supervisor in school.
Testing Protocol


 One external monitor per classroom – one overall external
  supervisor in school.

 Teachers not present during test administration.
Testing Protocol


 One external monitor per classroom – one overall external
  supervisor in school.

 Teachers not present during test administration.

 Test answer sheets and test booklets collected by monitors at
  the end of the exam and returned to testing agency for scoring.
Testing Protocol


 One external monitor per classroom – one overall external
  supervisor in school.

 Teachers not present during test administration.

 Test answer sheets and test booklets collected by monitors at
  the end of the exam and returned to testing agency for scoring.

 Despite these measures, we found evidence that led to a
  suspicion of student cheating.
     In some treatment schools, students and teachers received unusually high
      levels of incentive payments.

     Some answer sheets of students within the same classroom exhibited
      strings of matching correct and incorrect answers.
Analysis of Student Copying
Analysis performed by George Wesolowsky (professor emeritus,
McMaster University) – uses method described in his J. of Applied
Statistics (2000) article.

1. Statistical model determining probability that student i answers multiple
choice question j incorrectly
           Incorporates a parametric function of the “difficulty” of the question
           and the “ability” of the student.

2. Determine for every pair of students and for each question, the probability
that the two students will have the same answer (assume, e.g., that all wrong
answers are equally likely).

3. The probability distribution of the number of matches is a compound
binomial; approximated as normal.

4. Choose a critical value for the number of observed matches. Reject the null
of no copying if the number of matches exceeds the critical value. A Bonferroni
correction is used with a critical value such that the probability is one that at
least one pair of students is falsely accused.
A Caveat: Lack of Test-Taking Effort by Control Students
Assumption 1:
  a. test-taking effort of T1 students no less than that of T3
     students
  b. T1 effect is zero in all years

Lower Bound Estimate of Treatment Effect in Year 3:a
   T3:
      31.1 standardized points for 10th grade
      16.9 for 11th grade
      34.0 for 12th grade



a. Adjusted for copying.
A Caveat: Lack of Test-Taking Effort by Control Students

Assumption 2:
  a. test-taking effort of C students same in all years.
  b. T1 effect is zero in year one only

Lower Bound Estimate of Treatment Effect in Year 3a:
   T3: 46.5 standardized points for 10th grade
        28.5 for 11th grade
        47.1 for 12th grade
   T1: 15.4 standardized points for 10th grade
        11.6 for 11th grade
        13.1 for 12th grade
a. Uses treatment effects adjusted for copying.
Payment Outcomes
Payment Outcomes
Payment Outcomes
Conclusions
• Evaluated effects of student and teacher incentive
  programs, in isolation and combined
• Student incentives alone increased mathematics test
  scores by 0.2-0.3 std. dev. (adjusted estimates)
• Teacher incentives alone had no effect
• Combined student and teacher incentives increased
  scores by 0.3-0.6 std. dev.
• Positive impacts over entire baseline test score
  distribution, with slightly larger impacts at higher
  quantiles.
TESTIMONIOS ALUMNOS
               Sulem Hernández González
                         Alfajayucan, Hidalgo

               “Estudio para ser Técnico en
             Informática y con el dinero que
                me gané, pude comprar mi
                             computadora”
TESTIMONIOS ALUMNOS
                  Sulem Hernández González
              Erika del Carmen Olán Magaña
                            Alfajayucan, Hidalgo
                           Comalcalco, Tabasco

                  “Estudio para ser Técnico en
                Informáticaque me dieron en el
                   “Con lo y con el dinero que
             programagané, pude comprar mi
                   me apoyé a mi familia para
                                computadora”
               construir los cimientos de mi
                                         casa”
TESTIMONIOS ALUMNOS



                           Cristian Pérez Pérez
                 Santiago Papasquiaro,Guanajuato

             “Con lo que me gané compré una
             vaca y hace poco tuvo un becerro.
              Con la venta de la leche que da la
            vaca, me ayudo para mis útiles de
                                     la escuela”

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02.21.2013 - Petra Todd

  • 1. Aligning Learning Incentives of Students and Teachers: Results from a Social Experiment in Mexican High Schools Jere Behrman, Susan Parker, Petra E, Todd, Kenneth I. Wolpin
  • 2. Overview Study the effects of a performance incentive program aimed at improving mathematics knowledge in Mexican high schools.
  • 3. Overview Study the effects of a performance incentive program aimed at improving mathematics knowledge in Mexican high schools.  Mexico ranked last of 34 OECD countries in the 2009 rankings of PISA test sores in mathematics.
  • 4. Overview Study the effects of a performance incentive program aimed at improving mathematics knowledge in Mexican high schools.  Mexico ranked last of 34 OECD countries in the 2009 rankings of PISA test sores in mathematics.  Less than 10 % of students score at or above the Proficient level on the 2008 national 9th grade Mathematics test and over 50% score at the Pre-Basic level.
  • 5. Overview Study the effects of a performance incentive program aimed at improving mathematics knowledge in Mexican high schools.  Mexico ranked last of 34 OECD countries in the 2009 rankings of PISA test sores in mathematics.  Less than 10 % of students score at or above the Proficient level on the 2008 national 9th grade Mathematics test and over 50% score at the Pre-Basic level. ALI program designed to promote mathematics achievement through monetary incentives for performance on curriculum-based tests.
  • 6. Empirical Literature on School Performance Incentives 1. Teacher Incentives: Glewwe et. Al. (2003) in Kenya, Springer et. al. (2010) in Tennessee, Muralidharan and Sundararaman (2011) in India.
  • 7. Empirical Literature on School Performance Incentives 1. Teacher Incentives: Glewwe et. Al. (2003) in Kenya, Springer et. al. (2010) in Tennessee, Muralidharan and Sundararaman (2011) in India. 2. Student Incentives: Angrist and Lavy (2009) in Israel, Kremer et. al. (2009) in Kenya, Fryer (2010) in Chicago, Dallas, New York and Washington D.C., Levitt et. al. (2010) in a Chicago suburb.
  • 8. Empirical Literature on School Performance Incentives 1. Teacher Incentives: Glewwe et. Al. (2003) in Kenya, Springer et. al. (2010) in Tennessee, Muralidharan and Sundararaman (2011) in India. 2. Student Incentives: Angrist and Lavy (2009) in Israel, Kremer et. al. (2009) in Kenya, Fryer (2010) in Chicago, Dallas, New York and Washington D.C., Levitt et. al. (2010) in a Chicago suburb. 3. Student and Teacher Incentives: Jackson (2010) in Dallas.
  • 9. Empirical Literature on School Performance Incentives 1. Teacher Incentives: Glewwe et. Al. (2003) in Kenya, Springer et. al. (2010) in Tennessee, Muralidharan and Sundararaman (2011) in India. 2. Student Incentives: Angrist and Lavy (2009) in Israel, Kremer et. al. (2009) in Kenya, Fryer (2010) in Chicago, Dallas, New York and Washington D.C., Levitt et. al. (2010) in a Chicago suburb. 3. Student and Teacher Incentives: Jackson (2010) in Dallas.  Effect sizes on test scores generally .10-.25 sd.
  • 10. Some Facts About Education in Mexico School Completion Rates (1996 1st grade entry cohort): 87% complete 6th grade – 82% enter 7th grade 65% complete 9th grade – 62% enter 10th grade 47% complete 10th grade 39% complete 11th grade 38% complete 12th grade 28% enter college
  • 11. Some Facts About Education in Mexico School Completion Rates (1996 1st grade entry cohort): 87% complete 6th grade – 82% enter 7th grade 65% complete 9th grade – 62% enter 10th grade 47% complete 10th grade 39% complete 11th grade 38% complete 12th grade 28% enter college Federal high schools (1,000 schools): Per-pupil expenditure - 21,000 pesos Average teacher monthly salary - 20,000 pesos Pct. of high school students attending - 25% Average annual tuition – 1,200 pesos
  • 12. ALI Program Pilot program period: AY 2008/09, 2009/10 and 2010/11. Program participants: all students in 88 Federal high schools in Mexico – 24 of 31 states. Overall design: Random assignment to three treatment groups of 20 schools each and 28 control schools
  • 13. Treatments Treatments: T1 (20 schools) Payment provided to students related to their individual performance.
  • 14. Treatments Treatments: T1 (20 schools) Payment provided to students related to their individual performance. T2 (20 schools) Payment provided to mathematics teachers based on the performance of the students in their classes.
  • 15. Treatments T3 (20 schools) 1. Payment to students based on individual performance and on performance of classmates.
  • 16. Treatments T3 (20 schools) 1. Payment to students based on individual performance and on performance of classmates. 2. Payment to mathematics teachers based on performance of students in their classes and of students in all other mathematics classes.
  • 17. Treatments T3 (20 schools) 1. Payment to students based on individual performance and on performance of classmates. 2. Payment to mathematics teachers based on performance of students in their classes and of students in all other mathematics classes. 3. Payment to non-mathematics teachers based on performance of students in all mathematics classes.
  • 18. Treatments T3 (20 schools) 1. Payment to students based on individual performance and on performance of classmates. 2. Payment to mathematics teachers based on performance of students in their classes and of students in all other mathematics classes. 3. Payment to non-mathematics teachers based on performance of students in all mathematics classes. 4. Payment to principals and other administrators based on performance of students in all mathematics classes.
  • 19. Randomization School-based block randomization design. Nine blocks characterized by school size and graduation rates prior to the initiation of the program. Within each block, schools are allocated randomly to the three treatment groups and the control group.
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  • 23. ENLACE scores are reported both standardized (mean=500, sd=100) and in four categories. National figures include students who never attended high school.
  • 24. ALI Tests The tests are based on the standardized curriculum for each grade and were produced especially for this project by a Mexican educational testing service (CENEVAL).
  • 25. ALI Tests The tests are based on the standardized curriculum for each grade and were produced especially for this project by a Mexican educational testing service (CENEVAL). Grade 10: Algebra, Geometry and Trigonometry (class hours - 4hrs/wk) – 2.5 hour ALI examination
  • 26. ALI Tests The tests are based on the standardized curriculum for each grade and were produced especially for this project by a Mexican educational testing service (CENEVAL). Grade 10: Algebra, Geometry and Trigonometry (class hours - 4hrs/wk) – 2.5 hour ALI examination Grade 11: Analytical Geometry, Calculus (class hours - 4hrs/wk) – 2.5 hour ALI examination
  • 27. ALI Tests The tests are based on the standardized curriculum for each grade and were produced especially for this project by a Mexican educational testing service (CENEVAL). Grade 10: Algebra, Geometry and Trigonometry (class hours - 4hrs/wk) – 2.5 hour ALI examination Grade 11: Analytical Geometry, Calculus (class hours - 4hrs/wk) – 2.5 hour ALI examination Grade 12: Probability and Statistics, Applied Statistics (class hours - 5hrs/wk) – 2.5 hour examination on 12th grade material, 1.25 hours each on 10th and 11th grade material.
  • 28.
  • 29. Incentive Schedules : Teachers (T2, T3)
  • 30. Incentive Schedules Incentive schedules are based on the categorical scores on an initial test (grades 10 and 11) and on the end-of- year ALI test (grades 10,11,12).
  • 31. Incentive Schedules Incentive schedules are based on the categorical scores on an initial test (grades 10 and 11) and on the end-of- year ALI test (grades 10,11,12). The initial test score for the tenth grade is the national 9th year mathematics ENLACE (curriculum- based test).
  • 32. Incentive Schedules Incentive schedules are based on the categorical scores on an initial test (grades 10 and 11) and on the end-of- year ALI test (grades 10,11,12). The initial test score for the tenth grade is the national 9th year mathematics ENLACE (curriculum- based test). The initial test score for the eleventh grade is the 10th grade ALI curriculum test (except in first year – 9th grade ENLACE).
  • 33. Incentive Schedules The 10th grade test score cutoffs mimic the control group’s distribution of categorical scores on the 9th grade mathematics ENLACE.
  • 34. Incentive Schedules The 10th grade test score cutoffs mimic the control group’s distribution of categorical scores on the 9th grade mathematics ENLACE. The 11th grade test score cutoffs mimic the control group’s distribution on the 9th grade ENLACE in year 1 and on the 10th grade ALI test in years 2 and 3.
  • 35. Incentive Schedules The 10th grade test score cutoffs mimic the control group’s distribution of categorical scores on the 9th grade mathematics ENLACE. The 11th grade test score cutoffs mimic the control group’s distribution on the 9th grade ENLACE in year 1 and on the 10th grade ALI test in years 2 and 3. The 12th grade test score cutoffs mimic the control group’s distribution on the 12th grade mathematics ENLACE.
  • 38. Incentive Schedules : Students (T1, T3)
  • 39. Incentive Schedules : Students (T1, T3)
  • 40. Incentive Schedules : Students (T1, T3)
  • 41. Incentive Schedules : Students (T1, T3)
  • 42. Incentive Schedules : Teachers (T2, T3)
  • 43. Incentive Schedules : Teachers (T2, T3)
  • 44. Incentive Schedules : Teachers (T2, T3)
  • 45. Incentive Schedules: Performance of Others (T3) In addition to the incentives based on own performance, Students receive an additional payment of one percent of the total amount received by all of the students in their class.
  • 46. Incentive Schedules: Performance of Others (T3) In addition to the incentives based on own performance, Students receive an additional payment of one percent of the total amount received by all of the students in their class. FTE mathematics teachers receives an additional payment of 25 percent of the average (FTE) amount earned by the other mathematics teachers.
  • 47. Incentive Schedules: Performance of Others (T3) In addition to the incentives based on own performance, Students receive an additional payment of one percent of the total amount received by all of the students in their class. FTE mathematics teachers receives an additional payment of 25 percent of the average (FTE) amount earned by the other mathematics teachers. A FTE non-mathematics teacher receives a payment of 25 percent of the average (FTE) amount earned by the mathematics teachers.
  • 48. Incentive Schedules: Performance of Others (T3) In addition to the incentives based on own performance, Students receive an additional payment of one percent of the total amount received by all of the students in their class. FTE mathematics teachers receives an additional payment of 25 percent of the average (FTE) amount earned by the other mathematics teachers. A FTE non-mathematics teacher receives a payment of 25 percent of the average (FTE) amount earned by the mathematics teachers. The principal of the school receives a payment of 50 percent of the average (FTE) amount earned by the mathematics teachers.
  • 49. Attrition There are existing incentive programs that pay students for attendance and the bonus from the ALI program is uncertain.
  • 50. Testing Protocol  One external monitor per classroom – one overall external supervisor in school.
  • 51. Testing Protocol  One external monitor per classroom – one overall external supervisor in school.  Teachers not present during test administration.
  • 52. Testing Protocol  One external monitor per classroom – one overall external supervisor in school.  Teachers not present during test administration.  Test answer sheets and test booklets collected by monitors at the end of the exam and returned to testing agency for scoring.
  • 53. Testing Protocol  One external monitor per classroom – one overall external supervisor in school.  Teachers not present during test administration.  Test answer sheets and test booklets collected by monitors at the end of the exam and returned to testing agency for scoring.  Despite these measures, we found evidence that led to a suspicion of student cheating.  In some treatment schools, students and teachers received unusually high levels of incentive payments.  Some answer sheets of students within the same classroom exhibited strings of matching correct and incorrect answers.
  • 54. Analysis of Student Copying Analysis performed by George Wesolowsky (professor emeritus, McMaster University) – uses method described in his J. of Applied Statistics (2000) article. 1. Statistical model determining probability that student i answers multiple choice question j incorrectly Incorporates a parametric function of the “difficulty” of the question and the “ability” of the student. 2. Determine for every pair of students and for each question, the probability that the two students will have the same answer (assume, e.g., that all wrong answers are equally likely). 3. The probability distribution of the number of matches is a compound binomial; approximated as normal. 4. Choose a critical value for the number of observed matches. Reject the null of no copying if the number of matches exceeds the critical value. A Bonferroni correction is used with a critical value such that the probability is one that at least one pair of students is falsely accused.
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  • 68. A Caveat: Lack of Test-Taking Effort by Control Students Assumption 1: a. test-taking effort of T1 students no less than that of T3 students b. T1 effect is zero in all years Lower Bound Estimate of Treatment Effect in Year 3:a T3: 31.1 standardized points for 10th grade 16.9 for 11th grade 34.0 for 12th grade a. Adjusted for copying.
  • 69. A Caveat: Lack of Test-Taking Effort by Control Students Assumption 2: a. test-taking effort of C students same in all years. b. T1 effect is zero in year one only Lower Bound Estimate of Treatment Effect in Year 3a: T3: 46.5 standardized points for 10th grade 28.5 for 11th grade 47.1 for 12th grade T1: 15.4 standardized points for 10th grade 11.6 for 11th grade 13.1 for 12th grade a. Uses treatment effects adjusted for copying.
  • 73. Conclusions • Evaluated effects of student and teacher incentive programs, in isolation and combined • Student incentives alone increased mathematics test scores by 0.2-0.3 std. dev. (adjusted estimates) • Teacher incentives alone had no effect • Combined student and teacher incentives increased scores by 0.3-0.6 std. dev. • Positive impacts over entire baseline test score distribution, with slightly larger impacts at higher quantiles.
  • 74. TESTIMONIOS ALUMNOS Sulem Hernández González Alfajayucan, Hidalgo “Estudio para ser Técnico en Informática y con el dinero que me gané, pude comprar mi computadora”
  • 75. TESTIMONIOS ALUMNOS Sulem Hernández González Erika del Carmen Olán Magaña Alfajayucan, Hidalgo Comalcalco, Tabasco “Estudio para ser Técnico en Informáticaque me dieron en el “Con lo y con el dinero que programagané, pude comprar mi me apoyé a mi familia para computadora” construir los cimientos de mi casa”
  • 76. TESTIMONIOS ALUMNOS Cristian Pérez Pérez Santiago Papasquiaro,Guanajuato “Con lo que me gané compré una vaca y hace poco tuvo un becerro. Con la venta de la leche que da la vaca, me ayudo para mis útiles de la escuela”