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© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
Webinar 2:
Powering IBP with Modelling &
Optimization
Get inspired how optimization enhances your
S&OP / IBP experience
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
About Marcel Mourits
> MsC in Mechanical Engineering
> PhD in Supply Chain Network Design
& Operations Research
> 10 years with Logistics Service
Providers and Retails
> 6 years in SC & Manufacturing
Business Consulting
> 3 years with AIMMS
Passion for improving decision making
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
AIMMS


 offers a new approach to solve critical business problems in typically
four months with our breakthrough technology.
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
Optimization finds you the “Best Set of Actions”
AIMMS helps you find the ‘Best Set of Actions’ to improve the situation
The Power of Optimization!
> generate multiple sets of actions for various scenarios
> evaluate performance, sensitivity, robustness
> always the best fit answer to your requirements and objectives
4
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
IBP / S&OP Optimization; Examples
5
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
Our clients in Supply Chain
Optimization & IBP
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
S&OP and IBP
7
next
wee
k
next
quarter
6
months
1
year
2
year
s
5
year
s
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
Why powering IBP with Modelling & Optimization?
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
9
Why powering IBP with Modelling & Optimization?
Taking S&OP	to	the	next	level
with Optimization
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
10
‱ World	leader	in	meat processing
‱ From field	to retail shelf
‱ 5	industry standard	process steps
‱ 54	processing	plants in	Brazil
‱ World	leader	in	meat processing
‱ From field	to retail shelf
‱ 5	industry standard	process steps
‱ 54	processing	plants in	Brazil
Case in point:
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
Celso Batista
JBS
Lead Global Planner
presenting
@
Dallas
SC & Logistics
Conference 2014
11
DISSASEMBLY	 SUPPLY	CHAIN
q 80	PRIMALS,	160	SUB-PRIMALS,	2.000	SKUs
§ Yield
§ Shelf Life
§ Maturation
§ Raw material	requirements
§ Production requirements
q 50+	PRODUCTION	PLANTS
§ Certifications
§ Capacities
§ Cattle availability
§ Costs
q 12+	DISTRIBUTION	CENTERS
q 170	MAIN	DOMESTIC	DESTINATIONS
q 100	EXPORT	COUNTRIES
JBS	SUPPLY	MODEL
QUESTION	
MARKS
PROPOSED	
SOLUTION
CAPTURED	
GAINS
PROJECT	
SYNERGIES
Picture	from:	UltimateBeef(http://ultimatebeef.co.za)
JBS	SUPPLY	MODEL
QUESTION	
MARKS
PROPOSED	
SOLUTION
CAPTURED	
GAINS
PROJECT	
SYNERGIES
GENERAL	BUSINESS	DAY-TO-DAY	QUESTIONS
‱Are	we	missing	demand	opportunities?
‱Are	we	increasing	inventory?
PULLED	X	PUSHED	
PRODUCTION
‱Are	we	maximizing	the	utilization	of	our	production	bottle-necks?
‱Are	we	measuring	those	correctly?
BOTTLE-NECKS
‱Are	we	allocating	contracts	respecting	all	the	transportation	implications?
‱Are	we	minimizing	freight?	Are	we	minimizing	taxes?
SHIPPING	COSTS
‱Is	this	the	best	mix	of	production	to	maximize	the	revenue?
PRODUCTION	TRADE-
OFFS
‱Given	a	group	of	premises,	what	kind	of	financial	result	should	we	expect?
‱Should	I	keep	volume	as	initial	planned?	Should	I	increase	it?	Should	I	decrease	it?
FINANCIAL	
PROJECTIONS
‱Are	we going to	fill our firmed demands for	next week?	How my OTIF	will end up being?
‱Which products do	I	need to	consider as	priorities for	next week?	And for	tomorrow?
SERVICE	LEVEL
MATHEMATICAL	APPROACH
OPERATIONAL	RESEARCH
ĂŒ Maximize	revenue
ĂŒ Consider	business	limitations	/	restrictions
OUTPUTS
ĂŒ Cattle	procurement	plan
ĂŒ Bone	in	meat	decisions	(Sell?	Transfer?	Debone?)
ĂŒ Production	 Plan
ĂŒ Sales	Plan
ĂŒ Financial	results	projection
JBS	SUPPLY	MODEL
QUESTION	
MARKS
PROPOSED	
SOLUTION
CAPTURED	
GAINS
PROJECT	
SYNERGIES
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
15
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
IBP – Optimization;
16
Evolution of Marketing & Sales Planning
© Oliver Wight International 1
OPTIMISATION
PREDICTIVE MODELLING
MODELLING
PARAMETERS
PLANS
STATISTICAL
MODELLING
ANALYTICS
ASSUMPTIONS
PLANS
INTEGRATED ANALYTICS
How to get there?
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
Demand Plan Optimization
17
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
Demand Driven Production Scheduling
18
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
Optimal Scenario Generation
19
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
What sort(s) of IBP do you have?
20
Commodities
Demand	driven
Global	alignment
Low	maturity
Converging SC
Stable	portfolio
Stable demand
Speculative pricing
Specialty	products
Supply	driven
Local	for	local
High maturity
Diverging	SC
Rapid	NPI
Volatile	demand
Stable	pricing
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
General S&OP - IBP Optimization Platform
21
Commodities
Demand	driven
Global	alignment
Low	maturity
Converging SC
Stable	portfolio
Stable demand
Speculative pricing
Specialty	products
Supply	driven
Local	for	local
High maturity
Diverging	SC
Rapid	NPI
Volatile	demand
Stable	pricing
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
Working with Issue Resolvers
22
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
Like to experience for yourself?
23
“	I’m	amazed;	I	know	of	no	
other	vendor	that	builds	MY	
application	on	the	fly	in	a	two	
day	workshop!	“
© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission
Next Webinars in this series
For more information refer to: marcel.Mourits@aimms.com
24

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Powering IBP with Modeling and Optimization

  • 1. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission Webinar 2: Powering IBP with Modelling & Optimization Get inspired how optimization enhances your S&OP / IBP experience
  • 2. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission About Marcel Mourits > MsC in Mechanical Engineering > PhD in Supply Chain Network Design & Operations Research > 10 years with Logistics Service Providers and Retails > 6 years in SC & Manufacturing Business Consulting > 3 years with AIMMS Passion for improving decision making
  • 3. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission AIMMS
 
 offers a new approach to solve critical business problems in typically four months with our breakthrough technology.
  • 4. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission Optimization finds you the “Best Set of Actions” AIMMS helps you find the ‘Best Set of Actions’ to improve the situation The Power of Optimization! > generate multiple sets of actions for various scenarios > evaluate performance, sensitivity, robustness > always the best fit answer to your requirements and objectives 4
  • 5. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission IBP / S&OP Optimization; Examples 5
  • 6. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission Our clients in Supply Chain Optimization & IBP 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
  • 7. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission S&OP and IBP 7 next wee k next quarter 6 months 1 year 2 year s 5 year s
  • 8. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission Why powering IBP with Modelling & Optimization?
  • 9. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission 9 Why powering IBP with Modelling & Optimization? Taking S&OP to the next level with Optimization
  • 10. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission 10 ‱ World leader in meat processing ‱ From field to retail shelf ‱ 5 industry standard process steps ‱ 54 processing plants in Brazil ‱ World leader in meat processing ‱ From field to retail shelf ‱ 5 industry standard process steps ‱ 54 processing plants in Brazil Case in point:
  • 11. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission Celso Batista JBS Lead Global Planner presenting @ Dallas SC & Logistics Conference 2014 11
  • 12. DISSASEMBLY SUPPLY CHAIN q 80 PRIMALS, 160 SUB-PRIMALS, 2.000 SKUs § Yield § Shelf Life § Maturation § Raw material requirements § Production requirements q 50+ PRODUCTION PLANTS § Certifications § Capacities § Cattle availability § Costs q 12+ DISTRIBUTION CENTERS q 170 MAIN DOMESTIC DESTINATIONS q 100 EXPORT COUNTRIES JBS SUPPLY MODEL QUESTION MARKS PROPOSED SOLUTION CAPTURED GAINS PROJECT SYNERGIES Picture from: UltimateBeef(http://ultimatebeef.co.za)
  • 13. JBS SUPPLY MODEL QUESTION MARKS PROPOSED SOLUTION CAPTURED GAINS PROJECT SYNERGIES GENERAL BUSINESS DAY-TO-DAY QUESTIONS ‱Are we missing demand opportunities? ‱Are we increasing inventory? PULLED X PUSHED PRODUCTION ‱Are we maximizing the utilization of our production bottle-necks? ‱Are we measuring those correctly? BOTTLE-NECKS ‱Are we allocating contracts respecting all the transportation implications? ‱Are we minimizing freight? Are we minimizing taxes? SHIPPING COSTS ‱Is this the best mix of production to maximize the revenue? PRODUCTION TRADE- OFFS ‱Given a group of premises, what kind of financial result should we expect? ‱Should I keep volume as initial planned? Should I increase it? Should I decrease it? FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS ‱Are we going to fill our firmed demands for next week? How my OTIF will end up being? ‱Which products do I need to consider as priorities for next week? And for tomorrow? SERVICE LEVEL
  • 14. MATHEMATICAL APPROACH OPERATIONAL RESEARCH ĂŒ Maximize revenue ĂŒ Consider business limitations / restrictions OUTPUTS ĂŒ Cattle procurement plan ĂŒ Bone in meat decisions (Sell? Transfer? Debone?) ĂŒ Production Plan ĂŒ Sales Plan ĂŒ Financial results projection JBS SUPPLY MODEL QUESTION MARKS PROPOSED SOLUTION CAPTURED GAINS PROJECT SYNERGIES
  • 15. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission 15
  • 16. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission IBP – Optimization; 16 Evolution of Marketing & Sales Planning © Oliver Wight International 1 OPTIMISATION PREDICTIVE MODELLING MODELLING PARAMETERS PLANS STATISTICAL MODELLING ANALYTICS ASSUMPTIONS PLANS INTEGRATED ANALYTICS How to get there?
  • 17. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission Demand Plan Optimization 17
  • 18. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission Demand Driven Production Scheduling 18
  • 19. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission Optimal Scenario Generation 19
  • 20. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission© AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission What sort(s) of IBP do you have? 20 Commodities Demand driven Global alignment Low maturity Converging SC Stable portfolio Stable demand Speculative pricing Specialty products Supply driven Local for local High maturity Diverging SC Rapid NPI Volatile demand Stable pricing
  • 21. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission General S&OP - IBP Optimization Platform 21 Commodities Demand driven Global alignment Low maturity Converging SC Stable portfolio Stable demand Speculative pricing Specialty products Supply driven Local for local High maturity Diverging SC Rapid NPI Volatile demand Stable pricing
  • 22. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission Working with Issue Resolvers 22
  • 23. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission Like to experience for yourself? 23 “ I’m amazed; I know of no other vendor that builds MY application on the fly in a two day workshop! “
  • 24. © AIMMS - 2015 Do not copy, cite, or distribute without permission Next Webinars in this series For more information refer to: marcel.Mourits@aimms.com 24