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melbourne town hall
                                                                          13 -14 October 2011




                     Climate Change
                adaptation CongReSS
                CReating a Climate ReSilient futuRe foR auStRalia




Structured Process                              Outcome Focused
 Identify ways to acknowledge the
	                                               Identify and learn skills to face the
                                                	
 uncertainties surrounding the impact of         challenges associated with building a
 future climate change into today’s decisions    business case for adaptation
 Develop robust adaptation responses as part
	                                               Create a forum for practical knowledge
                                                	
 of your organisation’s strategic response       sharing – drawing on the collective expertise
 strategic planning                              of organisations already adapting
 Emphasise the need to make adaptation
	                                               Evaluating and testing practical
                                                	
 planning a mainstream issue across              adaptation responses and priorities
 your organisation                               using scenarios




Event Partner

                                                                        3pillarsnetwork.com.au
pRogRam deSign
            We invite you to be part of an innovative process
            which requires your full engagement and interaction
            over the two days. the more you invest, the more you
            will gain in terms of practical value and outcomes.


            SeSSion deSign
      1     leading expert presentations will be followed by facilitated group
            activities involving all delegates.

      2     each participatory activity is designed to build on those that preceded it
            and integrate with the additional information provided by each opening
            speaker. participants will stay in the same groups throughout the two
            days to enable consistency and flow of work.

      3     By the end of the day 2 groups will have created a narrative of their work.




                                                       Who Will attend?
                                                        Business managers – dealing with increasing
                                                       	
                                                        complexity and uncertainty and multiple shocks to
                                                        their business models

                                                        policy-makers – in finance, health, community
                                                       	
                                                        development, environment, primary industries,
                                                        planning and transport

                                                        ngos – working on climate and cross-cutting issues
                                                       	

                                                        Researchers – particularly those working on inter-
                                                       	
                                                        disciplinary themes relating to climate change



2011 Climate Adaptation Congress Program                                                                 2
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                                                                                                                    13 october 2011



8:45am                                                               10:20am
introduction by Congress Chair                                       Coffee Break
Rob gell, master of Ceremonies
                                                                     10:40am – 11:00am
9:00am – 9:40am
                                                                     introducing the Congress process
opening address
From ‘climate sceptic’ to a leading voice on climate science,        10:00am – 12:00pm
Rear Admiral Titley will discuss climate change, and its             adaptation and your organisation – where are you
impending implications on US national security. David is part
                                                                     and where are you going?
of a special Task Force that has developed the Navy Arctic
Roadmap, a 5 year strategic plan designed to ensure the US           This session allows participants to consider the keynote
Navy is ready and capable of contributing to a safe, stable,         presentation in the context of their organisations’ own work.
and secure Arctic region throughout the 21st century.                Roderick marsh, associate director, net Balance
Rear admiral david titley, director, task force Climate
Change and oceanographer for the uS navy (uS)                        12:00pm – 1:15pm
                                                                     practical priorities in adaptation planning
9:40m – 10:20am
                                                                     Climate change compounds existing risks as well as
opening Keynote                                                      introducing new ones. Understanding the intersection
                                                                     between adaptation and other shocks faced by organisations
using information about future climates in                           is a crucial element of adaptation planning.
adaptation decision-making: what works, what                         facilitated by Jenni metcalfe, director, econnect
doesn’t and what’s possible
                                                                     Bill hartnett, Sustainability manager, local
Information about future climates is characterised by uncertainty.   government Super
Planners and decision-makers need to understand where projec-        final speaker (tbc)
tions and other accounts of climate futures are uncertain and how
this uncertainty should influence their decision-making.
                                                                      SESSION OUTCOMES
followed by questions and discussion
dr graeme pearman, graeme pearman Consulting                         participants should leave this session understanding:
                                                                     ✔	The way that climate risk compounds existing
                                                                        organisational risks as well as creates new ones.
 SESSION OUTCOMES
                                                                     ✔	How this affects value (particularly financial) of
participants should leave this session understanding:                   adaptation actions – in single organisations as well as
                                                                        across a community/class of organisation/nation etc.
✔	The uncertainty in climate projections and how levels
   of uncertainty change with scale, timing and location of          ✔	New hints/principles for prioritising adaptation actions
   potential climate impacts                                            from this perspective
✔	Which climatic changes might be ‘locked in’ by past
   emissions, current emissions trajectories or might be
   averted through strong mitigation efforts
✔	The importance of assessing climate futures using range
   of future climate outcomes rather than point estimates
✔	The importance of considering low probability, high
   consequence outcomes in adaptation planning.


2011 Climate Adaptation Congress Program                                                                                             3
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1:15pm                                                         3:30pm
lunch                                                          Coffee Break

2:15pm – 3:30pm                                                3:45pm – 5:00pm
Building a business case for adaptation investment             embedding climate adaptation: building robust
and organisational change                                      decision-making capability
Adaptation planning needs to be integrated into almost         There is no simple design for adaptation decision-making.
all elements of an organisation’s activities – strategic and   The ‘best’ design, plan or strategy for adaptation may be
operational. This is challenging. Many characteristics of      one that offers a satisfactory solution under a wide range
the adaptation problem do not integrate well with typical      of possible futures. It may not be the cheapest, easiest to
approaches to decision-making in most organisation.            implement or the one with the clearest long-term outcome.
facilitated by Jenni metcalfe, director, econnect              Good adaptation decision-making responds to climate
Councillor Krista milne, Sustainability manager,               change uncertainty by maintaining flexibility, testing options,
City of melbourne                                              maintaining links with a wide range of stakeholders.
                                                               Adaptation requires a change from ‘predict-then-act’
dr Bruce taylor, CSiRo                                         approaches to ‘explore-then-test’ ones.
david Rissik, deputy director, nCCaRf                          Roderick marsh, associate director, net Balance
                                                               Case Study tbc
 SESSION OUTCOMES
participants will hear about:                                   SESSION OUTCOMES
✔	Common pitfalls and challenges that arise when
                                                               participants should leave this session with an
   addressing climate change adaptation in organisations
                                                               understanding of:
   (e.g. perceptions of climate change, managing
   uncertainty, relevance of adaptation spend in the context   ✔	What makes decisions robust
   of short-term priorities, cost).                            ✔	How to design decision-making processes so they are
✔	Ways to approach organisational inertia on climate              most likely to deliver robust outcomes
   change adaptation
✔	How to justify long-term climate change adaptation
   expenditure, while managing the risks of over, under        5:00pm
   and mal-adaptation.
✔	How to integrate existing knowledge across disciplines       Closing Comments day one
   and develop and communicate new knowledge.                  and networking drinks




2011 Climate Adaptation Congress Program                                                                                     4
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                                                                                                              14 october 2011




9:00am – 9.45am                                                11:15am – 12:30pm
Keynote address                                                Working group Session 1:

the Risks of a Changing Climate                                Combining priorities for action with
Will Steffen provides a candid picture of the impacts of
                                                               organisationally-relevant scenarios
climate change on the earth systems. This session is           Participants will use their work from the day 1 session
designed to help anchor the day’s discussions in physical      ‘practical priorities in adaptation planning’ to develop three
realities of climate change.                                   scenarios to provide context for future decision making.

professor Will Steffen, executive director and Climate
Commissioner, anu Climate Change institute and Climate          SESSION OUTCOMES
Commissioner
                                                               participants will develop:

9:45am                                                         ✔	 list of information requirements for prioritisation and
                                                                 A
                                                                  decision making
Scenario planning for adaptation: what works,                  ✔	Three possible scenarios that capture a range of future
what doesn’t, what’s promising                                    outcomes against which adaptation decisions can be
                                                                  evaluated
Scenario planning has a long history as a tool for dealing
with uncertain futures. It can be a controversial tool.
Some suggest detailed scenarios risk ‘locking-in’ thinking     12:30pm
about the future to a limited range of possibilities; others
emphasise the value of scenarios as a way of ‘stress-          lunch
testing’ plans and informing discussions about policy and
governance in the context of uncertainty and complexity.       1:30pm – 2:45pm
followed by questions and discussion
                                                               Working group Session 2:
professor John Wiseman, university of melbourne
                                                               using scenarios to test adaptation responses
dr lauren Rickards, university of melbourne

                                                                SESSION OUTCOMES
 SESSION OUTCOMES
                                                               participants will:
participants should gain an understanding of:
                                                               ✔	Obtain hands-on experience evaluating and testing
✔	How scenarios can be incorporated into adaptation               adaptation responses and priorities using scenarios
   planning                                                       developed for that purpose
✔	How to develop useful scenarios                              ✔	Understand the value of scenarios as tools to explore
✔	How to best use them to improve decision-making                 uncertainty and complexity and test the robustness of
                                                                  adaptation responses to a wide range of possible futures

10:15am – 10:45am                                              led by ian dunlop (tbc)

Coffee Break
                                                               2:45pm
                                                               Coffee Break




2011 Climate Adaptation Congress Program                                                                                        5
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                                                                 14 october 2011




3:00pm – 4:15pm
Working group Session 3:
using scenarios and climate information in a
business case for action on adaptation
Including the results of work focused on exploring uncertainty
and complexity and generating robust solutions in a
traditional business case can be hard.
Many organisations demand more certainty (even if it is
illusory) in business cases than robust solutions can provide.
Robust solutions work best in situations where uncertainty
cannot be reduced.


 SESSION OUTCOMES
participants should leave the session understanding:
✔	How scenarios and information about climate futures can
   be incorporated in a business case
✔	How scenarios can be used to improve organisations'
   decision-making

led by facilitator from net Balance (tbc)

4:15pm
Closing Remarks and Close of Congress




2011 Climate Adaptation Congress Program                                      6
ConfeRenCe detailS                          RegiStRation foRm
to RegiSteR                                    RegiSteR me foR the Climate adaptation CongReSS
Web       climateadaptation.com.au             I am a member of 3 Pillars Network       I am interested in becoming a member
Fax       02 9810 6746
Email     zaf@3pillarsnetwork.com.au        3 pillaRS memBeRS
Mail      212A Darling Street
          Balmain NSW 2041                  eaRlY BiRd – Book & pay by 23 September 2011
                                            Full 2-day conference                   $795+GST = $874.50
enquiRieS                                   Bring your colleagues and save!
Contact Zaf Makdum                          2 people from same organisation         $1390+GST = $1529.00
Tel     02 9555 4203                        3 people from same organisation         $1935+GST = $2128.50
Email zaf@3pillarsnetwork.com.au
                                            StandaRd RegiStRation Rate – Book & pay after 23 September 2011
dateS & venue                               Full 2-day conference                   $895+GST = $984.50
13-14 october 2011                          Bring your colleagues and save!
melbourne town hall                         2 people from same organisation         $1590+GST = $1749.00
The Supper Room (3rd floor)                 3 people from same organisation         $2235+GST = $2458.50
Corner Swanston and Collins Streets
Melbourne VIC 3000                          non memBeRS
Tel     03 9658 9779
Fax     03 9654 1427                        eaRlY BiRd – Book & pay by 23 September 2011
                                            Full 2-day conference                   $895+GST = $984.50
time                                        Bring your colleagues and save!
Registration starts at 8.30am on            2 people from same organisation         $1590+GST = $1749.00
13 October 2011 and conference              3 people from same organisation         $2235+GST = $2458.50
ends 4.30pm on 14 October 2011.
                                            StandaRd RegiStRation Rate – Book & pay after 23 September 2011
Cancellation policy:                        Full 2-day conference                   $995+GST = $1094.50
Should you be unable to attend, a           Bring your colleagues and save!
substitute delegate is always welcome       2 people from same organisation         $1790+GST = $1969.00
at no extra cost. Alternatively, a full     3 people from same organisation         $2535+GST = $2788.50
refund, minus 50% (incl GST) service
charge will be made for cancellations       please note that special rates are available for not for profits. further discounts also apply for
received in writing up to two weeks prior   larger group bookings.
to the event. Regrettably, no refund will
be given for cancellations received later   please complete
than two weeks prior to the event.
                                            Mr/Ms/Mrs/Miss Given Names
privacy:
The above information will be recorded      Surname
in our delegate database. 3 Pillars
Network may also share this information     Company/Organisation
with our event sponsors. Please tick
the appropriate box if you do not wish      Position
to receive further correspondence.
                                            Address

                                            City                                                      Postcode
event partner
                                            Phone                                                     Fax

                                            Email


                                            method of payment
presented by                                   Cheque – please make cheque payable to 3 Pillars Network Pty Ltd
                                               Book and pay securely online by credit card using PayPal at 3pillarsnetwork.com.au
                                               Visa       MasterCard     AMEX (3% surcharge applies)
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The 3 Pillars Network is the leading
knowledge network for sustainable           Expiry date                                Signature
business in Australia. Membership is                                     /
free for any individual who has attended    Total                 $
a 3 Pillars event.
                                            Delegates will receive an email confirmation letter and tax receipt once registered.
not a memBeR? Register now and
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receive a special member rate. visit
www.3pillarsnetwork.com.au                     I do NOT wish to have my details made available to other organisations

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Climate Change Congress

  • 1. melbourne town hall 13 -14 October 2011 Climate Change adaptation CongReSS CReating a Climate ReSilient futuRe foR auStRalia Structured Process Outcome Focused Identify ways to acknowledge the  Identify and learn skills to face the  uncertainties surrounding the impact of challenges associated with building a future climate change into today’s decisions business case for adaptation Develop robust adaptation responses as part  Create a forum for practical knowledge  of your organisation’s strategic response sharing – drawing on the collective expertise strategic planning of organisations already adapting Emphasise the need to make adaptation  Evaluating and testing practical  planning a mainstream issue across adaptation responses and priorities your organisation using scenarios Event Partner 3pillarsnetwork.com.au
  • 2. pRogRam deSign We invite you to be part of an innovative process which requires your full engagement and interaction over the two days. the more you invest, the more you will gain in terms of practical value and outcomes. SeSSion deSign 1 leading expert presentations will be followed by facilitated group activities involving all delegates. 2 each participatory activity is designed to build on those that preceded it and integrate with the additional information provided by each opening speaker. participants will stay in the same groups throughout the two days to enable consistency and flow of work. 3 By the end of the day 2 groups will have created a narrative of their work. Who Will attend? Business managers – dealing with increasing  complexity and uncertainty and multiple shocks to their business models policy-makers – in finance, health, community  development, environment, primary industries, planning and transport ngos – working on climate and cross-cutting issues  Researchers – particularly those working on inter-  disciplinary themes relating to climate change 2011 Climate Adaptation Congress Program 2
  • 3. pReliminaRY pRogRam Some details in the agenda may be subject to change daY 1 13 october 2011 8:45am 10:20am introduction by Congress Chair Coffee Break Rob gell, master of Ceremonies 10:40am – 11:00am 9:00am – 9:40am introducing the Congress process opening address From ‘climate sceptic’ to a leading voice on climate science, 10:00am – 12:00pm Rear Admiral Titley will discuss climate change, and its adaptation and your organisation – where are you impending implications on US national security. David is part and where are you going? of a special Task Force that has developed the Navy Arctic Roadmap, a 5 year strategic plan designed to ensure the US This session allows participants to consider the keynote Navy is ready and capable of contributing to a safe, stable, presentation in the context of their organisations’ own work. and secure Arctic region throughout the 21st century. Roderick marsh, associate director, net Balance Rear admiral david titley, director, task force Climate Change and oceanographer for the uS navy (uS) 12:00pm – 1:15pm practical priorities in adaptation planning 9:40m – 10:20am Climate change compounds existing risks as well as opening Keynote introducing new ones. Understanding the intersection between adaptation and other shocks faced by organisations using information about future climates in is a crucial element of adaptation planning. adaptation decision-making: what works, what facilitated by Jenni metcalfe, director, econnect doesn’t and what’s possible Bill hartnett, Sustainability manager, local Information about future climates is characterised by uncertainty. government Super Planners and decision-makers need to understand where projec- final speaker (tbc) tions and other accounts of climate futures are uncertain and how this uncertainty should influence their decision-making. SESSION OUTCOMES followed by questions and discussion dr graeme pearman, graeme pearman Consulting participants should leave this session understanding: ✔ The way that climate risk compounds existing organisational risks as well as creates new ones. SESSION OUTCOMES ✔ How this affects value (particularly financial) of participants should leave this session understanding: adaptation actions – in single organisations as well as across a community/class of organisation/nation etc. ✔ The uncertainty in climate projections and how levels of uncertainty change with scale, timing and location of ✔ New hints/principles for prioritising adaptation actions potential climate impacts from this perspective ✔ Which climatic changes might be ‘locked in’ by past emissions, current emissions trajectories or might be averted through strong mitigation efforts ✔ The importance of assessing climate futures using range of future climate outcomes rather than point estimates ✔ The importance of considering low probability, high consequence outcomes in adaptation planning. 2011 Climate Adaptation Congress Program 3
  • 4. pReliminaRY pRogRam Some details in the agenda may be subject to change daY 1 13 october 2011 1:15pm 3:30pm lunch Coffee Break 2:15pm – 3:30pm 3:45pm – 5:00pm Building a business case for adaptation investment embedding climate adaptation: building robust and organisational change decision-making capability Adaptation planning needs to be integrated into almost There is no simple design for adaptation decision-making. all elements of an organisation’s activities – strategic and The ‘best’ design, plan or strategy for adaptation may be operational. This is challenging. Many characteristics of one that offers a satisfactory solution under a wide range the adaptation problem do not integrate well with typical of possible futures. It may not be the cheapest, easiest to approaches to decision-making in most organisation. implement or the one with the clearest long-term outcome. facilitated by Jenni metcalfe, director, econnect Good adaptation decision-making responds to climate Councillor Krista milne, Sustainability manager, change uncertainty by maintaining flexibility, testing options, City of melbourne maintaining links with a wide range of stakeholders. Adaptation requires a change from ‘predict-then-act’ dr Bruce taylor, CSiRo approaches to ‘explore-then-test’ ones. david Rissik, deputy director, nCCaRf Roderick marsh, associate director, net Balance Case Study tbc SESSION OUTCOMES participants will hear about: SESSION OUTCOMES ✔ Common pitfalls and challenges that arise when participants should leave this session with an addressing climate change adaptation in organisations understanding of: (e.g. perceptions of climate change, managing uncertainty, relevance of adaptation spend in the context ✔ What makes decisions robust of short-term priorities, cost). ✔ How to design decision-making processes so they are ✔ Ways to approach organisational inertia on climate most likely to deliver robust outcomes change adaptation ✔ How to justify long-term climate change adaptation expenditure, while managing the risks of over, under 5:00pm and mal-adaptation. ✔ How to integrate existing knowledge across disciplines Closing Comments day one and develop and communicate new knowledge. and networking drinks 2011 Climate Adaptation Congress Program 4
  • 5. pReliminaRY pRogRam Some details in the agenda may be subject to change daY 2 14 october 2011 9:00am – 9.45am 11:15am – 12:30pm Keynote address Working group Session 1: the Risks of a Changing Climate Combining priorities for action with Will Steffen provides a candid picture of the impacts of organisationally-relevant scenarios climate change on the earth systems. This session is Participants will use their work from the day 1 session designed to help anchor the day’s discussions in physical ‘practical priorities in adaptation planning’ to develop three realities of climate change. scenarios to provide context for future decision making. professor Will Steffen, executive director and Climate Commissioner, anu Climate Change institute and Climate SESSION OUTCOMES Commissioner participants will develop: 9:45am ✔ list of information requirements for prioritisation and A decision making Scenario planning for adaptation: what works, ✔ Three possible scenarios that capture a range of future what doesn’t, what’s promising outcomes against which adaptation decisions can be evaluated Scenario planning has a long history as a tool for dealing with uncertain futures. It can be a controversial tool. Some suggest detailed scenarios risk ‘locking-in’ thinking 12:30pm about the future to a limited range of possibilities; others emphasise the value of scenarios as a way of ‘stress- lunch testing’ plans and informing discussions about policy and governance in the context of uncertainty and complexity. 1:30pm – 2:45pm followed by questions and discussion Working group Session 2: professor John Wiseman, university of melbourne using scenarios to test adaptation responses dr lauren Rickards, university of melbourne SESSION OUTCOMES SESSION OUTCOMES participants will: participants should gain an understanding of: ✔ Obtain hands-on experience evaluating and testing ✔ How scenarios can be incorporated into adaptation adaptation responses and priorities using scenarios planning developed for that purpose ✔ How to develop useful scenarios ✔ Understand the value of scenarios as tools to explore ✔ How to best use them to improve decision-making uncertainty and complexity and test the robustness of adaptation responses to a wide range of possible futures 10:15am – 10:45am led by ian dunlop (tbc) Coffee Break 2:45pm Coffee Break 2011 Climate Adaptation Congress Program 5
  • 6. pReliminaRY pRogRam Some details in the agenda may be subject to change daY 2 14 october 2011 3:00pm – 4:15pm Working group Session 3: using scenarios and climate information in a business case for action on adaptation Including the results of work focused on exploring uncertainty and complexity and generating robust solutions in a traditional business case can be hard. Many organisations demand more certainty (even if it is illusory) in business cases than robust solutions can provide. Robust solutions work best in situations where uncertainty cannot be reduced. SESSION OUTCOMES participants should leave the session understanding: ✔ How scenarios and information about climate futures can be incorporated in a business case ✔ How scenarios can be used to improve organisations' decision-making led by facilitator from net Balance (tbc) 4:15pm Closing Remarks and Close of Congress 2011 Climate Adaptation Congress Program 6
  • 7. ConfeRenCe detailS RegiStRation foRm to RegiSteR RegiSteR me foR the Climate adaptation CongReSS Web climateadaptation.com.au I am a member of 3 Pillars Network I am interested in becoming a member Fax 02 9810 6746 Email zaf@3pillarsnetwork.com.au 3 pillaRS memBeRS Mail 212A Darling Street Balmain NSW 2041 eaRlY BiRd – Book & pay by 23 September 2011 Full 2-day conference $795+GST = $874.50 enquiRieS Bring your colleagues and save! Contact Zaf Makdum 2 people from same organisation $1390+GST = $1529.00 Tel 02 9555 4203 3 people from same organisation $1935+GST = $2128.50 Email zaf@3pillarsnetwork.com.au StandaRd RegiStRation Rate – Book & pay after 23 September 2011 dateS & venue Full 2-day conference $895+GST = $984.50 13-14 october 2011 Bring your colleagues and save! melbourne town hall 2 people from same organisation $1590+GST = $1749.00 The Supper Room (3rd floor) 3 people from same organisation $2235+GST = $2458.50 Corner Swanston and Collins Streets Melbourne VIC 3000 non memBeRS Tel 03 9658 9779 Fax 03 9654 1427 eaRlY BiRd – Book & pay by 23 September 2011 Full 2-day conference $895+GST = $984.50 time Bring your colleagues and save! Registration starts at 8.30am on 2 people from same organisation $1590+GST = $1749.00 13 October 2011 and conference 3 people from same organisation $2235+GST = $2458.50 ends 4.30pm on 14 October 2011. StandaRd RegiStRation Rate – Book & pay after 23 September 2011 Cancellation policy: Full 2-day conference $995+GST = $1094.50 Should you be unable to attend, a Bring your colleagues and save! substitute delegate is always welcome 2 people from same organisation $1790+GST = $1969.00 at no extra cost. Alternatively, a full 3 people from same organisation $2535+GST = $2788.50 refund, minus 50% (incl GST) service charge will be made for cancellations please note that special rates are available for not for profits. further discounts also apply for received in writing up to two weeks prior larger group bookings. to the event. Regrettably, no refund will be given for cancellations received later please complete than two weeks prior to the event. Mr/Ms/Mrs/Miss Given Names privacy: The above information will be recorded Surname in our delegate database. 3 Pillars Network may also share this information Company/Organisation with our event sponsors. Please tick the appropriate box if you do not wish Position to receive further correspondence. Address City Postcode event partner Phone Fax Email method of payment presented by Cheque – please make cheque payable to 3 Pillars Network Pty Ltd Book and pay securely online by credit card using PayPal at 3pillarsnetwork.com.au Visa MasterCard AMEX (3% surcharge applies) Name of cardholder Card Number CVV The 3 Pillars Network is the leading knowledge network for sustainable Expiry date Signature business in Australia. Membership is / free for any individual who has attended Total $ a 3 Pillars event. Delegates will receive an email confirmation letter and tax receipt once registered. not a memBeR? Register now and I am interested in future 3 Pillars Network events receive a special member rate. visit www.3pillarsnetwork.com.au I do NOT wish to have my details made available to other organisations